Chapter 1: Thinking Critically Flashcards
Why can we not rely solely on intuition and common sense?
Three phenomena illustrate this:
- Hindsight bias
- Overconfidence
- Tendency to perceive patterns in random events
What is intuition?
An effortless, immediate, automatic feeling or thought, as contrasted with explicit, conscious reasoning.
What is the hindsight bias?
The tendency to believe, after learning an outcome to a situation, that the outcome seemed familiar and therefore obvious - we could have foreseen it.
“I knew it all along!”
What is overconfidence?
The tendency to think we know more than what we do.
Why do we perceive patterns?
In our natural eagerness to make sense of the world, random sequences often don’t look random!
Hindsight bias, overconfidence, and our tendency to perceive patterns in random events lead to ___________ our intuition.
Overestimating
What are the scientific attitude’s three main components?
CURIOSITY = Passion to explore and understand, without misleading and being misled.
SKEPTICISM = Challenging opinions, questions.
**Curious skepticism: Doubting, by asking ‘What do you mean? How do you know?’
HUMILITY = Awareness of our own vulnerability to error; openness to surprises and new perspectives.
What is critical thinking?
- Examining assumptions
- Appraising the source
- Discerning hidden values
- Evaluating evidence
- Assessing conclusions
Critical thinking ________ accept arguments and conclusions.
Critical thinking does not blindly accept arguments and conclusions.
Critical thinkers consider the ________ of sources.
They recognize ________ perspectives.
They ________ themselves to challenging sources vs their preconceived ideas.
Credibility
Multiple
Expose
What is a theory?
A theory explains behaviours or events, by offering ideas that organize what we have observed
= Simplification, summary, coherent picture
What are hypotheses?
Testable predictions, often implied by a theory.
They specify what results would support the theory, and what results would disconfirm it =>
Confirm? Revise/Reject?
What is the relationship between our theories and our observations?
Our theories can bias our observations!
What is an operational definition?
A carefully worded statement of the exact procedures (operations) used in a research study.
What is replication?
Repeating the essence of a research study, usually with different participants in different situations, to see whether the basic finding extends to other participants and circumstances.
If in replicating, similar results are obtained, what happens to the reliability of the theory?
It grows!
What is the scientific method (its steps)?
Theories –> Hypotheses –> Research and observations –> Confirm, reject, revise theories
What makes a theory useful?
- It ORGANIZES a range of self-reports and observations;
- It implies PREDICTIONS that anyone can use to check the theory or to derive practical applications
- It stimulates further research leading to a better-revised theory.
What methods can we use to test our hypotheses and refine our theories?
- Descriptive methods
- Correlational methods
- Experimental methods
Descriptive method: Case study
Examines one individual or group in depth in the hope of revealing things true of us all.
They often suggest directions for further study.
However, atypical individual cases may mislead us = Unrepresentative information = Mistaken judgments, false conclusions
We should not discern the general truths that cover individual cases!
Descriptive method: Naturalistic observation
Observing and recording behaviour in naturally-occurring situations, without trying to manipulate and control the situation.
They DESCRIBE behaviour, without explaining it!
As well, they do not control all the factors that may have influenced the behaviour in check.