Chapter 11 Flashcards
MONEY GROWTH AND INFLATION
What determines whether an economy experiences inflation and, if so, how much?
* Inflation is an increase in the overall level of prices.
* Deflation is a fall in the overall level of prices.
Inflation Rate is % Change in either?
The inflation rate is the percentage change in either the
* CPI
* GDP deflator
* other index of the overall price level
These price indexes show that, over the past 70 years, prices have risen on average about 4 percent per year.
Accumulated over so many years, a 4 percent annual inflation rate leads to a 16-fold increase in the price level.
THE CLASSICAL THEORY OF INFLATION
The quantity theory of money will be used to understand inflation.
It is often called classical because it was developed by some of the earliest thinkers about economic issues.
Most economists today rely on this theory to explain the long-run determinants of the price level and the inflation rate.
THE CLASSICAL THEORY OF INFLATION: Level of Price and Value of Money
The Level of Prices and the Value of Money:
The economy’s overall price level can be viewed in two ways:
* as the price of a basket of goods and services.
* as a measure of the value of money.
Money Supply, Money Demand, and Monetary Equilibrium
The value of money is determined by the supply and demand for money.
The supply of money is controlled by the Bank of Canada and the banking system.
The demand for money reflects how much people will want to hold in liquid form.
The demand for money is sometimes referred to as “liquidity preference.”
Money Supply, Money Demand, and Monetary Equilibrium (Part 2)
Many factors affect the demand for money.
* For example, the amount of currency that people hold in their wallets can depend on how much they rely on credit cards or the accessibility of ATMs.
The most important variable that explains the demand for money is the level of prices in the economy.
In the long run, the overall level of prices adjusts to the level at which demand for money equals the supply.
FIGURE 11.1 How the Supply and Demand for Money Determine the Equilibrium Price Level
Graph with money supply vertically up and a slope from top left to bottom right being the money demand
The horizontal axis shows the quantity of money.
The left vertical axis shows the value of money, and the right vertical axis shows the price level.
The demand curve for money is downward sloping because people want to hold a larger quantity of money when each dollar buys less
THE CLASSICAL THEORY OF INFLATION: Effects of Monetary Injection
What are the effects of a change in monetary policy?
Imagine the BoC doubles the supply of money by printing some dollar bills and dropping them around the country from helicopters.
- What happens after such a monetary injection?
- How does the new equilibrium compare to the old one?
THE CLASSICAL THEORY OF INFLATION: Effects of Monetary Injection Part 2
This explanation of how the price level is determined and why it might change over time is called the quantity theory of money.
Quantity theory of money is a theory asserting that the quantity of money available determines the price level and that the growth rate in the quantity of money available determines the inflation rate.
FIGURE 11.2 An Increase in the Money Supply
When the Bank of Canada increases the supply of money, the money supply curve shifts from MS1 to MS2.
The value of money (on the left axis) and the price level (on the right axis) adjust to bring supply and demand back into balance.
The equilibrium moves from point A to point B.
Thus, when an increase in the money supply makes dollars more plentiful, the price level increases, making each dollar less valuable.
THE CLASSICAL THEORY OF INFLATION: A Brief Look at the Adjustment Process
How does the economy get from the old to the new equilibrium?
1. A monetary injection creates an excess supply of money.
1. At the prevailing price level, the quantity of money supplied now exceeds the quantity demanded.
1. The injection of money increases the demand for goods and services while supply remains unchanged.
1. The prices of goods and services increase.
1. The quantity of money demanded increases until the the economy reaches a new equilibrium
THE CLASSICAL THEORY OF INFLATION: The Classical Dichotomy and Monetary Neutrality
Economic variables can be divided into two groups:
1. Nominal variables are variables measured in monetary units.
1. Real variables are variables measured in physical units.
**Classical dichotomy: **The theoretical separation of nominal and real variables.
Monetary neutrality is the proposition that changes in the money supply do not affect real variables.
THE CLASSICAL THEORY OF INFLATION: Velocity and the Quantity Equation
How many times per year is the typical dollar used to pay for a newly produced good or service?
**Velocity of money ** is the rate at which money changes hands.
V = (P x Y) / M
V: Velocity of money
Y: Real GDP
P: Price level
M: Quantity of money
THE CLASSICAL THEORY OF INFLATION: Velocity and the Quantity Equation Part 2
Quantity equation is the equation that relates the quantity of money, the velocity of money, and the dollar value of the economy’s output of goods and services.
M x V = P x Y
THE CLASSICAL THEORY OF INFLATION: Velocity and the Quantity Equation Part 3
The elements that explain the equilibrium price level:
1. Velocity (V) is stable over time.
- Because V is stable, when the central bank changes the quantity of money (M), it causes proportionate changes in the nominal value of output (P × Y).
- The economy’s output of goods and services (Y) is primarily determined by factor supplies and technology. In particular, because money is neutral, money does not affect output.
- With output (Y) determined by factor supplies and technology, when the central bank alters the money supply (M) and induces proportional changes in the nominal value of output (P × Y), these changes are reflected in changes in the price level.
- Therefore, when the central bank increases the money supply rapidly, the result is a high rate of inflation.