Cold War Essay Plans Flashcards

1
Q

‘The tensions that existed within the Grand Alliance by the end of 1946 were the result of conflicting ideologies’ Assess the validity of this view.

A

Conflicting ideologies

Ideological differences

Point 1 – Pre-existing tensions

Evidence 1 - The seeds of ideological mistrust had been sown back from 1917 – 1923 during the Bolshevik Revolution. The Bolsheviks were a Marxist political party that believed in the revolutionary overthrow of the capitalist system and the establishment of a socialist society based on the principles of collective ownership, social equality, and the abolition of private property.

Analysis 1 – Therefore, this was an overt attack on capitalism which created deep mistrust and hostility between the two sides. The United States responded to the Russian Revolution of 1917 by participating in the Allied intervention in the Russian Civil War with the Allies of World War I seeking to overthrow the Bolsheviks. They withheld diplomatic recognition of the Soviet Union until 1933. This created a stark ideological division between capitalism and socialism, therefore there was a continuation of this long-standing tension within the Grand Alliance by 1946

Point 2 – Actions of either side during WW2 drove suspicions

Evidence 2 – In 1939 the Nazi-Soviet Act was signed permittingNazi Germany and the Soviet Union to carve up spheres of influence in eastern Europe, while pledging not to attack each other for 10 years. This heightened East-West tensions as this reinforced the notion that Soviet Union wanted to ideologically expand in the East, and the notion that the Soviets can’t be trusted as they were negotiating with the enemy.

Evidence 2 - (USA edition)

In June 1941, during WW2 Truman Truman expressed the hope that the Germans and Russians would “kill as many of each other as possible” during their conflict. This naturally heightened tensions and was a product of his hatred of Soviet ideology.

Ultimately, the Soviets believed that capitalism would eventually collapse leaving communism to prove the superior ideology, and as the USA had the most to lose if this collapse was to occur, they saw it as vital to push back the communist ideology. Therefore, tensions were greatly driven by ideology.

USA Actions

Point 1 – Truman becomes president + kennan long telegram

Evidence 1– April 12th, Truman becomes President, unlike his predecessor Roosevelt who was committed to cooperation through diplomacy, Truman was quick to come to confrontation over cooperation regarding relations with Stalin.

Analyse 1 – This naturally led to an increase in tensions as he was hotheaded and rejected diplomacy in favour of force so Stalin was suspicious of his intentions. This was exacerbated by (down)

Evidence 2 - Hiroshima, Nagasaki - August 1945 – World’s first deployed Atomic Bomb dropped by USA, killed 180,000 Japanese.

Analyse 2 - the impact of this was a rapid end to WW2 after Japanese surrender, but also heightened tensions as they hadn’t informed their Grand Alliance ‘partner’ of the USSR. This provoked a growth of suspicion and mistrust in the part of Stalin who suspected it was a deliberate action to prevent Soviet intervention in Japan and was a direct reversal of the plan agreed at Yalta by Roosevelt which added to the anger of Truman replacing him. Furthermore, it emphasised the weakened Soviet post-war position as they did not have technology if this nature therefore this certainly heightened Grand Alliance tensions.

Evidence 3 - Kennan’s telegram – 22nd February 1946 – fundamental in shaping US policy towards Soviet Union under Truman, argued that the USA adopt a proactive role in Europe through use of force if necessary to contain communism. This resonated with Truman’s personal views of the threat of USSR, hence it became the basis for the Truman administration’s policymaking. This caused tensions as it demonized the USSR, and directly threatened them through this greater participation in Europe, and they felt that it was inaccurate as they argued that they were not seeking to expand power but merely protect themselves from Western aggression,

USSR Actions

Point 1 - Stalin decision in Poland, turned back on his word

Evidence 1 – In Feb 1945 at the Yalta Conference, Stalin agreed to allow free elections in Poland.

Analysis 1 – Whilst Stalin appeared to be compromising to strengthen East-West relations here through his creation of political conditions containing parties from either end of the political spectrum and multi-party elections, but he had tactics to ensure that the result he wanted would eventually emerge. The parties that rivalled the communists were weakened such as the Peasant Party which was weakened through communists strengthening their relations with the Polish socialists. However, Stalin went as far as removing anti-communist Poles who were in power, by 1948 he removed Gomulka who was accused of ‘nationalist deviation’ and was replaced by Bierut a pro-Stalinist. Therefore, this heightened tensions because he did not follow through with his promise for true free elections,

Point 2 – Red army occupation of most of Eastern Europe heightened tensions.

Evidence 2 – In January 1944 the Red Army entered Poland and annexed the land destroying the Nationalist Polish Resistance Group, in August 1944 Red Army troops occupied Romania, and this was the springboard to the invasion of Bulgaria in September 1944.

Analysis 2 – This heightened tensions as the internal components of these countries became dominated by communism, trade unions and police were dominated by communism, politics was ominated by communism. Therefore, this caused the West to perceive this as an example of communist expansion, their attempt to dominate the world with their ideology. So this reinforces the notion that it was in fact ideology that underpinned everything.

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2
Q

‘The USA was responsible for the division of Germany into two separate states by 1949.’ Assess the validity of this view. (A Level 2018)

A

USA

Evidence 1 - the actions of the USA, in 1947–48, increasingly showed that they wanted a separate western state rather than a united Germany that might fall under Soviet control; this was reinforced by the creation of Bizonia in January 1947.

Analysis 1– This merged the American and British zones economically, which is significant as it reinforced the notion that the USA was interested in creating a clearly defined West German state that aligned with Western capitalist economic structure and Western political system as opposed to a united Germany. The US policymakers’ rationale behind this was that a reunified Germany might align itself with the USSR, particularly if the already established communist influence assumed greater force in the reunified state.

Point 2 – This western zones received new currency which heightened division.

Evidence 2 - In June 1948 the USA introduced the Deutsche Mark into the Western zones;

Analyse 2 - This was clearly a political move to the first stage in setting up a new state that was aligned to a Western alliance. This caused the Soviets to introduce the Ostmark only one month later in July 1948, and this made trade between the two zones difficult and thus their were now two distinct economic systems. By 1949 West Germany had quickly implemented economic reforms and liberalized the economy, which led to a period of economic growth and prosperity in West Germany. In contrast, East Germany remained under Soviet control and adopted a communist economic system, which led to stagnation and a lower standard of living for its citizens which emphasised the division.

Point 3 – Americans saw West Germany as integral to economic development in Europe hence they had to keep it at all costs.

Evidence 3 – From the 3rd April 1948, the US had $13.5 billion prepared to aid European countries in return for economic information which would allow them to influence these nations in Europe to create an eventual stable bloc.

Analyse 3 – This emphasised the East-West division in Germany even more as the Soviet Union had rejected Marshall Aid on behalf of East Germany, and this contributed to the economic disparity between East and West Germany but also created a ideological barrier between East and West Germany that would last for decades, capitalism v communism. The USA was committed to the idea that the economies of Western zones should be links to the recovery of Western Europe, but the USSR did not want this but instead a united Germany that would fall into their sphere of influence.

Ultimately, as US were constantly taking steps in direction of separate states, most responsible.

USSR

Evidence 1 - introduced a number of unilateral policies, such as land reform and nationalisation, which indicated that he was already treating Eastern Germany as a separate state

Evidence 2 – Berlin Blockade, June 24th 1948 (the day after the Deutsh Mark was introduced). The Soviet Union blocked all road and rail links to the Western Zones and to West Berlin through the Soviet Zone.

Analyse 2 – This was an attempt to force the Western powers to abandon Berlin, and the blockade reinforced the idea of an “Iron Curtain”, that there was a divide between the democratic West and the communist East.
In response to the blockade, the United States, Great Britain, and France intensified their efforts to consolidate their occupation zones in Germany. This included the creation of (West Germany) in 1949, which became a separate state with its own political and economic systems.

ultimately, USSR wanted a united Germany, easier to control - US wanted divided Germany to avoid such an occurrence

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3
Q

The USA failed to contain communism in Asia in the years 1949 to 1955’ Assess the validity.

A

Agree

Evidence 1 – Loss of China – US backed KMT forced to retreat to Taiwan which marked the CPP - communist party – victory in China.

Analyse 1 - Significant as first state in China to fall to communism, caused alarm and gave rise to domino theory, if China could fall, so could surrounding states. This led to the creation of new US policy such as the Perimeter Speech in January 1950 which excluded announced that the U.S. would focus its efforts on building a “perimeter of defense” around areas in Asia to protect the region from Communist aggression, but it omitted South Korea from this perimeter. This became known as the ‘green light’ for Stalin to sanction the invasion of South Korea in April 1950.

Evidence 2 – Over the course of the Chinese Civil War, the US provided over $4 billion in aid, the Chinese Nationalists lost despite this which was indicative of communist strength.

Analyse 2 – This caused fear that simply financial aid from the US wouldn’t suffice in order to contain communism.

Counter Argue - However, it could be argued that this was more of a KMT (Nationalist) failure than US failure as the CPP were simply more effective in their tactics, they achieved success through propaganda which marked the nationalists as the enemy of China and gathered support of greater groups such as farmers and peasants. Whilst the CPP bolstered their strength the nationalists antagonised the people and were pushed away because of the effective CPP propaganda.

Nevertheless – US aim to support Nationalists in defeating communists, it fell anyway, thus failure.

Evidence 3 – Vietnam 1954 – continuation of failure despite US aid, funding 75% of French conflict against Vietnamese yet still lost, significant as reinforces notion that economic support would not suffice to contain communism.

Conclusion – ultimately, not a huge failure as these were instances where US did not adopt a physical presence.

Disagree –

when US physically involved, more successful in containment policy.

Evidence 1 – Taiwan Straits Crisis 1954- following fall of China, communist forces tried to attack exiled nationalists in Taiwan to reinforce communist rule in China. Continuation of US support for nationalists, US government sanctioned the Formosa Resolution in 1955 which allowed US nuclear bomb usage.

Analyse 1 – This caused the US to employ the policy of brinksmanship, they threatened the CPP to withdraw or they will use nuclear strikes on China. This was a success as it caused the communist forces to retreat, communism was contained from Taiwan. This is also significant for it demonstrates the success of the new weapon of containment, brinksmanship, which was introduced in the 1954 ‘New Look’ policy under Dulles thus a bright future was ahead for containment in Asia.

Evidence 2 – Korean War – By 1953 the Korean Armistice was signed, this formally ended the Korean War as it resulted in a continuation of the division at the 38th parallel in 1953.

Analyse 2 – The purpose of the US intervention was to ensure that South Korea would not fall to communism, therefore, this aim was satisfied as communism stayed at the level at which it was prior to the Korean War, remained in the North and outside of the South of Korea.

Counter Argue – Cost was great, US committed 2 million conventional troops, spent $67 billion on reconstruction of South Korea, therefore it could be argued that the cost was too high for a mere continuation of communism in Korea.

Nevertheless, initial aim satisfied.

Evidence 3 – Japan 1951 San Francisco Peace Treaty which gave access to military bases in Japan, the right to use military force to intervene in Japan internal disorder, the right to veto Japan offering military bases to other states.

Analyse 3 – Large success for USA as Japan served as a critical base of operations for the United States military in Asia, therefore, this allowed them to maintain their presence in the region to combat communism

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4
Q

‘To what extent were the Yalta and Potsdam Conferences responsible for the growth of Cold War tensions in the years 1945 to 1946’?

A

Yalta

Point 1 – agreements made at Yalta were later broken, thus exacerbating the tensions between powers

Evidence 1 - In Feb 1945 at the Yalta Conference, Stalin agreed to allow free elections in Poland. However, by August 1945 Stalin refused to allow free elections despite his commitment at the conference.

Analyse 1 - Therefore, this heightened tensions because he did not follow through with his promise and his actions were perceived by the West as a violation of the principles of self-determination and democracy (Declaration of Liberated Europe), which the Western Allies believed were essential for the post-war world.

Counter Argue - This was not as much the contribution of Yalta however, but instead the ideological rationale behind Stalin which would’ve caused this action irrespective of a conference.

Evidence 2 - Roosevelt actually got on well with Stalin at Yalta and it could be argued that it was Truman’s
personality and actions which caused tensions at Potsdam

Potsdam

Point 1 – Truman’s hostility to Stalin set the tone of future relations.

Evidence 1 – 12th April 1945, Roosevelt who had good relations with Stalin, died and was replaced by his VP Harry Truman. Truman hated communism and the whole idea of working closely with the Soviets, in 1941 he asserted that if ‘Russia is winning the war we ought to help Germany, and in that way we let them kill as many of each other as possible’. Furthermore, the US dropped the atom bomb 4 days before the end of the conference but didn’t inform the Grand Alliance.

Analyse 1 – Naturally, as Truman’s fervent anti-communist sentiment was well known, Stalin did not like him thus tensions were increased at this Potsdam Conference. This tension was exaggerated through Truman’s secrecy, he was using the bomb as a weapon which he could use for diplomatic leverage to force Stalin to follow his agreements at the conference. Stalin recognised this as was infuriated at Truman’s failure to inform him of the bomb, and this also precipitated tensions in the long term as Stalin ordered his own nuclear weapons program, which ultimately led to the development of their own atomic bomb in 1949.

Point 2 – USSR reparations + Germany agreement undermined

Evidence 2 – At Potsdam it was agreed that Germany was to become a single economic unit with common policies on finance, and that USSR could take reparations from its own zone and 25% from Western zones. By 3rd May 1946, in an effort to force the Soviets to treat Germany as a whole political and economic unit as agreed, stopped reparation payments from the US zone in Germany until a plan was agreed for imports and exports in Germany.

Analyse 2 – Significant in heightening tensions as the Soviets were causing tensions as the US felt that their agreement for a single unit was being undermined, and from a Soviet perspective they saw this as a strategy to restore the German economy based on a capitalist system which would neutralise the growing popularity of communism in the region.

Ideology

Evidence 1 - In 1946 Romania was occupied by the Soviet army of liberation who pressured the Socialist Party in March to amalgamate with the communists which caused Romania to fall under communist control, in Bulgaria the strongest opposition to the communist party the Agrarian Party won 20% of the popular vote legitimately, its leader executed under trumped up charges in October 1946 and the party absorbed into communist movement.

Analyse 1 – This was because Stalin’s desire to safeguard the communist ideology and USSR security by establishing a monolithic bloc of communist states. This was significant in causing an increase in tensions as the West saw this as an example of communist aggression and expansionism. Stalin would’ve done this regardless of the conferences, to maintain security for the USSR and spread Soviet influence/

Evidence 2- The USA was determined to keep markets open and prevent another economic crash; to this end, they set up the Bretton Woods System in 1946 which fixed the value of the U.S. dollar to gold, and other currencies were then fixed to the dollar.

Analyse 2 - This contributed to the development of two separate and competing economic blocs: the capitalist West, and the communist East, which helped to fuel the ideological and political tensions that characterized the Cold War. As both the USA and USSR were trying to promote their economic systems on an international scale, this threatened the support of communism thus tensions rose.

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5
Q

‘Khrushchev’s policies in the years 1955 to 1961 ensured that there was no Cold War confrontation in Europe’

A

Agree

Evidence / Counter Argue 1 – Whilst it could be argued that Khrushchev’s November 1958 Ultimatum which gave the Western Powers six months to agree to withdraw from Berlin and make it a free, demilitarized city was a cause of great confrontation, this was only in the short term. In February 1959 he withdrew it.

Analyse 1 – This is significant as it showed that Khrushchev was not prepared to risk confrontation over Berlin and backed down from implementing his ultimatum that the West should leave. - It could be argued the building of the Berlin Wall in 1961 ended any possible military confrontation over Berlin as the Soviet Union was able to establish a physical barrier that prevented direct contact between the two sides and reduced the possibility of escalation. The wall effectively froze the conflict over Berlin, as neither side was willing to risk a direct military confrontation over the city hence it was reluctantly accepted.

Evidence 2 – Austrian State Treaty 1955 - Austria was a country with valuable natural resources which the USSR was using for economic aid for post-war reconstruction, similar to Germany, this was split in occupation zones between the powers. Despite Khrushchev wanting it in Soviet sphere of influence, he embarked in negotiations in May 1955 which led to all powers agreeing to withdraw leaving Austria as a neutral state.

Analyse 2 – Significant as they had successfully averted confrontation, showed serious intent towards mutual cooperation but also avoided potential major conflict. Furthermore, it showed some hope for Germany, as it too could perhaps be resolved in a similar nature.

Evidence 3 – Geneva Summit July 1955– Came under Khrushchev’s new policy of ‘Peaceful Coexistence’ to engage in greater diplomacy. The two sides were also unable to reach agreements on disarmament and nuclear weapons testing but it opened the way for exchange of some scientific information, as well as cultural and trade exchanges.

