Chp25 - The Exchange Rate and the Balance of Payments Flashcards
Foreign Currency
- the money of other countries regardless of whether that money is in the form of notes, coins, or bank deposits
- purchased on the foreign exchange market
Foreign Exchange Market
- where currency of one country is exchange for currency of another country
- made up of thousands of people; foreign exchange brokers
- A competitive market; demand and supply determine price
Exchange Rate
- price of one currency in terms of another; price determined by the market
Factors influencing Demand in Foreign Exchange Market
- The Exchange Rate
- World Demand for Canadian Exports
- Interest Rates in Canada and Other Countries
- The Expected Future Exchange Rate
The Law Demand for Foreign Exchange
- the higher the exchange rate = the smaller the quantity of Canadian dollars demanded
- The Exchange Rate influences quantity demand for two reasons: Exports Effect & Expected Profits Effect
- Exports Effect: the larger the value of Canadian exports, the larger is the quantity of Canadian dollars demanded
- low exchange rate = more dollar demand
- Expected Profit Effect: larger the expected profit from holding CDN dollars, the greater demand for CDN dollars
- low exchange rate = greater expected profit = greater demand
Demand Curve for Canadian Dollars
- D Curve (negative)
- rise in exchange rate = lower dollar demand; move up along the curve (and vice versa)
Factors Influencing Supply in the Foreign Exchange Market
- The Exchange Rate
- Canadian Demand for Imports
- Interest Rates in Canada and other Countries
- The Expected Future Exchange Rate
The Law of Supply in Foreign Exchange
- higher exchange rate = greater dollar supplied
- exchange rate influences quantity of dollars supplied for two reasons: Imports Effect, Expected Profit Effect
- Imports Effect: larger value of imports = larger quantity of dollars supplied
- higher exchange rate = lower prices for foreign goods = greater imports = greater supply of CDN dollars
- Expected Profit Effect: higher exchange rate = larger expected profit from selling CDN dollars = greater dollars supplied
Supply Curve for Canadian Dollars
- S Curve (positive)
- rise in exchange rate = increased dollars supplied; movement up on the S curve (and vice versa)
Equilibrium Exchange Rate
- forces of supply and demand constantly pull foreign exchange market towards equilibrium
- gap above equilibrium is surplus and below is deficit
Causes of Change in Demand for CDN Dollars
- World demand for CDN exports
- CDN interest rate relative to foreign interest rate
- CDN rate - foreign rate = CDN Interest Rate Differential
- larger the differential = greater demand for dollars
- The Expected Future Exchange Rate
- higher expected exchange = more demand
- Increase in Demand causes a rightward shift in the D curve
Causes for Change in Supply for CDN Dollars
- Canadian Demand for Imports
- Canadian Interest Rate Relative to Foreign Interest Rate
- smaller differential = smaller supply
- The Expected Future Exchange Rate
- fall in expected exchange rate = increased supply
Changes in Exchange Rate
- Demand for dollar increases & supply does not change = rise in exchange rate (and vice versa)
- supply of dollar increases & supply does not change = fall in exchange rate (and vice versa)
Fundamental Influences on Exchange Rate
- World Demand for CDN Exports, CDN demand for imports, CDN interest rate relative to foreign
Arbitrage
- practice of buying in one market and selling for a high price in another related market
Interest Rate Parity: equal rates of return
- funds move to get the highest expected return
Purchasing Power Parity: equal value of money
- where the price of the same product is the same in respective currencies