CHAPTER 5: CAPITAL INVESTMENTS & CAPITAL ALLOCATION Flashcards

1
Q

Capital Investments

A

Investments with a life of one year or more.

Purpose: Generate value for shareholders.

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2
Q

Capital Allocation

A

Process of making capital investment decisions.

Importance: Impacts a company’s future

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3
Q

Accounting for Capital Investments

A

Balance Sheet: Shown as long-term assets.

Income Statement: Cost recorded as non-cash depreciation/amortization over the asset’s life.

Net Value: Initial cost minus accumulated depreciation; declines to zero or salvage value at end of life.

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4
Q

Types of Capital Projects

A

Reasons for Investment:

  1. Maintain Business: Keep current operations running smoothly.
  2. Grow Business: Expand the company’s size and capabilities.
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5
Q

Projects to Maintain Business

A
  1. Going Concern Projects:

Purpose: Continue current operations, improve efficiency.
Example: Machine replacement, infrastructure improvement.

  1. Regulatory/Compliance Projects:

Purpose: Meet safety and compliance standards required by third parties.
Example: Factory pollution control, performance bond posting.

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6
Q

Going Concern Projects

A

Purpose: Continue current operations, maintain business size, improve efficiencies.

  1. Common Projects: Replacing assets at end of useful life, maintaining IT hardware/software.
  2. Revenue Impact: Typically do not increase revenues but can save costs.
  3. Evaluation: Easier to evaluate compared to other projects.
  4. Funding: Match financing with asset lifespan (e.g., 20-year bond for a 20-year asset).
  • Long-term assets with short-term financing: Rollover risk (short-term costs may rise). AGGRESSIVE.
  • Short-term assets with long- term financing: Risk of overpaying in financing costs. CONSERVATIVE.
  1. Capital Spending Estimate: Look at depreciation and amortization expense on the income statement.
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6
Q

Projects to Expand Business

A
  1. Expansion Projects:

Purpose: Increase business size, involve higher risk.
Example: New product development, mergers, acquisitions.

  1. Other Projects:

Purpose: High-risk investments outside conventional business lines.
Example: Exploration of new innovations, business models, or ideas.

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7
Q

Regulatory Compliance Projects

A

Purpose: Meet safety and compliance standards required by third parties (e.g., government).

  1. Revenue Impact: Unlikely to increase revenue; may increase compliance costs.
  2. Industry Protection: Can act as barriers to entry, protecting profitability.
  3. Evaluation: Determine if business remains profitable after compliance costs.
  4. Cost Management: Often passed to customers; high costs might lead to ceasing operations or shutting down affected parts.
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8
Q

Expansion of Existing Business

A

Purpose: Expand business size, higher risk and uncertainty than going concern projects.

  1. High-Spending Industries: Pharmaceuticals, oil, and gas (over 10% of revenues).
  2. Acquisitions: Pursued if internal expansion opportunities are limited.
  3. Risks: Overpaying and integration difficulties.
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9
Q

Steps in Capital Allocation Process

A
  1. Idea Generation

Importance: Most crucial step.
Sources: Can come from within the organization or external sources (customers, vendors).
Goal: Identify projects that add long-term value.

  1. Investment Analysis

Purpose: Gather information to forecast cash flows and compute project profitability.
Output: List of profitable projects.

  1. Planning and Prioritization

Fit with Strategy: Ensure profitable projects align with the company’s long-term strategy.
Timing: Consider appropriateness of project timing.
Scheduling/Prioritizing: Important for project success.

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9
Q

New Lines of Business and Other Projects

A

Purpose: High-risk investments, new growth initiatives outside conventional business lines.

  • Common in: Privately held companies or public companies under founding owner/significant shareholder control.
  • Venture Capital Element: Potential for complete investment loss; high profitability if successful.
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10
Q

Capital Allocation

A

Process used by management to make capital investment decisions.

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11
Q

Net Present Value (NPV)

A

Definition: Present value of future after-tax cash flows minus the investment outlay.