Analyse 3 – More significantly, this represented an important attempt by the leaders of the United States and the Soviet Union to engage in dialogue and find ways to reduce tensions between the two superpowers which was a step in the direction of less confrontation.

Disagree

Evidence 1- Soviet lie about nuclear capability at the 20th Congress of the Communist Party of the Soviet Union in 1956 he asserted that the Soviet Union had successfully tested an intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM) capable of reaching the United States, this was a lie as it was only until August 1957 when they got the ICBM.

Analyse 1 – This is significant in causing confrontation as not only was it a looming threat over USA, but this threat also caused increased U2 plane surveillance which culminated in one being shot down on, 1 May 1960, by the Soviet Air Defence Forces while conducting photographic aerial reconnaissance deep inside Soviet territory which caused Paris Summit to end day after it started thus heightening tension.

Evidence 2 – Hungarian Uprising 1956- communist regime under risk of being undermined by demonstrators, by 3rd November 4000 Soviet tanks surrounded Budapest, 4000 citizens killed, 200,000 in exile. USSR control reestablished.

Analyse 2- Significant in causing confrontation as the USSR had intervened with force despite dangers that the West might intervene causing a war.

Counter Argue – However, the lack of intervention by the West confirmed that they had accepted this as a defensive measure as it was in USSR’s sphere of influence, Eastern Europe, furthermore the rising was merely a debated issue for the United Nations. Therefore, this could be argued to have been an approach measured by Khrushchev knowing it wouldn’t have caused confrontation.

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6
Q

‘Developments in Hungary and Berlin made no difference to superpower relations in the years 1956 to 1961’ Assess the validity of this view.

A

Agree

Evidence 1 – Hungarian Uprising 1956- communist regime under risk of being undermined by demonstrators, by 3rd November 4000 Soviet tanks surrounded Budapest, 4000 citizens killed, 200,000 in exile. USSR control reestablished.

Analyse 2- Significant in causing confrontation as the USSR had intervened with force despite dangers that the West might intervene causing a war.

Counter Argue – However, the lack of intervention by the West confirmed that they had accepted this as a defensive measure as it was in USSR’s sphere of influence, Eastern Europe, furthermore the rising was merely a debated issue for the United Nations. Therefore, this could be argued to have been an approach measured by Khrushchev knowing it wouldn’t have caused confrontation.

Evidence2 – Hungarian Uprising 1956 –* there was no significant change to the direction of US/USSR relations following the Hungarian uprising; although relations cooled for the next few months and discussions on arms control were put on hold, by 1957 plans were in place for a new summit so peaceful coexistence not derailed by these events.
Evidence 3 - there was no direct conflict over Berlin. Despite the Wall, tensions that had developed after 1958
continued due to events in Cuba and the arms race.

Disagree

Evidence 1 - Evidence / Counter Argue 1 – Whilst it could be argued that Khrushchev’s November 1958 Ultimatum which gave the Western Powers six months to agree to withdraw from Berlin and make it a free, demilitarized city was a cause of great confrontation, this was only in the short term. In February 1959 he withdrew it.

Analyse 1 – This is significant as it showed that Khrushchev was not prepared to risk confrontation over Berlin and backed down from implementing his ultimatum that the West should leave.

Evidence 2- Berlin Wall built in 1961 which was a physical barrier that divided the city of Berlin and prevented its citizens from defecting to the West.

Analyse 2– Significant as it ultimately changed superpower tensions from Europe as it ended any possible military confrontation over Berlin as the Soviet Union was able to establish a physical barrier that prevented direct contact between the two sides and reduced the possibility of escalation. The wall effectively froze the conflict over Berlin, as neither side was willing to risk a direct military confrontation over the city hence it was reluctantly accepted. So the Cold War tensions shifted to Asia and Cuba.

Evidence 3 - in fact the clarity regarding US actions towards the Soviet sphere of influence – that it now accepted the post-war status quo – was significant, it highlighted the limits of US-USSR confrontation due to nuclear weapons. The risk of nuclear war was too great and the concept of MAD would come to influence superpower relations.

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7
Q

‘How effective was the nuclear arms race in restraining the aggression of the superpowers in the years 1955 to 1963?’

A

Effective

Point 1 – Head to head confrontations were avoided because of the threat of nuclear war

Evidence 1 - Whilst it could be argued that Khrushchev’s November 1958 Ultimatum which gave the Western Powers six months to agree to withdraw from Berlin and make it a free, demilitarized city was a cause of great confrontation, this was only in the short term. In February 1959 he withdrew it.

Analyse 1 - highlighted the limits of US-USSR confrontation due to nuclear weapons. The risk of nuclear war was too great and the concept of MAD would come to influence superpower relations.

Evidence 2 – Similarly, Cuba was de-escalated as evidenced by the diplomatic message sent by Khrushchev on the 26th October 1962, where he proposed a non-invasion pledge to USA in return for Soviet Union removing its military presence on Cuba. This led to the de-escalation of the conflict and the creation of a ‘hot line’ to facilitate communication in such an event in the future.

Analyse 2 – Nuclear arms significant as Khrushchev was motivated by a desire to avoid a catastrophic war, both powers recognised their capability to destroy each other completely, thus they were eager to seek a diplomatic end as opposed to continued combat.

Point 2 – both sides remained out of each other’s spheres of influence to avoid nuclear conflict

Evidence 2 - Hungarian Uprising 1956- communist regime under risk of being undermined by demonstrators, by 3rd November 4000 Soviet tanks surrounded Budapest, within eastern Europe Soviet sphere, west didn’t respond

Analyse 2 - However, the lack of intervention by the West confirmed that they had accepted this as a defensive measure as it was in USSR’s sphere of influence, Eastern Europe, furthermore the rising was merely a debated issue for the United Nations. Therefore, as Soviets had nukes since August 1949, this could be argued to have been an approach to avoid nuclear confrontation as they were aware of the consequences.

Evidence 3 - following the Cuban Missile Crisis, there was an understanding that MAD meant that nuclear weapons could not be used and there was increased cooperation in reducing dangers of nuclear war, e.g. establishment of the hotline and Moscow test ban treaty 1963
Analyse 3 - beginning to end of Cold War.

Ineffective

Evidence 1 – Vienna Conference 1961 – characterized by lack of agreement on key issues, nuclear testing being one of them. Kennedy felt that Khrushchev was trying to intimidate him, it was their first time meeting and they were already at odds. Furthermore, Khrushchev threatened to sign a peace treaty with GDR.

Analyse 1 – This threat is significant as the USA didn’t recognise the GDR as an independent state, they feared that a separate peace treaty between the Soviet Union and East Germany would further cement the division of Germany and weaken the position of the US and its allies in Europe + give East greater international recognition and legitimacy. Thus this was an aggressive threat.

Evidence 2- Whilst it did avert Cuba catastrophe in the long term, it did not slow the reckless actions throughout its course. ; Khrushchev was prepared to threaten war over Cuba by placing missiles close to the US in 1962.

Analysis 2 – Khrushchev did this to close the missile gap: the Soviet leader, Khrushchev, knew the USA had medium and long-range nuclear missiles aimed at the USSR from bases in Turkey, just on the USSR’s ‘doorstep’. In return, he places missiles in the US’ ‘back yard’. Furthermore, Khrushchev wanted to demonstrate support for the communist ally of Cuba which was the immediate cause of placing missiles to maintain its security, this could’ve been done by deploying a protective force of conventional forces thus despite risk of MAD Khrushchev still was aggressive in policymaking.

Evidence 3 – both sides used aggression directly during this period; the USA intervened in Cuba in the
Bay of Pigs, for example, and Khrushchev used force to put down the Hungarian uprising.
Analyse 3 - the superpowers pursued aggressive policies regardless of the dangers of a nuclear showdown.

(nuclear buildup on either side continued)

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8
Q

‘Throughout the years 1955 to 1961, the question of Berlin was only a minor cause of East-West tensions’ Assess Validity.

A

Agree

Evidence 1 – Khrushchev’s November 1958 Ultimatum which gave the Western Powers six months to agree to withdraw from Berlin and make it a free, demilitarized city was a cause of great confrontation, this was only in the short term. In February 1959 he withdrew it.

Analysis 1- Both powers had atomic weapons, so the concept of M.A.D was very real, Khrushchev clearly felt that Berlin was not big enough of an issue to risk such a catastrophe.

Evidence 2 - Berlin Wall built on 13th August 1961 which was a physical barrier that divided the city of Berlin and prevented its citizens from defecting to the West.

Analyse 2– Significant as it ultimately changed superpower tensions from Europe as it ended any possible military confrontation over Berlin as the Soviet Union was able to establish a physical barrier that prevented direct contact between the two sides and reduced the possibility of escalation. The wall effectively froze the conflict over Berlin, as neither side was willing to risk a direct military confrontation over the city hence it was reluctantly accepted. So the Cold War tensions shifted to Asia and Cuba.

Analyis 2 extension - 1961 lack of physical response to the Berlin Wall demonstrated an acceptance of status quo from West.

Disagree

Evidence 1 – Checkpoint Charlie - From the 27th to the 28th of October 1961 Soviet and USA tanks had a stand off, both groups of tanks were loaded with live munitions awaiting orders to fire.
Analysis 1 - the incident heightened tensions and increased the risk of military conflict between the two sides. The event also demonstrated the potential for dangerous escalation.
Counter Argue 1 - However, it was solved diplomatically, moreover US Secretary of State Dean Rusk conveyed to General Lucius Clay, the US commanding officer in Berlin, that it has been long decided that Berlin isn’t of vital importance warranting use of force,

Evidence 2 – Vienna Summit 1961 – key issue was Berlin, Khrushchev Soviet Premier Nikita Khrushchev reissued the 1958 Soviet ultimatum to sign a separate peace treaty with East Germany and thus end the agreement guaranteeing American rights to access West Berlin.

Evidence 3-

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9
Q

‘Relations between Khrushchev and Kennedy were marked more by co-operation than by confrontation’

A

Agree

Evidence 2 – October 1962, Kennedy agreed to remove missiles in Turkey in return for Khrushchev removal of missiles in Cuba. Significant as it demonstrates co-operation through diplomacy, instead of escalation of the CMC they sought a compromise…’

Evidence 3 – Furthermore, following the Cuban Missile Crisis the Moscow Test Ban Treaty (October 1963) was released which banned the testing of nuclear weapons everywhere other than underground. Whilst there was no obligation to sign up, and weapons could still be tested underground, it showed an element of cooperation and a growing awareness of the need to create some control over the nuclear arms.

Evidence 4 - Khrushchev had already shown himself to be interested in ‘peaceful co-existence’ – for example in negotiating the Austrian State Treaty agreement of 1955. Right up to 1963 he was regularly criticised from within the Soviet regime for being too ‘soft’ towards the West

Disagree

Evidence 1 – Vienna Conference 1961 - First time meeting between Kennedy and Khrushchev, Khrushchev viewed him as an immature politician, Kennedy felt as if Khrushchev was trying to bully him. Significant as it shows how at their first meeting they were already at odds, confrontational.

Evidence 2 – Bay of Pigs fiasco, inflamed East-West tensions, l

Evidence 3 –1961 Construction of Berlin wall caused tension, US denounced it as an illegal act on the 17th August 1961 in a diplomatic note to Soviet government, Soviets responded by stating that it was a defensive measure to limit subversive activity against GDR. October 1961 Checkpoint Charlie incident

Counter argue - (analyse – little West response, thus acceptance of wall, and Kennedy saw this as a better alternative to war (explain how it reduced chance of waR)

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10
Q

‘US policies in Asia, in the years 1953 to 1959, were successful’ Assess the validity of this view.

A

Agree

Evidence 1 – Brinksmanship policy – Taiwan Straits Crisis 1954- following fall of China, communist forces tried to attack exiled nationalists in Taiwan to reinforce communist rule in China. Continuation of US support for nationalists, US government sanctioned the Formosa Resolution in 1955 which allowed US nuclear bomb usage.

Analyse 1 – This caused the US to employ the policy of brinksmanship, they threatened the CPP to withdraw or they will use nuclear strikes on China. This was a success as it caused the communist forces to retreat, communism was contained from Taiwan. This is also significant for it demonstrates the success of the new weapon of containment, brinksmanship, which was introduced in the 1954 ‘New Look’ policy under Dulles thus a bright future was ahead for containment in Asia.

Evidence 2 – Containment Policy - Korean Armistice 1953, served as the military ceasefire necessary to afford negotiating space for a final, diplomatic peace agreement - kept South Korea as an independent country.

Counter Argue – It cost $67 billion and a commitment of 2 million conventional forces by US, so was it successful if it only kept communism at same level pre-war?

Nevertheless - As the US aim was to contain communism in Korea outside of the South, they were successful.

Evidence 3 - In response to closer Sino-Soviet relations, Dulles established SEATO (1954) which strengthened the means for collective defence in Asia.

Analysis 3 - Significant as SEATO became a deterrent to communist aggression in the region because of collective defence, and it provided a platform for the United States to establish closer diplomatic ties with Southeast Asian nations, paving the way for increased economic and cooperation between the United States and the region.

ultimately the Domino Theory was upheld – no Asian state fell to communism

Disagree

Evidence 1- 1954 Dien Bien Phu – policy of providing economic aid to combat communism – they were funding 75% of the conflict between French and Vietnamese communist nationalists, despite this they couldn’t defeat the communist forces – failure.

Analyse 1 - This caused the April 1954 Geneva Conference, Vietnam would be temporarily divided at the 17th parallel. Great failure for US as it allowed communism to survive in the Northern half, and entangled the US in Vietnam which would be a humiliating affair for USA in the long term.

Evidence 2- Eisenhower’s policy of supporting Diem from 1955 in the newly created South Vietnam proved catastrophic, Diem’s government was plagued by corruption, nepotism. Diem’s land reform policies, which aimed to redistribute land to farmers, were unpopular among the wealthy landowners and elites who were largely supportive of Diem as it limited the amount of land they could own to 100 hectares. Very oppressive, marginalized Buddhist population.

Evidence 2 – Eisenhower’s policy of supporting Diem ironically caused the growth of communism as the stated reasons led to the alienation of the South Vietnamese people who turned to the communist Vietcong and North for support.
Analysis 2 - Long term disaster as it would lay the foundations for future
American involvement in what was to become the quagmire of Vietnam.

Evidence 3 - the whole policy of containment in Asia – underpinned by Eisenhower’s Domino Theory – was flawed in that the US confused Soviet imperialism with local nationalist movements seeking independence.

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11
Q

‘The failure to contain communism in South Vietnam by 1963 was the result of Kennedy’s policies’

A

Agree – Kennedy

Evidence 1 – Strategic Hamlet Policy 1962 - Vietnamese peasants were removed from their villages and made to live in defended strategic hamlets in loyal areas.

Analyse 1 – Ineffective as similar to the French activity in the region, this turned the people against USA thus prompting them to join the NLF, despite the hamlets NLF grew to over 17,000 members which was a 300% increase over two years, therefore this strategy failed thus as communism continued to spread.

Counter Argue – However, it should be noted that this US policy was an urgent attempt to mitigate damages caused by Diem’s unpopularity, therefore it could be argued that Diem was the root of this issue.

Evidence 2 – Kennedy administration authorised the November 1963 coup to remove Diem, this was a success resulting in Diem fleeing and later being assassinated.

Analyse 2 – This was aimed that a new government would take his place which would be more effective in fighting the communist insurgency in the country, however, this coup undermined the US aim, causing political instability which actually weakened the string of South Vietnamese government’s that would come in combatting communism. Thus US removal of Diem contributed towards failure to contain communism under Kennedy.

Disagree - Diem

Evidence 1- Diem persecution of Buddhists, gave Catholics tax concessions, land, and arms, whilst Buddhists were rejected these things unless they culminated. This mistreatment culminated in the Buddhist Crisis May-November 1963, this was characterised by repressive acts, Buddhists shot to death, crowds fired at, Buddhists self-immolating in protest.

Analyse 1 - This was a complete failure on Diem’s part as South Vietnam was a Buddhist majority, c80% Buddhist, but Diem alienated that which was a great mistake as they turned to the NLF out of resentment. This made the containment of communism an exceptionally difficult task as in order to secure this the support of the people was required, thus he undermined the prospect of containment.

Evidence 2- December 1961, Kennedy formally announces that the United States will increase aid to South Vietnam, in return for this Kennedy expected Diem to liberalize his regime and institute land reform and other measures to win the support of his people. Diem took the money, but spent very little on his people, instead pocketing a lot for himself and his government.

Analyse 2 – When compared to Kennedy, this is significant as it demonstrates a difference in intentions, Kennedy to improve conditions of South to facilitate containment of communism whilst Diem was focused primarily on himself as opposed to his state. Therefore, it was Diem’s corruption and lack of care for South Vietnam that led to the failure to contain communism by 1963.

