Ch 12 - Strategic Investment Decisions Flashcards
Six Stages of Investment Decision Making
Managers must consider six stages in making investment decisions:
Stage 1: Determine Investment Funds Available
Stage 2: Identify Profitable Project Opportunities
Stage 3: Define and Classify Proposed Projects
Stage 4: Evaluate the Proposed Project(s)
Stage 5: Approve the Project(s)
Stage 6: Monitor and Control the Project(s)
Investments
An investment is typically one large amount and the benefits arrive as a series of smaller amounts over a fairly protracted period.
Investment decisions are very important because:
Large amounts of resources are often involved. It is often difficult and/or expensive to bail out of an investment once it has been undertaken.
Four Methods of Investment Appraisal
Accounting rate of return (ARR) Payback period (PP) Net present value (NPV) Internal rate of return (IRR).
Accounting rate of return (ARR)
ARR ) method takes the average accounting profit that the investment will generate and expresses it as a percentage of the average investment made over the life of the project.
ARR = (Average annual profit / Average investment to earn that profit) * 100
Payback period (PP)
The length of time it takes for an initial investment to be repaid out of the net cash inflows from a project
A manager using PP would need to have a maximum payback period in mind.
The decision rules to be used are:
- For any project to be acceptable, it must fall within the maximum payback period.
- Where there are competing projects that meet the maximum payback period requirement, the project with the shortest payback period should be selected.
Net present value (NPV)
Considers all of the costs and benefits of each investment opportunity
Makes a logical allowance for the timing of those costs and benefits.
The decision rules are:
For any project to be acceptable, the NPV must be positive.
Where there are competing projects with positive NPVs, the one that gives the highest positive NPV should be accepted.
Internal rate of return (IRR)
Closely related to the NPV method in that, like NPV, it also involves discounting future cash flows.
The internal rate of return (IRR) is the breakeven discount rate that makes NPV 0
If the discount rate is lower than the IRR, then the NPV will be positive.
IRR expressed as a percentage.
ARR and ROCE
ARR and the return on capital employed (ROCE) ratio take the same approach to performance measurement: they both relate accounting profit to the cost of the assets invested to generate that profit.
ARR is an approach that assesses the potential performance of a particular investment, taking the same approach as ROCE, before the fact.
Advantages of ARR
ROCE is a widely used measure of business performance.
ARR is consistent with this overall approach to measuring business performance.
Managers feel comfortable with using measures expressed in percentage terms as ARR does.
Problems with ARR
ARR Ignores Time Value of Money
ARR Can Lead to an Illogical Decision
(i.e give away equipment with no disposal value increases that ARR % but is not a wise choice for the company!)
ARR Is Based on the Accounting Profit, Not the Future
ARR Measures Relative Size and Not Absolute Size of the Return
Advantages of PP
Quick and easy to calculate
Can easily be understood by managers
Emphasizes liquidity
Disadvantages of PP
Cash flows arising beyond the payback period are ignored.
PP only looks at the risk that the project will end earlier than expected.
PP is not linked to promoting increases in the wealth of the business
Discount Rate
The appropriate discount rate to use in NPV assessments is the opportunity cost of funds.
This will normally be the cost of the mixture of funds (shareholders’ funds and debt) used by the business usually known as the cost of capital.
The cost of capital
the cost of the mixture of funds (shareholders’ funds and debt) used by the business
Which method is superior: NPV, ARR, or PP?
NPV is a better method of appraising investment opportunities than either ARR or PP because it fully takes account of each of the following:
- The timing of the cash flows.
- The whole of the relevant cash flows.
- The objectives of the business.