Chapter 7 Flashcards
Locational Arbitrage
FX quotations differ among banks
the act of LA should force the FX quotations of banks to become realigned, and make arbitrage disappear
Triangular Arbitrage
related to cross exchange rates
CER between 2 currencies is determined by the values of these 2 currencies with respect to a 3rd one
if actual CER of these 2 differs from the rate that should exist –> we have TA
the act of TA should force cross exchange ates to become realigned, at which time TA would disappear
CIA
based on the RS between fwd premium & interest rat differential
the size of the p/d of the fwd rate of the currency should be = interest rate differential
if the fwd p/d deviates substantially from IR differentials –> CIA would appeared
In this type of arbitrage, foreign short-term investment in foreign currency is covered by a fwd sale of that foreign currency
IRP
Interest Rate Parity
theory stating that the size of the fwd p/d = to interest rate differential between 2 countries
when IRP exists, CIA is NOT feasible since IR advantage in the foreign country will be offset by the discount on fwd rate
Thus act of COIA would generate a return that is no higher than what would be generated by a domestic investment
describe transaction cost effects on IRP and CIA
TC further the distance away from IRP for CIA to be worthwhile
Describe Political Risk of IRP and CIA
investing overseas is subject to political risk
there is no guarantee that the foreign country will reconvert funds to domestic currency
crisis may force foreign governments to restrict currency conversion
there is a possibility foreign government will default on their debt
Describe tax laws effect on IRP and CIA
taxes must be considered
CIA may be feasible before taxes are considered but not after
Describe how different maturity dates affect forward premiums
The forward premium or discount will depend on the interest rate at different maturity dates - the relationship between yield curve of different countries is relevant. The amount of money needed to hedge the investment will change with this potential discount or premium
Factors which influence Forward Rate
same factors which influence spot rate - inflation and interest rate differentials.
CIA
Meaning
“interest arbitrage” –> process of capitalising on the IR differential between two currencies
“covered” –> hedging position against ER Risk (fwd contract - lock fwd rate)
Graphs:
IRP - fwd p/d and IR D
above graph - invest at home
below - invest abroad (CIA)
Does IRP always hold?
when IRP doesn´t hold –> engage in CIA ?
CIA still may not be worthhil due to other factors of foreign investment (transaction costs, political risk, diff. tax laws)