ANOTEHR FACTOR NEEDED

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12
Q

‘The main reason Kennedy increased US involvement in Vietnam was due to his desire to prove himself to the American public’

A

Desire to Prove Himself:

Evidence 1- Bay of Pigs 1961 fiasco, prompted US public hysteria, this heightened opposition against Kennedy as he was the President behind it, hence Vietnam was an opportunity to prove himself to the public.

Evidence 2 – In Kennedy’s 1960 Presidential Campaign, Kennedy marketed himself as a Democrat who was tougher on communism than the Republicans were, promised to be tough on communism and for the US to take a more active role in the world in promoting stability I.e ousting communism.

Analysis 2 – Kennedy therefore was duty bound to uphold this promise, Vietnam was a war over the containment of communism from South Vietnam therefore this fueled his desire. Furthermore, prior to becoming president he already had fixed ideas on Vietnam, his catholic family loathed Communism which reinforced his determination to uphold this promise.

Communist Expansion:

Evidence 1- NLF in South presence resulted in Kennedy increasing military advisors, 2000 in 1961 to 16,000 in 1963.

Analyse 1 – This was significant because it was the fear of communist activity in the South that led to Kennedy making a greater commitment to Vietnam. Similarly, in 1962 the Strategic Hamlet Scheme was released which forced peasants in fortified villages that were meant to be sheltered from communist infiltration. This ironically led to an influx of support for communism, as the people were alienated and resented US for forcibly moving them. This caused greater instability in the South and thus greater US involvement.

Domino Theory:

Evidence 1 – There was a continuation of Eisenhower’s policy as by 1962 Kennedy was a strong believer in the domino theory, the idea that communist control of South Viernam would expose the states of Indonesia and Malaysia to communist influence. This would cause South-East Asia to fall to communism and the US would have to forfeit overseas bases.

Analyse 1- The geographical importance of Vietnam was never questioned by Kennedy, therefore, this reason was a driver behind his motive for getting involved in Vietnam so he could ensure its security.

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13
Q

‘The USA was more responsible than the USSR for the crisis over Cuba in the years 1961 to 1962’ Assess the validity of this view.

A

Agree

Evidence 1 – Bay of Pigs fiasco - Kennedy (inherited plan from Eisenhower) authorises Operation Mongoose on the 30th of November 1961, which aimed to use covert operations to destabilise Castro’s regime and promote an internal revolt. 1500 anti-Castro exiles landed at the Bay of Pigs, unmitigated disaster and US humiliation.

Analysis 1 - proved that USA were trying to overthrow Castro, which they knew undermined Khrushchev’s aim to secure Castro’s regime, therefore Khrushchev’s further actions were ‘defensive’, could be argued US therefore more responsible.

Evidence 2- The Soviet Defence Minister Malinovsky asserted that Cuba wouldn’t last for more than a week in the face of a US attack, this led to Khrushchev deploying the missiles in an effort to secure Castro’s regime.

Analysis 2 - Could be argued that the US over-reacted to the missiles and also failed to fully understand Soviet aims; they did not understand that the Soviets were putting the missiles there for defensive purposes. Furthermore the US had missiles in Turkey so the odds of USSR shooting missiles were low as it would’ve been suicidal, and it can be argued that the USSR was only trying to achieve some balance with the US by putting missiles on Cuba.

Evidence 3 – October 22nd 1962 Kennedy made a TV broadcast to the American people asserting that America would not stop short of military action to end what he called a “provocative threat to world peace.”

Analysis 3 - ; it can be argued that this was unnecessary as the crisis could have been solved diplomatically behind closed doors, this broadcast was signficant as during the next six days, the crisis escalated to a breaking point as the world tottered on the brink of nuclear war between the two superpowers increasing the tension.

Counter Argue 3 -That being said, secrecy behind crisis could have led to increased hysteria once found out.

Disagree

Evidence 1 – Despite missiles being an act of security, Khrushchev was directly challenging the US by putting missiles in their own ‘backyard’.

Evidence 2 – Could be argued that Khrushchev was looking for a personal victory over Kennedy after Berlin – furthermore, this is simple too great a risk in light of M.A.D

Evidence 3 - Khrushchev misunderstood the US mentality which would not tolerate missiles so close to American shores; he also misunderstood the US political system – no US President could survive
an election if they allowed this to happen

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14
Q

‘The main reason why the United States entered the Korean War was in order to defend South Korea’ Assess the validity of this view.

A

Defend South Korea:

Evidence 1 – USA wanted to protect South Korea as it had been supported by the United States since 1945, therefore, Truman called for the United Nations’ help which was a crucial test of the UN’s ability to respond to aggression and maintain international peace and security which North Korea were held to have violated. After this authorisation, US troops were deployed in Korea June 27, 1950.

Analysis 1 – This removed the possibility of the USA appearing to be unilaterally implementing containment on a global scale. Intervention under the guise of UN action removed US responsibility and enabled a coordinated international response to help protect South Korea who USA had promised to protect. Truman also saw this as a perfect opportunity to practice collective security since it failed against Hitler. Therefore, the US aim of bringing UN into South Korean conflict was aimed at the protection of South Korea.

Evidence 2 – the US wanted to protect the South from Communism which they considered to be an unacceptable ideology and against the ideals and freedoms of democracy which they had wanted to establish in South Korea. Kim Il Sung was a communist leader who had spent time in USSR where he could’ve been potentially groomed as a leader of post-war Korea, he wanted to unite Korea under communism and in March 1949 he asked Stalin to support him in an invasion of South Korea.

Counter Argue- Whilst this clearly threatened the US aims for a democratic south, South Korea ultimately failed to come under the January 12th 1950 ‘Perimeter Speech’. This outlined the exclusion of South Korea from a U.S.“defense perimeter” that runs from Japan to the Philippines, those within the perimeter were guaranteed US military protection. This indicates that despite US’ commitment to South Korea, this was more in honor than practice as they didn’t consider South Korea alone as a complete necessity to US interest at this time.

Protect Rest of Asia

Evidence 1 – belief that fall of Korea = Fall of Japan – June 1950 several of Truman’s leading advisors emphasised that communist control of South Korean airbases would jeopardise Japan’s security as it was only 100 miles away, ‘a dagger pointed at the heart of Japan’. Furthermore, May 1951 Dean Acheson took the view that North Korea’s purpose was to destabilise Japan and South East Asia.

Analyse 1 – Japan was considered the most important Asian country in regard to US national security, it was the key to the balance of power in the region and enabled the US to establish a foothold through military bases in Japan which could be used to deploy troops to fight for the containment of communism. Therefore, this fear certainly contributed to the US

Evidence 2 - the US’s main concern was to stop the expansion of Communism in Asia; they believed that if South Korea fell to Communism, that the rest of Asia would also fall to Communism (articulated by Eisenhower as the domino theory in 1954)

Domestic Pressure:

Evidence 1- McCarthyism – helped promote a shift of US policy away from a Eurocentric focus and towards the ‘Asia first’ standpoint following the loss of China in 1949. He contended that containment had already consolidated the West’s position in Europe, but Asia was less secure.

Evidence 2 - the USA was already worried about China having gone Communist in 1949; the Democrats were accused by Republicans of having ‘lost China’ and so Truman had to take action in Korea so that he would not be seen as ‘soft on Communism’. The USA was already changing its policy with regard to Japan to ensure that it acted as a bulwark to spread of communism such as the 1951 bilateral security treaty.

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15
Q

‘To what extent did nuclear agreements reduce the threat of Nuclear War 1963 – 1968’?

A

Evidence 1 – Moscow Test Ban Treaty – August 1963 – representatives of the nuclear powers pledged themselves for an ‘unlimited duration’ to conduct no more tests under water, in the atmosphere, or in outer space.

Analyse 1 – This is signficant asit demonstrated that the signatories understood the dangers of nuclear technology and were willing to limit their usage.

Counter Argue – However, the ban still allowed underground testing, something which could be easily concealed through the guise of earthquakes in light of the no inspection policy, and it didn’t reduce the nuclear stockpiles, halt the production of nuclear weapons, or restrict their time in use of war.

Nevertheless – The principle of not imposing on-site inspections was very significant as it removed the crucial restraint which would otherwise have prevented the treaty from being agreed to, and it also demonstrated trust between one another which eased tension between powers. Furthermore, by 1963 the USA and USSR had satellite technology which could be used to confirm the stopped testing, so there wasn’t a great risk of the nuclear powers deceiving eachother. Furthermore, whilst it was not completely effective in its practical outcomes, its ultimate significance in reducing the threat of nuclear war was that it became the foundation for other nuclear treaties to be formed in the future which were key reducing the threat of nuclear war. The Test Ban treaty was the first collective agreement on nuclear limitations, it demonstrated that steps could be made in the right direction and this caused the Non-proliferation treaty in 1968, 5 years later.

Evidence 2 - Nuclear Non-proliferation Treaty 1968, between 1965-68, all signatories agreed that they would not share information to other countries on how to make nuclear weapons, or supply other nations with nuclear weapons.

Analyse 2 – This is significant as the purpose of this was to alleviate the threat of nuclear war, and more importantly it meant that non-nuclear states would never be able to establish nuclear arsenals through alliances with nuclear nations. This was a fear that drove the creation of this Treaty, for example if countries with volatile border disputes became capable of attacking with nuclear weapons, then the odds of a nuclear war would greatly rise which would have global repurcussions.

Evidence 3 - the National Security Council’s Net Evaluation Subcommittee in 1963 agreed that neither the USA or
the USSR could emerge from a nuclear conflict without severe damage and high casualties,
estimated at a combined 93 million casualties. Both Khrushchev and Kennedy, therefore,
acknowledged that the avoidance of nuclear war was crucial – through reducing the spread of nuclear
technology and limiting the number of weapons

Lesser Extent

Evidence 1 – Both of the agreements from 1963 – 1968 were rejected by France and China. France and China continued to test nuclear weapons until 1990 and 1996 respectively as they didn’t have nuclear bombs. Furthermore, France and China didn’t sign the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty until 1992.

Analyse 1 – This meant that the threat of nuclear war was looming as they were still developing weapons, but it could be counter argued that as China and France had agreed privately to conform, there wasn’t a real risk of nuclear war as there was an understanding between the great powers.

Evidence 2 – Whilst the non-proliferation treaty in July 1968 didn’t allow the nuclear states assisting others with how to make nuclear weapons, it still allowed development of nuclear power.

Analyse 2 – The waste of this power could be easily converted into nuclear weapons, and this waste had the potential to fall in the wrong hands, especially in the developing nations that suffered from terrorist organisations so the threat of nuclear war still lingered.

Evidence 3 – • the USSR continued to aim for nuclear parity with the USA through the development of ABM’s which
made the concept of MAD completely ineffective; similarly, the USA continued to develop defensive
nuclear technology such as MIRVs, ICBMs and SLBMs. This does not suggest a common goal of
reducing the threat of nuclear war

However, whilst there was a looming threat, the threat between the great powers such as USA, USSR, UK was greatly reduced. They had the greatest nuclear arsenal and thus posed the biggest threat to causing nuclear war, so nuclear agreements were effective to a large extent.

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16
Q

‘How important was the Marshall Plan to the growth of Cold War tensions by 1949?’

A

Marshall Plan

Topic sentence – significant as Stalin’s reactions were perceived by the West as aggressive which led to growing Cold War tensions.

Evidence 1 – In 1947 Stalin ordered Czechoslovakia and other Eastern European states who expressed an interest in Marshal Aid to reverse their decisions.(prompted hostile Soviet response)

Analysis 1 - The Marshall Plan in 1947 can be argued to have been intended to bring the Eastern States closer to Western Europe as Marshall Aid would result in these states integrated their economies with Western Europe, thus drawing them closer to Western democracy. This failed as the plan actually accelerated the division of Europe and further undermined the possibility of international relationsbeing based on some degree of cooperation as Stalin considered this as an assault on his Eastern sphere of influence, thus tensions grew.90

Evidence 2 - Post-war economic stagnation in Europe led to US fear that communist regimes could be democratically elected by despairing populations, by 1947 French Communist Party numbered 1.7 million, thus Marshall plan designed to reduce this possibility.

Analyse 2 – This was significant in growth of tensions as it caused Stalin to create COMINFORM and COMECON in 1947 and 1949 respectively, which aimed to support communist states politically and economically, and further divided Europe into a capitalist and communist bloc.

Kennan Long Telegram + Iron Curtain Speech

Evidence 1- Long Telegram 22nd February 1946, argued that USSR was inherently aggressive and expansionist, therefore, it argued that US policy should take a more pro-active role in Europe, Kennan added to this in his ‘X’ Article which suggested a systematic and controlled containment of communism.

Analyse 1- This caused growth of tensions as it founded the basis for the containment policy that would heighten tensions between the powers for the next few decades, also Soviets retaliated by releasing the ‘Novikov Telegram’ in September 1946 which accused the USA had emerged from World War Two economically strong and bent on world domination, therefore, USSR needed to strengthen its Eastern European buffer zone.

Analyse 1 summary - These two telegrams set the scene for the Cold War in Europe. The USSR would attempt to dominate Eastern Europe and spread communism where possible. The USA would commit to a policy of containment over the next few decades, spilling into Asia as seen with Chinese Nationalist Support 1949.

Evidence 2 –Iron Curtain speech March 6th 1946, perhaps influenced by Long Telegram, advocated USA and Britain countering of Soviet expansionism.

Analysis 2 – caused Stalin stated that this was a deliberately provocative message, accusing Churchill of being a warmonger to in the Pravda 16th March 1946, whilst also justifying Soviet actions as peaceful defensive measures. This is significant as it emphasises the conflict between the two, interpreting each others’ actions differently.

Soviet Expansion into Eastern Europe

Evidence 1 – In Feb 1945 at the Yalta Conference, Stalin agreed to allow free elections in Poland.

Analysis 1 – Whilst Stalin appeared to be compromising to strengthen East-West relations here through his creation of political conditions containing parties from either end of the political spectrum and multi-party elections, he had tactics to ensure that the result he wanted would eventually emerge. The parties that rivalled the communists were weakened such as the Peasant Party which was weakened through communists strengthening their relations with the Polish socialists. However, Stalin went as far as removing anti-communist Poles who were in power, by 1948 he removed Gomulka who was accused of ‘nationalist deviation’ and was replaced by Bierut a pro-Stalinist. Therefore, this heightened tensions because he did not follow through with his promise for true free elections.

Evidence 2 –

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17
Q

‘Truman shifted the focus of his containment policy from Europe to Asia after 1949 because of the establishment of communism in China’ Assess the validity

A

Para 1 – China

Evidence 1 – Loss of China – US backed KMT forced to retreat to Taiwan which marked the CPP - communist party – victory in China 1949

Analyse 1 - Significant as first state in Asia to fall to communism, caused alarm and gave rise to domino theory, if China could fall, so could surrounding states. This led to the creation of new US policy such as the Perimeter Speech in January 1950 which announced that the U.S. would focus its efforts on building a “perimeter of defense” around areas in Asia to protect the region from Communist aggression

Counter Argue - It could be argued that this didn’t have a large impact on the reason behind Truman’s shift of containment polciy as the Truman administration took the view that China would be isolatd from Soviet support and thus pose little threat to Us interests in the Far East. He did not consider the situation in Europe and Asia to be linked, however, after February 14th 1950 Treaty of Alliance between USSR and China, Truman’s focus started to shift towards Asia.

Evidence 2 – ‘loss of China’ triggered fundamental review of USA’s objectives, thus in April 1950 NSC-68 was released which made the rollback of global Communist expansion a high priority, whilst also precipitating a massive build-up of both conventional and nuclear arms.

Analyse 2 – It was clear that the containment policy alone would not suffice following loss of China, thus this allowed US to apply greater pressure on communism in similar instances, the developing Hydrogen bomb would assist in this.

Para 2 – Korea

Evidence 1 – Jun 27, 1950, Truman orders US intervention in Korean War to help South. – belief that fall of Korea = Fall of Japan – June 1950 several of Truman’s leading advisors emphasised that communist control of South Korean airbases would jeopardise Japan’s security as it was only 100 miles away, ‘a dagger pointed at the heart of Japan’. Furthermore, May 1951 Dean Acheson took the view that North Korea’s purpose was to destabilise Japan and South East Asia.