NPV= -inv + CF1/(1+r)^1 + CF2/(1+r)^2 + CF3/(1+r)^3

r: Discount rate

Decision Rule:

  1. Independent Projects:

If NPV > 0: Accept
If NPV < 0: Reject

  1. Mutually Exclusive Projects:

Accept the project with the higher and positive NPV

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12
Q

Fivestar Industries is one of the largest food companies in Pakistan, manufacturing a wide range of confectionery, biscuits, snacks and packaging films. Its products are exported to more than 30 countries around the globe. Which of the following capital investment projects being considered by the company will be most likely classified as an “other” project?

A Investment to develop customized confectionery products for new customers in Africa.
B Funding of an extensive research on edible food packaging. Similar efforts by several other companies have been not been successful to date.
C Investment to modify production process to comply with recently issued regulatory guidelines regarding emissions reduction.

A

MAINTAIN OR GROW
A= MAINTAIN
C= GROW

THUS, B.

B is correct. The funding of an extensive study on edible food packaging appears to be a project that is likely to be classified as an “other” project. Other Projects include high-risk investments and new growth initiatives, that are outside the company’s conventional business lines. These projects tend to have a venture capital element to them. There will probably be a complete loss of investment, but if successful the project could be highly profitable.

A is not correct. Investment to develop new customized confectionery products for new customers in Africa would be classified an expansion project. These are projects that increase business size, usually by investing in the development of new products or services and/or by the acquisition of other companies.

C is not correct. Investment to modify production process to comply with recently issued regulatory guidelines regarding emissions reduction would be classified as regulatory/compliance project. These are projects typically required by a third party, such as the government regulatory body, to meet specified safety and compliance standards.

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13
Q

Which of the following statements is least accurate about capital investments?

A These are investments with a life of one year or more.
B Companies make capital investments to generate value for their shareholders.
C Working capital and capital structure describe a company’s prospects better than its capital investments.

A

C is correct.

Capital investments describe a company’s future prospects better than its working capital or capital structure, which are often similar for companies.

They provide insight into the quality of management’s decisions and how the company is creating value for stakeholders.

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14
Q

Which of the following will most likely be classified as an ‘expansion project’?

A Investment by a cement manufacturer to replace aging factory machinery with similar but more efficient equipment.
B Investment by an oil and gas company to discover energy reserves.
C Investment to modify production process to comply with recently issued regulatory guidelines regarding emissions reduction.

A

MAINTAIN OR GROW.

A= MAINTAIN
C= MAINTAIN
THUS, B= GROW. CORRECT.

B is correct. Investment by an oil and gas company to discover energy reserves is an example of an expansion project. These are projects that expand business size and typically involve greater degrees of risk and uncertainty than going concern projects.

A is an example of a going concern project which are necessary to continue current operations and maintain existing size of the business or to improve business efficiencies.

C is an example of a regulatory/compliance project.

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15
Q

Compute the NPV for Projects A and B given the following data:

Cost of capital = 10%

Expected Net after Tax cash flows:

Project A: Initial investment = $-1,000
Year 1 = $500,
Year 2 = $400,
Year 3 = $300,
Year 4 = $100

Project B: Initial investment = $-1,000,
Year 1 = $100,
Year 2 = $300,
Year 3 = $400,
Year 4 = $600

A

NPV (A)= -1000 + 500/1.1 + 400/1.1^2 + 300/1.1^3 + 100/1.1^4= 78.82

NPV (B)= -1000 + 100/1.1 + 300/1.1^2 + 400/1.1^3 + 600/1.1^4= 49.18

A IS BETTER.

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16
Q

Net Present Value (NPV

A

Excel Functions:

NPV: =NPV(rate, values)
XNPV: =XNPV(rate, values, dates)

Parameters:
rate: Discount rate
values: Cash flows
dates: Dates of each cash flow (for XNPV)

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17
Q

Internal Rate of Return (IRR)

A

Discount rate that makes the present value of future cash flows equal to the investment outlay.

Discount rate which makes NPV equal to 0.

