Climate change: physical Flashcards
anthropocene
a human-dominated geological epoch
global radiation balance
solar radiation is the primary energy source of r the ocean-atm system
averaged over a year, the energy balance at the top of the atm is 0
incident energy that comes from the sun is reflected, absorbed, returned to space
greenhouse effect
trapping of heat in the atm
enhanced greenhouse effect
addition of GHGs to the atm results in an intensification of the greenhouse effect
atm conc of CO2 is higher than it has been for at least the last 800,000 years
weather vs. climate
state of the atmosphere at a specific time and place
vs. long-term statistical sum of weather in an area
climate system
the many elements that contribute to creating a climate in a region
natural variability
the variability driven by natural processes (e.g. seasons)
forced variability
variability originating from anthropogenic sources (e.g. increase in CO2 emissions)
climate model
A mathematical representation of the climate system based on physical, biological
and chemical principles that includes atmosphere, ocean, land, and sea ice components
IPCC
scientific and intergovernmental body under the auspices of the United Nations created in 1988
established to assess periodically the science, impacts and socio-economics of climate change and of adaptation and mitigation options
effects of energy imbalance on ocean
Around 93% of the excess heat has been absorbed by the ocean
Involvement of all water column in this uptake
Volcanic eruptions are evident as temporary slow-down of heat uptake
some ocean regions warm faster (e.g. North Atlantic) and the upper ocean warms faster at air-sea interface - transfers heat to interior, but overall increases temp strat in ocean due to surface warming
a smaller warming is detected at depth
circulation slowdown (general)
Hints of a negative trend in the meridional overturning circulation (MOC) strength (0.5 Sv/year)
Would be associated with an increase stratification and decrease in deep water formation
large uncertainties
Observation-based timeseries are too short
The natural variability of the MOC is poorly known and poorly understood
circulation slowdown (thermohaline)
MOC is mainly responsible for carrying excess heat from the tropics to higher latitudes
MOC slowdown would have large consequences on climate in many regions
large consequences on the sequestration of carbon
sea level rise
has increased 1.7 mm/year accelerating to 3 mm/year for last 20 years
total sea level rise since approx 1700 is 30 cm
large variability within basins but relatively consistent across basins, from year to year and decade to decade
2 main causes of sea level rise
thermal expansion of the ocean (thermosteric effect)
land ice melting