Analyse 1 – Japan was considered the most important Asian country in regard to US national security, it was the key to the balance of power in the region and enabled the US to establish a foothold through military bases in Japan which could be used to deploy troops to fight for the containment of communism. Therefore, this fear certainly contributed to the US shift of policy to military intervention

Evidence 2 – Over the course of this war, USA spent $67 billion and used 1.8 million USA conventional troops, therefore this great cost may have caused a commitment to uphold influence in region for such a cost

Para 3 – Domestic issues

Evidence 1- allowed rise of Senator Joe McCarthy - McCarthyism – helped promote a shift of US policy away from a Eurocentric focus and towards the ‘Asia first’ standpoint following the loss of China in 1949. He contended that containment had already consolidated the West’s position in Europe, but Asia was less secure.

Evidence 2 - the USA was already worried about China having gone Communist in 1949; the Democrats were accused by Republicans of having ‘lost China’ and so Truman had to take action in Korea so that he would not be seen as ‘soft on Communism’. The USA was already changing its policy with regard to Japan to ensure that it acted as a bulwark to spread of communism such as the 1951 bilateral security treaty.

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18
Q

‘McCarthyism had a significant impact on US foreign policy in the years 1950 to 1954’ Assess the validity of this view.

A

Agree

Evidence 1 - McCarthy put a lot of emphasis on the fact that China had been ‘lost’ in 1949 by the US;

Analysis 1 – This is significant as it put the US presidency under pressure not to ‘lose’ any other states to communism and so Taiwan, for example, needed to be protected. This could explain why Truman sent the U.S. Navy’s Seventh Fleet into the Taiwan Strait (June 1950) effectively putting Taiwan under American protection.

Evidence 2 - McCarthy promoted the idea of a communist global plot led by Moscow that threatened the US. His accusations of communist spies within the US, following the 1949 Alger Hiss trial, government also put pressure on Truman and Eisenhower to be ‘tough’ on communism, so foreign policy was to become harsher on communism.

Evidence 3 – helped promote a shift of US policy away from a Eurocentric focus and towards the ‘Asia first’ standpoint following the loss of China in 1949. He contended that containment had already consolidated the West’s position in Europe, but Asia was less secure.

Disagree

Evidence 1 - the US was already responding to the new global situation, as evidenced by drawing up NSC 68 and Acheson’s ‘perimeter speech’; - NSC-68 (April 1950) made the rollback of global Communist expansion a high priority, whilst also precipitating a massive build-up of both conventional and nuclear arms. Perimeter Speech (January 1950) - a U.S.“defense perimeter” that runs from Japan to the Philippines, those within the perimeter were guaranteed US military protection.

Analysis 1 - these were both done in 1950 before McCarthy’s ‘witch-hunts’ had gained momentum, they provided a foundation for the shift in foreign policy to Asia.

Evidence 2 – foreign policy could have shifted without McCarthy’s influence given the concerns raised by the Treaty of Friendship (Feb 1950) between the USSR and China and the invasion of South Korea by North Korea in 1950 which was supported by China.

Analyse 2 –. This led to the USA wanting to keep a strong military presence in Southeast Asia to ensure that China’s influence did
not spread further, meaning that US foreign policy changed as a result of increasing Chinese strength. i.e Japan suddenly became a crucial component of the USA’s quest to contain communism, by September 1951 the San Francisco Peace Treaty was signed between Japan and allied powers, and in return the US-Japan Security Treaty which allowed them to have unrestricted use of military bases in Japan. Therefore, it can be argued that the switch to ‘Asia first’ would have taken place without McCarthy.

Evidence 3- finally, McCarthy was widely discredited by 1954 after accusing army officers of being communist
sympathisers and therefore had lost his credibility – his influence on American foreign policy
diminished during this period and could be argued to be just a minor influence.

19
Q

Eisenhower’s New Look strategy marked a fundamental shift in US Cold War policy away from Truman’s approach’ Assess the validity of this view.

A

Agree

Evidence 1 – Roll Back + Massive Retaliation - the use of brinkmanship; using threats of massive retaliation as a tool of containment, e.g. Taiwan, Formosa Resolution 1955 gave President Eisenhower a mandate to take any necessary measures to protect Taiwan from a potential Chinese attack, threat of nuclear bombs included.

Analyse 1 – Unlike Truman who used many conventional forces such as the 1.8 million troops in the Korean War, and Seventh Fleet to defend Taiwan, Eisenhower had made it clear that he was to rely on threat of nuclear weaponry to achieve his Cold War aims.

Counter Argue – Closer Work with CIA - Truman founded the CIA in 1947, and used the CIA as a tool in the Cold War as evidenced in the 1948 General Election in Italy whereby the CIA gave $1 million to Italian centrist parties to oppose the Italian Communist Party. As Eisenhower also used the CIA under his Cold War policy, this could be considered a continuation.

Nevertheless / Evidence 2 - However, under Eisenhower the CIA became much more important in US Cold War Policy. John Dulles’ brother was Allen Dulles (the Head of the CIA), so naturally there was a closer relationship with the CIA as John Dulles was Eisenhower’s Secretary of State (chief foreign affairs advisor). He did this as it was a cheap way of overthrowing governments which were susceptible to Soviet Union control, this can be seen stretching from Iran in 1953 to Latin America in the 1954 Guatemalan coup d’état under Eisenhower.

Evidence 3 – During time of ‘New Look’ Eisenhower was more willing than Truman to meet Soviet leader at Summits – Truman only met the Soviet leader at the Potsdam Conference July August 1945 whereby they had a mutual disliking of one another, this shifted under Eisenhower as he Krushchev at Geneva 1955, and Camp David in USA 1959 when Khrushchev became the first Soviet leader to visit USA.

Analysis 3 – This is clearly a large shift in Cold War policy away from Truman’s approach, these meetings were aimed at solving issues that were causing Cold War tensions, whereas Truman took the hostile approach to relations

https://filestore.aqa.org.uk/sample-papers-and-mark-schemes/2019/june/AQA-70412R-W-MS-JUN19.PDF

Disagree

Evidence 1 – Eisenhower continued with the policy of containment in Europe and extended the concept of economic aid with the Eisenhower Doctrine 1957. Anyone fighting Communism was guaranteed US support, regardless of their geographical location

Evidence 2 – Continued to financially aid conflicts against communism, by 1954 the USA were funding 75% of the French’s conflict against the Vietnamese commies.

Evidence 3 - the establishment of alliances to contain and surround the Soviet Union continued. Support of 1949 NATO continued which was founded in 1949 under Truman administration – SEATO was set up in 1955 under Eisenhower which was similar as it was a collective defensive organisation akin to NATO, and in the context of the Cold War as it was focused on protecting Southeast Asia which was the current Cold War stage at the time.

20
Q

‘Peaceful Co-existence failed by 1961 because neither the East nor West was fully committed to it’. Assess the validity of this view.

A

Peaceful Coexistence = engaging the USA in diplomacy to diffuse tensions where possible, a means to consolidate Soviet international power and security by existing in a less volatile environment.

Failed Commitment -

Evidence / Counter Argue 1 – Whilst it could be argued that Khrushchev’s November 1958 Ultimatum which gave the Western Powers six months to agree to withdraw from Berlin and make it a free, demilitarized city was a cause of great confrontation, and thus a failed commitment to peaceful coexistence, this was only in the short term. In February 1959 he withdrew it.

Analyse 1 – This is significant as it showed that Khrushchev was not prepared to risk confrontation over Berlin and backed down from implementing his ultimatum that the West should leave. - It could be argued the building of the Berlin Wall in 1961 ended any possible military confrontation over Berlin as the Soviet Union was able to establish a physical barrier that prevented direct contact between the two sides and reduced the possibility of escalation. The wall effectively froze the conflict over Berlin, as neither side was willing to risk a direct military confrontation over the city hence it was reluctantly accepted.

Evidence 2 – Austrian State Treaty 1955 - Austria was a country with valuable natural resources which the USSR was using for economic aid for post-war reconstruction, similar to Germany, this was split in occupation zones between the powers. Despite Khrushchev wanting it in Soviet sphere of influence, he embarked in negotiations in May 1955 which led to all powers agreeing to withdraw leaving Austria as a neutral state.

Analyse 2 – Significant as they both USA and USSR successfully averted confrontation, showed serious intent towards mutual cooperation but also avoided potential major conflict. Furthermore, it showed some hope for Germany, as it too could perhaps be resolved in a similar nature.

Evidence 3 – Geneva Summit – Came under Khrushchev’s new policy of ‘Peaceful Coexistence’ to engage in greater diplomacy. The two sides were also unable to reach agreements on disarmament and nuclear weapons testing but it opened the way for exchange of some scientific information, as well as cultural and trade exchanges.

Analyse 3 – More significantly, this represented an important attempt by the leaders of the United States and the Soviet Union to engage in dialogue and find ways to reduce tensions between the two superpowers which was a step in the direction of less confrontation.

Therefore, there were clearly efforts on either side to engage with peaceful co-existence.

Impact of Arms/Space Race -

Very significant in interfering with the entire process of ‘peaceful coexistence’

Evidence 1- Soviet lie about nuclear capability at the 20th Congress of the Communist Party of the Soviet Union in 1956 he asserted that the Soviet Union had successfully tested an intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM) capable of reaching the United States, this was a lie as it was only until August 1957 when they got the ICBM.

Analyse 1 – This is significant in causing confrontation as not only was it a looming threat over USA, but this threat also caused increased U2 plane surveillance which culminated in one being shot down on, 1 May 1960, by the Soviet Air Defence Forces while conducting photographic aerial reconnaissance deep inside Soviet territory which caused Paris Summit to end day after it started thus heightening tension. Evidence 2 - This competition extended into space, by October 4th 1957 the USSR had launched the first Satellite to orbit the earth ‘Sputnik’.

Analyse 1 – This was not aimed at undermining commitment to peaceful coexistence, moreover it was just another contributor within the constant cycle of one-upmanship surrounding technology. It was the US’ reaction to this which made it so contentious, they believed that nuclear missiles could be launched from it which had no known defence, they were convinced that this was the USSR’s intention behind its creation.

Therefore, it was this competition between the United States and the Soviet Union to develop and stockpile nuclear weapons, that naturally proved to be a major obstacle to peaceful coexistence during the Cold War. They were not intending to undermine their efforts to make peace, but instead to ensure they wouldn’t fall behind the other technologically.

Conflicting personalities

21
Q

‘To what extent were US tactics responsible for Johnson’s failure to defeat the Communist forces in Vietnam in the years 1963 – 68?’

A

ML – US tactics mostly responsible

Topic sentence – US tactics were most responsible in years x because they alienated the people which undermined the US aim.

Point 1 – US aim was to establish a secure and stable state in South Vietnam but this required the hearts and minds of the people, the tactic of chemical warfare meant this could not happen.

Evidence 1 – From 1962 to 1971, Americans employed ‘Operation Ranch’ which destroyed over 5 million acres of vegetation in the South. (caused resentment, pushed south to Vietcong support, intended consequence of spray was causing health implications, from 1963-1968 abnormally high amount of cancer, congenital malformations at birth, etc. There contributed towards failure as it destroyed the South in the process etc

Point 2 – continuation of failed US tactics in search and destroy

Evidence 2 – 1965-68 search and destroy, sneaking into villages suspected of housing vietcong and destroying them, evacuate. The success of this was measured by body count, the higher the body count, the greater the effectiveness. (analysis) This is significant civilians were also killed but added to this body count so the inflated number misled the US on their progress. Furthermore , undermined Us aim to engage rural peasants as allied. Whilst it could be argue that these were effectibve in killing vietcong as from 65-68 thousands were killed, they ultimately pushed people away which was opposite of US main aim.

Factor conclude – therefore, as the US tactics made the aim of creating a stable state almost impossible to satisfy, greatest fail

Para 2 – Strength of Vietcong + North

Point 1 – Their fundamental commitment to ideology and nationalism.

Evidence 1 – The leading party in North Vietnam was the Communist Party, and the North Vietnamese Government was opposed to capitalism along with the Vietcong during the 1960s. This meant that their forces were bolstered by China and Russia, China supplied 80k guns in 1964, and a further 200k in 1968. Russians gave jet planes, surface-to-air missiles.

Analsye 1 – This dedication, mixed with their extremely patient resistance which was continuous through 1963-68, meant that the USA were becoming increasingly fatigued in the war. so this forced them to accept the gambit that was a drawn out conflict that destroyed the morale of the people, both in Vietnam and back home, especially effective as US conscripted only for one year, therefore their troops were focused on preservation

Point 2- Greatest strength was their ingenuity of tactics.

Evidence 2 – They knew the terrain, and made use out of this. - booby traps established in forests, small groups roamed to ambush US troops (created fear and irritation), Ho chi minh trail used from 1959, 1000 miles and headed into south through laos and cambodia (signficant as it was crutial supply line for vietcong in sotuh)

Whilst this was successful against the Usa, as they did this knowing the USA could not use US technology as Vietnam had no real industry for the Americans to destroy, therefore technology was not a real option, so they chose to engage in this clearly dangerous combat In a land that the vietnamese would have a natural advantage in. However, as evidenced by the 1965 Battle of Le Drang, and 1968 Tet Offensive, their strenght in conventional conflict was horrendous. Considering this, the USA could’ve won irrespective of Vietnamese resistance by simply increasing troops as forcing this conventional war but they missed this opportunity rendering the US feiled tactics more important. That being said, Vietnam still significant as if they hadn’t been effective in their tactics, ISA would have been able to win hastily, herefore partially responsibel

Domestic Pressure

Evidence 1 – 1967 200,000 demonstrated in New York, 50k in San Francisco, 100k in Washington out of discontent at human and economic cost of war. This certainly put pressure on Johnson

Analyse 1 – Many of whom students becaue they were at risk etc. This made it even more difficult for Johnson to use a military solution, he commit the resources and political captial because of this pressure, so he was in a stalemate.

Counter Argue- That being said, Americans condemned the demonstrators by a margin of 3 to 1 so there was still support, and over 50% of people by 1968 still supported the war.

Evidence 2 – 1967 MLK spoke out against war as system of conscription favoured white middle classse rather than poor blacks hence black tendency be critical of war. Cumulative effect with civil rights movement going on. Caused growth of black opposition as they realised that they were being conscripted over a white middle class man, and this growing issue affected morale of troops in US

However, following the 1958 Tet support rose but it was the failure of US tactics to recognise that the perfect time was now to increase amount of troops

22
Q

‘The Tet Offensive of 1968 was a turning point in America’s conduct of the Vietnam War in the years 1965 to 1970.’ Assess the validity of this view.

A

Tet Offensive Jan – September 1968

Agree

Evidence 1 - Tet showed that America was still vulnerable in Vietnam, by January 1968 at the time of Tet, there were 550,000 US ground forces, despite this there was no rapid US victory and it took one week before the city of Hue was recaptured under Southern control.

Analysis 1 – This led to a rethinking of policy, the impact was that it demonstrated how conventional military containment looked redundant and was not fit for purpose. Johnson made a speech on the 31st March 1968 announcing the halting of bombing of the North and proposed peace talks with the North, and the speech caused a halt in the policy of gradual escalation, indicating that America was no longer pursuing an outright military victory.

Evidence 2 - Tet confirmed the credibility gap between what the Johnson administration was telling the American people and the reality on the ground. The Vietnam War was being broadcasted as a US victory, but after visiting Vietnam to see the reality, on Feb 27th 1968 Walter Cronkite made a broadcast commenting that Tet had shown that USA was facing a stalemate, and making the case that the situation was more dire than the administration of President Lyndon B. Johnson alleged.

Analysis 1 – This was a view that helped shape and reflect many of the Americans’ opinions of the war. In the immediate aftermath of Tet there was a general anti-war shift of the news media, and these factors led to a decrease in Johnson’s approval rating which impacted on Johnson’s handling of the war and his decision not to re-run for the Presidency.

Evidence 3 – General Westmoreland was devastated by the attack and he was removed from his post, again highlighting change in policy.

Disagree

Evidence 1 / Counter Argue – Whilst it could be argued that Tet led to the ascension of Nixon who championed the slogan ‘Peace with Honour’, again reinforcing the impact of Tet on US policy; Nixon now pursued other tactics such as Vietnamisation and covert bombing of Cambodia.

Nevertheless - Under Nixon there was a mere continuation of the tactics used under Johnson, aggressive military action by the US continued after 1968, more US soldiers were killed after 1968 than before, also indicating that tactics on the ground remained the same as before. Operation menu- bombing of eastern Cambodia from 1969-1970, similar to bombing under Johnson’s Operation Rolling Thunder. So despite Tet such tactics continued.

Evidence 2 - in reality the Tet Offensive achieved little military benefit for the Viet Cong due to the huge losses incurred, 25,000 VC deaths, only 4000 on the US side. Demonstrated VC ineffectiveness in conventional combat.

Analyse 2 - Westmoreland insisted that Tet’s enemy were now on the defensive, the US was actually in a stronger position as a result of Tet.