0 = CF1/(1+R)^1 + CF2/(1+R)^2
IF R>r= accept; else, reject

  1. ASSUMES REINVESTMENT OF CFs
  2. Not Useful for projects with Unconventional CFs (1st CF is not negative)= in this case, there are more than 1 discount rates that will produce NPV= 0
  3. NPV is also a DIRECT measure of expected increase in firm value
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18
Q

Decision Rule for IRR

A

A. Independent Projects:

  1. Accept: If IRR > required rate of return (cost of capital adjusted for project riskiness)
  2. Reject: If IRR < required rate of return

Required Rate of Return: Also called ‘hurdle rate’

B. Mutually Exclusive Projects:

Accept: Project with higher IRR (if IRR > cost of capital)

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19
Q

Compute IRR for projects A and B given the following data:

Cost of Capital: 10%
Expected Net After Tax Cash Flows:
Project A:
Year 0: -1,000
Year 1: 500
Year 2: 400
Year 3: 300
Year 4: 100

Project B:
Year 0: -1,000
Year 1: 100
Year 2: 300
Year 3: 400
Year 4: 600

A

A= 14.49% (this is >10%) so good
B= 11.79 (this is >10%) so also good
A>B so better.

Done using BA2+

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20
Q

Why do we assume NPV= 0 in IRR

A

When NPV, is zero it means that the investment earns a rate of return equal to the discount rate.

This makes understanding IRR much easier because an investment that uses a 10% discount rate that returns an NPV of zero indicates the investment would yield a 10% return.

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21
Q

Internal Rate of Return (IRR): Calculation Methods in Excel

A

IRR or =IRR(values, guess)
XIRR or =XIRR(values, dates, guess)

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22
Q

Ranking Conflicts between NPV and IRR:

A
  1. For single projects, no conflict exists between NPV and IRR.
  2. Mutually exclusive projects can show conflicting results due to cash flow patterns and project scale.
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23
Q

Consider the following information for two mutually exclusive projects:

Project: NPV: IRR%
X: 640: 18%
Y: 5200:7%

The firm should most likely accept:

A project X.
B project Y.
C both X and Y.

A

B is correct. Whenever the NPV and IRR rank two mutually exclusive projects differently, the decision is made based on the NPV decision rule. Capital Investments.

USE NPV as decision rule

23
Q

Comparison with NPV:

A

Projects with positive NPV typically have ROIC higher than the COC.

ROIC provides insight into the profitability of projects and overall capital efficiency.

23
Q

Reasons for Conflict:

Decision Rule in Conflict Resolution:

A

Differences in cash flow timing and project sizes contribute to conflicting rankings.

Decision Rule in Conflict Resolution:

  1. Always prioritize NPV over IRR in case of conflict.

NPV directly measures the expected increase in firm value and assumes realistic reinvestment rates.

24
Q

NPV: Advantages & Disadvantages

A

Advantages:

Direct measure of expected increase in firm value.
Allows comparison against required rate of return.

Disadvantages:

Does not consider project size.
Potential conflicts with IRR analysis.

24
Q

Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)

A

ROIC (Return on Invested Capital) is calculated as:
ROIC= After-taxOp.Profit/ Avg.InvestedCapital

ROIC= NOPAT/equity+debt+minority interest

Creates value or not? Value Creation Ratio
NOPAT or EBIAT= EBIT (1-Tax Rate)

AP & other current/non-current liabilities are NOT considered as Invested Capital (because non-interest bearing)

Warren Buffet= Buy High ROIC (20-25% long term competitive advantage) for LONG PERIODS where MANAGEMENT will treat us right

DuPont= multiply by sales/sales
NOPAT/IC * Sales/Sales

  • Profit Margin: NOPAT/Sales
  • Capital Efficiency: Sales/IC

    Invested capital includes long-term liabilities and equity, excluding short-term liabilities.
25
Q

Use in Financial Analysis:

A

ROIC reflects how effectively a company’s management is able to convert capital into after-tax operating profits.

The numerator EXCLUDES Interest Expense because it represents a source of return to providers of debt capital & the denominator includes sources of capital from all providers.

