Chapter 11 Flashcards

1
Q

MONEY GROWTH AND INFLATION

A

What determines whether an economy experiences inflation and, if so, how much?
* Inflation is an increase in the overall level of prices.
* Deflation is a fall in the overall level of prices.

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2
Q

Inflation Rate is % Change in either?

A

The inflation rate is the percentage change in either the
* CPI
* GDP deflator
* other index of the overall price level

These price indexes show that, over the past 70 years, prices have risen on average about 4 percent per year.

Accumulated over so many years, a 4 percent annual inflation rate leads to a 16-fold increase in the price level.

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3
Q

THE CLASSICAL THEORY OF INFLATION

A

The quantity theory of money will be used to understand inflation.

It is often called classical because it was developed by some of the earliest thinkers about economic issues.

Most economists today rely on this theory to explain the long-run determinants of the price level and the inflation rate.

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4
Q

THE CLASSICAL THEORY OF INFLATION: Level of Price and Value of Money

A

The Level of Prices and the Value of Money:

The economy’s overall price level can be viewed in two ways:
* as the price of a basket of goods and services.
* as a measure of the value of money.

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5
Q

Money Supply, Money Demand, and Monetary Equilibrium

A

The value of money is determined by the supply and demand for money.

The supply of money is controlled by the Bank of Canada and the banking system.

The demand for money reflects how much people will want to hold in liquid form.

The demand for money is sometimes referred to as “liquidity preference.”

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6
Q

Money Supply, Money Demand, and Monetary Equilibrium (Part 2)

A

Many factors affect the demand for money.
* For example, the amount of currency that people hold in their wallets can depend on how much they rely on credit cards or the accessibility of ATMs.

The most important variable that explains the demand for money is the level of prices in the economy.

In the long run, the overall level of prices adjusts to the level at which demand for money equals the supply.

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7
Q

FIGURE 11.1 How the Supply and Demand for Money Determine the Equilibrium Price Level

A

Graph with money supply vertically up and a slope from top left to bottom right being the money demand

The horizontal axis shows the quantity of money.

The left vertical axis shows the value of money, and the right vertical axis shows the price level.

The demand curve for money is downward sloping because people want to hold a larger quantity of money when each dollar buys less

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8
Q

THE CLASSICAL THEORY OF INFLATION: Effects of Monetary Injection

A

What are the effects of a change in monetary policy?

Imagine the BoC doubles the supply of money by printing some dollar bills and dropping them around the country from helicopters.

  • What happens after such a monetary injection?
  • How does the new equilibrium compare to the old one?
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9
Q

THE CLASSICAL THEORY OF INFLATION: Effects of Monetary Injection Part 2

A

This explanation of how the price level is determined and why it might change over time is called the quantity theory of money.

Quantity theory of money is a theory asserting that the quantity of money available determines the price level and that the growth rate in the quantity of money available determines the inflation rate.

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10
Q

FIGURE 11.2 An Increase in the Money Supply

A

When the Bank of Canada increases the supply of money, the money supply curve shifts from MS1 to MS2.

The value of money (on the left axis) and the price level (on the right axis) adjust to bring supply and demand back into balance.

The equilibrium moves from point A to point B.

Thus, when an increase in the money supply makes dollars more plentiful, the price level increases, making each dollar less valuable.

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11
Q

THE CLASSICAL THEORY OF INFLATION: A Brief Look at the Adjustment Process

A

How does the economy get from the old to the new equilibrium?
1. A monetary injection creates an excess supply of money.
1. At the prevailing price level, the quantity of money supplied now exceeds the quantity demanded.
1. The injection of money increases the demand for goods and services while supply remains unchanged.
1. The prices of goods and services increase.
1. The quantity of money demanded increases until the the economy reaches a new equilibrium

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12
Q

THE CLASSICAL THEORY OF INFLATION: The Classical Dichotomy and Monetary Neutrality

A

Economic variables can be divided into two groups:
1. Nominal variables are variables measured in monetary units.
1. Real variables are variables measured in physical units.

**Classical dichotomy: **The theoretical separation of nominal and real variables.

Monetary neutrality is the proposition that changes in the money supply do not affect real variables.

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13
Q

THE CLASSICAL THEORY OF INFLATION: Velocity and the Quantity Equation

A

How many times per year is the typical dollar used to pay for a newly produced good or service?

**Velocity of money ** is the rate at which money changes hands.

V = (P x Y) / M

V: Velocity of money
Y: Real GDP
P: Price level
M: Quantity of money

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14
Q

THE CLASSICAL THEORY OF INFLATION: Velocity and the Quantity Equation Part 2

A

Quantity equation is the equation that relates the quantity of money, the velocity of money, and the dollar value of the economy’s output of goods and services.

M x V = P x Y

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15
Q

THE CLASSICAL THEORY OF INFLATION: Velocity and the Quantity Equation Part 3

A

The elements that explain the equilibrium price level:
1. Velocity (V) is stable over time.

