Ch. 29: The Business Cycle Flashcards
Business Cycle
Recurring increases and decreases in the level of economic activity over periods of years; consists of peak, recession, trough, and expansion phases.
Peak
The point in a business cycle at which business activity has reached a temporary maximum; the point at which an expansion ends and a recession begins. At this point, the economy is near or at full employment and the level of real output is at or very close to the economy’s capacity.
Recession
A period of declining real GDP, accompanied by lower real income and higher unemployment (lasts at least six months).
Trough
The point in a business cycle at which business activity has reached a temporary minimum; the point at which a recession ends and an expansion (recovery) begins. At this point, the economy experiences substantial unemployment and real GDP is less than potential output.
Expansion
The phase of the business cycle in which real GDP, income, and employment rise.
Labor Force
Persons 16 years of age and older who are not in institutions and who are employed or are unemployed and seeking work.
Unemployment Rate
The percentage of the labor force unemployed at any time.
Discouraged Workers
Employees who have left the labor force because they have not been able to find employment.
Frictional Unemployment
A type of unemployment caused by workers voluntarily changing jobs and by temporary layoffs; unemployed workers between jobs.
Structural Unemployment
Unemployment of workers whose skills are not demanded by employers, who lack sufficient skill to obtain employment, or who cannot easily move to locations where jobs are available.
Cyclical Unemployment
A type of unemployment caused by insufficient total spending (insufficient aggregate demand) and which typically begins in the recession phase of the business cycle.
Full-Employment Rate of Unemployment
The unemployment rate at which there is no cyclical unemployment of the labor force; equal to around 4 percent (rather than zero percent) in the United States because frictional and structural unemployment are unavoidable.
Natural Rate of Unemployment
The full-employment rate of unemployment; the unemployment rate occurring when there is no cyclical unemployment and the economy is achieving its potential output; the unemployment rate at which actual inflation equals expected inflation.
Potential Output
The real output (GDP) an economy can produce when it fully employs its available resources.
Okun’s Law
The generalization that any 1-percentage-point rise in the unemployment rate above the full-employment rate of unemployment is associated with a rise in the negative GDP gap by 2 percent of potential output (potential GDP).