Ch.2 - What causes revolutions? Flashcards

1
Q

What is a common misperception about revolutions?

A

Revolutions are often thought to be acts of frustration, but research shows that this view is wrong.

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2
Q

In what type of countries do revolutions occur more often?

A

Revolutions are more likely to occur in middle-income countries rather than in the very poorest nations.

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2
Q

Why doesn’t poverty alone cause revolutions?

A

While economic grievances play a role, the worst poverty, such as during famines, often does not lead to revolutions because the poorest lack the resources to overthrow governments.

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3
Q

Why can’t the poorest peasants and workers overthrow governments?

A

Poor peasants and workers cannot overthrow the government when faced with professional military forces determined to defend the regime.

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4
Q

What role do elites play in revolutions?

A

Elites often mobilize the population to help them overthrow the regime, and revolutions usually require significant portions of the elites or military to defect or stand aside.

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5
Q

What is the theory of “relative deprivation” in relation to revolutions?

A

Revolutions are sometimes said to occur when inequality or class differences grow unbearable, or when people’s expectations for progress are dashed.

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6
Q

Why doesn’t extreme inequality always lead to revolution?

A

Extreme inequality can lead to resignation and despair rather than revolution, as it often leaves the poor without the resources to create an effective revolutionary force.

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7
Q

What transforms poverty or inequality into motivations for revolution?

A

Belief that poverty or inequality is caused by regime incompetence, corruption, or favoritism, rather than being natural or inevitable, can turn these conditions into motivations for revolution.

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8
Q

How was modernization initially linked to revolutions?

A

How was modernization initially linked to revolutions? A: In the 1960s and 1970s, many believed that as societies modernized, inequality would rise, traditional authority would weaken, and people would demand new political regimes.

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9
Q

Why is modernization not consistently linked to revolutions?

A

Modernization affects countries differently—sometimes it undermines regimes, sometimes it strengthens authoritarian rulers, and sometimes it leads to smooth transitions to democracy.

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10
Q

What role do new ideologies play in revolutions?

A

New ideologies can play an important role in revolutionary mobilization, but they usually gain traction only after shifts in elite positions create space for new beliefs.

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11
Q

Why are poverty, inequality, modernization, and ideologies insufficient explanations for revolutions?

A

These factors alone cannot explain revolutions because society is not a passive structure that collapses under pressure; it consists of active people and groups whose actions reinforce the social order.

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12
Q

How do societies reproduce themselves over time?

A

Societies are continually reconstituted through overlapping relationships between rulers, elites, and popular groups, allowing them to remain resilient through crises like wars, famines, and rebellions.

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13
Q

What is the role of elites in maintaining social stability?

A

Elites act as intermediaries between the state and the populace, organizing political, economic, and educational activities, while supporting rulers in exchange for recognition and rewards.

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14
Q

How does the concept of “stable equilibrium” relate to societal stability?

A

In a stable equilibrium, society resists disturbances such as revolts or crises, with rulers, elites, and popular groups acting to restore the existing social order.

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15
Q

What happens in a society in “unstable equilibrium”?

A

In unstable equilibrium, a small disturbance can lead to an ever-increasing departure from the previous state, potentially triggering a revolution as social relationships break down.

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16
Q

What social conditions typically precede a revolution?

A

Before a revolution, rulers become weakened, elites become divided, and popular groups experience dissatisfaction with economic conditions, leading to a breakdown in loyalty and unity.

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17
Q

How does a revolution begin?

A

How does a revolution begin? A: A revolution begins when a moderate disturbance, such as a war or economic crisis, triggers popular uprisings and elite confrontations, leading to a coalition against the rulers and eventual regime change if the military defects.

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17
Q

Why is it difficult to predict when a revolution will occur?

A

Societies in unstable equilibrium may appear outwardly stable, with strikes and protests seeming insignificant until they escalate due to underlying elite discord and growing opposition within the military and police.

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18
Q

How is a revolution similar to an earthquake?

A

Like an earthquake, revolutions are hard to predict. Small disturbances may be dismissed, but they can signal deeper fault lines in society that, when triggered, lead to a sudden and dramatic upheaval.

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19
Q

What is required for a revolution to succeed against a professional military?

A

Revolutions succeed when significant portions of the elites and the military defect or stand aside, allowing popular groups to mobilize and challenge the regime.

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20
Q

How does relative deprivation influence revolutions?

A

While relative deprivation, or growing inequality and dashed expectations, can motivate people to protest, extreme inequality often leads to resignation, not revolution, unless it is blamed on the regime.

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20
Q

What role does modernization play in revolutions?

A

Modernization can sometimes destabilize regimes by breaking down traditional authority and increasing inequality, but it can also strengthen authoritarian regimes or lead to smooth democratic transitions, showing no consistent relationship with revolutions.

