CIP session 14: Integrated Assessment models of climate change Flashcards
Where is the optimal level of abatement
At the intersection of marginal abatement costs and marginal abatement benefits
Included and excluded categories of IAMs
included: agriculture and fishery, industry, coast zones and urban areas, energy use, tourism and recreation, health
Excluded: economic growth rate, political instability,, migration flows, large biodiversity losses, natural disasters
pro and con of IAMs
PRO: non-market effects are also included, expressed in monetary terms.
CON: based on the categories, climate costst are probably underestimated
Discount rate: What is it used for and what is the motivation to use it?
The discount rate is used to translate future climate change costs in present values by giving a lower weight to costs that occur further away in the future. A higher discount rate implies that a lower weight is given to future costs.
- express impatience; indivuals prefer money now
- future costs matter less if wealth increases due to economic growth
what is a descriptive approach for setting discount rate?
High discount rate between 4.5% and 6%. This implies that far future climate impacts get a negligible weight in current optimal policy.
Prescriprive approach
Low discount rate around 1.5%. which is consistent with low long run economic growth. This implies far future climate impacts get a small, but not negligible weight.
Characteristics of DICE model
- most widely used IAM
- single model for enitite globe (regiona RICE)
- investments are made in emission abatement to limit climate impacts.
Key results of DICE model
- Total cost of unmitigated climate change
- Marginal cost expressed as social costs of carbon
- Optimal pathway for greenhouse gas emissions
Diminishing marginal utility
consumers receive more satisfaction from more income and goods, but this becomes smaller when they become richer
General uncertainties of IAMs
- different results across models
- structural or parameter uncertainty
- shape of the damage function