Chapter 5 Flashcards
Equilibrium in the Goods Market
The demand for goods is an increasing function of output.
Equilibrium requires that the demand for goods be equal to output.
The Goods Market and the IS Relation
- ZZ is upward-sloping because, for a given value of the interest rate, an increase in output leads to an increase in the demand for goods through its effects on consumption and investment.
- ZZ is a curve rather than a line because we have not assumed that the consumption and investment relations in equations are linear.
- ZZ is flatter than the 45-degree line because we have assumed that an increase in output leads to a less than one-for-one increase in demand.
- The intersection of ZZ and the 45-degree line (point A) is the equilibrium level of output
The Derivation of the IS Curve
(a) An increase in the interest rate decreases the demand for goods at any level of output, leading to a decrease in the equilibrium level of output.
(b) Equilibrium in the goods market implies that an increase in the interest rate leads to a decrease in output.
The IS curve is therefore downward sloping.
Shifts of the IS Curve
- An increase in taxes shifts the IS curve to the left.
- Downward-sloping IS curve: Equilibrium in the goods market implies that an increase in the interest rate leads to a decrease in output.
- Shifting the IS curve: Changes in factors that decrease (increase) the demand for goods given the interest rate shift the IS curve to the left (right).
The LM Curve
The central bank chooses the interest rate (and adjusts the money supply so as to achieve it).
Financial Markets and the LM Relation
- The IS and LM relations together determine output.
- Any point on the downward sloping IS curve corresponds to equilibrium in the goods market.
- Any point on the horizontal LM curve corresponds to equilibrium in financial markets.
- Only at their intersection (point A) are both equilibrium relations satisfied.
The IS–LM Model
- Equilibrium in the goods market implies that an increase in the interest rate leads to a decrease in output.
- This is represented by the IS curve.
- Equilibrium in financial markets is represented by the horizontal LM curve. Only at point A, which is on both curves, are both goods and financial markets in equilibrium.
Fiscal Policy
Decrease in G–T ⇔ fiscal contraction ⇔ fiscal consolidation
Increase in G–T ⇔ fiscal expansion
Steps for analyzing the effects of changes in policy or exogenous variables
- Does it shift the IS curve and/or the LM curve?
- What does this do to equilibrium output and the equilibrium interest rate?
- Describe the effects in words
The Effects of an Increase in Taxes
An increase in taxes shifts the IS curve to the left.
This leads to a decrease in the equilibrium level of output
Monetary Policy
Decrease in i ⇔ increase in M ⇔ monetary expansion
Increase in i ⇔ decrease in M ⇔ monetary contraction ⇔ monetary tightening
The Effects of a Decrease in the Interest Rate
A monetary expansion shifts the LM curve down, and leads to higher output
Using a Policy Mix
- Monetary-fiscal policy mix is the combination of monetary and fiscal policies.
- Suppose that the economy is in a recession and output is too low.
- Both fiscal and monetary policies can be used to increase output.
The Effects of a Combined Fiscal and Monetary Expansion
The fiscal expansion shifts the IS curve to the right.
A monetary expansion shifts the LM curve down.
Both lead to higher output
The South African Growth Rate
- After the longest expansion phases (which lasted 99 months), the South African economy experienced an economic recession starting in the fourth quarter of 2008.
- The recession was triggered by the fall falling of house prices in the United States, known as the subprime mortgage crisis