CH 7: The Stock Market... Flashcards
Stockholders
Holder of stock in a corporation
Residual Claimant
A stockholder’s right to receive whatever remains after all other claims against a firm’s assets have been satisfied.
Cash Flows
Cash payments to the holder of a security
Dividends
Periodic payments made by equities to shareholders
One-Period Valuation Model
A model which calculates the discounted present value of dividends and selling price over a one-year holding period.
Generalized Dividend Valuation Model
A model in which the price of the stock is determined only by the present value of the dividends.
Gordon Growth Model
A simplified model used to compute the value of stock by assuming constant dividend growth.
What are the key assumptions of the Gordon Growth Model?
- Dividends are assumed to continue growing at a constant rate forever.
- The growth rate is assumed to be less than the required return on equity, ke.
What is the impact of Monetary Policy and Stock Prices?
- When Fed lowers interest rates, the return of bonds declines and investors are likely to accept a lower required rate of return on investment in equity (ke) resulting in a rise of stock prices.
- When Fed lowers interest rates stimulates the economy, so the growth rate in dividends, (g), rises resulting in a rise in stock prices.
Theory of Rational Expectation
Economic theory states that individuals make decisions based on the best available information in the market and learn from past trends.
What is an example of Rational Expectations Theory?
A situation in which a consumer delays buying a certain good because, based on his/her observations and experiences, he/she believes that the price will be less expensive in a month. If enough consumers believe that, demand eases and the good is likely to be less expensive next month. Thus, the consumer waits a month before buying the good.
Adaptive Expectations
Expectations for the value of a variable that are based on an average of past values of the variable.
Optimal Forecast
The best guess of future conditions, made using all available information.
Failure of Rational Expectation (2 Reasons)
- People might be aware of all available information but find it takes too much effort to make their expectations the best guess possible.
- People might be unaware of some available relevant information, so their best guess of the future will not be accurate.
Rational Expectation Theory Equation
The expectation of X equals the optimal forecast using all available information.
Two Implications of Rational Expectation Theory
- If there is a change in the way a variable moves, the way in which expectations of this variable are formed will change as well.
- The forecast errors of expectations will, on average, be zero and cannot be predicted ahead of time.
Efficient Market Hypothesis
- The efficient market hypothesis (EMH) or theory states that share prices reflect all information.
- The EMH hypothesizes that stocks trade at their fair market value on exchanges.
- Proponents of EMH posit that investors benefit from investing in a low-cost, passive portfolio.
- Opponents of EMH believe that it is possible to beat the market and that stocks can deviate from their fair market values.
Efficient Market Hypothesis Equation
Arbitrage
Elimination of a riskless profit opportunity in a market.
Market Fundamentals
Items that have a direct impact on the future income streams of a security.
Random Walk
Movements of a variable whose future values cannot be predicted (are random) because, given today’s value, the value of the variable is just as likely to fall as it is to rise.
Short Sales
Borrowing stock from brokers and then selling the stock in the market, with the hope that a profit will be earned by buying the stock back again (“covering the short”) after it has fallen in price.
Behavioral Finance
A subfield of finance that applies concepts from other social sciences, such as anthropology, sociology, and particularly psychology, to explain the behavior of securities prices.
Unexploited Profit Opportunity
A situation in which an investor can earn a higher-than-normal return.
Bubble
A situation in which the price of an asset differs from its fundamental market value.
Cash Flows
Cash payments to the holder of a security