Chapter 7 - Analysis And Evaluation Of Financial Statements Flashcards
What are the key financial indicators?
1) Profitability: main objective is to earn a satisfactory return. Financial analysis ascertains if adequate profits are earned on the capital invested. Also used to understand the earning capacity of a business, its wellbeing and its prospects including the ability to pay interest and dividends.
2) Trend of achievements: comparison of FS with previous years (crucial in respect of expenses, purchases, sales, gross and net profits). Users can compare value of assets and liabilities and also forecast the future prospects of the business
3) Growth potential of the business
4) Comparative position in relation to similar businesses: to study competitive position in respect of sales, expenses, profitability and capital utilisation.
5) Overall financial strength and solvency of the entity: helps with decisions on purchase of new equipment and machines etc. and whether funds can be raised from internal sources or external sources and whether it can meet short-term and long-term liabilities.
What are the key measures to assess the financial strengths and weaknesses of a business?
- Fundamental analysis:
- Economic
- Industry
- Company - Trend analysis:
- Vertical
- Trend or horizontal - Ratio analysis:
- Profitability
- Efficiency
- Liquidity
- Gearing
- Activity
- Investment performance
What is fundamental analysis?
Systematic approach to evaluation of performance. In-depth study of underlying forces that drive a company’s performance and the overall state of the economy in which it operates.
Considers factors such as interest rates, GDP, employment etc.
Main aim is to generate insights and forecasts about the company’s future performance.
What is economic analysis?
Performance of the company mirrors the performance of the economy in which it operates. Different companies and industries perform differently during various stages of an economic/business cycle. The business cycle is measured by fluctuations in the growth of real GDP and other macroeconomic variables such as employment, interest rates and consumer spending and is used to analyse competitors, state of industry and Porter’s five forces for the industry.
There are 4 stages of the economic cycle:
1) Recovery (expansion)
2) Boom (peak)
3) Recession (contraction)
4) Depression (trough)
What is industry analysis?
Evaluation of the relative SWOT of particular industries. It facilitates a company’s understanding of its position relative to other companies that produce similar products or services. An industry goes through stages during the course of its lifecycle. Each stage offers a different set of growth prospects and challenges.
Grodinsky’s industry life cycle theory is segregated into four stages:
1) Pioneer stage: first stage of a new industry where products and technology are newly introduced and have not reached a state of perfection e.g. new mobile apps and software. There is an opportunity for rapid growth and profit but high risk
2) Expansion stage: second stage for those who have survived the pioneer stage. Companies grow larger and are attractive for investment purposes
3) Stagnation stage: growth stabilises and sales grow at a slower rate than experienced by competitive industries or by the overall economy
4) Decay stage: industry becomes obsolete and ceases to exist with the arrival of new products and new technologies (e.g. KODAK/B+W TV)
It requires the business to take an objective view of the underlying forces, attractiveness and success factors that determine the structure of the industry. Consists of 3 aspects:
1) Underlying forces that drive the industry: Porter’s 5 forces (1) Barriers to entry; (2) Bargaining power of customers; (3) Bargaining power of suppliers; (4) d. Availability of substitute goods; (5) Competitors and nature of competition.
2) Attractiveness of the industry: Porter’s 5 forces shows the existence and non-existence of the industry forces. Overall attractiveness of industry is considered. More barriers to entry will make an industry unattractive.
3) Success factors required for the company’s survival: pre-requisite qualities that determine whether a company is successful or not. Companies need to identify an edge which will provide success in the long-term. Edge = better quality, fair prices, cost advantages etc.
What is company analysis?
Evaluates information relating to the company’s profile, products and services as well as profitability and financial position. Investors will consider factors in the company’s history that have contributed to shaping the company. Different companies from the selected industry are evaluated so the most attractive company can be found. Elements include:
1) An overview of the company
2) Analysis of competitive strategies
3) Analysis of FS.
What is trend analysis?
Process of analysing financial data to identify any consistent results or trends. Trends can be horizontal or vertical.
Changes can be measured in percentage terms or absolute numbers. Trend analysis is helpful in:
• Analysing revenue patterns across products, geography or customers
• Checking the impact of any unusual one-off expenditure in a period
• Preparing financial projections for the company
• Comparing results from multiple companies in the same industry.
What is horizontal analysis?
Compares line items in a company’s financial statements or financial ratios over multiple time periods. Tracks the history and progress of a company’s performance by comparing items or financial ratios over multiple reporting periods. Formula for calculating change in a line item is as follows:
Current period amount – base period amount (prior period amount)
A better trend analysis is provided by the change in percentage, calculated as:
(current period amount – base period amount) ÷ base period amount
What is vertical analysis?
Proportional analysis of line items as a percentage of base items (as a percentage of sales for P+L and as a percentage of assets for BS). Provides a greater understanding of how sales revenue is being utilised within the business which will result in investigations where level of activity isn’t as expected. Vertical analysis is always done for a single reporting period rather than over multiple periods.
Useful for seeing changes in line items over a period
Calculated as: item ÷ sales or assets x 100
What are the 5 categories of ratio analysis?
1) Profitability ratios – measure effectiveness of capital and asset utilisation. Comprises of margin ratios (ability to convert sales into profits) and return rations (ability to generate returns to shareholders)
2) Asset efficiency or turnover ratios
3) Liquidity or solvency ratios
4) Gearing or debt ratios
5) Investment or market value ratios
What is the calc and purpose of Gross Profit Margin?
Measures how much company is earning in relation to the costs to produce goods.
(Gross profit ÷ sales) × 100
Where gross profit = sales – cost of goods sold.
Underlying drivers = selling prices, product mix, purchase costs, production cost and inventory valuations
What is the calc and purpose of Operating Profit Margin?
Measures percentage of sales after accounting for operating expenses. Higher operating profit margin = comfortably pay for fixed cost and interest. Drivers = employment policy, depreciation methods, write-off of bad debt, selling and marketing expenses
(Operating profit ÷ sales) × 100
Where operating profit = sales – cost of goods sold – operating expenses
What is the calc and purpose of Net Profit Margin?
Measures earnings after tax. Reflects strength of management in achieving profits above operating costs. The higher the ratio, the more favourable it is for the company. Can also use net profit before tax.
(Net profit ÷ sales) × 100
Where net profit = sales – cost of goods sold – operating expenses – non-operating expenses + non-operating income – income tax
What is the calc and purpose of Return on Equity?
Measures ability to provide returns to equity holders. Higher the ratio = more favourable for company
Net income ÷ total equity
Where net income = sales – cost of goods sold – operating expenses – non-operating expenses – income tax
What is the calc and purpose of Return on Assets?
Measures how effectively assets are used in comparison to the income earned. Economies of scale help in improving this ratio. Higher the ratio = more favourable for company
Net income ÷ total assets
Where net income = sales – cost of goods sold – operating expenses – non-operating expenses – income tax