Chap 4: Probability Flashcards
complement rule
P(A) + P(not A) = 1
intersection
both A and B
union
either A or B
mutually exclusive
both events can’t occur simultaneously
P(A and B) = 0
collectively exhaustive
one of events must occur
P(A or B) = 1
P(A or B) not collectively exhaustive
marginal rule
P(A) = P (A and B1) + P (A and B2) +…..+ P(A and Bk)
joint probabilities
the chance that two or more outcomes occur together
P(A and B)
addition law
P( A or B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A and B)
addition law in case A, B are mutually exclusive events
P(A or B) = P(A) + P(B)
Condition law
Given the occurrence of B —> the probability of A is
P(A/B) = P(A and B) / P(B)
P(A and B) = joint probability of A and B
P(A)= marginal probability of A
P(B) = marginal probability of B
A, B are independent event
P(A/B) = P(A)
P (B/A) = P(B)
P(A/B) = P(A) = P(A/not B)
P (A and B) = P(A) x P(B)
Multiplication law
to calculate the intersection of two events
P (A and B) = P(B) x P(A/B)
P (A and B) = P(A) x P(B/A)