chapter 11- foreign exchange Flashcards
functions of the foreign exchange market
1.) income- payment for exports: income from foreign investments or other income must be converted to home currency
- ex: toyota must convert US sales to Jap yen
2.) expenses- payment for production costs and services
- ex: dell buys computer components from Malaysia converting dollars to Malaysian ringgits for payment
3.) short-term investments- potential for higher gains short term in other countries
- ex: profit short. term on currency fluctuations through investments
4.) currency speculations- short term movement of funds from one currency to another and profiting from shifts in exchange rates (deliberate investment)
spot exchange rate
the rate at which a foreign exchange dealer converts one currency into another currency on a particular day
- right now, what is the exchange rate between dollar and euro
- float against one another based on supply and demand
forward exchange rate
rate used future transactions- typically quotes for 30, 90, 180 days into the future
- exchange rates have been locked in
Example of computing currency exchange
info given:
- the spot exchange for dollars to euros was 1.00= .8628 euros
- one euro= 1.1590 dollars
- exchange rate tomorrow is $1= .85 euros
what is happening tomorrow if $1 only buys now .85 euors
- euors are appreciating, dollar is depreciating
example conversion problem
- designer handbag costs 50 euros in paris. the same bag cost 100$ in the US, which is better deal?
- 50 euros times 1.159 dollars equals $57.95
- so, paris is better deal
example conversion problem (confused?)
sneaker in US cost 100. same shoes cost 150 euros in paris. which is better?
- 100$ x .8638 euros = 86.38 euros
- US is better deal almost by two times
how are exchange rates predicted (how is risk predicted)
- fundamental analysis
- technical analysis
fundamental analysis
- draws upon ECONOMIC factors like:
- interest rates,
- monetary policy
- inflation rates
- balance of payments
uses these to predict exchange rates
- effects demand of currency
if demand is up
value of that currency appreciates
technical anaylis
- regression analysis
- charts trends with the assumption that past trend and waves are reasonable predictors of future trends and waves
- based strictly on trends
freely convertible
when a gov of a country allows both residents and non-residents to purchase unlimited amounts of foreign currency with the domestic currency (Mexican peso) traded on the markets
externally convertible
when non-residents can convert their holdings of domestic currency into a foreign currency, but ability of residents to convert currency is limited in some way (Russia)
nonconvertible currency
when both residents and non-residents are prohibited from converting their holdings of domestic currency into a foreign currency (brazil, columbia, china)
- they want to control the supply of their currency
exchange rates and managers- key terms
(from least to biggest concern)
- transaction exposure
- translation exposure
- economic exposure (long term)
transaction exposure- smaller
extent to which income from individual transactions is affected by fluctuations in foreign exchange values
- smaller risk but might want to use forward exchange rates)