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21
Q

Why are new ideologies important in revolutions, but not sufficient?

A

New ideologies are essential in mobilizing revolutionary actions, but they only gain traction when shifts in elite positions create space for these ideas to spread, making them part of the revolution’s broader context.

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22
Q

What distinguishes revolutions from other forms of rebellion or unrest?

A

Revolutions uniquely combine the forcible overthrow of the government, mass mobilization, a vision of social justice, and the creation of new political institutions, unlike other forms of unrest like coups or rebellions.

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23
Q

How does a society in stable equilibrium react to crises such as revolts or economic downturns?

A

A society in stable equilibrium typically restores order after crises, with rulers, elites, and popular groups working together to reestablish the pre-existing social order.

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24
Q

What signals a shift from stable to unstable equilibrium in a society?

A

A shift to unstable equilibrium occurs when rulers lose control, elites become divided, and popular groups grow disillusioned, leading to a breakdown in the social order and the potential for revolution.

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25
Q

Why are reforms by rulers often ineffective in preventing revolutions?

A

Reforms by rulers are often too little, too late, and can create additional uncertainty, further destabilizing the regime and intensifying opposition rather than calming discontent.

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26
Q

How do elites contribute to the onset of revolutions?

A

Elites often mobilize popular groups against the regime when they feel their own interests are threatened or when they perceive the rulers as unjust, playing a crucial role in initiating revolutions.

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26
Q

What is the “paradox of revolution”?

A

The paradox of revolution is that societies may appear stable on the surface, but underlying elite discord and popular discontent can remain hidden until a seemingly small disturbance triggers widespread unrest and revolution.

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27
Q

What challenge do social scientists face in predicting revolutions?

A

Social scientists can identify growing tensions and “faults” in a society, but they cannot predict exactly when a revolution will occur, similar to predicting earthquakes.

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28
Q

What is the first necessary condition for revolution?

A

National economic or fiscal strains, which disrupt the flow of income to rulers and elites, often leading to increased taxes, borrowing, and discontent.

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29
Q

How does growing elite alienation contribute to revolution?

A

When elites feel systematically excluded or unfairly treated by the regime, they may seek reforms or, if blocked, mobilize popular discontent to overthrow the regime.

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29
Q

What is a key factor in revolutionary mobilization among the populace?

A

Widespread popular anger at injustice, where people feel they are losing their place in society due to unjust actions by elites or rulers, rather than inevitable causes.

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30
Q

How do popular groups typically act during a revolution?

A

Popular groups may engage in marches, strikes, occupations of public spaces, or guerrilla warfare, especially if they feel the government’s forces are too strong to confront directly.

30
Q

What happens when rebellion spreads and includes various groups?

A

If rebellion spreads to peasants, workers, students, and links up with elites, it can overwhelm government forces and lead to a collapse or defection of the military, ensuring revolutionary victory.

31
Q

What is the fourth condition necessary for revolution?

A

An ideology that provides a shared narrative of resistance, highlighting the injustices of the regime and uniting both popular and elite groups in their cause.

32
Q

How do effective narratives of resistance function in revolutions?

A

Effective narratives of resistance draw on local traditions, stories of past heroes, and concepts of justice, while also addressing the specific grievances of both the elites and the populace.

32
Q

Why do revolutionary movements often incorporate local traditions and historical heroes into their ideology?

A

These narratives strengthen the sense of shared identity and righteousness, connecting revolutionary efforts to past struggles for justice, which resonates with the populace.

33
Q

What is the role of guerrilla forces in revolutionary movements?

A

Guerrilla forces are used when revolutionaries cannot confront government forces directly. They operate in remote areas and gradually build up strength while evading or striking selectively.

34
Q

What is a common indicator that a revolution may be successful?

A

A revolution gains significant momentum when the military starts to defect or refuses to repress its own people, leading to the collapse of government control.

35
Q

What is the fifth necessary condition for a revolution to arise?

A

A significant portion of the military or key elite groups must defect from the regime or remain neutral, allowing revolutionary forces to challenge and potentially overthrow the government.

36
Q

Why might small tremors or protests not always indicate an impending revolution?

A

Like minor earthquakes, small protests can either be a release of tension or a sign of growing pressure. Their significance isn’t always clear until a larger event occurs.

37
Q

How does elite disaffection and opposition typically develop in the lead-up to a revolution?

A

Elites may become alienated when they perceive unfair exclusion from power or rewards, and they may ally with popular groups to challenge or overthrow the regime.

38
Q

How do economic strains influence revolutionary conditions?

A

Economic strains disrupt the flow of income, leading to higher taxes, debt, and discontent among both elites and the populace, making a regime vulnerable to revolt.

39
Q

What role do military defections play in the success of a revolution?

