Chapter 12: Decision Making, Creativity & Ethics Flashcards
What is the Rational Decision Making Model?
how individuals should behave in order to create value-maximizing decisions within specified constraints
- Define the problem
- Identify the decision criteria
- Allocate weights to the criteria
- Develop the alternatives
- Evaluate the alternatives
- Select the best alternative
Define Bounded Rationality
Limitations on a person’s ability to interpret, process, and act on information
Define Rationality
refers to choices that are consistent and value-maximizing within specified constraints
Define Satisficing
First acceptable choice encountered, rather than an optional one
Define Intuition
Unconscious process created from distilled experience
Describe Group vs. Individual Decision Making
- Accuracy (G/I)
- Speed (I)
- Creativity (G)
- Acceptance (G)
- Efficiency (I)
What are the decision making issues? (8)
- overconfidence bias
- anchoring bias
- confirmation bias
- availability bias
- escalation of commitment
- randomness error
- risk aversion
- hindsight bias
Decision Making Issues: Overconfidence Bias
Error in judgement from being far too optimistic about one’s
own performance
Decision Making Issues: Anchoring Bias
Tendency to fixate on initial information, from which one then fails to
adequately adjust for subsequent information
Decision Making Issues: Confirmation Bias
Tendency to seek out information that reaffirms past choices and
to discount information that contradicts past judgements
Decision Making Issues: Availability Bias
Tendency for people to base their judgements on information that
is readily available to them rather than complete data
Decision Making Issues: Escalation of Commitment
Increased commitment to a previous decision despite
negative information
Decision Making Issues: Randomness Error
Tendency of individuals to believe that they can predict the
outcome of random events
Decision Making Issues: Risk Aversion
Tendency to prefer a sure gain of a moderate amount over a riskier
outcome, even if the riskier outcome might have a higher expected payoff
Decision Making Issues: Hindsight Bias
Tendency to believe falsely, after an outcome of an event is actually
known, that one could have accurately predicted that outcome