Chapter 2 / Week 2 (Economies of Scale, INV, Learning Curves, HHI index) Flashcards
Contemporary Strategy Analysis - Robert M. Grant
All slides beyond this until slide 13
Economic definition of industry
A group of firms that supplies a market
What is the difference between analyzing industry structure and analyzing market structure
Principle difference is that industry analysis, notably five forces analysis, looks at industry profitability being determined by competition in two markets:
1) Product markets
2) input market
Industries
Identified with relatively broad sectors
Markets
Related to specific products
Two sides of sustainability
1) Substitutability on the demand side
2) Substitutability on the supply side
1) Substitutability on the demand side
Are customers willing to substitute between Jaguars and mass-market brands on the basis of price difference?
2) Substitutability on the supply side
If manufacturers were able to switch their production from family sedans to luxury cars, and if jaguar could could enter other parts of the automobile market
The key test of geographical boundaries of a market is PRICE:
If price differences for the same product between different locations tend to be eroded by demand-side and supply-side substitution, then these locations llie within a single market
Substitutability is ____ in the long run then in the ____ run
Long
Short
The boundaries of a market or industry are seldom clear-cut: the market in which an offering competes is a ______ rather than a bounded space
Continuum
Example: If we define Disneyland as competing within the broad entertainment industry, then beach and ski resorts are _______, if we define Disneyland as competing in the theme park industry, then bean and ski resorts are _____
Rivals
Substitutes
END OF Contemporary Strategy Analysis - Robert M. Grant
END OF Contemporary Strategy Analysis - Robert M. Grant
The Herfindahl-Hirschman Index
All slides beyond this
The Herfindahl-Hirschman Index (AKA Herfindahl index)
HHI
Is a statistical measure of concentration
Can be used to measure concentration in a number of context
(become so popular by its use by the Department of Justice and the Federal Reserve in the analysis of the competitive effects of mergers)
Score less than 1800 or a change less than 50 = no concentrated
Above 1800 is concentrated or a merger increase of larger than 50 = concentrated
Market concentration
The degree of concentration of the output of firms in banking or industrial markets
Horizontal mergers
Firms operating in the same product and geographic markets
1992 Revised Guidelines
The guidelines, as applied to banking, specify that if a bank merger would result:
1) in a post-merger HHI in a market of less than 1,800
2) in a change in the HHI of less than 200 (less than 50 in other industries),
it is likely that the market structure would not reach a concentration level, or concentration would not increase enough, such that firms in the market would have the market power to maintain prices above competitive level for a significant period
If the post-merger HHI does not exceed the numerical guidelines:
It is generally presumed that the merger would not be seriously anticompetitive, and no further analysis is conducted
If the post-merger HHI exceeds the numerical:guidelines:
A detailed economic analysis of competition is undertaken to determine whether other factors, such as potential competition, indicate that the market would be more (or less) competitive then the HHI alone suggests
The HHI accounts for:
the number of firms in a market, as well as concentration, by incorporating the relative size (that is, market share) of all firms in a market
HHI = n>E, i=1 (MSi)>2
It is on paper for easier sake
Examples: Bank A holds 40 percent of bank deposits, Bank B holds 30 percent, Bank C holds 20 percent, Bank D holds 10 percent
Assume that Bank C with 20 percent of the market acquired Bank D, which has 10 percent of the market, calculate the HHI
(40)>2+(30)>2+(20)>2+10>2
1600 + 900+ 400+ 100 = 3000
(40)>2 + (30)<2 + (20+10)<2 =
1600 + 900 + 900 = 3400
Increases HHI by 400 from 3000 to 3400
The HHI reaches a maximum at
10000 when a monopoly exists
The HHI reaches zero, in theory
In purely competitive markets with many firms with small market share
Common HHI
1000: 10 firms, 10% per firm
2000: 5 firms, 20% per firm
3300: 3 firms, 33.3% per firm
5000: 2 firms, 50% per firm
END OF The Herfindahl-Hirschman Index
END OF The Herfindahl-Hirschman Index
Highly Concentrated: Companies That Dominate Their Industries IBIS World
Highly Concentrated: Companies That Dominate Their Industries STARTS HERE
IBISWorld has
identified the 10 most concentrated
industries in the United States,
with the
four largest companies in each industry
generating at least 90 percent of revenue.
Search Engines stats
Top four market share: 98.5%
Major companies:
Google: 64.1%
Yahoo: 18.0%
Microsoft: 13.6%
Search Engines explanation
This industry’s concentration has increased steadily during the past five years, primarily driven by Google’s growth while smaller search engines like Ask.com and AOL decline in prevalence.
Difficult entry due to skilled software programmers, IT professionals, and system engineers being needed
Unless an entrant chooses to license a competitor’s
technology, companies in this industry would need to develop their own algorithms
Arcade, Food & Entertainment Complexes
Top four market share: 96.2%
Major companies: CEC Entertainment Inc.: 52.2% Dave & Buster’s: 35.0% Sega Entertainment USA Inc. Namco Cybertainment Inc.
