CISI Risk - Chapter 4 Flashcards
What is default risk
Risk of loss caused by the failure of a counterparty or issuer to meet obligations
What is a counterparty
A party of either side of a trade.
What is an obligor?
The party that has the financial obligation
What is the goal of credit risk management?
Maximize a firms risk-adjusted rates of return
What is issuer risk
The risk that the issuer defaults on its obligations
2 examples of issuer risk
Bond issuers defaults on coupon payments
Bankruptcy of issuer before redemption
What is pre-settlement risk?
The risk a firm defaults before the settlement of a transaction
What risk effected Northern Rock in 2007-8?
Credit risk - Short term loans
What us settlement risk
Default of a counterparty during a non-DVP transaction
What is DVP?
Simultaneous exchange of cash for assets
What is PVP
Payment vs Payment - Simultaneous exchange of one currency for another
What is RFP?
Receipt Free of Payment. Asset & Cash are transferred indecently of each other
Credit Risk boundaries - What is People
Adequate segregation of duties
Credit Risk boundaries - What is Systems?
The accuracy and timeliness of credit risk information to management by systems
Credit Risk boundaries - What is Internal Processes
The efficiency and effectiveness of the credit administration process
What two parts make up credit exposure?
Current exposure and potential future exposure
What is credit exposure?
The amount that could be potentially lost if a debtor defaults on its obligations
What is a credit risk premium.
The interest rate a firms pays to borrow compared with the risk free rate. Higher risk higher premium
What is a credit rating
How creditworthy a counterparty is.
The higher the credit rating, the higher or lower the premium?
Lower premium
4 Credit rating agencies
Fitch
Moods
SnP
DBRS
2 issues with credit rating agencies
Opinion based and size/amount of losses are ignored
What rating will a firm need to have to be Investment grade?
AAA-BBB
What rating will a firm need to have to be Speculative Grade?
BB-D
How is potential exposure usually measured?
Statistical techniques such as Value at Risk (VAR)
What are hard factors in credit ratings?
Factual variables that would effect a credit rating?
What are soft factors in credit ratings?
Subjective variables that would effect a credit rating
6 specific criticisms of credit ratings
no capture of market or liquidity risk
Opinion only
Downgrades have not happened quickly enough
Rating agencies have been too familiar with company management
Recent errors of judgement in grading structured products
Too reactive
Expected loss = ? X ? X ?
PD X EAD X LGD