Clinical Decision Making Flashcards
We will treat a patient if the probability is above the
Treatment threshold
We will perform diagnostic testing if the probability is above the
Testing threshold
What is the PICO?
Patient, Intervention, Comparison, Outcome
In therapeutic decision making, what are three questions we want to ask ourselves?
- ) How great is the benefit?
- ) How great is the risk?
- ) How sure am I of these numbers?
To asses how great is the benefit, we want to look at?
RRR vs ARR, and also NNT
To asses how great the risk is, we wanted to compare the
RRI vs ARI, and also the NNH
If a treatment reduces bad outcomes from 4% to 3%, what is the
- ) ARR
- ) RRR
- ) NNT
- ) 1%
- ) 25%
- ) 100
If the treatment increases bad outcomes from 10% to 15%, what is the
- ) ARI
- ) RRI
- ) NNH
- ) 5%
- ) 50%
- ) 20
What diseases are the most common causes of death in women ages 20-40?
Malignancy (Leukemia, Lymphoma, and brain), and HIV
Ratio between the likelihood of a particular test result in those with the disease to the likelihood of the same test result in those without the disease
Likelihood Ratio
How do we calculate the LR for a positive test (LR+)?
Likelihood of positive test in diseased / Likelihood of positive test in non-diseased
Another way to calculate LR+ is?
LR+ = Sensitivity / 1 - specificity
What is the LR (-)?
Likelihood of neg test in diseased / likelihood of neg test in non-diseased
Another way to calculate LR (-) is?
LR (-) = 1 - sensitivity / specificity
A useless LR+ or LR (-) is an LR ~ to
1
A perfect LR+ is
LR+ = infinity. But anything > 10 is good
What is a perfect LR(-)?
LR(-) = 0
But anything < 0.1 is good
How do we calculate post-test probability from LR?
Pretest odds X LR = Post-test odds
A positive test makes a BIG difference in
Post-test probability
A negative test makes a modest difference in
Post-test probability
There is a high potential for over-diagnosis of
Prostate cancer
Typically the largest group in testing is
True negatives
Typically, the smallest group in testing is
False negatives
The only group with a potential medical benefit from mammogram screening is the
-Usually a small group
True positives
An observational study shows that people with cancer detected by screening have many more low-stage (1-2) and many fewer high-stage (3-4) cancers than those presenting with symptoms. This is called
Improved stage distribution
A randomized trial of screening shows that people randomized to the screening arm live much longer after the diagnosis of cancer than people randomized to usual care. This is called
Improved case survival rate