*CEC is commonly known as Chuck E. Cheese’s
Sanitary Paper Product Manufacturing
Top four market share: 92.7% Major companies:
Kimberly-Clark Corporation: 35.5%
Proctor & Gamble: 30.0%
Georgia-Pacific: 27.2%
Wireless Telecommunications Carriers
Top four market share: 94.7%
Major companies: Verizon Wireless: 36.5% AT&T Inc.: 32.1% Sprint Nextel Corporation: 15.4% T-Mobile USA: 10.7%
Wireless Telecommunications Carriers explanation
There were two waves of mergers and acquisitions (M&As) in this industry over the past decade.
First, there was a high level of M&A activity among the “baby bells” (the spin-offs of the former AT&T
monopoly) which led to the creation of new number-one and number-two players.
This event was then followed by a second wave of M&A activity that yielded a significant increase in concentration across the various telecommunications industries.
A large subscriber base is critical to competitiveness
because it delivers considerable scale economies, enabling a carrier to offer cheaper prices and realize higher margins.
Satellite TV Providers
Top four market share: 94.5%
Major companies:
DirecTV: 57.6%
Dish Network: 36.9%
Satellite TV Providers explanation
It is difficult for smaller players to compete
in terms of quality and the level of services they can offer to consumers at a reasonable price
In addition to the intense competition, high start-up costs and regulation have prohibited small producers from developing niche markets.
Soda Production
Top four market share: 93.7%
Major companies:
The Coca-Cola Company: 41.2%
PepsiCo: 33.6%
Dr Pepper Snapple Group: 15.4%
Expected to decline 4.5% first company with decline
Food Service Contractors
Top four market share: 93.2%
Major companies: Compass Group: 32.8% Aramark: 28.3% Sodexo: 25.6% Delaware North: 6.5%
Food Service Contractors explanation
Major industry clients are increasingly looking for
food-service contractors that can handle catering, property maintenance, security and other services.
This trend favors larger operators because smaller ones may not have the capital and infrastructure that is required to fill all of these roles for clients.
Additionally, new entrants are discouraged from entering the market because the large operators have higher marketing budgets, bargaining power in contract negotiations, better brand recognition and existing contacts.
Lighting & Bulb Manufacturing
Top four market share: 91.9%
Major companies:
General Electric Company: 32.9%
Koninklijke Philips Electronics NV: 31.7%
Siemens AG: 27.3%
Lighting & Bulb Manufacturing explanation
In addition to the dominance of existing players, many other factors make it difficult for any new companies to enter the industry, including:
1) significant government regulation,
2) resource constraints,
3) technological changes
4) the industry’s declining life cycle
New entrants must have the resources to stock high inventories and have a strong knowledge of niche markets to survive the high levels of internal competition.
Tire Manufacturing
Top four market share: 91.3%
Major companies: The Goodyear Tire & Rubber Company: 39% Michelin North America: 28.2% Copper Tire & Rubber Company: 12.5% Bridgestone: 11.6%
Tire Manufacturing Explanation
Experienced a wave of mergers and acquisitions since the 1980s, largely driven by an increase in cross-border production and trade by automobile manufacturers. As a result, most tire manufacturers were taken over and control transferred to foreign owners
Major Household Appliance Manufacturing
Top four market share: 90.0%
Major companies: Whirlpool Corporation: 43.8% AB Electrolux: 20.7% General Electric Company: 17.1% LG Electronics: 9.2%
END OF Highly Concentrated: Companies That Dominate Their Industries IBIS World
END OF Highly Concentrated: Companies That Dominate Their Industries IBIS World
EBOOK pg 148-158 Focus on Economies of Scale/Scope, learning curve and experience curve
EBOOK pg 148-158 Focus on Economies of Scale/Scope, learning curve and experience curve
ECONOMIES OF SCALE
Decreases in cost per unit as output increases.
(Example: You already own the radio tower and pay for it, the more people who use it, up to a certain degree, will keep owning the tower be cheaper over time
Economies of
scale allow firms to
1) Spread their fixed costs over a larger output.
2) Employ specialized systems and equipment.
3) Take advantage of certain physical properties
SPREADING FIXED COSTS OVER LARGER OUTPUT
Larger output allows firms to spread their fixed costs over more units. That is why gains in market share are often critical to drive down per-unit cost.
Spending 20 million on R&D looks bad at first, but when selling over 100 million copies of window 10, the price is significantly cheaper, and the more they sell the more the price per unit lowers
cube-square rule:
The volume of a body such as a pipe or a tank increases disproportionately more than its surface.
minimum efficient scale (MES)
Output range needed to bring down the cost per unit as much as possible, allowing a firm to stake out the lowest-cost position that is achievable through economies of scale.
diseconomies of scale
Increases in cost per unit when output increases.
As firms get too big, the complexity of managing and coordinating the production process raises the cost, negating any benefits to scale.
Dampens motivation, shortages of inputs, time pressures
Scale economies
are critical to driving down a firm’s cost and strengthening a cost-leadership position.