Evidence 3 - in addition, it could be argued that the change in US tactics might have happened regardless of Tet, e.g. the Secretary of Defence, Robert McNamara, had already stood down (Feb 1968) and been replaced by Clark Clifford who doubted the wisdom of US involvement; sections of the public and media were already hostile to the war, 1967 New York 200,000 anti-war demonstrators; it was unlikely that congress would continue to support the war given the cost and huge losses involved.

23
Q

How far do ideological differences between the USSR and China explain the worsening of relations that developed between these two countries in the years 1963 to 1972? (June 2022)

A

Ideological Differences

Evidence 1 – . Mao accused Khruschev of revisionism, a disparaging term used against governments who were seen as deviating from the revolutionary path of socialism, especially in regard to his attempts at peaceful coexistence which he asserted was an abandonment of the struggle against capitalist imperialism. In return, the USSR criticised Mao for his ‘cult of personality’ and accused his ideology of being unrealistic. This is significant as it contributed to the July 1963 talks, intended to mend the Sino-Soviet split between USSR and China, breaking down.

Evidence 2 – Khrushchev felt that as he was leader of the Soviet Union, the first communist state, he should be leader of the communist world.

Evidence 2 – In March 1966, Mao embarked on the Cultural Revolution in reaction to what he saw as a drift away from the ideological purity of the Chinese revolution which he had led.

Analysis 2 – This was significant in worsening relations as it used rhetoric to state the USSR was led by revisionists and it became a target for ideological attack. Mao was using the Chinese Red Guard to intimidate the Soviet Union as illustrated through the Soviet Union Embassy in Beijing being besieged by a young mob and threatened to be burnt down.

Soviet treatment of Chinese

Evidence 1 – Malinovsky Incident, late 1964 during the Moscow Sino-Soviet talks the Soviet Defense Minister – Malinovsky – suggested to a Chinese delegate that they get rid of Mao just as the USSR had removed Khrushchev for Brezhnev in October 1964.

Analyse 1 – These worsened relations as the minister immediately informed Mao and talks collapsed despite Soviet apologies. This is significant as it widened the rift between the two sides.

Evidence 2 – Mao wanted North Vietnam to remain dependent on China, he did not want to help the USSR to gain more influence in the region. The Soviets proposed establishing a Soviet air base in Southern China but this was rejected as the Chinese considered it an encroachment on their territory.

Analyse 2 – Mao saw the USSR as nothing more than an imperialist state targeting land and his regime, this was reinforced through 1965 and 1967 the USSR delivered about $700 million worth of goods and aid, including missiles which led to a shift of North Vietnam towards USSR over China. This caused tensions as the Chinese didn’t want North Vietnam to become to strong and consequently pose a threat to them, but USSR bolstered their strength anyway.

Border Disputes

Evidence 1 – In the face of increasing Chinese hostility, the USSR decided to station force in Mongolia and Eastern Kazakhstan in February 1967.

Analyse 1 - This increased tensions as it alarmed the Chinese and reinforced their view that the USSR intended to attack China. Thus the Chinese activated the strategy of ‘active defense’, based on limited aggression to deter Soviet initial aggression, on the 2nd March 1969 when a Soviet border patrol in Eastern USSR was ambushed by Chinese forces. This was significant as the Soviet Union saw China’s actions as a violation of its territorial integrity, and it also highlighted the deepening ideological and political differences between China and the Soviet Union.

Evidence 2 – Whilst it could be argued that these skirmishes did not create a real threat of war as they had border talks in September 1969, these failed to bring any substantial improvement to relations.

Analyse 2 – This is signficant as in light of the failing relationship, China realised that he could not simultaneously confront the Soviet Union, United States, and suppress internal disorder resulting from the Cultural Revolution. As he saw the USSR as a greater threat than the USA, because of their proximity, he opened up dialogue with the USA to confront the USSR. By 1972 Nixon was in USA for the Shanghai Communique and embassies were effectively established, naturally shattered trust.

Ultimately underpinned by ideological differences, USSR belief in superiority

24
Q

‘The Cold War developed by 1949 because of Stalin’s intention
to dominate postwar Europe.’

A

Stalin’s intention to dominate postwar Europe

Evidence 1 – In Feb 1945 at the Yalta Conference, Stalin agreed to allow free elections in Poland.

Analysis 1 – Whilst Stalin appeared to be compromising to strengthen East-West relations here through his creation of political conditions containing parties from either end of the political spectrum and multi-party elections, he had tactics to ensure that the result he wanted would eventually emerge. The parties that rivalled the communists were weakened such as the Peasant Party which was weakened through communists strengthening their relations with the Polish socialists. However, Stalin went as far as removing anti-communist Poles who were in power, by 1948 he removed Gomulka who was accused of ‘nationalist deviation’ and was replaced by Bierut a pro-Stalinist. Therefore, this heightened tensions because he did not follow through with his promise for true free elections.

Point 2 – Red army occupation of most of Eastern Europe heightened tensions.

Evidence 2 – In January 1944 the Red Army entered Poland and annexed the land destroying the Nationalist Polish Resistance Group, in August 1944 Red Army troops occupied Romania, and this was the springboard to the invasion of Bulgaria in September 1944.

Analysis 2 – This heightened tensions as the internal components of these countries became dominated by communism, trade unions and police were dominated by communism, politics was dominated by communism. Therefore, this caused the West to perceive this as an example of communist expansion, their attempt to dominate the world with their ideology. So this reinforces the notion that it was in fact ideology that underpinned everything.

However, this caused an increase of tension because of the Western inability to recognise the defensive nature of these actions, he only wanted to dominate Eastern Europe to provide a buffer against the West

American Provocations

Evidence 1- Long Telegram 22nd February 1946, argued that USSR was inherently aggressive and expansionist, therefore, it argued that US policy should take a more pro-active role in Europe, Kennan added to this in his ‘X’ Article which suggested a systematic and controlled containment of communism.

Analyse 1- This caused growth of tensions as it founded the basis for the containment policy that would heighten tensions between the powers for the next few decades, also Soviets retaliated by releasing the ‘Novikov Telegram’ in September 1946 which accused the USA had emerged from World War Two economically strong and bent on world domination, therefore, USSR needed to strengthen its Eastern European buffer zone.

Analyse 1 summary - These two telegrams set the scene for the Cold War in Europe. The USSR would attempt to dominate Eastern Europe and spread communism where possible. The USA would commit to a policy of containment over the next few decades, spilling into Asia as seen with Chinese Nationalist Support 1949.

Evidence 2 –Iron Curtain speech March 6th 1946, perhaps influenced by Long Telegram, advocated USA and Britain countering of Soviet expansionism.

Analysis 2 – caused Stalin stated that this was a deliberately provocative message, accusing Churchill of being a warmonger to in the Pravda 16th March 1946, whilst also justifying Soviet actions as peaceful defensive measures. This is significant as it emphasises the conflict between the two, interpreting each others’ actions differently.

Issue over Germany

  • allied policies over Germany and West Berlin, especially currency reform, forced Stalin into actions like the Blockade
  • the allied response to the Blockade.
25
Q

‘The Korean War was caused by the determined efforts of Kim Il Sung to create a united communist Korea’. Assess the validity of this view.

A

Kim il Sung

Evidence 1 – In March 1949, Kim Il Sung turned to Stalin for Soviet support for a North Korean assault on South Korea.

Analyse 1 – This was significant as he had developed a strategy whereby he would use the collective power of the communist world in order to increase the North’s strength against South Korea and its Western allies. This brought the prospect of a Korean War into the Cold War playing field, it increased tensions surrounding Korea which heightened the risk of war.

Evidence 2 – He also encouraged border skirmishes, from the summer of 1948 border clashes took place along the 48th parallel, by May 1949 around 400 troops had been killed.

Analyse 2 – This is significant as he did this in hopes that the USA would come to their defence, inciting a war. This aggression culminated in June 25, 1950, when the Northern Korean People’s Army invaded South Korea in a coordinated general attack at several strategic points along the 38th parallel. This is significant as it marked the start of the Korean War, it precipitated immediate US intervention which transformed the conflict from a domestic to a global Cold War.

However, this was a mutual conflict, but it wasn’t only the desire of both sides to unify the country under their own rule, but the desire to rule under their respective ideological systems that made the war inevitable. This hatred for communism pushed Rhee’s desire to attack the North to rid it of communism, equally, Kim il Sung wanted to attack the South to undermine this anti-communist regime. This was an underlying cause of the Korean War, therefore it was not only the actions of Kim il Sung alone.

USSR

Evidence 1 – February 1950, Stalin supplied North Korea with 1600 pieces of artillery, 178 military aircraft, and 258 T-34 Tanks.

Analyse 1 – He had rejected Kim Il Sung’s pleas for support up until February, this was because of shifting international circumstance. The American Perimeter Speech had highlighted that South Korea was not in their defensive area, and this served as a ‘green light’ to allow this attack.

Evidence 2 – However, Stalin did not want to commit Soviet troops as he didn’t want a war that would involve USA and potentially spread into Europe, he made this clear in April 1950 and made it clear that if North Korea failed, he would not commit troops.

US foreign policy

Evidence 1 – Truman’s ambiguous policies prior to the war gave the wrong signal to the USSR. On the 12th of January 1950 the Perimeter Speech was made which highlighted that South Korea was not in their defensive area

Analyse 1- This was a significant contributor to the escalation of the war as this served as a ‘green light’ to allow this attack, Stalin did not want to start a war with the West, but agreed to supply the North militarily after this speech appeared to indicate a lack of US interest or willingness to defend Korea.

Evidence 2 – Furthermore, in January 1950, the Republican dominated Congress rejected a bill that gave aid to Korea, and the NSC 48 paper was made available to Stalin which implied that South Korea was not a vital US interest.

Analyse 2 – This created a false understanding of the Korea situation, USSR believed that there would not be a large scale, drawn out war in Korea because of US intervention as they did not appear interested.

26
Q

By 1963, the USA was keen to see the removal of President Diem’. Assess the validity of this view.

A

Agree

Evidence 1 -US concerns were concentrated on Nhu and his repression of the Buddhists-21 Aug 1963 Nhu renews attacks against Buddhists, US foreign advisors McNamara and Taylor encouraged removal of Diem because he was unprepared to control Nhu.

Analysis 1 -They were keen to see the removal of Nhu as he was fueling the crisis in SV with his constant attacks on the Buddhists and as Diem refused to accommodate their requests on Nhu’s removal, the US felt he also needed to be stripped of his power. Once it became clear that Diem and Nhu were a ‘package deal’ the US was keen to see Diem’s removal to avoid heightened instability in the state.

Agree 2 –As early as 1957, the USA were giving 250 million dollars to Diem to spend on defence and measures to increase internal stability, but Diem pocketed much of this money for himself and family. By 29 Aug 1963 Henry Cabot Lodge (US ambassador to Vietnam) advises Rusk that conflict in Vietnam couldn’t be resolved satisfactorily whilst Diem in office because of this corruption and unwillingness to cooperate.

Analyse 2 - The Kennedy administration was increasingly frustrated with Diem’s unwillingness to implement meaningful political and social reforms in South Vietnam with this money, and his reliance on corrupt and authoritarian practices to maintain his grip on power which drove their interest in removing him.

Evidence 3 – -2 Oct 1963 Lodge provides secret assurances that US will not intervene in coup against Diem, CIA supported coup to finally remove Diem in November 1963.

Counter Argue – On the 5th October Henry Lodge was sent a telegram stating that President Kennedy held that no effort should be made to encourage a coup, indicating that the interest in removing Diem was not unanimous.

Analysis 3 / Nevertheless – Lucien Conein, the Central Intelligence Agency’s liaison between the U.S. Embassy and the coup planners, told them that the U.S. would not intervene to stop it. Conein also provided funds to the coup leaders in 1963. Despite Kennedy administration awareness of the coup being promoted by the CIA, they didn’t act to stop it.

Disagree – hesitant to change

Evidence 1 – In 1957, Diem visited the USA and Eisenhower referred to him as the ‘miracle man’ of Asia.

Evidence 2 - -JFK had a strong personal relationship with regime (both Catholic and opposed communism) -Kennedy remained concerned over the removal of Diem leading up to the assassination and was shocked upon news of his death, his national security adviser Michael Forrestal said that the deaths “troubled him deeply”[16] “as a moral and religious matter” shortly after the death in 1963.

Evidence 3 – In August 1963, US National Security Advisor to Kennedy In August 1963, argued that American aid to South Vietnam was working as planned and the US should continue to provide support to Diem’s government.

Analysis 3 – many US officials were concerned about the consequences of removing Diem: US officials were well aware of the risks and uncertainties associated with removing Diem from power. They feared that his removal could undermine their ultimate aim of ensuring stability in SV, and could even trigger a wider conflict in the region. Furthermore, despite his flaws, Diem was seen by some US officials as a strong, independent leader who could provide stability to South Vietnam and counter the communist threat in the region.

27
Q

How far was the Soviet Union’s invasion of Afghanistan responsible for the start of a ‘Second Cold War’

A

Second Cold War refers to the end of détente and the start of a period of deterioration in relations between the USA and USSR.

Soviet Invasion

Evidence 1 – At his summit meeting with Brezhnev in June 1979, USA President Jimmy Carter highlighted the USA’s growing concerns around Afghanistan, asserting that the USA had not interfered in the internal Afghan affairs so the USSR shouldn’t either. Following the invasion, on January 3rd 1980 Carter formally asked the US senate to postpone indefinitely any further consideration of SALT II agreement because of the invasion.

Analyse 1 – This is significant as Carter considered the intervention as a flagrant breach of international protocl and a significant threat to international peacee, any possibility of ratification of SALT II agreements was now impossible which undermined the

Evidence 2 – caused the release of the Carter Doctrine on the 23rd of January 1980, this was in fear that the Soviet invasion of Afghanistan represented a new direction of Soviet global strategy, that is marked a step of establishing Soviet influence in the Persian Gulf and the Indian Ocean. This doctrine advocated a military solution to any such expansionism and therefore the buildup of US strategic forces, as well as closer détente with China.

Analysis 2 - Such developments would enable the USSR to threaten the essential oil shipments which the West was dependent, in an era of rising oil prices under Carter. Therefore, it could be argued that the Soviet invasion triggered this reaction which helped solidify the start of the Second Cold War.

Counter Argue – However, it could be argued that this was a massive overreaction by the USA, did the USSR actions truly threaten America’s vital interests in the Persian Gulf? The Soviets took the view that the US leadership used the intervention as a pretext that enabled them to dismantle détente, revive nuclear arms rice, and build up position of strength for the USA in the gulf. A classic example of international opportunism.

Nevertheless, the invasion of Afghanistan was the final blow in détente’s existence, as far as the West was concerned, it demanded international condemnation and further containment to prevent soviet expansionism. The Carter Administration determined that its entire relationship with the Soviet Union depended on Soviet withdrawal from Afghanistan. Therefore, the invasion was largely responsible, but it was also due ot the way in which the USA reacted.

Ascension of Reagan

Evidence 1 – Reagan became President in 1981, in June 1982 he made a speech stating how regimes achieved through violence and repression do not work, and his aim is to foster the infrastructure of democracy in the world. 1983, referred to Soviet Union as an ‘evil Empire’

Analysis 1 – This is significant as it set the tone for Reagan’s relationship with the USSR, it showed that he was determined to pursure aggressive policies against the Soviets. Furthermore, Reagan personally saw the USSR and communism as the embodiment of evil, similarly to Truman, this hatred of Communism naturally led to greater tension between the powers.

Evidence 2 – In a March 1963 speech he asserted that Soviet leaders were responsible for global unrest, and the USA should abandon détente and focus on restoring military strength. He reversed the policies of détente, he increased the defence spending by 35%, a huge increase.

Analysis 2 – This effectively returned USA to a position of containment and confrontation, therefore this can be argued to have escalated the Second Cold War. (advocated expansion of NATO defence spending by 3%, they would buy missiles from USA, 2nd Cold War the vehicle for US economic rejuvenation)

Other Military Events

Evidence 1 – september 1983, shooting Soviet shot down KAL 007. Major blow to Soviet-US relations as the Soviets claimed that is was a plane spying on the USSR on behalf of the USA. This was immediately denied by the USA who in turn accused the USSR of intentionally destroying a Civil Aircraft causing the deaths of 270 people.

Analyse 1 – This demonstrated the growing divisions between the two sides, the issue was one of Soviet barbarity versus American espionage. This led to the USSR on the 28th of September under Andropov, asserting that Reagan’s administration was pursuing a militaristic course to establish itself as a dominant global power, and thus the USA had abandonded Détente. This naturally hastened Second Cold War.

Evidence 2 – November 1983, US deployed first cruise and Pershing II missiles in Europe, this led to USSR abandoning arms reduction talks,

Analyse 2 – For the first itme in over a decade, the USA and the USSR were no longer engaged in any kind of negotiation, the USSR took the view that USA were not seriously interested in negotiating a mutually beneficial agreement. Reagan blamed Soviet Union for breakdown of talks.

