Chapter 4: Macroeconomic growth Flashcards
Conclusions of the growth history
- the steady improvement of standards of living for the average individual cannot be taken for granted
- there is convergence in standards of living in some cases, but not always
- In Western Europe, the very high economic growth
between 1945 and 1973 (“les trente glorieuses”) is atypical
from a historical perspective
determinants of economic growth
- ntroduction
- GDP Production Function
- Sources of GDP/cap. Differences
- Growth Decomposition
Two elements can make an economy larger and richer
1) Greater quantity of available factors of production —
physical capital, labour (raw materials, energy)
2) Better factor productivity
Four determinants of the size (i.e., activity level) of an
economy
1 Labour productivity
2 Employment rate
3 Population pyramid
4 Population size
GDP Production Function
The GDP production function is a conceptual tool expressing the relationship between:
- final aggregate production (GDP)
- factors of production sharing the proceeds of value-added
creation (namely, capital and labour)
☞ The per-capita income in an economy is therefore
determined by
1 the per-capita productive capital stock kt
2 the employed share of total population 𝜆t
3 the total factor productivity At
☞ GDP/cap. differences can be
- between countries at the same instant ➙ synchronic
- within a given country over time ➙ diachronic
Productive Capital Accumulation ➙ k
Some Determinants
1 Institutional/Political
➥ Political stability
➥ Legal framework and protection of property rights
➥ Attitude towards free trade
2 Economic/Financial
➥ Presence of sufficient (either domestic or foreign) financial
capital for making investment possible
➥ Development of the financial system for allocating funds to
those who need them for productive purposes
➥ Cost of capital (price of investment goods & financing costs)
3 Human
➥ Availability of adequate workforce
➥ Entrepreuneurship
4 Negative
➥ Destructive: wars or natural disasters
➥ Inhibiting: corruption, political instability or predative tax
system
, the employed share of total population is
determined by
1 Population pyramid
2 Employment rate
Total Factor Productivity ➙ A
Some Determinants
1 Technology
2 Human capital
3 Some other determinants of A
GDP growth can therefore be the consequence of
1 an increase of At, that is, an improvement of total factor
productivity
2 an accumulation of productive capital
3 a growth of employment due to
- an increase of the share of the population that is employed
- population growth
The evolution of per-capita income therefore depends on the growth of
1 the total factor productivity (technological progress. . . )
2 the per-capita productive capital stock
3 the share of the population that is employed
Impact of Population Growth
Conclusions
1 Population growth increases per-capita income only if the
productive capital growth is more than proportional
2 If productive capital accumulation is insufficient (i.e., k
decreases), then population growth will impoverish the
average person
3 Extreme case: no capital growth
☞ The evolution of the productive capital stock results from two opposing forces
1 Investment in new productive equipments It
2 Depreciation of existing capital stock 𝛿 Kt as a result of usage (the depreciation rate 𝛿 ∈ (0, 1) is assumed constant)
At ka the investment curve s f (k) is above the depreciation
line 𝛿 k and the capital stock increases between t and t + 1
➥ Growth of capital stock (total and per capita)
➥ Growth of GDP (total and per capita)