Chapter 4 Social factors Flashcards
What are the social megatrends ?
Long term social changes that affects governments, societies, economies over a long period of time. Apart from classical social trends like (Globalisation, AI, Inequality, social medias, urbanisation) there are environmenta trends such as mass migration, water scarcity, climate change and transition risks.
Trend: Globalisation
Integration of local economies into global economy -?cross boader movement of goods , people, technologies.
Positive impact -> better efficiency
Negative -> social structural inequality
Offshoring - clothing mainly produced in Asia
Dependancy - IT in US, EU are more dependent on these suppliers
Trend: technologies and AI
Processes are perfromed with lower human assistance
Positive -> lower labour cost
Negative ->replacement of workers
Major sectors affected by AI: healthcare, automative, financial services, security (military), creative (gaming, advertising)
Trend: inequality
According to OECD 10% richest have income 9x more than 10% poorest
Higher inequality -> lower mobility and educational opportunities -> limits for economic growth
Trend: digital distruption, social media, electronic devices
Nothing specific, set of innovations create risks and opportunities.
Trend: Change of work
Average working time decreased, remote work increases, level of eduction increased, scarcity of employees in particular sector increased. Analyst should understand employee trends within industry and how companies fight with them.
Trend: change to individual rights
More woman in workplace but still, wage and gender gaps.
More diverse workforce lead to better economic performance.
Trend: Changing demographics
Live expectancy increased, median age increased (in UK 41 in 2015, forecast 45 by 2050)
Trend: Urbanisation
By 2050 68% population will live in cities. 3 implications: economic, environmental, social
Trend: Religion
Christian and Muslim investors
How investor should implement social factors into investment analysis
- Determine social factors that are most relevant for the industry
- How company exposed to these factors
- Identify critical social factors in supply chain
What are the key social factors, that investor should consider ?
Internal
1. Human Capital Development
Company should equip emploees, operate within regulation, keep emploees motivated.
Investor should check:
- Identify skills to execute company’ strategy and skill shortage (war on talent)
- whether the company developed attractive value proposition
- does the business develop measures to monitor investment in human capital
- Working condition
Safety - Human Rights
UDHR (UN) Human Rights violation most often in supply chain rather then in target company. H&M good, but suppliers in Bangladesh not good - Labour rights
What are the guidelines exist with respect to human rights
UNGP by United Nation - first global set of principles to prevent adverse impact on human rights linked to business activity. Framework:
- Duty of state
- Corporate responsibility
- Access to remedy for victims of business related abuses.
OECD principles for multinational enterprises:
Governments adhering to principles aim to encourage social progress.
it is important that these guidelines do not focus on the impact social factors can have on the investments (financial materiality). Many investors convinced that these guidelines require govenments and investors to adopt double materialty and take into account social return on investment
What is Corporate Human Rights Benchmark?
CHRB - snapshot year - on - year of the largest companies on priactices and policies they have to systemitise human rights approach. They provide indicators of corporate human right performance.
How Labour Rights are regulated ?
Major document - International Labour Standard. It includes 7 key elements promoting gender opportunities, obtain decent and productive work, freedom and security .
One of major right is freedom of association (help with better protection of basic rights such as labour rights, forces and child labour, descrimination)
Other is modern slavery and living wage