ROIC is used by investors and analysts to evaluate capital allocation decisions. Value Creation Metric.

It reflects how effectively management converts capital into after-tax operating profits.

Components of Invested Capital:

Includes long-term liabilities, equity, and excludes short-term liabilities and assets.

25
Q

IRR: Advantages & Disadvantages

A

Advantages:

Shows return on each dollar invested.
Theoretically robust method for evaluating investments.

Disadvantages:

Incorrectly assumes reinvestment at IRR rate.
Can lead to multiple IRRs with unconventional cash flows

26
Q

Relation to Cost of Capital (COC):

A

If ROIC exceeds the company’s Cost of Capital (COC):

Indicates the company generates higher returns for investors than the required return.

This increases the firm’s overall value

27
Q

Which of the following statements regarding NPV and IRR is not true?

A The NPV assumes reinvestment of cash flows at the required rate of return whereas the IRR assumes reinvestment of cash flows at the IRR rate.
B As compared to NPV, IRR is more useful for projects with non-conventional cash flows.
C The two criteria may give conflicting results for mutually exclusive projects.

A

B is correct. IRR is not useful for projects with non-conventional cash flows as such projects can have multiple IRRs, i.e., there are more than one discount rates that will produce an NPV equal to zero. Consequently, NPV is the preferred method while evaluating such projects.

A and C are true statements about NPV and IRR.

27
Q

Calculate the Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) for Year 2 based on the given data.

Given Data:

After-tax Operating Profit (Year 2): $24,395

Balance Sheet Information:

Assets:

End of Year 1:
Cash: $4,364
Short-term assets: $40,529
Long-term assets: $287,857
Total assets: $332,750

End of Year 2:
Cash: $6,802
Short-term assets: $52,352
Long-term assets: $279,769
Total assets: $338,923

Liabilities and Equity:

End of Year 1:
Accounts payable: $35,221
Short-term debt: $21,142
Long-term debt: $112,257
Share capital: $15,688
Retained earnings: $148,442
Total liabilities and equity: $332,750

End of Year 2:
Accounts payable: $50,766
Short-term debt: $5,877
Long-term debt: $106,597
Share capital: $15,688
Retained earnings: $159,995
Total liabilities and equity: $338,923

A

ROIC= EBIAT/Avg. IC

ROIC= EBIAT/Avg (equity+LTDebt+minoritySHE)
LT debt + share capital + retained earnings

EBIAT for Y2= 24395
Avg. IC= equity+debt+minority SHE

Avg. IC= (112257+15688+148442)+(106597+15688+159995)/2=279333

= 24395/279333= 8.73%

27
Q

Which of the following statements is most accurate about the return on invested capital (ROIC)?

A The numerator in this ratio includes interest expense.
B The denominator in the ratio includes sources of capital from all providers.
C Projects with negative NPV will have a ROIC that is greater than the COC.

A

B is correct. The denominator in the ratio includes sources of capital from all providers. ROIC reflects how effectively a company’s management can convert capital into after-tax operating profits. It is expressed as follows,

ROIC = After-Tax Operating Profit/Average Book Value of Invested Capital.

A is not correct because the numerator excludes interest expense as it represents a source of return to providers of debt capital.

C is not correct because projects with positive NPV will have a ROIC that is greater than the COC.

28
Q

4.1 Capital Allocation Principles

A
  1. Decisions based on after-tax cash flows:

Not based on accounting figures like net income.
Deducts non-cash charges (e.g., depreciation).
Taxes are deducted from cash flows.

  1. Measure incremental cash flows:

Compares cash flows with and without the investment.
Excludes sunk costs (already incurred and cannot be changed).
Includes externalities (positive/negative impacts).

  1. Timing of cash flows is crucial:

Cash flows received earlier are more valuable due to the time value of money.

28
Q

DEMERITS of ROIC

A

ROIC: Doesn’t consider Financial Risk

ROE: distorted by Capital Structure (Higher debt inflates ROE)

ROA: distorted by non-operating items

29
Q

4.2 Capital Allocation Pitfalls

A

Common pitfalls:
1. Cognitive errors: Calculation mistakes.
2. Behavioral biases: Errors in judgment and blind spots.

