Chapter 6 Flashcards
fixed Exchange rate system
held constant
or allowed to fluctuate only within a very narrow boundaries
freely floating Exchange Rate
ER values are determined by market forces without intervention
managed float systm
ER are not restricted by boundaries but are subject to government intervention
pegged exchange rate system
currency´s value is pegged to a foreign currency o unit of account
moves in line with that currency (or unit of account) against other currencies
Direct Intervention
Central Bank
use their currency reserves to buy up a spec. currency in FX Market so as to place upward pressure on that currency (demand > supply)
attempt to force currency depreciation by flooding the market with that spec. currency (sell that currency in exchange for others)
E.g. depreciation of EUR can cause demand for euro imports and thus stimulate eco. growth
Indirect Intervention
Central Bank
increase value of HC by increasing IR - thus attracting foreign demand for home currency to buy high-yield securities
decrease value - lower IR
weak home currency effect
increase country´s export & decrease imports
lowering unemployment
cause higher Infl. ate since reduction in foreign competitions (currency is worth less in foreign countries)
local producer can more easily increase prices without concern about pricing themselves of the market
strong home currency effect
keep inflation low (encourages consumer to buy abroad)
local producers must maintain low prices to remain competitive
foreign supply can be obtain cheaply helping inflation remain low
BUT increase unemploym. due to imports > exports
Indirect Intervention vs Market Forces
Asian Bank rises IR to prevent their currency weakening
but high IR didn´t offset outflows of funds, as investors had no confidence that currencies would stabilise & unwilling to invest in Asia
Reasons for using Pegged system
attempt to reduce speculative flows that occur because of ER volatility
it tries to comfort investors by making them believe that currency will be more stable
typical forces that break peg if country is not able to maintain it
foreign inv. become concerned that peg breaks –> currency may decline by more than 20% against home
adverse effect return on investment thus they try to liquidate their investment and move their fund out of that currency
places downward pressure as S>D
CB may attempt to offset these forces by buying the currency in FX Market (but has only limited currency reserves thus becomes overwhelmed)
Fixed ER
Benefits
ex/importers could engage in IT without concern of ER movement (linked to currency)
invest in foreign country knowing ER to which convert CF back –> makes MNC easier
any firm needing to obtain f.c in the future would be insulated from risk of c. appreciating
any firm needing to accept f.c payment would be insulated from risk of c. depreciating
investors would be able to invest in funds without concern f.c might weaken
country with stable ER attracts more funds (stabilise country &support eco. growth)
Fixed ER
criticism
remains risk that government can alter the currency value
obviously not continual movement but risk of de/revaluation
macro approach fixed rat makes a country & firms more vulnerable to eco. conditions in other countries
–> “exporting” inflation &unemployment
speculation if Er is set artificial level (too high/low)
–> Smithsonian & Bretton Woods still cause trade imbalances
Free floating Rate
Benefits
country is more insulated from problems of other countries
(e.g. inflation/unemployment)
freedom of CB in their intervention policies (they aren´t required to constantly maintain Er within spec. boundaries)
not required to implement intervention policy that may have unfav. effect on economy just to control ER
government can implement policies without concern if policy will maintain ER within spec. boundaries
ER adjustments serve as protection against “exporting” eco. problems to other countries
more freedom of capital flow and hence more efficiency within the financial market
floating
Disadvantage
benefit from country who is isolated from this “exporting problem” risk is a disadvantage fro country initially experienced eco problem
government will have in/direct intervention when adversely affects eco. condition of country (or CB)
but sometimes this won´t help as marker forces are too strong!!!