Chapter 4 Flashcards
Long-term financial planning and growth
Growth
The growth of something such as industry, organization, or an idea is its development in size, wealth, or importance
Financial planning
Systematically thinking about future to avoid financial distress and failures in the future.
Establishment of guidelines in relation to investment and financing decisions
Parts of a business plan
Executive summary, Competitive analysis, Company description, Organization and management, Summary of products/services, Sales and marketing plan, Financial projection and needs
Elements of Financial Planning
- Investment in new assets - determined by capital budgeting decisions
- Degree of financial leverage - determined by capital structure decisions
- Cash paid to shareholders - determined by dividend policy decisions
- Liquidity requirements - determined by net working capital decisions
Financial Planning Process (Dimensions)
Planning horizon: short-term (next 12months), long-term (2-5 years)
Aggregation - combine capital budgeting decisions into large project.
Assumptions and Scenarios: make realistic assumptions about important variables; run several scenarios where vary the assumptions by reasonable amounts; determine worst case, normal case, best case scenarios.
Role of financial planning
Examine interactions - help management see the interactions between decisions;
Explore options - give management a systematic framework for exploring its opportunities;
Avoid surprises - help management identify possible outcomes and plan accordingly;
Ensure feasibility and internal consistency
Financial planning model ingredients
Sales forecast; Pro forma statements; Asset requirements; Financial requirements; Plug variable; Economic assumptions
Capital intensity ratio
Capital intensity ratio = Sales / Total assets (how much total assets generate $1 in sales)
% of sales approach
- as sales grow by a certain %, the underlying expenses and items also increase by the same %
- start with the items’ % of sales –> based on the prejected sales calculate the pro formas
Retention ratio
Addition to retained earnings / Net income
Dividend payout ratio
Cash dividends / Net income
Profit margin
Net income / Sales
Internal growth rate (IGR)
The maximum amount of growth that can bee achieved without external funding, using only internal resources:
IGR = (ROA * b) / (1-ROA * b)
ROA: return on assets = Net income / Total assets
b: retention ratio
Sustainable growth rate (SGR)
The maximum growth rate that a company can achieve without external equity financing:
SGR = (ROE * b) / (1-ROE * b)
ROE: return on equity = net income / total equity
b: retention ration
ROE
ROE = Profit margin * Total asset turnover * Equity turnover
ROE = (net income/sales) * (sales/total assets) * (total assets/total equity)
Anything that increases ROE, will increase the SGR