CK020 - Probability & Statistics Flashcards
What is the ‘Cumulative Distribution Function’ ?
The probability that a random variable X takes a value less/equal to x
What is the ‘Probability Density Function’ ?
The Probability that a continuous random variable X takes a value in interval [a, b]
How are the CDF and PDF related?
- PDF is the derivative of the CDF
- CDF is the integral of the PDF
What is the ‘variance’ ?
Measures how far the values of a random variable X are spread out from the mean
What is the ‘covariance’ ?
Measure of how much 2 random variables change together
What is a ‘correlation’ ?
Standardized version of the covariance, and is a measure of linear dependence of 2 random variables
What is the ‘estimand’ ?
Parameter of the target population we wish to estimate from a sample
What is the ‘standard error’ ?
Standard deviation of the results from all possible samples
What is the interpretation of a ‘95% CI’ ?
If we had 100 samples with their own 95% CI, we expect 95 of them to contain the ‘true parameter value’
What is the interpretation of a ‘p-value’ ?
The probability to obtain a value for a test statistic at least as extreme as in the original sample under the assumption that the null hypothesis is correct
What is a ‘type 1 error’ ?
Falsely rejecting the H0 (So the H0 is actually true, but we reject it)
What is a ‘type 2 error’ ?
Falsely NOT rejecting H0 (So the H0 is actually NOT true, but we do NOT reject it)
What is ‘sampling variability’ ?
Variability that stems from the fact that our study is only one of the possible samples from the target population