28
Q

‘Cuba’s intervention in Angola and Ethiopia ensured the failure of détente by 1979’. Assess the validity of this view.

A

ML - ultimately it was US reaction to the events by 1979 which ensured failure of detente

Cuban Intervention

Undermines détente, Cuba seen as an agent of USSR interests

Evidence 1 – By 1976, there were about 12,000 Cuban troops supporting the MLPA in Angola and this strongly aided the Soviet backed MPLA in reaching a final victory in March 1976 over the US-backed FNLA.

Analysis 1 - The Ford administration believed that Cuba had intervened in Angola, encouraged by the Soviets and as such, Washington believed that Moscow was breaking the rules of détente. The appearance of Soviet success and a US loss in Angola following the Soviet-supported North Vietnam victory, continued to erode US faith in détente.

Evidence 2 – By February 1978, there were 15,000 Cuban soldiers fighting for the Ethiopian side of the conflict, Brezhnev congratulated Castro for his commitment. By March 1978 the conflict was over after the Somali troops retreated and a truce was announced.

Analyse 2 - This is significant in damaging détente as the USA accused the USSR of using Cuba in order to extend its own power in Africa, and the developing rapprochement between the USA and Cuba was destroyed by the Cuban intervention. Cuba seen as an agent of USSR interests. (wasn’t true, Castro trying to extend his influence to become leader of communist world.)

Afghan Invasion

Evidence 1 - 24 December 1979 USSR invade Afghanistan, at the summit meeting with Brezhnev in June 1979, USA President Jimmy Carter highlighted the USA’s growing concerns around Afghanistan, asserting that the USA had not interfered in the internal Afghan affairs so the USSR shouldn’t either. Following the invasion, on January 3rd 1980 Carter formally asked the US senate to postpone indefinitely any further consideration of SALT II agreement because of the invasion.

Analyse 1 – This is significant as Carter considered the intervention as a flagrant breach of international protocol and a significant threat to international peace, any possibility of ratification of SALT II agreements was now impossible which undermined the whole process of détente.

ULTIMATELY US REACTION

Arms Race

Evidence 1 – By the middle of 1978, President Carter was faced with the USSR’s refusal to end the deployment of SS-20 missiles in Europe, or to reduce its growing strategic imbalance. This is significant as it caused Carter to redress the strategic imbalance, he activated the deployment of new weapons programmes and the establishment of a new stealth bomber.

Analyse 1 - détente was formed partly following the lessons learned from the Cuban Missile Crisis, this was ignoring those lessons and heightened the tensions

Evidence 2 – By December 1979, Carter convinced the USA’s NATO allies to increase their military expenditure by a further 3% and to deploy 572 Pershing II and cruise missiles across alliance territory.

Analyse 2 – This was significant in damaging détente as the USSR continued to deploy SS-20 missile systems through its Warsaw Pact allies which was seen by the USA and its European allies as a fundamental threat to the NATO defence strategy.

29
Q

To what extent was the Soviet Union’s expansion into Eastern Europe the main cause of the intensification of the Cold war in the years 1945 - 1956? (other essay plan)

A

Context for intro - From 1945 the Cold war began to intensify.

Point - the expansionist nature of Soviet foreign policy aided in the intensification of the Cold war in the years 1945 - 1956.

Evidence - Czechoslovakia was not controlled by communists by the end of 1947 and the start of 1948. However, in February- March 1948, the communist with Soviet support purged the non-communist members of the government and the pro-American Foreign Minister, Jan Masaryk, was found dead beneath an open window, the American suspicion was that had been deliberately pushed and killed.

Analysis - This intensified the cold war because it was seen as classic soviet expansionism, and furthermore many believed that he had been murdered by the Soviet-backed Czechoslovak government in order to silence his criticism of Soviet policies.

Evidence 2 - In October 1956 there were demonstrations and protests by student in Hungary who demanded the appointment of Imre Nagy as prime minister, freedom of speech, free press and multi-party elections. On the November of 1956 Nagy announced that Hungary had withdrawn from the Warsaw Pact, and declared neutrality.

Impact - The USSR invaded Hungary and within days the uprising was crushed, a new government led by Janos Kadar was installed.

Analysis - this intensified cold war tensions because it was evidence to the west that despite Khrushchev’s secret speech (25 February 1956) suggesting that things will be different from Stalin, in reality they were similar, due to both their expansionist natures.

Counter - This had limited impact on the cold war because the lack of western intervention confirmed that the post-war status quo had been accepted, this assured the USSR that if any further problems erupted in Eastern Europe , it would have no interference from the west.

US actions

By the end of april 1945 Truman had become president of the USA, due to the death of Roosevelt.

Analysis- This meant that tensions were bound to increase within the grand alliance because in comparison to Roosevelt, Truman was vociferously anti-communist and no longer needed to co-operate with the USSR due to the technological advantage.

Impact 1 - Due to Truman’s anti-communist beliefs the cold war was intensified.

Evidence / impact - it aided in the creation of the Truman doctrine in 1947, which declared US support for Greece,Turkey and to any people’s threatened by subjugation to another power, making a new stage in US attitudes to intervention in world affairs.

sub impact - This aided in the Marshall plan in June 1947, and in response the soviets established the comiform(international commmunist solidarity) in september 1947 and the Comicon(the council for mutual economic assistance) in 1949

Impact 2 - This meant that when he was advised by scientists to share the secrets of the atomic bomb with the USSR he refused which started the arms race, and the USSR began working on a way to develop their own atomic weapon which they tested in the August of 1945 and then developed a powerful hydrogen bomb in 1955, therefore, increasing tensions within the grand alliance and causing the intensification of the cold war as the USA was now working hard to keep up with the USSR.

MLA

Conflict over Germany

Britain and the USA wanted an economically strong Germany which was able to resist the infection of communism, which the USSR wanted an economically weak German state, to gradually lead to socialism.

Evidence - January 1947 the American and the British Zones were merged economically to become Bizonia, because due to the economic strains of the war, Britain could not financially stabilize its zone, which could leave it susceptible to communist expansion.

impact - The Soviets opposed the creation of Bizonia, demanding the establishment of a unified administration for all of Germany. The West feared that a centralised administration would lead to a Soviet-controlled Germany and refused its creation.

This breakdown in relations led the west to pursue the creation of a West German State. This can be seen through the creation of the Deutsche mark in June 1948. This demonstrates the intensification of the cold war because the breakdown of the wartime alliance seemed complete, as stalin accused the Western powers of trying to wreck the East German economy

30
Q

‘Weak leadership in the USSR was the most significant reason for the increase in Cold War tension in the year 1982 to 1985.’ Assess the validity of this view.

A

Weak leadership in the USSR

Evidence 1 – Andropov became leader of the Soviet Union in November 1982, he indicated an inclination for arms control and was very critical of ‘Star Wars’, he could be seen as having heightened tensions following the shooting down of KAL-007 in 1983, he denied it, but later admitted to the Soviets shooting it down but died after two years in office.

Analysis 1 - The old and infirm nature of the Soviet leader prevented any kind of initiative to improve relations or strong leadership to deal with the tense atmosphere of those years, in fact, it is believed that his ill health contributed to the poorly handled follow up of the KAL incident. This meant that very little was achieved to reduce tensions.

Evidence 2 – Chernenko replaced him in 1984 and declared an intent to restore good relations with the West, but within a few months his health too began to fail which led to his removal from government.

Analysis 2 - This instability made it difficult for the Soviet Union to pursue a consistent foreign policy, which added to the unpredictability and tension of the Cold War.

Evidence 3- it is notable that tension decreased with the stronger leadership of Gorbachev after 1985, thus indicating that the weak health and leadership of 1982 to 1985 had been significant for creating tension.

Impact of collapsed détente prior to 1982

Evidence 1 - the collapse of détente and breakdown of good relations before 1982 following the Soviet invasion of Afghanistan and President Carter’s response to this provided the foundation for tension in the years 1982 to 1985.

USA Actions

Evidence 1 – In March 1983 Reagan proposed the SDI (Strategic Defence Initiative AKA ‘Star Wars’). This was an ambitious project that would construct a space-based anti-missile system, aimed at defending the USA from Soviet ICBMs through interception during their flight. Furthermore, Reagan also increased the military spending of the USA by a huge 35%.

.Analyse 1 – This is significant in exacerbating Cold War tensions as it undermined the whole idea of MAD (mutual assured destruction) and thus the concept of deterrence, it caused great fear surrounding the nuclear balance as it appeared that the USA were now in a position where they could fire missiles against the USSR without being at risk of being shot at themselves.

Evidence 2 - the aggressive rhetoric of President Reagan during these years, e.g. calling the Soviet Union an ‘evil Empire’ in March 1863, asserting that the Cold War was a battle between good and evil.

Analysis 2 - ; This contributed to the paranoia of the Soviets, that the USA make take action against the USSR under the new, apparently firmer anti-communist leader, and it also heightened mutual disliking with this hostile rhetoric

Ultimately, the weak leadership within the USSR prevented any initiative to deal with this

31
Q

‘Summit diplomacy in the years 1985 to 1988 succeeded because of Mikhail Gorbachev’ Assess the validity of this view.

A

Gorbachev

Point – a key element of ‘New Thinking’ was interdependence, working with the USA to serve common interest. He brought an end to the traditional Soviet notion of inevitability of class war and redefined basis of superpower relations.

Evidence 1 – Geneva Summit November 1985, general agreement that both the USSR and USA would work towards the goal of cutting offensive nuclear weapons by 50%, summit emphasized importance of avoiding nuclear confrontation around the globe.

Analyse 1 – This was because of the new viewpoint of Gorbachev, he felt that the achievement of security occurred through political and economic processes, not military expansion, thus the end of confrontation and competition between the superpowers was necessary (end of CW). The continuous tension of the arms race would undermine this aim of security hence the shift in perspective under Gorbachev led to a success here.

Counter Argue – could be argued that as he protested about Star Wars at Reykjavik in October 1986, not willing to discuss more about elimination of nuclear weapons unless SDI abandoned.

Nevertheless / Evidence 2 – Gorbachev agreed to ‘reasonable sufficiency’, committing the Soviets to only having enough nuclear weapons for defence; significant as this shift in thinking led to the signing of the INF Treaty in Washington in 1987.

Analyse 2 – this is very important for ensuring summit diplomacy success as it showed that Gorbachev was willing to compromise, he was prepared to sign this treaty without any condition that the US should get rid of ‘Star Wars’ – willingness to cooperate which decreased the tensions and facilitated summit success.

Evidence 3 - (Washington Summit Dec 1987) his actions, such as Gorbachev decision for withdrawal of troops from Afghanistan in Feb 1988, made the West more conciliatory, helping to lead to the success of the summits.

Analysis 3 – This made the Summit appear to be a success by all accounts, giving most people aware of the outcome of the summit a sense of optimism regarding disarmament. The Cold War truly seemed to be ending.

Reagan

Introductory Point 1 - Reagan’s attitude was also key; he had softened his approach to the Soviet Union after 1984 and made it clear that he wanted a new relationship

Evidence 1 – Reagan State of Union address January 1984 advocated genuine cooperation over simply deterrence, and the reduction of nuclear arms.

Analyse 1 – This is significant as Reagan was committed to anti-nuclearism and this gave him common ground with Gorbachev in seeking an agreement to reduce nuclear weapons.

Evidence 2 - Ronald Reagan proved to be a good negotiator/willing to compromise – even to take back his rhetoric of ‘evil empire’ at the Moscow Summit when asked by a reporter on the Kremlin grounds May 31, 1988 do you still consider it evil, he said no , that was another time.

Analysis 1 – Helped to reinforce Gorbachev’s following within the Soviet Union itself. Reagan’s positivity outlined a shift away from his former accusatory tone, and this led to strong reception by the Soviet people, his speech in Moscow State University was on the theme of freedom, he struck a chord with the people for a vision of USSR free of totalitarian rule. Diplomacy was working, good days seemed on the horizon.

Evidence 3 - Reagan was committed to anti-nuclearism and this gave him common ground with Gorbachev in seeking an agreement to reduce nuclear weapons

Gorbachev had no choice

Evidence 1 - Gorbachev was also under pressure to achieve success as the economic situation at home was deteriorating so it could be argued that he had no choice but to agree to arms limitation

Evidence 2 - it could be argued that SDI in fact forced Gorbachev to come to the negotiating table as he realised that the Soviets could now never compete with the USA.

32
Q

How significant were economic problems in the USSR and its satellite states in explaining the collapse of communism in Eastern Europe in 1989?

A

Economic Problems

Evidence 1 - the whole of the Soviet empire was struggling economically. Under Brezhnev there had been economic stagnation and decline – a situation that was exacerbated by the USSR’s overseas ventures and the fact that from 1964 to 1982 25% of Soviet GNP was spent on Soviet military in hopes of closing the gap between USA and USSR.

Analyse 1 – Significant as this diverted resources away from other areas of the economy. As a result, the Soviet Union suffered from a lack of consumer goods, declining living standards, and stagnation. The satellite states were tied to the Soviet economy and thus suffered from the same problems as the Soviet Union – shortages in food stuffs and lack of housing and consumer goods; all economic initiatives had been stifled since the failure of the Prague Spring – reinforced their hopes to escape Soviet Union.

Evidence / Point 2 - Gorbachev’s economic reforms exacerbated the crisis within the USSR. The Anti-Alcohol Campaign in May 1985, alcohol sales dropped as prices of alcohol increased. However, this led to a loss of government revenue, an estimated 100 million rubles lost as alcohol sales moved to the black market.

Analysis 2 – So in the face of economic downturn, this merely exacerbated the problems. Furthermore, the cost of implementing such reforms was greater than the amount of money coming in, creating a budget deficit. By 1988 it was 13% of Soviet GNP, compared to 3.5% in the USA.

Could be argued that the economic crisis faced by the USSR and by all of the satellite states by 1989 meant that collapse was inevitable at some point. However, it was Gorbachev’s actions that ensured that collapse came in 1989;

Gorbachev Other Policies - unleashed forces that were impossible to control

Evidence 1 – By 1985, Gorbachev was in power, he immediately took the decision to remove the Brezhnev Doctrine, the Soviet Union’s commitment to maintaining communist control through threat and use of force.

Analyse 1 – Very significant as it meant that individual populations no longer feared use of force from Soviets if they were to rise up against the communist government or shift away from the Soviet Union. This led to August 1989, Solidarity movement was able to negotiate free elections under a Solidarity led government which the USSR agreed to, marking a shift away from communism. By November 1989, other satellites realised that they could do the same, within a few weeks the communist governments of East Germany, Bulgaria, and Czechoslovakia were ousted. The satellites had collapsed, the removal of the Brezhnev symbolised a green light for the satellites to finally withdraw from the Soviet bloc. Marked a seismic shift for despots in satellite states, momentum was clearly impossible to stop, these regimes often illegal and maintained through force - amplified resistance.

Evidence 2 - (POINT) his reforms created further instability in the Soviet Union as they alienated his people. Perestroika restructuring of economy, ended state price controls, significant as prices increased and living standards decreased – naturally angered people again, rising instability. Not only working class, but also angered the elites who were benefiting from the status quo of USSR economic status by 1980s, so Gorbachev was receiving opposition from all classes. By 1988, Glasnost introduced, allowed criticism of the way in which USSR has been governed. - Significant as this allowed these alienated classes to criticise the Soviet Union, popular scrutiny and thus popular protest followed – chaos ensued in Soviet Union.

(important – the USSR was introducing reforms to meet needs of Soviet citizens, but this was akin to the 1968 reforms in Czechoslovakia that led to Soviet military intervention, they realised then that the people would ask for more and more reforms but this is exactly what was given here).

Reaffirm ML - However, economic factors played a role in determining events of 1989, e.g. in Poland worsening economic conditions meant that Solidarity negotiated into power; in Hungary it was a downturn in the economy that triggered reforms, in East Germany economic crisis played a part in forcing the hand of the government to lift travel restrictions, so it was still significant.

Domino Effect

Evidence 1 – East German Chancellor, Eric Honecker, ignored dissent at home and in other Eastern European states, he wouldn’t give into the pressure from economics, something which had persisted for the past 30 years. However, in May 1989 Hungary removed the fortified fence on its border with Austria, allowing 22,000 East German refugees to instantly cross into Austria.

Analysis 1 – Significant as this caused mounting international pressure, led to Honecker allowing citizens into West Germany if they promised to return. By October 1989 there was widespread opposition throughout East Germany, and revolution was imminent, therefore Krenz replaced Honecker, and economic and political forms were implemented but these weren’t enough – led to November 9th Berlin Wall collapsed, communism had collapsed in East Germany. This was caused by the Hungarian actions.

