Ch 15 Portfolio Mgmt And Investment Risk Flashcards
Efficient frontier
Modern portfolio theory
Best return possible for that degree of risk
CAPM
Built off of modern portfolio theory
Divided risk into systematic and unsystematic
Systematic and unsystematic risks
Systematic:
Measure by beta.
market, interest rate, event, inflation
Unsystematic:
Measured by alpha
business, regulatory, political, opportunity, liquidity
CAPM formula
Ri = Rf + B(Rm - Rf)
Ri: portfolio or stock return
Rf: risk free rate
B: beta
Rm: return on the market
Efficient market hypothesis
If you believe in it, you will agree passive investing is the best approach.
Weak: cannot predict future stock prices based on past trends (technical analysis). Only fundamental analysis can be used aka analyze company financial reports. Fundamental analysts look at the company, not the market.
Semi-strong: all public info is reflected in the share price and no analysis will help. Only access to non public info will help.
Strong: all public and non public info is reflected in the price
Sector rotation
Method of active management
Move into sectors you think will do well given the business cycle phase and continue rotating around as the cycle progresses
Time horizon rule of thumb
100 - clients current age = % of portfolio that should be in equities
PV of a perpetuity
Payment / return investor thinks they can earn aka discount rate
Rule of 72
Number of years needed for an investment to double given a specific date of return
72 / rate of return = number of years
Eg PV $20k, I 8%, FV $40K, N??
72 / 8 = 9
NPV
> 0 return will be greater than expected
= 0 return will be what is expected
<0 return will be less than expected
Dollar weighted return vs time weighted return
Dollar:
Same concept and calculation as IRR and YTM on a bond
Considers additional depositions and withdrawals when calculating a return
Useful for measuring a single investors rate of return
Time:
Geometric mean of returns
Considers compounding
Useful for comparing money managers
Current yield
For stock = annual dividend / stock price
For bond = annual interest / price
Dividend payout ratio
How generous a company is
Dividend / EPS
HPR or total return
Ending value - beginning value + investment income
/
Beginning value
Risk adjusted election
Return - risk free return