A

Military defections can signal the regime’s collapse, as it indicates that the armed forces are no longer willing to defend the government, giving revolutionaries the upper hand.

40
Q

How do revolutionary movements spread and become successful?

A

Successful revolutions often start locally but spread as various groups—peasants, workers, students—join forces, overwhelming the government’s capacity to suppress the movement.

41
Q

What is the concept of “unstable equilibrium” in relation to revolutions?

A

Unstable equilibrium occurs when even a small disturbance can set off a chain reaction that disrupts the social order, leading to the collapse of the regime.

42
Q

Who were José Martí and Augusto César Sandino?

A

They were revolutionary fighters: José Martí was a Cuban national hero and key figure in the fight for Cuba’s independence from Spain, and Augusto César Sandino was a Nicaraguan revolutionary leader who opposed U.S. military intervention in Nicaragua.

43
Q

What kind of promises do revolutionary ideologies often make to unite their followers?

A

Revolutionary ideologies often rely on vague or utopian promises of better times ahead, paired with emotionally powerful depictions of the current regime’s injustices and evils.

44
Q

What are the five conditions necessary for a revolution to occur?

A

The five conditions are:

  1. Economic or fiscal strain
  2. Elite alienation and opposition
  3. Popular anger at injustice
  4. A persuasive shared narrative of resistance
  5. Favorable international relations.
44
Q

How do international relations impact the success of revolutions?

A

Revolutionary success often depends on foreign support for the opposition or the withdrawal of foreign support for the regime. Many revolutions fail due to foreign intervention in support of counterrevolution.

45
Q

Why do revolutions often come as a surprise?

A

Revolutions are often surprising because rulers underestimate their alienation and the scale of popular anger, while revolutionaries may misjudge the regime’s fiscal weakness and the strength of their own support.

46
Q

What is the difference between structural and transient causes of revolutions?

A

Structural causes are long-term trends that undermine social institutions (e.g., demographic change), while transient causes are contingent events or actions that reveal and accelerate these underlying issues.

47
Q

What are some common structural causes of revolutions?

A

Common structural causes include demographic changes, which create scarcity of land and jobs, and shifts in international relations, such as wars and economic competition, that weaken state authorities.

48
Q

What is the significance of “youth bulge” in the context of revolutions?

A

A “youth bulge” refers to a large population of young people who struggle to find jobs, making them more susceptible to new ideologies and more likely to be mobilized for social protest.

49
Q

Why do states sometimes appear stable just before a revolution?

A

States may appear stable because financial problems are hidden, elites conceal their disloyalty, and popular anger is not always outwardly visible until a triggering event occurs, making revolutions seem sudden and unexpected

50
Q

How do narratives of resistance contribute to revolutionary success?

A

Narratives of resistance provide a unifying and persuasive vision that can inspire people to act by highlighting injustices and offering hope for change, even if the specifics of the future are unclear.

51
Q

How do wars and international economic competition relate to revolutions?

A

Wars and economic competition can weaken governments, diminish resources, and empower new social groups, often leading to instability and conditions ripe for revolution.

52
Q

What is meant by “unstable equilibrium” in the context of revolutions?

A

“Unstable equilibrium” describes a society where multiple factors—economic strain, elite discontent, popular anger, resistance narratives, and international relations—are all aligned, making the system vulnerable to collapse.

53
Q

Why are revolutions often seen as inevitable in hindsight?

A

After a revolution, it is easier to see how economic strain, elite opposition, popular anger, and other factors combined to create instability, making the revolution seem unavoidable in retrospect.

54
Q

How do demographic changes lead to revolutionary conditions?

A

Rapid population growth can lead to competition for limited resources like jobs and land, creating economic strain, rising prices, and dissatisfaction, which can fuel revolutionary movements.

55
Q

What role do elites play in the success or failure of revolutions?

A

Elites, when alienated from the regime, can defect and support revolutionary movements, accelerating the collapse of the old order. Their opposition is a key factor in undermining the stability of a regime.

56
Q

How does foreign intervention impact revolutions?

A

Foreign intervention can either support a revolutionary movement, enhancing its chances of success, or assist the ruling regime, helping to suppress the revolution and reverse its progress.

57
Q

What is the paradox of revolutions?

A

The paradox is that while revolutions may seem inevitable in hindsight, they are often unexpected and appear unlikely until the moment they actually occur.

58
Q

How can a revolution in one state trigger revolutions in others?

A

A revolution in one state can serve as a triggering event for revolutions in neighboring states, leading to waves of revolutions that spread from one country to the next due to shared structural instability.

59
Q

How does new discrimination or exclusion contribute to revolution?

A

New patterns of discrimination or exclusion, such as blocking social mobility or excluding groups from power, can undermine the legitimacy of the regime, turning entire social groups into enemies of the existing order.