30
Q

Cognitive Errors (CALCULATION ERRORS) in Capital Allocation:

A
  1. Internal forecasting errors
    Errors in predicting future cash flows.
  2. Ignoring costs of internal financing
    Fails to consider the cost of using internal funds.
  3. Inconsistent treatment of, or ignoring inflation
    Incorrectly handles or overlooks inflation’s impact on cash flows.
31
Q

Internal forecasting errors:

A
  1. Companies may make errors in their internal forecasts.
  2. Errors can stem from incorrect cost or discount rate inputs.
  3. Overhead costs like management time and IT support can be challenging to estimate.
  4. Incorrect treatment of sunk costs and missed opportunity costs may occur.
  5. Using the company’s overall cost of capital instead of the investment’s required rate of return.
32
Q

Ignoring costs of internal financing:

A

Many managers consider internally generated capital as “free.”

Allocation decisions are often based on prior period budget correlations.

Externally raised capital is viewed as expensive and used sparingly, mainly for large investments.

Ideally, all capital should be viewed with an opportunity cost, regardless of its source.

33
Q

Inconsistent treatment of, or ignoring inflation:

A

Capital allocation can be analyzed in nominal or real terms.

Nominal cash flows include inflation effects.

Real cash flows are adjusted to remove inflation effects.

Nominal cash flows should be discounted at a nominal rate; real cash flows at a real rate.

34
Q

Behavioral Biases (EMOTIONAL ERRORS) in Capital Allocation:

A
  1. Inertia:

Reluctance to change existing capital allocation strategies.

  1. Basing investment decisions on EPS, net income, or return on equity:
    Overemphasis on accounting metrics rather than true economic profitability.
  2. Pushing “pet” projects:

Bias towards projects favored by management without objective analysis.

  1. Failing to consider investment alternatives or alternative scenarios:

Limited exploration of different investment options or potential outcomes.

35
Q

Behavioral Biases in Capital Allocation:

  1. INERTIA
  2. Basing investment decisions on EPS, net income, or return on equity:
  3. Pushing ‘Pet’ Projects
  4. Failing to consider investment alternatives or alternative scenarios:
A
  1. Inertia:

Capital investment amounts often correlate closely with previous years’ spending.
Ideally, investment amounts should vary based on current opportunities.

36
Q

Behavioral Biases in Capital Allocation:

  1. Basing investment decisions on EPS, net income, or return on equity:
A
  1. Basing investment decisions on EPS, net income, or return on equity:

Managerial compensation linked to EPS, net income, or ROE can bias decisions.
Strong positive NPV projects that reduce these accounting metrics in the short term may be rejected.

37
Q

Behavioral Biases in Capital Allocation:

  1. Pushing “pet” projects:
A

Senior management-backed projects may have overly optimistic projections.

These projections can overstate the project’s actual profitability.

38
Q
  1. Failing to consider investment alternatives or alternative scenarios:
A

During idea generation, many potentially good alternatives are not considered.

Companies often overlook different states of the world, which should be incorporated through breakeven, scenario, and simulation analyses.

39
Q

REAL OPTIONS

A

Real options allow managers to make decisions in the future that affect today’s capital investments.

Similar to financial options, they depend on future events but involve real assets.

40
Q

Types of Real Options:

A
  1. Timing Options:

Delay investing until better information is available.

  1. Sizing Options:

Abandonment Option: Abandon a project if financial results are weak.
Growth Option: Invest more if financial results are strong.

  1. Flexibility Options:

Price Setting Option: Adjust prices after an investment.
Production Flexibility Option: Increase production capacity post-investment.

  1. Fundamental Options:

Entire investment’s value depends on external factors (e.g., commodity prices).

41
Q

Approaches to Evaluating Projects with Real Options:

A
  1. DCF Analysis (Without Options):

If NPV is positive without considering options, proceed with the investment.
Options inherently increase project value without separate valuation.

