CISI Risk - Chapter 4 Flashcards
What is default risk
Risk of loss caused by the failure of a counterparty or issuer to meet obligations
What is a counterparty
A party of either side of a trade.
What is an obligor?
The party that has the financial obligation
What is the goal of credit risk management?
Maximize a firms risk-adjusted rates of return
What is issuer risk
The risk that the issuer defaults on its obligations
2 examples of issuer risk
Bond issuers defaults on coupon payments
Bankruptcy of issuer before redemption
What is pre-settlement risk?
The risk a firm defaults before the settlement of a transaction
What risk effected Northern Rock in 2007-8?
Credit risk - Short term loans
What us settlement risk
Default of a counterparty during a non-DVP transaction
What is DVP?
Simultaneous exchange of cash for assets
What is PVP
Payment vs Payment - Simultaneous exchange of one currency for another
What is RFP?
Receipt Free of Payment. Asset & Cash are transferred indecently of each other
Credit Risk boundaries - What is People
Adequate segregation of duties
Credit Risk boundaries - What is Systems?
The accuracy and timeliness of credit risk information to management by systems
Credit Risk boundaries - What is Internal Processes
The efficiency and effectiveness of the credit administration process
What two parts make up credit exposure?
Current exposure and potential future exposure
What is credit exposure?
The amount that could be potentially lost if a debtor defaults on its obligations
What is a credit risk premium.
The interest rate a firms pays to borrow compared with the risk free rate. Higher risk higher premium
What is a credit rating
How creditworthy a counterparty is.
The higher the credit rating, the higher or lower the premium?
Lower premium
4 Credit rating agencies
Fitch
Moods
SnP
DBRS
2 issues with credit rating agencies
Opinion based and size/amount of losses are ignored
What rating will a firm need to have to be Investment grade?
AAA-BBB
What rating will a firm need to have to be Speculative Grade?
BB-D
How is potential exposure usually measured?
Statistical techniques such as Value at Risk (VAR)
What are hard factors in credit ratings?
Factual variables that would effect a credit rating?
What are soft factors in credit ratings?
Subjective variables that would effect a credit rating
6 specific criticisms of credit ratings
no capture of market or liquidity risk
Opinion only
Downgrades have not happened quickly enough
Rating agencies have been too familiar with company management
Recent errors of judgement in grading structured products
Too reactive
Expected loss = ? X ? X ?
PD X EAD X LGD
What does PD stand for
Probability of default (%)
What does EAD stand for
Exposure at default (Amount)
What does LGD stand for?
Loss Given Default
What is the equation for the recovery rate?
RR = 100% - LGD
What is a credit event
A recognished industry trigger point
What are some examples of a credit event
Bankruptcy, Insolvency, receivership, failure to meet payments or a credit rating downgrade
What is wrong way risk
The issuing company offer up collateral of their own stocks/assets
What is a non-performing asset
Payments missed for 90 days or more become non-performing
If payments are late for a short time, what are they classed as?
Past-due
5
Limitations on credit risk management
Reliant on quality historical data
Lack of recognition of portfolio diversification
Lack of recognition of the time period of credit risk
Over simplification of calculation of potential exposure
Similar exposures do not have equal credit risk
What is a notional amount?
Charges applied on potential exposure instead of current exposure
What are underwriting standards?
Criteria for evaluation of a counterparties creditworthiness
What is a Guarantee?
Like an insurer that will pay out if the borrower does not pay back the loan
What is a netting agreement?
A netting agreement allows two parties that exchange cash flows to net cash flows to a single payment
What is a Unilateral arrangement?
One party gives collateral to another
What is Bilateral arrangement?
Two-sided obligations.
What uses bilateral arrangements?
Swap or FX trade
What is Netted?
The party who is the net obligor posts collateral for the value of the net obligation (They baso add up all the stuffs and provide one single large overarching collateral)
What is a ‘Haircut’
Additional collateral used to offset rises or falls in the collaterals market price
How to calculate haircut?
Take the bond amount and X by the haircut %.
If £20 Million of AAA bonds are being held as collateral and the haircut is 4%, how much collateral is it?
20 Million + (20 Million x 1.04) = 20.8Million
What is asset securitisation?
Bundling loans together and selling them to investors
What are Loan Sales?
Selling on a loan to an investor. Sorta like re-purcahse
What is a Credit Default Swap (CDS)
Optional insurance to cover any potential losses from a default from a counterparty
What is an SPV used in?
Special Purpose Vehicles used in securitization
At what point will a CDS Payout?
During a credit event. Downgrades are not normally included in this
What is a CCP
A guarantor of all transactions, limiting the exposure to the clearing house and protecting parties from default
What is novation?
Two trading parties offsetting the transaction to the CCP.
3 ways CCPs gain resources to protect from default
Their members
Fees by the exchange
Other parties that do not have a direct relationship with their market
Who approves the credit risk management function?
Board of directors
What is a credit risk managment function?
Maxamise a firms risk adjusted rate of return by managing credit risk exposure with acceptable limits
Who implements the credit risk strategty?
Senior Managers
3 things that happen in a credit risk management function?
Credit risk analysis
Credit decisions are made independently of trading
Integrate credit risk management into general business strategy
How often should a firms credit risk strategy be reviewed?
Annually
Who is responsible for approving and reviewing the firms credit risk strategy?
Directors
4 things the measurement of credit risk should take account of?
Specific nature of the the credit
The exposure profile
The existence of collateral
The potential for default
5 components to credit scoring systems
Age
Credit history
Occupation
Years in current job
Home owner or renting
What are the 2 extraordinary inputs included in a credit assessment?
Court actions and one off factors
What are split ratings>
A financial instrument recieves many many ratings
What is the most popular way of measuring Concentration risk?
Herfindahl-Hirschman index.
Advantage to the HHI index?
Simple computing and moderate data requirments
Disadvantage to the HHI index?
Not consider borrowers credit quality