Chapter 7 Decision Making Flashcards

0
Q

Which one is the objective of decision making process?

A

Make it more rational, to give us consistency in the decision

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1
Q

What is the definition of decision making?

A

Is what manager’s do.

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2
Q

Steps of the decision making process

A
  1. Identify the problem
  2. Identify criteria
  3. Allocate weights to the criteri
  4. Developing alternatives
  5. Analyzing alternatives
  6. Selecting an alternative
  7. Implement the alternative
  8. Evaluate the decision
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3
Q

Rational decision making

A

Choices are consistent
Choices are maximizing value
Choices are made within specific constraints

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4
Q

Assumptions of rationality

A
  1. Problem is clear an unambiguous
  2. Single well-defined goal is to be achieved
  3. All alternatives and consequences are known
  4. Preferences are clear
  5. Preferences are constant and stable
  6. No time or cost constraint exist
  7. Final choice will maximize pay off
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5
Q

Bounded rationality

A

More realistic approach to describing how managers make decisions, managers are bounded by their ability to process information

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6
Q

Intuitive decision making

A

Making decisions on the basis of experience, feelings and accumulated judment.

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7
Q

Problem

A

Discrepancy between what you have vs what you want

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8
Q

Problem identification

A

Discrepancy between what you think you have vs what you really have

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9
Q

Structured problems and programmed decisions

A

Programmed solution : repetitive dcisions that can be handle by a routine approach.( policy, rule, procedure)

Structured problem: clear and easy to define

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10
Q

Unstructured problem

A

Problems that are new or unusual and for which information is ambiguous or incomplete

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11
Q

Nonprogrammed decisions

A

Unique and nonrecurring and involve custom-made solutions

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12
Q

Decisions making conditions

A

Certainty: ideal situation for making decisions

Risk: more common, conditions in which the deciaion maker is able to estimate the likelihood of certain outcomea

Uncertainty: no certain about outcomes and can’t even make reasonable probability estimates.

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13
Q

Decision making styles

A

Your thinking style reflects two things
1. The source of information you tend to use (external data and facts or internal sources such as feelings and intuition)

  1. Wheter you process that information in a linear way (rational, logical, and analytical) or nonlinear way (intuitive, creative, and insightful)
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14
Q

Linear thinking style

A

Preference for using external data and facts and processing this information through rational, logical thinking to guide decisions and actions

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15
Q

Nonlinear thinking style

A

Preference for internal sources of information (feelings and intuition) and processing this information with internal insights, feelings and hunches to guide decisions and actions

16
Q

Managerial decision making :

The decision making process is afected by four factors

A
  1. The decision making approach
  2. The type of problem
  3. Decision making conditions
  4. Decision making style
17
Q

Decision making errors nd biases

A
  1. Overconfidence bias
  2. Inmedite gratification bias
  3. Anchoring effect
  4. Selctive perception bias
  5. Confirmation bias
  6. Framing bias
  7. Availability bias
  8. Representation bias
  9. Randomness bias
  10. Sunk cost error
  11. Self-selving bias
  12. Hindsight bias
18
Q

An effective decision making process:

A
  1. Focuses on what is important
  2. It is logical and consistent
  3. Acknowledges both logical and objective thinking and blends analytical with intuitive thinking
  4. Requires only as much information and analysis as is necessary to resolve a particular dilemma
  5. Encourages and guides the gathering of relevant information and informed opinion
  6. It is straightforward, reliable, easy to use and flexible
19
Q

Desicions

A

It affects many people

Affects the organizations in the long-term

20
Q

Why we study decision making in planning?

A

Because planning is where you make more decisions, because the decisions we make in planning affect the rest of the process

21
Q

Rational decision making

A

Consistency, value maximizing, specific constrai ts

22
Q

Bounded rationality decision making

A

Consistency
value maximizing
within specific constaints
limited by the individuals capacity to process information

23
Q

Intuitive decision making

A

Experience
Feelings
Accumulate judment

24
Q

Decision making process

A

Is more rational that intuitive

25
Q

Decision making matrix

A

Tolerance for ambiguity

Rational/intuitive

26
Q

Guidelines for effective decisions

A
  1. Understanding cultural differences
  2. Know when it’s time to quit
  3. Use an effective decision making process
  4. Build and organization that can adapt quickly to changes to faster decision making