Chapter 8 | Illusion Of Control Bias Flashcards
is the tendency of investors to believe that they have a certain degree of control over the outcomes of investment markets! Not all investors believe that they have complete control. However, a lot of them do believe that they have some influence over the market.
Illusion of control bias
Tendency for people to believe that they have more control over things than they really do.
Illusion of Control Bias
This leads us to overestimate our odds of succeeding or getting a positive outcome and invent explanations linking our behavior to some results.
“Mentally Thinking”
Illusion of Control Bias
Reasons why illusion of Control Bias occurs
Desire to Control
Bias towards possibility
Casualty vs. Correlation
ADVICE
Recognize that successful investing is a probabilistic activity
Recognize and avoid circumstances that trigger susceptibility of illusion of control.
Seek contrary of viewpoints.
Maintain record of your transaction.