Evidence 2 - Czechoslovak PM Husák’s resignation on 10 December 1989 amounted to the fall of the communist regime in Czechoslovakia, leaving Ceaușescu’s Romania as the only remaining hard-line communist regime in the Warsaw Pact. Berlin Wall had collapsed in November, Poland had shifted away from communism, so by December 1989 protest was at a great high.

Analysis 2 – Protests ensued, by 22 December, the Romanian military suddenly changed sides and captured Ceausescu, he was executed. Significant as the National Salvation Front took over, advocated free elections, shifted away from communism. It was the growing protest following the recent events in other European states that led to the changes being made.

33
Q

‘To what extent was there a significant reduction in tensions between the superpowers in the years 1972 to 1979’?

A

Large extent

SALT

Point 1 - The SALT talks were two rounds of bilateral conferences and corresponding international treaties involving the United States and the Soviet Union. The Cold War superpowers dealt with arms control in two rounds of talks and agreements which was signfiicant in reducing superpower tensions.

Evidence 1 –26th May 1972 – Anti-Ballistic Missile Treaty, limited both the Soviet Union and USA to constructing two fields of ABMs, The treaty prohibited each side from deploying more than two ABM systems, with one allowed for each country’s national capital and another for a missile field.

Analysis 1 - This limitation was designed to prevent either side from developing a nationwide missile defense system, which could undermine the other’s nuclear deterrent and lead to a new arms race. This agreement is significant in reducing tensions as it is seen as a crucial component in curbing the race for strategic offensive weapons, thus the US and USSR saw it as a fundamental contribution to preventing risk of nuclear war.

Evidence 2 – Agreement on Limitation of Offensive Arms 26th May 1972, complimented the ABM treaty and established a freeze on strategic missiles.

Counter Argue – However, this was only to remain valid for five years, it made no provisions for limitations on newly developing technology so it only applied to the old stock, the stock which was becoming increasingly obsolete.

Nevertheless/ Final point – Ultimately, SALT was more than merely an arms limitation agreement, it was a foundation of a political achievement that made détente possible, it opened the way for an era of negotiation over confrontation which significantly reduced tensions. The balance of power had been acknowledged and both powers had something to gain from détente which was very signficant.

Summit Diplomacy

Evidence 1 – Moscow Summit May 1972, established the ‘Basic Principles’ for American-Soviet relations. The first principle was to commit to develop relations based on peaceful coexistence, sovereignty, equality, non-interference in internal affairs and mutual advantage. Second was to avoid situations that could damage commitment to peaceful coexistence, to avoid military confrontation. Thirdly, acceptance of special responsibility to do everything in power to prevent conflict or situations that could increase international tensions.

Analyse 1 - Significant as it essentially became a framework for improved relations between the two powers. Whilst it had no legal status, it was an aspiration for less tension.

Evidence 2 – By 1977, Carter administration appeared to be moving away from détente and cooperation in face of failed agreements. However, the June 1979 Summit in Vienna led to the signing of SALT II.

Analyse 2 – This was significant for not only did it continue to limit nuclear weapon usage, but the meeting was characterised by friendly and respectful relations, the fact that such a meeting could take place at all in light of the failed agreements not long prior meant that the Soviet and American leadership were not high in tensions.

However, in light of these agreements, USSR invaded Afghanistan on Decembner 24th 1979 which was a significant cause of tension, however this was very near to the turn of the decade. For the most part of 1972 to 1979, superpower tensions were signficantly reduced.

Détente in Europe

Evidence 1 – Helsinki Accords 1st August 1975, principles that proposed recognition of existing frontiers, territorial integrity to be recognised and acknowledged, non-intervention in the internal affairs of other states, cooperation among states.

Counter Argue 1 –Helsinki Accords also included provisions on human rights and freedom of movement, it could be argued that this increased tension as the Soviets were concerned about its security and feared that the Helsinki Accords could be used as a pretext for increased Western influence in Eastern Europe, also about accepting the provisions on advances notice of military exercises.

Nevertheless 1 / Analysis 1 – The Soviet commitment to the wider aim of promoting East-West détente led them to accepting these conditions nevertheless, great demonstration of the compromising nature of the superpowers and how this decreased tensions.

Evidenc 2 -

34
Q

‘The Cuban Missile Crisis was a triumph for the Soviet Union’. Assess the validity of this view.

A

Agree

Evidence 1 - Ultimately, the resolution of the crisis avoided a direct military conflict between the US and the Soviet Union, which could have led to a catastrophic nuclear war. While this was not a clear victory for the Soviet Union, it was a positive outcome for the country and the world as a whole. Thus October 1963 Moscow Test Ban Treaty agreed to which was proposed by Khrushchev on the 30th October 1962, allowed superpowers to realise the requirement for arms control.

Evidence 2- Khrushchev’s aim was to protect Castro’s regime from US aggression, in March 1962 USSR Defense Minister, Malinovsky, concluded that in the face of a determined US attack, Cuba wouldn’t stand for a week. Thus Khrushchev deployed nuclear missiles in Cuba October 1962.

Analyse 2 – By the end of the crisis, Cuba remained a communist state in the USA’s ‘backyard’, the US commitment to containment had failed. Cuba’s survival can be seen as a great triumph for the Soviet Union as their aim was to protect its existence, and they succeeded in this aim. This was a long-term ally which would do much to support and expand global communism, such as in Angola in 1974-76.

Evidence 3 – linkage between US missiles in Turkey and Soviet missiles in Cuba led to an opportunity to defuse conflict, a meeting was summoned with the Soviet ambassador Dobrynin, stating that Kennedy was willing to carry out this linkage agreement. By 28th October, Khrushchev agreed.

Analyse 3 - By securing a concession from the US in the form of the removal of missiles from Turkey, Khrushchev was able to portray the outcome as a victory for the Soviet Union. USSR had strategic parity with the USA, and the removal showed how both sides had a willingness to compromise which satisfied Khrushchev’s aims of ‘peaceful coexistence’.

Counter Argue – However, the USA would not allow its NATO allies to view it as a concession, so NATO was explicitly told that no secret agreement was reached. The removal of missiles was not publicly announced at the time of the crisis, therefore bolstering the notion of a US victory over the Soviets.

Disagree

Evidence 1 –. It could be argued that Khrushchev placed the missiles with the intention of creating a linkage strategy between Cuba and Berlin where, despite considerable efforts between 1958 and 1961, he had failed to remove Western power. Missiles in Cuba would provide Moscow with new levers of pressure on Berlin.

Analysis 1 – However, this was a failure for the USSR as by 28th of October 1962, the removal of the missiles removed Khrushchev’s leverage. Furthermore, the crisis emphasised the US’ willingness to engage in brinksmanship to protect its interests, a warning for conflict over Berlin. The crisis ensured survival of West Berlin as an outpost of Western capitalist democracy in the heart of the communist bloc in Eastern Europe.

Evidence 2 – Led to review of CMC by Robert Kromer of the US State Department on the 29th October 1962, this asserted that the short-term effects will be very favourable for US prestige, and how the event demonstrated that the Soviets are not prepared to risk a decisive military showdown with the US over issues involving the Soviet extension of power.

Analyse 2 – This could be argued to have undermined the Soviet Union’s position as a superpower and weakened its international reputation.

Evidence 3 – The Cuban Missile Crisis had seen the USA using its superior military power to pressure the Soviets to withdraw the missiles, this was perceived as a humiliation for the USSR, the USSR had been forced to respond rather than being deterred from taking action.

35
Q

‘It was the USA’s commitment to a post-war democratic Europe that caused both the Yalta and Potsdam conference to end in failure.’ (other essay plan)

A

The USA’s commitment to a post-war democratic Europe.

Point - The USA’s commitment to a post-war democratic Europe aided in the failure of the postdam conference.

Evidence - In May 1946 the USA stopped further payments of reparations to the USSR until an overall economic plan was agreed.

  • Analysis- This USA feared that due to the lack of an economic plan in the Western Zone, it could slip into communism. This demonstrates how the USA’s commitment to a post-war democratic Europe aided in the failure of the Potsdam conference. This is because at Potsdam it was agreed that the USSR would receive an additional 25% of reparations from the Western Zones in German, alongside that from its own zone.

Point 2- The USA’s commitment to a post-war democratic Europe aided in the failure of the Yalta conference.

Evidence - At the Yalta conference in February 1945, the USSR wanted to establish satellite states along the Western edge of the USSR to create buffer zone. In contrast the USA wanted to support democracy in Eastern Europe.

Analysis - This aided in the failure of the Yalta conference because it led to an increase in tensions between the two superpowers, especially after Red Army’s occupation of most of Eastern Europe which was a powerful weapon in enforcing control and encouraging the latent communist parties throughout this region.

US actions

Evidence - By the end of april 1945 Truman had become president of the USA, due to the death of Roosevelt.

Analysis- in comparison to Roosevelt, Truman was vociferously anti-communist and no longer needed to co-operate with the USSR due to now have the technological advantage.

Impact - Therefore, this led him to violate the agreement at Yalta in 1945, by dropping an atomic bomb on Japan in the August of 1945. This led to the failure of the Yalta conference because at Yalta it was agreed that 3months after the war in Europe was over the USSR would join the with Japan and gain some of the spoils, by dropping the bomb, Truman stopped this from happening and the USSR saw this as an American betrayal.

Actions of the USSR.

Point - The actions of the USSR aided in the failure of the Yalta and Potsdam conference.

Evidence - August 1945 Stalin refused to allow free elections in Poland despite its commitment at Yalta. Provoked the resignation of Polish leader Mikowajcyzk who recognised the move towards direct Soviet control.

Analysis - This aided in the failure of the Yalta conference, because it was agreed at Yalta that free elections would be allowed in Poland

36
Q

How important were the differences over Germany between the USA and the USSR in the development of the Cold war. (other essay plan)

A

Differences over Germany

Point 1 - In contrast to the USSR by 1946 the USA wanted an economically strong Germany, in order to resist the so called “infection” of communism this led to the development of the Cold War because the USSR wanted an economically weak Germany.

Evidence 1- The USA stopped further payments of reparations to the USSR until an overall economic plan was agreed.

Impact 1 - This aided in the development of the Cold war because the Soviets viewed this as an attempt to create a German economy based on Western capitalism, which they strongly opposed, therefore intensifying the tensions between the USA and the USSR, and was the first step towards the creation of the Deutsche Mark in 1948.

Evidence 2 - The Soviet response to currency reform in 1948 was swift: stalin closed off all access to West Berlin by blocking road and rail links

Aim - The Blockade was an attempt to force the Western powers to concede to Berlin as a single city in which the USSR had predominant control over.

Impact - This led to the development of the cold war because although it ended in 1949, it impacted the creation of NATO in the April of 1949 which was created as a way to help strengthen Europe against Soviet aggression. Furthermore, this aided in the development of the Cold war because the Soviet viewed this as an aggressive organisation designed to promote Western capitalism and to pressurise European states into complying with its interests.

The actions of the USA

MLA

By the end of april 1945 Truman had become president of the USA, due to the death of Roosevelt.

Analysis- This meant that tensions was bound to increase within the grand alliance because incomparison to Roosevelt, Truman was vociferously anti-communist and no longer needed to co-operate with the USSR due to now have the technological advantage.

Impact 1 - Due to Truman’s anti-communist beliefs the cold war was intensificed.

Evidence / impact - it aided in the creation of the Truman doctrine in 1947, which declared US support for Greece,Turkey and to any people’s threatened by subjugation to another power, making a new stage in US attitudes to intervention in world affairs.

sub impact - This aided in the Marshall plan in June 1947, and in response the soviets established the comiform(international commmunist solidarity) in september 1947 and the comicon(the council for mutual economic assistance) in 1949

Impact 2 - This meant that when he was advised by scientists to share the secrets of the atomic bomb with the USSR he refused which started the arms race, and the USSR began working on a way to develop their own atomic weapon which they tested in the August of 1949, demonstrating the arms race that had begun as a result of Truman’s actions, causing the development of the cold war.

Actions of the USSR

Point - the expansionist nature of Soviet foreign policy aided in the development of the Cold war.

Evidence 1- Refused to allow free elections in Poland in August 1945, this is because they had been attacked through Poland multiple times and wanted a government that was favourable to the USSR incharge.

Analysis - This went against the agreement that Yalta in feb 1945, which stated that free elections must be allowed in Poland.

Impact - This suggested to the USA that the USSR could not be trusted therefore increasing tensions within the Grand Alliance.

Evidence 2- Czechoslovakia was not controlled by a communist by the end of 1947 and the start of 1948. However, in February- March 1948, the communist with Soviet support purged the non-communist members of the government and the pro-American Foreign Minister, Jan Masaryk, was found dead beneath an open window, the American suspicion was that had been deliberately pushed and killed.

Analysis - This developed the cold war because, the US congress showed greater acceptance of the Marshall plan which the Soviets saw as a American imperialism, and hostilities between the USA and the USSR became more intensified.

37
Q

‘American involvement in Europe, in the years 1945 to 1949, was primarily driven by the desire to advance US economic interests’

A

US economic interests

Evidence 1 – Truman specifically stated on a US broadcast in 1947 that the spread of communism in Europe could isolate the USA from their sources of supply, and thus they would have to take defense measures which could risk US bankruptcy. It was for this reason why US were increasing involvement in Europe.

Evidence 2 – May 1947 Sec of State for Economic Affairs, Clayton, returned from Europe concluding that failure to revive post-war economy of European states would damage the USA economically. This was alarmist, something which helped cause George Marshall on the 5th June 1947 to unveil the Marshall Plan, something which provided $13.5 billion to 16 countries in Europe over the next five years.

Analysis 2 – Significant as the Marshall Plan was an economic strategy primarily aimed at benefiting the American economy by helping in Europe’s economic reconstruction. As a condition of receiving Marshall aid was that some of it had to be spent on importing US goods and sharing their economic info with the USA, this was driven primarily by desire to advance US economic interests. Marshall Plan helped to cement the U.S. as a key player in Western Europe and helped to create a strong alliance between the U.S. and its European partners thus increasing US involvement.

Desire to contain communism

Evidence 1 - Truman Doctrine: announced March 1947, stated that the United States would provide economic and military aid to countries threatened by communism. This policy marked a significant shift in U.S. foreign policy and signaled a greater commitment to containing Soviet influence around the world.

Analysis 1 – It was designed primarily to protect democrayc and freedom, a response to aggressive Soviet expansionism. It is significant as it was used by Greek monarchists to combat the Greek communists in the Civil War. In 1947 $400 million to support Greece and Turkey so US became more involved in Europe for this reason.

Counter Argue 1 – Could be argued as drive by the desire to advance US economic interests as the Truman Doctrine was an important element of the USA’s aim of developing its global economic power. By creating an enemy and becoming the protector against that enemy, the USA would make other states not only military dependent but also economically dependant on the USA, and these states would inevitably form clsoe trade relations due to being political allies.

Evidence 2 – Marshall plan was also aimed at countering communism. The USA recognised the risk that continued post-war economic stagnation could lead to communist regimes being democratically elected by despairing populations, I.e by 1947 Freance Communist Party had 1.7 million members, thus falling under influence of Soviet Union. The Marshall Plan was designed to reverse this trend, by economic stability in the region, this risk could be averted.

Ideological conflict

Evidence 1 - In June 1941, during WW2 Truman expressed the hope that the Germans and Russians would “kill as many of each other as possible” during their conflict, he had a true hatred of Soviet ideology. Naturally, this continued during his Presidency which contributed towards his eagerness to enter Europe to contain communism.

Counter - but ultimately got on during WW2, got on under Roosevelt

38
Q

‘The Paris Peace Talks were a failure for the USA’ Assess the validity of this view.’

A

Failure

Evidence 1 – April 1968, talks began, and representatives from the USA and North Vietnam met in Paris. There was little progress made which prompted Johnson to state at a press conference on the 31st of July that additional military measures would be taken if there was no breakthrough in Paris.

Analysis 1 – This was because Johnson feared that communists were using the lull in bombing, as agreed during the talks, as an opportunity to regroup troops to launch another offensive in the South. Little progress made, ultimately Nixon secretly negotiated with Thieu in the South that a better deal would be given under Nixon’s presidency, so they were best to reject negotiation with Johnson. Significant as 1968 Peace Talks ended in a stalemate, they failed under Johnson.

Evidence 2 – Talks began again in July 1972. October agreement presented, offered a ceasefire,, exchange of POWs, US withdraws from Vietnam, free elections introduced in South Vietnam, South choose their political future. Failed as Thieu felt that he would be vulnerable once US withdraws, didn’t agree.

