Chapter 6 Flashcards

1
Q

What are heuristics? (3)

A

rule of thumb
educated guesses
gut feelings

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2
Q

What situation makes us more mental shortcuts?

A

under stress
emotions are running high

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3
Q

What is inertia or myopia in investments?

A

when someone has made a decision, they tend to leave them unchanged

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4
Q

What is status quo bias? (2)

A

when people stick with their prior choices

especially when its too complex

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5
Q

What is the availability heuristic?

A

if something comes to mind when asked a question

it must be relevant or important

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6
Q

Give an example of availability heuristic (2)

A

When someone ask about cause of death

they say what they heard recently in news

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7
Q

What is confirmation bias?

A

more likely to seek information that confirms existing position

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8
Q

What happens in confirmation bias?

A

ignore potentially useful information that refutes their preconceptions

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9
Q

What is overreaction bias? (2)

A

overreact to new information

investments overbought or oversold

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10
Q

How do people try to profit from overreaction?

A

look for companies that price fell more than should have because of bad news

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11
Q

What is representativeness?

A

assuming that similarity in one aspect leads to similarity in other aspects

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12
Q

What is herd behaviour?

A

following each other irrationally

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13
Q

Why does herding happen? (2)

A

social pressure to conform
decisions less likely to be incorrect if more people make them

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14
Q

what is another term for herd behaviour?

A

also referred to as a self-fulfilling prophecy

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15
Q

What is anchoring?

A

fix on an initial value as an unconscious reference point

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16
Q

how to prevent anchoring in investments?

A

base decisions on fundamentals rather than in relation to the ‘anchor price’

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17
Q

What is overconfidence?

A

exaggerated view of one’s own abilities and judgement

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18
Q

how does overconfidence apply to investments?

A

investors overestimate their predictive ability

19
Q

Example of overconfidence in analysts

A

slow to revise their previous assessment of a company’s future performance

20
Q

Example of overconfidence in clients (2)

A

clients answers to risk questionnaires

might suggest they are more risk tolerant than is true

21
Q

What is gambler’s fallacy?

A

failure to appreciate the implications of randomness and probability

22
Q

Example of gambler’s fallacy in gambling

A

there is a pattern on outcome of roulette wheel

23
Q

Example of gambler’s fallacy in investing (2)

A

mean reversion

performance of asset market will correct itself to long average

24
Q

What is hindsight bias?

A

when investor find event to have been entirely predicable after the fact

25
What is naive diversification?
individuals often find it difficult to evaluate, and choose between, different options
26
Example of naive diversification (3) 🍕
pension asked to pick 5 different funds splits money equally to each five doesn't think about the interaction between them or their risk profiles
27
What is mental accounting? (2)
people mentally frame assets as belonging to different categories or accounts fail to recognise that all money is equivalent
28
What irrational decisions can happen with mental accounting? (3)
propensity to consume from each account is different might save at low-interest rates borrow at high rates
29
What is loss aversion?
more discomfort from loss than positive emotions from a gain
30
what is implication of loss aversion for investment behaviour? (2)
premature realisation of investment gains loss aversion and even avoidance
31
Why might some people be more loss averse?
- lack of financial capacity to bear loss - lack of financial capability to understand the meaning of investment loss - Psychological reluctance or unwillingness to bear a loss
32
What is interim loss?
loss during period of investment not near the end of investment horizon
33
five different loss types Adfrl
amount duration frequency relative linearity
34
What is regret aversion?
desire to avoid feeling the pain of regert from a poor investment decision
35
What bad investment decisions might be made with regret aversion (2)
hold poor performing shares less likely to invest in markets that have performed poorly in the past
36
What is framing?
individuals influenced by the form in which decisions are presented to them
37
What is mood and emotion heuristic?
decisions based on mood or emotions is not rational
38
what is local bias?
invest in stocks of local companies
39
what is local bias?
invest in stocks of local companies
40
why does local bias happen?
investors think they have more information about companies near them, helping them outperform
41
what is path of least resistance?
people make the easy choice as they don't want to struggle
42
What is prospect theory? (2)
people respond differently to equivalent situations depending on whether it is presented in context of a loss or a gain
43
What is regret theory about?
people's emotional reaction to having made an error of judgement