Chapter 5 - FX (2/3) Flashcards
What is a FX market?
Where converting currencies takes place
What is a SPOT XR?
AN XR which is quoted for immediate delivery of currency
What is a FORWARD XR
agreed on now for delivery of currency on a future date
What is a DIRECT quote?
How many of the home currency can be obtained from a single unit of the foreign currency
£/$
What is a INDIRECT quote
how many of the foreign currency can be obtained from a single unit of the foreign currency
$/£
What is the mathematical relationship between Direct and Indirect?
Direct = 1/Indirect
How are XR’s reported
As a bid - offer range
$/£ N1 - N2
the bank buys high and sells low
In a free market, how is XR established?
In a free market, XR is set by interaction by demand-supply
XR ($/£) vs Q
FOr UK, If £ is converted to other S is shifted out
If other converted to £, D is shifted out
What does £ strengthening mean?
INCREASE in $/£
cheaper for UK to buy US goods
more expensive for US to buy UK
What does £ weakening mean?
DECREASE in $/£
More expensive for UK to buy US goods
Cheaper for US to buy UK
What influences XR?
1) Interest Rates - UP UP
2) Inflation Rates UP DOWN
3) Balance of Payments M>X DOWN
4) Speculation
How does Interest Rate influence XR?
If interest rates INCREASE in UK more than US
Increase in demand for UK, increase in spot rate
Forward rate $/£ adjusted
Forward rate ($/£) = spot rate ($/£) * (1+Interest rate $/1+Interest rate £)
How does inflation rate influence XR?
Inflation erodes purchasing power
One country has Higher inflaction to another
weakens currency of Higher Inflation
LI/HI DECREASE
Future spot rate(a/b) = spot rate (a/b)* (1 + inf rate a/1+inf rate b)
How does balance of payments influence XR?
If imports > exports
-weakens the currency = DECREASE F/H
How does Speculation influence XR?
People try to make gains by trading in currencies
If this happens in large quantities, this can influence the whole market