Chapter 6 Flashcards
Nominal interest rates
expressed in units of currency, such as the 6.8% T-bill rate.
Real interest rates
- expressed in a basket of goods and represent the value of payment in the future.
- to calculate, we must adjust nominal rates for expected inflation.
- The derivation involves adjusting nominal rates to pay for the value of goods, not just currency
- based on the price of goods, such as bread
distinction between nominal and real interest rates
- depends on expected inflation.
- Nominal interest rate is the interest rate charged, and
- the real interest rate is the nominal interest rate except corrected for expected inflation in the future.
implications of equation (6.4)
- real interest rate is typically LOWER than the nominal interest rate because expected inflation is typically positive.
- When expected inflation equals ZERO, the nominal and the real interest rates are the SAME
- For a given nominal interest rate, the HIGHER the expected inflation rate, the LOWER the real interest rate.
All the equations interpretation
- real interest rate is based on expected inflation, so it is sometimes called the ex-ante (“before the fact”) real interest rate.
- The realized real interest rate (1 − π) is called the ex-post (“after the fact”) interest rate.
- The interest rate that enters the IS relation is the real interest rate.
- The zero lower bond of the nominal interest rate implies that the real interest rate cannot be lower than the negative of inflation.
Risk premia
determined by:
1.1 The probability of default
1.2 The degree of RISK AVERSION of bond holders
Probability of default
The higher the default probability and the greater the risk aversion, the higher the necessary risk premium.
degree of risk aversion
- contributes to the risk premium.
- If people become more risk averse, the risk premium increases even if the probability of default hasn’t changed.
The role of financial intermediaries
- receive funds from investors and lend them to others.
- borrow and lend, charging a slightly higher interest rate than the rate at which they borrow to make a profit.
- They have specialized expertise about specific borrowers and can tailor lending to their needs
capital ratio
the ratio of its capital to its assets
leverage ratio
- the ratio of assets to capital.
- A HIGHER leverage ratio implies a HIGHER expected profit rate, but also a HIGHER risk of bankruptcy and INSOLVENCY
Risk of liquidity on financial intermediaries
- Low liquidity of assets implies a high risk of being sold at FIRE SALE PRICES (below true value)
- higher liquidity of liabilities (demand deposits) ), the higher the risk of fire sales. This may lead to insolvency and facing BANK RUNS
Bank Runs
- occur when depositors panic and withdraw their money.
- A bank with good loans can fail due to rumours about its financial health.
solution to bank runs
- Narrow banking, which restricts banks to safe government bonds, could eliminate bank runs.
- The Fed also implemented liquidity provision so that banks could borrow overnight from other financial institutions.
To limit bank runs
- Federal Deposit insurance is a common way of preventing bank runs in advanced countries.
- SARB and National Treasury are reviewing a deposit insurance scheme (DIS) to address bank failures but such insurance can lead to reckless bank behavior.