  1. Adjusting NPV for Options:

If NPV is initially negative, adjust by subtracting the cost of options and adding their value.
Check if adjusted NPV turns positive to justify the investment.

  1. Decision Trees and Option Pricing Models:

Useful for complex decisions involving sequential events.
Helps in evaluating the value of flexibility and strategic decision-making.

42
Q

Example: Capital Allocation Using a Decision Tree (see example 9 from curriculum; see decision tree won’t be able to solve without it)

Assume that Gerhardt Corporation is considering a €500 million outlay for a capital investment in a facility to produce a new product. Gerhardt assigns a 60% probability to a successful product launch, which is expected to return €750 million in one year’s time. Gerhardt’s finance team has also conducted an analysis of alternative facility uses, summarizing the timing and probability of cash flows associated with each real option in the following decision tree.

  1. Calculate the NPV of Gerhardt’s project without real options using a 10% required rate of return (r).
  2. Calculate the NPV of Gerhardt’s project with real options using a 10% required rate of return (r).

DECISION TREE:

  1. Gerhardt Builds New Facility; CF = -€500

Fork 1: Successful Product Launch (60%); CF = €760
Fork 2: Product Failure (40%); CF= 0

Fork 2.1 Alternative Product Launch (30%); CF = €600
Fork 2.2 Sale of Facility to Another Firm (30%); CF = €400
Fork 2.3 Facility Abandoned (40%); CF = €0

A
  1. NPV without Real Options:

Probability-weighted cash flow if product launch succeeds (60%):

NPV = -500 + 0.6 * 750 / (1 + 0.10)^1

NPV = -90.91

Gerhardt should not pursue the project based on NPV decision rule.

  1. NPV with Real Options:

Considered additional options (40% chance):

NPV = -500 + 0.6 * 750 / (1 + 0.10)^1
+ 0.4 * (0.3 * 600 + 0.3 * 400) / (1 + 0.10)^2

NPV = 8.26

NPV of €8.26 suggests Gerhardt should invest in the new production facility, factoring in alternative uses in the future.

Can’t use NPV on Calci

43
Q

LO. Describe types of capital investments

A

Companies invest for two primary reasons
to maintain their existing business and to grow it.

Projects undertaken by companies to
maintain the business include:
* going concern projects
* regulatory/compliance projects
Projects undertaken by companies to
expand the business include:
* expansion projects
* other projects

44
Q

LO. Describe the capital allocation process, calculate net present value (NPV), internal rate of return (IRR), and return on invested capital (ROIC), and contrast their use in capital allocation

A

Capital allocation is the process used by an issuer’s management to make capital investment decisions.

The typical steps companies take in the capital allocation process are:
1. idea generation
2. investment analysis,
3. capital allocation planning
4. post audit/monitoring

45
Q

LO. Describe the capital allocation process, calculate net present value (NPV), internal rate of return (IRR), and return on invested capital (ROIC), and contrast their use in capital allocation

A
  1. Net present value (NPV) is the present value of the future after tax cash flows, minus the investment outlay (cost of the project). For independent projects, accept all projects with positive NPV. For mutually exclusive projects, accept the project with the higher NPV.
  2. Internal rate of return (IRR) is the discount rate which makes NPV equal to 0. For independent
    projects, if IRR is greater than opportunity cost (required rate of return), accept the project,
    otherwise reject the project. For mutually exclusive projects, accept the project with the higher IRR as long as the IRR is greater than the opportunity cost.
  3. ROIC reflects how effectively a company’s management is able to convert capital into after
    tax operating profits.

ROIC=After tax operating profit / Avg. IC

46
Q

LO. Describe principles of capital allocation and common capital allocation pitfalls

A

The key principles of capital allocation are:

  1. Decisions are based on after tax cash flows.
  2. Measure incremental cash flows. Exclude sunk costs and include externalities.
  3. Timing of cash flows is crucial.
47
Q

LO. Describe principles of capital allocation and common capital allocation pitfalls

A

Common capital allocation pitfalls can be divided into cognitive errors and behavioral biases.

