Ch 12 - Introduction to Binomial Trees Flashcards
Why do we use the simple binomial model?
Model can be extended to cover all possible future prices
Binomial model allows us to price American options
Simple model that requires minimum of mathematics – used often by market practitioners
What are the two ways of valuing options using binomial trees?
No arbitrage approach
Risk-neutral valuation
What is the no-arbitrage approach of valuing options using binomial trees?
Set up a risk-less portfolio consisting of a position in the option and a position in the stock (Delta stock)
By setting the return on the portfolio equal to the risk-free interest rate, we are able to value the option (risk-neutral probabilities up & down)
What is the risk-neutral approach of valuing options using binomial trees?
Choose probabilities for the branches of the tree so that the EXPECTED RETURN on the stock equals the RFR
Value the option by calculating its EXPECTED PAYOFF and DISCOUNTING this expected payoff at the RFR
What is the only assumption of the no arbitrage approach?
Only assumption: no arbitrage opportunities exist
How do we set up our portfolio in the no arbitrage approach?
We set up the portfolio of the stock and the option in such a way that there is NO UNCERTAINTY about the VALUE of the portfolio AT the END of the period
Because the portfolio has NO RISK then the RETURN it earns MUST = RFR
How can we calculate Delta Δ?
Δ = option’s delta (change option price/change stock price)
When is a portfolio riskless (mathematically - no arbitration)
S0uΔ – ƒu = S0dΔ – ƒd
What is the secondary way of calculating Delta Δ?
Δ = (ƒu - ƒd) / (S0u - S0d)
What is the value of the portfolio at time T? (mathematically)
Su Δ – ƒu
Value of the portfolio today? (mathematically)
(Su Δ – ƒu )e^(–rT)
or
S Δ – ƒ so S Δ – ƒ = (Su Δ – ƒu )e^(–rT)
Hence: ƒ = S Δ – (Su Δ – ƒu )e^(–rT)
How do we calculate the risk-neutral probability up?
p = [e^(rT) - d] / [u - d]
How do we calculate the risk-neutral probability down?
1-p
What is the value of an option using the risk-neutral approach? (mathematically)
ƒ = [ p ƒu + (1 – p )ƒd ]e^(–rT)
How is d calculated?
d = Sd/S