Chapter 19 Monte Carlo Valuation Flashcards
Monte Carlo simulations is based on the idea that we can
simulate the stock prices to get option prices and then discount those on the risk free rate to get the value of the options
Using a uniform distribution to simulate a lognormal can be done by
use uniform as generating the quantiles, then take the inverse normal functions, so if you got 0.1 then N(0.1), and finally raise it by e to get to a lognormal distribution
Standard deviation of a group of estimates is
1/(sqrt(n)) * sqrt of 1 sample
which can be found using sqrt over the whole sample
Antihectic Monte Carlo
for each draw, you pull the opposite, so for 0.5, you also draw -0.5 can reduce variance as the each draw is normaled out by the other.
Stratified Sampling Monte Carlo
take one draw randomly from each part of niform distribution i.e. one from [0, 0.01] , one from [0.01, 0.02] and so forth
Control Variate Monte Carlo Method
pg. 585
Choose correlated option that there is a formula for and instead calculate A + B(g - G) = a
B is cov(A, G) / Var(G)
Control Variate Monte Carlo Method Variation
var(A) = Var(a)(1 - p^2)