Analysis 2 – Significant as Nixon agreed to postpone agreement which would allow USA to strengthen Southern army in process, led to North accusing US of abandoning deal, talks broke down.

Success

Evidence 1 – Operation Linebacker 2 started on 18th December 1972, to pressure North into making concessions and reassure Thieu that US still backed him.

Analysis 1 – Worked as North and South agreed to a final settlement similar to October Agreement. USA had found a way out of Vietnam despite not achieving ‘peace with honor’

39
Q

‘The outcome of the Korean War weakened the position of the United States in Asia in the years 1954 to 1961’. Assess the validity of this view.

A

Support (weakened US)

Evidence 1 – The US was now more determined that ever to resist the spread of communism, in 1954 they funded 75% of the French-Vietnamese Dien Bien Phu conflict in an attempt to oust communism. Resulted in 1954 Geneva Summit whereby division was agreed upon in Vietnam.

Analysis 1 – Significant as this planted the seeds which would involve the USA in Vietnam, something which seriously damaged the US’ position both in Asia and across the globe.

Evidence 2 - Had a negative diplomatic effect on the USA’s position in Asia, it confirmed the US alienation of the PRC led by Mao. For the first ten years after the war ended China was a bitter enemy of the USA and an ally of the USSR, it therefore delayed the reconciliation of China and USA until it was brought about under Nixon in 1972.

Evidence 3 - Korea strengthened US belief in the ‘domino theory’, that supporting anti-Communist regimes in Asia was both important and effective; this theory had disastrous effects on later US policies in Asia. From 1955 US supported Diem in South Vietnam.

Analyse 3 – misconceived assumptions which plagued US foreign policy in future years, Diem proved a large mistake.

Challenge (strengthened US)

Evidence 1 - Despite the Korean War costing the USA $67 billion and the use of 2 million conventional troops, the US aim was satisfied, communism was contained outside of South Korea.

Analysis 1 – This was therefore a US success, something which increased US confidence in the region, and also cemented their intent to remain involved in Asia after spending such a huge amount.

Evidence 2 - Much firmer approach to crises in the area, Taiwan Straits Crisis 1954, Formosa Resolution 1955.

Analysis 2 – Demonstrated success of brinksmanship policy to contain communism in Asia.

Evidence 3 - Success as South Korea safeguarded Japan, North Korean was the ‘dagger pointed at the heart of Japan’ and this was protected. The US-Japan Defence Treaty signed in April 1962.

Analysis 3 – Strengthened position in Asia as Japan remained a loyal US ally in Asia, Japan most important economy in Asia for manufactures, furthermore treaty gave US access to Japanese land to create military bases which allowed US to maintain a presence in Asia, and a readiness to deploy troops to counter communism.

40
Q

Outlined what happened after removal of Brezhnev Doctrine by 1989 (Narrative)

A

Impact of removing Brezhnev Doctrine

Point 1 – By 1985, Gorbachev was in power and he rejected the Brezhnev Doctrine, which ended the right of the Soviet Union to intervene in the affairs of Communist countries to strengthen Communism. This gave Satellites confidence to act.

Evidence 1 - The first satellite state to break free from Soviet control was Poland, the Solidarity movement was able to negotiate free elections and a Solidarity led government which the USSR agreed to in August 1989, marking a shift away from communism.

Analysis 1 - the ending of the Brezhnev Doctrine meant that Gorbachev would not use the military to support the unpopular leaders of the satellite states. This was key in explaining the ultimate collapse of the satellites such as in Poland.

Evidence 2 - In Hungary, similarly to Poland the HSWP called for greater political and economic reforms and by 1990 free elections moved Hungary away from communism to democracy. Furthermore in September 1989 Hungary agreed to open up their frontier with Austria and East Germany, allowed East Germans to travel into West Germany. This clearly illustrated the rejection of the communist East German regime, and thus a rejection of communism.

Evidence 3 - In East Germany, protests calling for reform eventually led to Egon Krenz becoming General Secretary of the German Politburo in October 1989. He announced that he was going to implement democratic reforms in East Germany, and endorsed Gorbachev’s ideas of perestroika, glasnost, and the end of the Brezhnev doctrine. Travel restrictions / Berlin Wall removed in November 1989.

Analyse 3 – This was significant in explaining the collapse of communism as whilst Krenz hoped that this relaxation of restriction would increase his popularity as a People’s Republic, it led to its collapse. Krenz resigned and a coalition government was put in his place. Collapse of wall symbolic of end of Cold War communist v capitalist tension in Germany that had persisted over the years.

Therefore, by November 1989 it was clear that Gorbachev would not authorise the use of force against reformer, it was he who had made it possible for Eastern European satellites to shift away to democracy if they desired.

41
Q

‘To what extent were economic problems the cause of the 1989 revolutions in Eastern Europe?’

A

Economic problems

Evidence 1 – To cope with economic downturn, Polish government under Jaruzelski raised food prices in 1988 in hopes it would reduce demand and bide time to stabilise economy, this led to the revolution, strikes and demands for a change. Resulting in Jaruzelski being forced to negotiate with Solidarity in 1989 - anti-authoritarian social movement.

Analyse 1 – This is significant as bicameral legislature was made, giving 35% of seats to be freely elected. Solidarity won almost all of the seats and many poles simply refused to vote for communist party. Jaruzelski forced to resign as Solidarity grew in power. Therefore, because of economic problems, protests ensued which led to power being handed over to the Solidarity.

Evidence 2 – Similarly to Poland, Hungary was suffering from economic downturn, major reforms only took place when Kadar was replaced by Nemeth in 1988 as there was general dissatisfaction and protest ensued.

Analyse 2 – This led to Nemeth securing 1988 One Billion Deutsch Mark loan from West German banks, named PM for his economic acumen, introduced economic and political reforms. 1990 elections, Hungary peacefully moved from communism to democracy, left communist bloc. - failing economy was impetus for new change.

Gorbachev ‘New Thinking’

Evidence 1 – 6th July 1989, Gorbachev renounced Brezhnev Doctrine as he asserted that a common Europe home should not be enforced using force .

Analysis 1 – These words helped to remove the crucial restraint that was perhaps stopping Satellites from leaving, fear of Soviet military intervention. If Gorbachev wasn’t going to intervene, they had no good reason to stay.

Counter Argue 1 – Could be argued that this was in face of economic downturn, if things were good they may have stayed.

Evidence 2 –By November 17th, 1989, students protested but were attacked and beaten by police, led to outcry. By November 19th, led by Havel, the Civil Forum was formed. Civil Forum significant as it created aspirational goals for the Czechoslovakian government, they rejected the idea of a coalition government so the Communist leadership just resigned – obvious that protest would not be removed. Shifted away from communism under Havel.

Analysis 2 – Czechoslovakia was thriving economically; this was not the reason for its shift away from communism. It was Gorbachev’s policies of glasnost and perestroika that opened up the country to protest that led to the shift, it allowed such protest and outspoken criticisms without fear of USSR military intervention. Furthermore, it could be argued that this revitalised the underlying sentiment following the 1968 Prague Spring – they would not let go of their aims for democracy.

Domino Effect

Evidence 1 – East German Chancellor, Eric Honecker, ignored dissent at home and in other Eastern European states, he wouldn’t give into the pressure from economics, something which had persisted for the past 30 years. However, in May 1989 Hungary removed the fortified fence on its border with Austria, allowing 22,000 East German refugees to instantly cross into Austria.

Analysis 1 – Significant as this caused mounting international pressure, led to Honecker allowing citizens into West Germany if they promised to return. By October 1989 there was widespread opposition throughout East Germany, and revolution was imminent, therefore Krenz replaced Honecker, and economic and political forms were implemented but these weren’t enough – led to November 9th Berlin Wall collapsed, communism had collapsed in East Germany. This was caused by the Hungarian actions.

Evidence 2 - Czechoslovak PM Husák’s resignation on 10 December 1989 amounted to the fall of the communist regime in Czechoslovakia, leaving Ceaușescu’s Romania as the only remaining hard-line communist regime in the Warsaw Pact. Berlin Wall had collapsed in November, Poland had shifted away from communism, so by December 1989 protest was at a great high.

Analysis 2 – Protests ensued, by 22 December, the Romanian military suddenly changed sides and captured Ceausescu, he was executed. Significant as the National Salvation Front took over, advocated free elections, shifted away from communism. It was the growing protest following the recent events in other European states that led to the changes being made.

42
Q

‘To what extent was Gorbachev’s New Thinking primarily responsible for the end of the Cold War in the years 1985-1991’.

A

Gorbachev’s New Thinking

Topic Sentence – brought in reforms to solve chronic problems within ussr, but this unleashed forces that were impossible to control.

Evidence 1- By 1985, Gorbachev was in power, his aim was remove the Brezhnev Doctrine, the Soviet Union’s commitment to maintaining communist control through threat and use of force. Soviet ambassador to Portugal in October 1989 spoke on how the Brezhnev Doctrine is dead, and created the idea of the Sinatra Doctrine. By November 1989 it was clear that Gorbachev would not authorise use of force.

Analyse 1 – Very significant as Soviet Union largely held together through use of force, now individual populations no longer feared use of force from Soviets if they were to shift away from the Soviet Union. This served as a green light for satellites to finally withdraw from the Soviet bloc, a desire that had been brewing due to the illegitimacy of their despotic rulers (regime maintained through force). This led to August 1989, Solidarity movement was able to negotiate free elections under a Solidarity led government which the USSR agreed to, marking a shift away from communism. By November 1989, other satellites realised that they could do the same, within a few weeks the communist governments of East Germany, Bulgaria, and Czechoslovakia were ousted.

Evidence 2 - (POINT) his reforms created further instability in the Soviet Union as they alienated his people. Perestroika restructuring of economy, ended state price controls, significant as prices increased and living standards decreased – naturally angered people again, rising instability. Not only working class, but also angered the elites who were benefiting from the status quo of USSR economic status by 1980s, so Gorbachev was receiving opposition from all classes. Furthermore by 1988, Glasnost introduced, allowed criticism of the way in which USSR has been governed.

Analysis 2 - Significant as this gave rise to nationalist feelings which had laid dormant for decades, allowed these alienated classes to criticise the Soviet Union, popular scrutiny and thus popular protest followed – chaos ensued in Soviet Union.

(important – the USSR was introducing reforms to meet needs of Soviet citizens, but this was akin to the 1968 reforms in Czechoslovakia that led to Soviet military intervention, they realised then that the people would ask for more and more reforms but this is exactly what was given here).

Economic Problems

Evidence 1 - the whole of the Soviet empire was struggling economically. Under Brezhnev there had been economic stagnation and decline – a situation that was exacerbated by the USSR’s overseas ventures and the fact that from 1964 to 1982 25% of Soviet GNP was spent on Soviet military in hopes of closing the gap between USA and USSR. In 1987 Soviet State deficit 57 billion roubles, by 1959 it was 100 billion roubles.

Analyse 1 – Significant as GNP spending diverted resources away from other areas of the economy. As a result, the Soviet Union suffered from a lack of consumer goods, declining living standards, and stagnation. The satellite states were tied to the Soviet economy and thus suffered from the same problems as the Soviet Union – shortages in food stuffs and lack of housing and consumer goods; all economic initiatives had been stifled since the failure of the Prague Spring – reinforced their hopes to escape Soviet Union.

Evidence 1.5 - Chernobyl disaster – April 1986 – metaphor for economic decay within Soviet Union

Evidence / Point 2 - Gorbachev’s economic reforms exacerbated the crisis within the USSR. The Anti-Alcohol Campaign in May 1985, alcohol sales dropped as prices of alcohol increased. However, this led to a loss of government revenue, an estimated 100 million rubles lost as alcohol sales moved to the black market.

Analysis 2 – So in the face of economic downturn, this merely exacerbated the problems. Furthermore, the cost of implementing such reforms was greater than the amount of money coming in, creating a budget deficit. By 1988 it was 13% of Soviet GNP, compared to 3.5% in the USA. Increased nationalism.

(could argue this is ultimately Gorbachev’s new thinking)

Counter Argue / Link back to ML – Whilst economic problems had been an issue for years, USSR had survived. It was only after Gorbachev’s reforms when it began to collapse, he could’ve held on like those before him if he desired.

The contagion of nationalism, domino effect

Topic Sentence – domino effect in Eastern Bloc

Evidence 1 – East German Chancellor, Eric Honecker, ignored dissent at home and in other Eastern European states, he wouldn’t give into the pressure from economics, something which had persisted for the past 30 years. However, in May 1989 Hungary removed the fortified fence on its border with Austria, allowing 22,000 East German refugees to instantly cross into Austria.

Analysis 1 – Significant as this caused mounting international pressure, led to Honecker allowing citizens into West Germany if they promised to return. By October 1989 there was widespread opposition throughout East Germany, and revolution was imminent, therefore Krenz replaced Honecker, and economic and political forms were implemented but these weren’t enough – led to November 9th Berlin Wall collapsed, communism had collapsed in East Germany. This was caused by the Hungarian actions.

Evidence 2 - Czechoslovak PM Husák’s resignation on 10 December 1989 amounted to the fall of the communist regime in Czechoslovakia, leaving Ceaușescu’s Romania as the only remaining hard-line communist regime in the Warsaw Pact. Berlin Wall had collapsed in November, Poland had shifted away from communism, so by December 1989 protest was at a great high.

Analysis 2 – Protests ensued, by 22 December, the Romanian military suddenly changed sides and captured Ceausescu, he was executed. Significant as the National Salvation Front took over, advocated free elections, shifted away from communism. It was the growing protest following the recent events in other European states that led to the changes being made.

Link to ML – ultimately, these desires had always been in USSR, take 1968 Czechoslovaki for example – only until Gorbachev reforms did this occur

43
Q

‘Nixon’s policies towards Vietnam, in the years 1968 to 1972, were a total failure’ Assess the validity of this view.

A

Agree

Evidence 1 – Nixon feared threat from Cambodia as Vietcong and PAVN sanctuaries were situated there which had been causing problems in Vietnam since the start of the conflict. This led to him destroying NLF / PAVN headquarters with 20,000 US ground troops on 29th April 1970.

Analysis 1 – Significant as on the 30th June congress imposed military limitations, effectively forcing USA out of Cambodia whilst communist presence remained there. Furthermore the Gulf of Tolken resolution was revoked which stripped Nixon of his power to control the war, furthermore Hanoi boycotted Paris Peace Talks until US fully out of Cambodia. Therefore, this was a failure, communist presence wasn’t completely ousted and this came at a cost of increased anti-war sentiment and instability both in Vietnam and at home.

Evidence 2 – Paris peace talks failure, talks began again in July 1972. October agreement presented, offered a ceasefire,, exchange of POWs, US withdraws from Vietnam, free elections introduced in South Vietnam, South choose their political future. Failed as Thieu felt that he would be vulnerable once US withdraws, didn’t agree.

Analysis 2 - Significant as Nixon agreed to postpone agreement which would allow USA to strengthen Southern army in process, led to North accusing US of abandoning deal, talks broke down.

Evidence 3- Despite closer relations with USA, Nixon / Kissinger failed to pressurise North Vietnam into engaging in a peace process.

Disagree

Evidence 1 – Vietnamisation policy, staged withdrawal of US troops to be replaced by strengthened South Vietnamese forces which was the vehicle to satisfy Nixon’s aim of ‘peace with honor’, withdrawal with whilst retaining credibility as a world power. From June 1969 to June 1972, American troops were reduced from 538,000 to 76,000. South Vietnamese troops had increased from 82,000 in 1968 to 1,000,000 in 1970.

Analyse 1 – This can be argued to be a success as the aims of replacing USA troops with South Vietnamese troops had clearly succeeded,the South Vietnamese had been transformed into an effective fighting force to resist northern aggression.

Counter Argue 1 – However, this is just a superficial success. Vietnamisation continued to make the South Vietnamese reliant on the USA, they were a force fighting a political war rather than an effective fighting force. For example, in 1972 the ARVN resisted the North Vietnam’s spring offensive, but this with support of a US bombing campaign.

Evidence 2 – shifted from search and destroy approach to small unit actions designed to increase control of countryside and cut of insurgents from civilian support. By September 1969, an estimated 50% of South Vietnam was under Saigon’s control compared to only 20% a year prior.

Analyse 2 – Therefore, this can be considered a success as it satisfies the aim behind its creation, it worked.

Evidence 3 - Operation Pheonix, 1968-72, 29,000 suspected VC captured, 18,000 converted, 11,000 killed. Effective in aim of destroyed Vietcong infrastructure, suport in south, but ultimately illlegal so this had ot be shut down, damaged support for war. o

COUNTER - ultimately did not prevent the fall of South Vietnam to communist forces, and the desired goals of achieving a lasting peace and a favorable outcome for the South Vietnamese government were not realized.