cognition- judgement Flashcards
definition of judgement
estimate the probability of a given event occurred based on incomplete information
what is heuristics?
- people make considerable use of rules of thumb or heuristics when making judgement (tversky and kahneman, 1974)
- heuristic is a mental shortcut that helps people make judgements and decisions more quickly with less effort
what are the 2 different types of heuristics?
- representativeness heuristic
- availability heuristic
representativeness heuristic
the assumption that an object or individual belongs to a specific category because it is representative of that category
availability heuristic
people make judgements about the likelihood of an event based on how easily an example, instance, or case comes to mind
what are the 3 judgement theories?
- support theory
- fast and frugal heuristics
- dual process theory
support theory
- argues that more explicit descriptions increase subjective probability
- an explicit description often draw attention to aspects of the event less obvious in the non- explicit description, especially when people have strong feelings about the descriptions
- memory limitations may prevent people remembering all the relevant information if it is not supplied
strengths of the support theory
- there is empirical evidence supporting the theory
- it shows how availability heuristic can lead to errors to judgement
disadvantages to support theory
- the theory does not specify when and how the availability heuristics can lead to errors on probability judgement
- the theory cannot explain the situation where explicit descriptions reduce subject probability
- the theory does not take into account the role of emotion in judgement
fast and frugal heuristics
heuristics are often valuable. they allow rapid processing of relatively little information
strengths of fast and frugal theory
- supported by empirical evidence
- effective in spite of its simplicity
- likely to be used when information redundancy is high
limitations of fast and frugal theory
- heuristics is less often predicted theoretically
- individual differences have been ignored
- underestimates the value of general purpose and logical reasoning
dual process theory