Chapter 4 Flashcards
Why do consumers buy from a repertoire of brands?
- complete awareness is impossible
- buyers seek variety
- buyers buy for different occasions/purposes
- price promo:ons and other point of sale
- availability of brands
- household include many buyers …and a million other reasons
Use of mathematical models in regards to stationary markets?
Sta:onary markets are predictable, either from past pa)erns (empirical) or by using
mathema:cal models that mimic the market (theore,cal)
If markets are sta:onary, measures of brand performance will be more or less the same
for each period
What are the assumptions of the NBD Dirichlet model?
- Stable market conditions where the number of buyers in each period is approximately equal (stationary)
- Individual consumers have steady long-run purchase propensities
- The purchases happen irregularly over time
- No feedback from past purchases (zero-order)
- Compounded by a set of statistical distribution that capture some key aspects of how people buy
What does the dirichlekt model assume about brand choice?
Consumers do not devote their category purchases solely to a brand (mul:-brand buying)
- Consumers have steady propensity to buy particular brands, but a different propensity for each brand (heterogeneity)
- Brand purchases are zero order events (Successive brand purchases are independent of the preceding purchases)
- As if at random
E.g. 40% propensity to buy Special K, 20% to buy Weetbix, 10% propensity to buy Rice Bubbles etc.
Loyalty and Brand Size: Double Jeopardy
Bigger brands (higher market share) have more buyers (higher penetra:on) and are bought slightly more oVen (higher purchase frequency) Smaller brands (lower market share) have fewer buyers (lower penetra:on) and are bought slightly less oVen (lower purchase frequency)
What rate do customers of small brands buy at?
These customers buy the brand at much the same rate as the customers of bigger brands
And they say much the same things (same altudes) as customers of other brands say about their brand
Heavy and Light Buyers (quality)
Smaller brands have a slightly “be)er quality” customer base, in that more of their sales come from their heavier customers
The multinomial Distribution
It captures the zero-order effect in relation to brands bought by consumers ( one brand purchase does not make the consumer more or less likely to buy that brand in the future)
Share of category requirements
Proportion of total spending in the category of the customers of a brand that is allocated to that brand
Repeat Buying Rate
Proportion of customers from one period, who buy the brand again in a subsequent equal length period
Sole Loyalty Rate
Proportion of the customer base of a brand who only bought that single brand in a period
Defection Rate
Proportion of first brand loyal customer who changed the brand they were first brand loyal to in a subsequent period
First Brand Loyalty
Proportion of customers of the brand who use that as their main (and most purchased brand) in a given period
Proportion of attitudinal loyalty
Proportion of market expressing a positive attitude towards the brand
What are partitions?
here brands share more or less with other brands than normal/expected
But these are very much exceptions
A cluster of brands/ skus compete more closely – they are more likely to sell to the same people (poten:ally complimentary)
OVen associated with func:onal differences Or seen with some segmenta:on