Chapter 8: Probability Flashcards
What is probability
- The measure of trust that an individual places on the occurrence of a future event. When observations cannot be predicted with the certainty called random or stochastic events.
- It is based on long-term relative frequencies
What is a sample space
The collection of all possible outcomes of an experiment
What is an event
Any subset of the sample space. It is said to have occurred if anyone of its elements is the outcome when the experiment is conducted
Experiment
The process of making an observation or taking a measurement that leads to a collection of outcomes
What is a random variable
It associates a numerical value with each individual outcome of an experiment
Probability of an individual outcome
The probability of an outcome of an experiment can be described as the relative frequency with which the outcome occurs if we repeat the experiment a large number of times
Conditions for assigning probabilities to individual outcomes
- The probability of each outcome must be between zero and one
- The probability of all outcomes in the sample space must sum up to 1
When is a random variable said to be discrete
If it has either a finite number of values or an infinitely many values that can be grouped in a sequence
What is a continuous random variable
It is if a random variable represents some measurement on a continuous scale and is therefore capable of measuring all values in an interval
What is the probability density function
It describes the distribution of probability for a continuous random variable
What are the properties of a continuous random variable
- The total area under the probability density function/curve is one
- P[a <= X <= b] = area under the probability density curve between a and b
- f(x) >= 0 for all x
The most well-known and important continuous distribution is called
It’s called the normal distribution also called the Gauss distribution
Properties of a normal distribution
- The parameters mean and standard deviation determine the distribution completely
- The population mean is the position of the centre of the curve
- The population standard deviation determines the maximum height of the curve and the amount of the area in any fixed interval about the mean
What is the standard normal probability distribution
The standard normal probability distribution has a bell shaped density with a mean = 0 and a standard deviation = 1
What is a parameter
A numerical feature of a population is called a parameter