Chap 9 Flashcards
what is independent variable
X
What is dependent variable
Y
methods to estimate dependant variable
high low method
linear regression (Y=TC, a=FC b=VCpU X=output)
What is high low menthod
for highest and lowest, total cost and output
1) find differences
2) Find VCpU
3) using VCpU find FC
4) TC = FC + VCpU*X
what is coreelation coefficient
-r
-1 < r < 1
-strength of relationship between variables
What is coefficient of determination
r^2
0< r^2 < 1
proportion of change in y by x
N% of change in total cost is explained by change in output
Rank correlation coefficiant
R
-Shows relationship between order of results with another
-1 < R < 1
d = difference in order
What are the four components of a time series
Trend - long term movement
Seasonal - short term periodic fluctuations
Cyclical - long term periodic fluctuations - e.g. economu
Random - eg weather
How to identify a trend
1) draw a graph
2) moving averages
3) linear regression
Moving averages
- Calculated moving averages
- Centre moving averages
- Calculate seasonal impact
- Average quarterly increase (H-L/no of Q)
- FInd average season values
- Forecast