Cognitive Errors: Calculation Errors

  1. Internal forecasting errors
  2. Ignoring cost of internal financing
  3. Inconsistent treatment of, or ignoring inflation

Behavioral Biases: Emotional Errors
1. Inertia: confirmation bias
2. Basing investment decisions on EPS, net income, or return on equity: must be based on NPV of future CFs instead
3. Pushing pet projects: senior management’s overconfidence in certain projecfts
4. Failing to consider investment alternatives or alternative scenarios

47
Q

LO. Describe types of real options relevant to capital investments

A

The types of real options include:

  1. Timing options: change time
  2. Sizing options: do bigger or smaller: abandonment options or growth options
  3. Flexibility options: price-setting options or production-flexibility options
  4. Fundamental options

If NPV is positive without considering options, go ahead and make the investment.

If NPV is negative without considering options, calculate:

NPV (based on DCF alone) - Cost of options + Value of options.

Use Weighted Avgs. in case of Decision Trees with probabilities

48
Q

Which of the following statements is most accurate about real options?

A Real options do not change the value of capital investment decisions made today.
B Real options are not contingent on future events
C Real options include price-setting options or production-flexibility options.

A

C is correct because once an investment is made, operational flexibilities such as changing the price (price setting option) or increasing production (production flexibility option) may be available. These real options are also termed as flexibility options.

A is not correct because real options allow managers to make decisions in the future that change the value of capital investment decisions made today.

B is incorrect because, as with financial options, real options are contingent on future events. The difference is that real options deal with real assets.

49
Q

If oil prices are low, an oil exploration company may not drill a well. On the contrary, if oil prices are high, the company may pursue drilling. This type of a real option would be best described as a:

A timing option.
B sizing option.
C fundamental option.

A

C is correct. In this case, the whole investment is an option. The value of an oil well depends on the price of oil. Hence, the company is most likely to pursue drilling if oil prices are high.

A is not correct. In case of timing options, a company can delay investing until it has better information.

B is not correct. Sizing options include abandonment and growth options.: If a company can invest in a project and then abandon it if its financial results are weak, it has an abandonment option. Conversely, if the company can make additional investments when financial results are strong, it has a growth option.

50
Q

Which of the following is not a common mistake that companies make when analyzing capital allocation projects?

A Viewing all capital as having an opportunity cost, regardless of source.
B Basing investment decisions on EPS, net income, or return on equity.
C Failing to consider investment alternatives or alternative states.

A

A is correct. The common mistake is that managers do not view all capital as having an opportunity cost. Many managers consider internally generated capital to be “free” and allocate it according to a budget that is heavily correlated with prior period amounts. Externally raised capital, on the other hand, is regarded as “expensive” and is used sparingly, typically only for large investments.

B and C are amongst the common mistakes that companies make when analyzing capital allocation projects which are listed below:

  1. Inertia: The amount of capital investment in a business segment/unit for a year is highly correlated to the amount spent in the previous year. Ideally, the amount should vary based on the number and scale of opportunities available each year.
  2. Failing to consider investment alternatives or alternative states: During the ‘idea generation’ step, many good alternatives are never even considered at some companies. Many companies also fail to consider differing states of the world, which should ideally be incorporated through breakeven, scenario, and simulation analyses.
  3. Pushing “pet” projects: Pet projects are projects backed by senior management. They may contain overly optimistic projections that overstate the project’s profitability.
  4. Basing investment decisions on EPS, net income, or return on equity: The compensation of mangers is sometimes tied to EPS, net income, or ROE. They may therefore reject even strong positive NPV projects that reduce these accounting numbers in the short run.
  5. Internal forecasting errors: Companies may make errors in their internal forecasts. The errors could be related to incorrect costs or discount rate inputs.
51
Q

Capital budgeting decisions are least likely based upon:

A incremental after-tax cash flows discounted at the opportunity cost.
B incremental after-tax cash flows including financing cost.
C incremental after-tax cash flows excluding financing cost.

A

B is Financing cost is already included in the weighted average cost of capital which is the discount rate.

Therefore, financing costs are ignored in the cash flows. Capital Investments.

52
Q
A