60
Q

What role does uneven or dependent economic development play in revolutions?

A

Uneven or dependent economic development, where the poor and middle classes fall further behind while a small elite grows richer, or where growth mainly benefits foreign investors, creates popular grievances and elite division, fueling revolutionary conditions.

61
Q

How do personalist regimes become vulnerable to revolution?

A

In personalist regimes, rulers rely on a small circle of cronies and family, alienating elites and popular groups. Over time, corruption grows, and if an economic crisis or revolt occurs, the regime may collapse quickly due to elite defections.

61
Q

What is the “dictator’s dilemma”?

A

The “dictator’s dilemma” occurs when a ruler invests in military and economic development to keep up with global pressures, but this modernization creates a professional class that resents the ruler’s corruption and exclusion, leading to growing opposition.

62
Q

What are transient causes of revolutions?

A

Transient causes are sudden events like inflation, war defeat, or protests that push an unstable society into open revolt, especially when the state’s response to protests inflames popular and elite perceptions of injustice.

63
Q

Why do some states experience revolutions after transient events, while others do not?

A

Some states have the resilience to restore order after transient crises, while others lack this resilience due to underlying structural instability, making them more susceptible to revolution.

64
Q

What happens once a revolution begins?

A

After key elites defect and revolutionaries seize power, the revolution begins, but it may lead to counterrevolutions, civil wars, or even renewed dictatorship before achieving stability.

65
Q

How do economic crises affect modernizing dictatorships and monarchies?

A

Economic crises in modernizing dictatorships can lead to widespread dissatisfaction among the educated and professional classes, increasing opposition to the regime and making it ripe for revolution if it falters.

66
Q

How do protests lead to revolutions under unstable regimes?

A

In unstable regimes, protests, if seen as representative of ordinary people, can spark larger revolts, especially if state repression is viewed as illegitimate, dangerous, or unjust.

67
Q

How does the exclusion of former elites contribute to revolution?

A

When new groups take power and exclude former elites from political or economic opportunities, the discontented elites often turn against the regime, weakening its stability and contributing to revolutionary conditions.

68
Q

Why do modernizing regimes often face opposition from educated professionals?

A

Educated professionals, students, and businessmen in modernizing regimes may resent the corruption and favoritism of the ruling elites, viewing the regime as illegitimate and demanding political reform or revolution.

69
Q

What is the relationship between urbanization and revolution?

A

Expanded urban populations are harder to control and often become centers for the spread of alternative ideologies and political opposition, making them hotbeds for revolutionary activity.

70
Q

How does economic inequality within a rapidly developing society fuel revolutionary anger?

A

In rapidly developing societies, if economic benefits are concentrated among a small elite while the majority sees their conditions worsen or stagnate, this inequality creates widespread anger and resentment, fueling revolutionary movements.

71
Q

How can transient events turn an unstable society into a revolutionary one?

A

Transient events like spikes in food prices, defeat in war, or large-scale protests can push an unstable society over the edge, turning latent discontent into open rebellion.

72
Q

How does long-term structural instability lead to revolutions?

A

Long-term structural instability—such as economic inequality, elite alienation, or systemic exclusion of certain groups—creates the underlying conditions for revolutions, which can be triggered by sudden, transient events.

73
Q

How can repression of protests backfire in unstable regimes?

A

In unstable regimes, heavy-handed or inconsistent repression of protests can backfire by inflaming public anger and elite opposition, further delegitimizing the state and accelerating revolutionary sentiment.

73
Q

What happens when a personalist dictatorship faces an economic crisis?

A

Personalist dictatorships often collapse quickly during economic crises because their support is limited to a small circle of cronies, and once the elites defect or the public revolts, the regime loses its grip on power.

74
Q

Why do structural causes of revolution matter more than transient causes?

A

Structural causes, such as economic inequality or elite alienation, create the underlying instability that allows transient events to trigger revolutions. Without these deeper issues, states are more resilient in the face of crises.

75
Q

What are the risks of rapid modernization for authoritarian regimes?

A

Rapid modernization can create a professional class that resents the ruling regime’s corruption, exclusion, and favoritism, fueling opposition to the regime and increasing the risk of revolutionary movements.

76
Q

How does the “dictator’s dilemma” weaken a regime?

A

The “dictator’s dilemma” weakens a regime by forcing rulers to modernize and create educated elites, who then become discontented with the corruption and favoritism of the regime, leading to increased opposition and instability.

77
Q

Why do revolutions often lead to counterrevolutions or civil wars?

A

Revolutions may trigger counterrevolutions or civil wars as different factions vie for power, former elites attempt to regain control, or revolutionary leaders struggle to maintain order, leading to prolonged instability.