  1. Because V is stable, when the central bank changes the quantity of money (M), it causes proportionate changes in the nominal value of output (P × Y).
  2. The economy’s output of goods and services (Y) is primarily determined by factor supplies and technology. In particular, because money is neutral, money does not affect output.
  3. With output (Y) determined by factor supplies and technology, when the central bank alters the money supply (M) and induces proportional changes in the nominal value of output (P × Y), these changes are reflected in changes in the price level.
  4. Therefore, when the central bank increases the money supply rapidly, the result is a high rate of inflation.
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16
Q

FIGURE 11.3 Nominal GDP, the Quantity of Money, and the Velocity of Money

A

This figure shows the nominal value of output as measured by nominal GDP, the quantity of money as measured by M2, and the velocity of money as measured by their ratio.

For comparability, all three series have been scaled to equal 1 in 1980.

As suggested by the quantity theory, the relative rates of growth in nominal GDP and the money supply mean that the velocity of money fell in value during this period, particularly since 2008.

17
Q

FIGURE 11.4 Money and Prices during Four Hyperinflations

A

This figure (and the next slide) shows the quantity of money and the price level during four hyperinflations. (Note that these variables are graphed on logarithmic scales. This means that equal vertical distances on the graph represent equal percentage changes in the variable.)

In each case, the quantity of money and the price level move closely together.

The strong association between these two variables is consistent with the quantity theory of money, which states that growth in the money supply is the primary cause of inflation.

18
Q

THE CLASSICAL THEORY OF INFLATION: The Inflation Tax

A

Inflation tax is the revenue the government raises by creating money.

The inflation tax is not exactly like other taxes, however, because no one receives a bill from the government for this tax. The inflation tax is more subtle.

When the government prints money, the price level rises, and the dollars in your pocket are less valuable.

19
Q

THE CLASSICAL THEORY OF INFLATION: The Fisher Effect

A

The Fisher Effect:

Real Interest Rate = Nominal Interest Rate - Inflation Rate

Nominal Interest Rate = Real Interest Rate + Inflation Rate

Fisher effect is the one-for-one adjustment of the nominal interest rate to the inflation rate.

20
Q

FIGURE 11.5 The Nominal Interest Rate and the Inflation Rate

A

This figure uses annual data since 1968 to show the nominal interest rate on three-month corporate bonds and the inflation rate as measured by the consumer price index.

The close association between these two variables over the long run is evidence for the Fisher effect: When the inflation rate rises, so does the nominal interest rate.

21
Q

THE COSTS OF INFLATION

A

Inflation is closely watched and widely discussed because it is thought to be a serious economic problem.
* True or false?
* Why?

22
Q

THE COSTS OF INFLATION: A Fall in Purchasing Power? The Inflation Fallacy

A

Inflation does not in itself reduce people’s real purchasing power.

If nominal incomes tend to keep pace with rising prices, inflation is not a problem.

There are, however, costs associated with inflation.

23
Q

THE COSTS OF INFLATION: Shoeleather Costs and Menu Costs

A

Shoeleather Costs
Shoeleather costs are the resources wasted when inflation encourages people to reduce their money holdings.

Menu Costs
Menu costs are the costs of changing prices.

24
Q

THE COSTS OF INFLATION: Relative-Price Variability and the Misallocation of Resources

A

Because prices change only once in a while, inflation causes relative prices to vary more than they otherwise would.

This issue is important because in market economies, we rely on relative prices to allocate scarce resources.

25
Q

THE COSTS OF INFLATION: Inflation-Induced Tax Distortions

A

Inflation tends to raise the tax burden on income earned from savings.

  • Inflation discourages saving by the tax treatment of capital gains.
  • The income tax treats the nominal interest earned on savings as income, even though part of the nominal interest rate merely compensates for inflation.
26
Q

TABLE 11.1 How Inflation Raises the Tax Burden on Saving

A

In the presence of zero inflation, a 25 percent tax on interest income reduces the real interest rate from 4 percent to 3 percent.

In the presence of 8 percent inflation, the same tax reduces the real interest rate from 4 percent to 1 percent.

27
Q

THE COSTS OF INFLATION: Confusion and Inconvenience

A

Money is the ruler with which we measure economic transactions.
The job of the BoC is a bit like the job of Measurement Canada.

The BoC ensures the reliability of a commonly used unit of measurement.

When the Bank of Canada increases the money supply and creates inflation, it erodes the real value of the unit of account.

28
Q

THE COSTS OF INFLATION: A Special Cost of Unexpected Inflation: Arbitrary Redistributions of Wealth

A

Unexpected inflation redistributes wealth among the population in a way that has nothing to do with either merit or need.

These redistributions occur because many loans in the economy are specified in terms of the unit of account: MONEY.

29
Q

THE COSTS OF INFLATION: Inflation Is Bad, But Deflation May Be Worse

A

Some of the costs of deflation mirror those of inflation.

Menu costs

Relative-price variability

Redistribution of wealth toward creditors and away from debtors

A sign of broader macroeconomic difficulties