CH 10 - 7 Investing in emerging markets Flashcards
- Definition and Key Characteristics of emerging markets
Emerging Markets: Stock markets in developing economies (e.g., Brazil, China, Mexico, Singapore).
Attractions: High expected returns due to rapid industrialization.
Risks: Markets are volatile and risky.
- Factors to Consider Before Investing in emerging markets
- Current market valuation: Potential to buy undervalued assets.
- Economic growth rate: High growth rates in developing economies.
- Currency stability and strength: Volatile currencies pose risks.
- Marketability: Stocks may have low liquidity.
- Political stability: Risk of unstable governments impacting returns.
- Market regulation: Often less regulated than developed markets.
- Restrictions on foreign investment: Limits on ownership by foreigners.
- Range of companies: Limited industries compared to developed markets.
- Communication problems: Language barriers, time zones, and data presentation.
- Availability and quality of information: Poorer quality than in developed markets.
- Attractions of Emerging Markets
Current Market Valuation:
* Inefficient markets: Potential to buy cheaply due to pricing anomalies.
* Example: Perceived riskiness of Manila vs. London leads to lower demand and prices in Manila.
Rapid Economic Growth:
* Developing economies grow faster than developed ones, offering higher returns.
* Example: Growth rates exceeding 6% per year in emerging markets.
Better Diversification:
* Economies of smaller countries are less interdependent with major powers.
* Provides exposure to industries unavailable domestically.
- Drawbacks of Emerging Markets
Volatility:
* Large capital flows can make markets and currencies highly volatile.
* Example: Asian market crash of 1997.
Marketability:
* Stocks are less liquid and harder to sell.
Political Stability:
* Unstable governments can increase return volatility.
Market Regulation:
* Poorly regulated markets lead to risks like insider trading and fraud.
Restrictions on Foreign Investment:
* Barriers to ownership and repatriation of funds.
Communication Problems:
* Issues include language barriers, time zones, and poor-quality information.
- Anomalous Pricing in Emerging Markets
Reasons for More Pricing Anomalies:
* Fewer buyers/sellers lead to inefficient price setting.
* High dealing costs discourage active trading.
* Less sophisticated investment analysts and investors.
* Inferior quality of information available to investors.
Impact on Investors:
* Good for well-informed or lucky investors who can exploit anomalies.
* Bad for less-informed investors who face higher risks.