Chapter 4: Macroeconomic growth Flashcards

1
Q

Conclusions of the growth history

A
  • the steady improvement of standards of living for the average individual cannot be taken for granted
  • there is convergence in standards of living in some cases, but not always
  • In Western Europe, the very high economic growth
    between 1945 and 1973 (“les trente glorieuses”) is atypical
    from a historical perspective
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2
Q

determinants of economic growth

A
  • ntroduction
  • GDP Production Function
  • Sources of GDP/cap. Differences
  • Growth Decomposition
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3
Q

Two elements can make an economy larger and richer

A

1) Greater quantity of available factors of production —
physical capital, labour (raw materials, energy)

2) Better factor productivity

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4
Q

Four determinants of the size (i.e., activity level) of an

economy

A

1 Labour productivity
2 Employment rate
3 Population pyramid
4 Population size

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5
Q

GDP Production Function

A

The GDP production function is a conceptual tool expressing the relationship between:

  • final aggregate production (GDP)
  • factors of production sharing the proceeds of value-added
    creation (namely, capital and labour)
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6
Q

☞ The per-capita income in an economy is therefore

determined by

A

1 the per-capita productive capital stock kt
2 the employed share of total population 𝜆t
3 the total factor productivity At

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7
Q

☞ GDP/cap. differences can be

A
  • between countries at the same instant ➙ synchronic

- within a given country over time ➙ diachronic

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8
Q

Productive Capital Accumulation ➙ k

Some Determinants

A

1 Institutional/Political
➥ Political stability
➥ Legal framework and protection of property rights
➥ Attitude towards free trade

2 Economic/Financial
➥ Presence of sufficient (either domestic or foreign) financial
capital for making investment possible
➥ Development of the financial system for allocating funds to
those who need them for productive purposes
➥ Cost of capital (price of investment goods & financing costs)

3 Human
➥ Availability of adequate workforce
➥ Entrepreuneurship

4 Negative
➥ Destructive: wars or natural disasters
➥ Inhibiting: corruption, political instability or predative tax
system

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9
Q

, the employed share of total population is

determined by

A

1 Population pyramid

2 Employment rate

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10
Q

Total Factor Productivity ➙ A

Some Determinants

A

1 Technology

2 Human capital

3 Some other determinants of A

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11
Q

GDP growth can therefore be the consequence of

A

1 an increase of At, that is, an improvement of total factor
productivity

2 an accumulation of productive capital

3 a growth of employment due to

  • an increase of the share of the population that is employed
  • population growth
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12
Q

The evolution of per-capita income therefore depends on the growth of

A

1 the total factor productivity (technological progress. . . )
2 the per-capita productive capital stock
3 the share of the population that is employed

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13
Q

Impact of Population Growth

Conclusions

A

1 Population growth increases per-capita income only if the
productive capital growth is more than proportional

2 If productive capital accumulation is insufficient (i.e., k
decreases), then population growth will impoverish the
average person

3 Extreme case: no capital growth

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14
Q

☞ The evolution of the productive capital stock results from two opposing forces

A

1 Investment in new productive equipments It
2 Depreciation of existing capital stock 𝛿 Kt as a result of usage (the depreciation rate 𝛿 ∈ (0, 1) is assumed constant)

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15
Q

At ka the investment curve s f (k) is above the depreciation

line 𝛿 k and the capital stock increases between t and t + 1

A

➥ Growth of capital stock (total and per capita)

➥ Growth of GDP (total and per capita)

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16
Q

At kb the investment curve s f (k) is below the depreciation

line 𝛿 k and the capital stock decreases between t and t + 1

A

➥ Contraction of capital stock (total and per capita)

➥ Contraction of GDP (total and per capita)

17
Q

At k∗ the investment s f (k) exactly equals the depreciation

𝛿 k and the capital stock is constant between t and t + 1

A

➥ Capital stock (total and per capita) remains constant
➥ GDP (total and per capita) remains constant
➥ The economy has reached a steady state

18
Q

Lessons Learned

Investment

A

Lesson #1
Investment is indispensable to growth

Lesson #2
Investment is not sufficient on its own to generate perpetual
growth

Lesson #3
The steady-state per-capita income increases when
1 total factor productivity improves
➥ The production and investment curves swell upwards
2 the saving rate increases
➥ The investment curve swells upwards
3 the equipment depreciation rate falls
➥ The depreciation line becomes more horizontal

Lesson #4
The saving rate of an economy influences
the income (per capita) in the steady state
the speed of transitory growth towards the steady state

19
Q

Lessons Learned

Investment

A

Lesson #1
Investment is indispensable to growth

Lesson #2
Investment is not sufficient on its own to generate perpetual
growth

Lesson #3
The steady-state per-capita income increases when
1 total factor productivity improves
➥ The production and investment curves swell upwards
2 the saving rate increases
➥ The investment curve swells upwards
3 the equipment depreciation rate falls
➥ The depreciation line becomes more horizontal

Lesson #4
The saving rate of an economy influences
the income (per capita) in the steady state
the speed of transitory growth towards the steady state

Lesson #5
There is convergence between economies with similar structural
parameters (technology, saving rate, depreciation rate)

Lesson #6
There is no absolute (unconditional) convergence between
economies

Lesson #7
The steady-state level of GDP/cap. depends negatively on the
population growth rate

Lesson #8
With population growth, there is perpetual growth of K and Y

20
Q

catch-up effect

A

An economy that is initially poor would grow faster than a

richer but structurally-comparable economy

21
Q

If any of the 3 following situations occurs, then this country
might remain stuck in a “poverty trap”

A

1 Increasing returns to scale at low-income levels
2 Saving rate depends on the income level (in particular,
saving is hardly possible at low-income levels)
3 High population growth at low-income levels

22
Q

Three Causes of Extreme Poverty

Implications

A
☞ In situations 1 and 2, the country can benefit from (foreign)
capital inflow
➥ To local governments?
➥ As foreign direct investment (FDI)?
➥ Good-governance issues?

☞ In situation 3,
➥ foreign capital inflow can be a solution
➥ but birth rate reduction could also work

23
Q

Solow-Swan With Government

Assumptions

A

1 Public expenditure = only public consumption = G

2 In every period, public expenditure is financed by an
equivalent tax T on households

3 In every period, public expenditure is a fixed fraction
𝛾 ∈ [0, 1) of GDP