CFAI 5 - Corporate Finance and Portfolio Managment Flashcards
Tipos de projetos: Replacement projects Expansion projects New products and services Regulatory, safety, and environmental projects Other.
- Replacement projects. These are among the easier capital budgeting decisions. If a piece of equipment breaks down or wears out, whether to replace it may not require careful analysis. If the expenditure is modest and if not investing has significant implications for production, operations, or sales, it would be a waste of resources to overanalyze the decision. Just make the replacement. Other replacement decisions involve replacing existing equipment with newer, more efficient equipment, or perhaps choosing one type of equipment over another. These replacement decisions are often amenable to very detailed analysis, and you might have a lot of confidence in the final decision.
- Expansion projects. Instead of merely maintaining a company’s existing business activities, expansion projects increase the size of the business. These expansion decisions may involve more uncertainties than replacement decisions, and these decisions will be more carefully considered.
- New products and services. These investments expose the company to even more uncertainties than expansion projects. These decisions are more complex and will involve more people in the decision-making process.
- Regulatory, safety, and environmental projects. These projects are frequently required by a governmental agency, an insurance company, or some other external party. They may generate no revenue and might not be undertaken by a company maximizing its own private interests. Often, the company will accept the required investment and continue to operate. Occasionally, however, the cost of the regulatory/safety/environmental project is sufficiently high that the company would do better to cease operating altogether or to shut down any part of the business that is related to the project.
- Other. The projects above are all susceptible to capital budgeting analysis, and they can be accepted or rejected using the net present value (NPV) or some other criterion. Some projects escape such analysis. These are either pet projects of someone in the company (such as the CEO buying a new aircraft) or so risky that they are difficult to analyze by the usual methods (such as some research and development decisions).
NPV
IRR
payback period
discounted payback period
Average Accounting Rate of Return
Profitability Index
NPV é os cash flow do investimento atualizados - o custo no presente
IRR é a taxa de desconto à qual se atualiza os cash flow do projeto que nos dá um valor do projeto igual ao seu custo. N
The payback period has many drawbacks—it is a measure of payback and not a measure of profitability. By itself, the payback period would be a dangerous criterion for evaluating capital projects. Its simplicity, however, is an advantage. The payback period is very easy to calculate and to explain. The payback period may also be used as an indicator of project liquidity. A project with a two-year payback may be more liquid than another project with a longer payback
igual ao anterior contudo os cf são atualizados
Averagenetincome / Averagebookvalue
The advantages of the AAR are that it is easy to understand and easy to calculate. The AAR has some important disadvantages, however. Unlike the other capital budgeting criteria discussed here, the AAR is based on accounting numbers and not based on cash flows. This is an important conceptual and practical limitation. The AAR also does not account for the time value of money, and there is no conceptually sound cutoff for the AAR that distinguishes between profitable and unprofitable investments. The AAR is frequently calculated in different ways, so the analyst should verify the formula behind any AAR numbers that are supplied by someone else. Analysts should know the AAR and its potential limitations in practice, but they should rely on more economically sound methods like the NPV and IRR.
The profitability index (PI) is the present value of a project’s future cash flows divided by the initial investment.
1+NPV / Initialinvestment
The Gerhardt Corporation investment (discussed earlier) had an outlay of €50 million, a present value of future cash flows of €63.136 million, and an NPV of €13.136 million. The profitability index is
1.26
.
NPV profile
É importante para comparar diferentes projetos de investimento. Reflete o NPV em função da discount rate usada.
Multiple IRR problem quando é que ocorre ou pode ocorrer?
For conventional projects that have outlays followed by inflows—negative cash flows followed by positive cash flows—the multiple IRR problem cannot occur. However, for nonconventional projects, as in the example above, the multiple IRR problem can occur
Freitag Corporation is investing €600 million in distribution facilities. The present value of the future after-tax cash flows is estimated to be €850 million. Freitag has 200 million outstanding shares with a current market price of €32.00 per share. This investment is new information, and it is independent of other expectations about the company. What should be the effect of the project on the value of the company and the stock price?
The NPV of the project is €850 million − €600 million = €250 million. The total market value of the company prior to the investment is €32.00 × 200 million shares = €6,400 million. The value of the company should increase by €250 million to €6,650 million. The price per share should increase by the NPV per share, or €250 million / 200 million shares = €1.25 per share. The share price should increase from €32.00 to €33.25.
An investment of $100 generates after-tax cash flows of $40 in Year 1, $80 in Year 2, and $120 in Year 3. The required rate of return is 20 percent. The net present value is closest to: A.$42.22. B.$58.33. C.$68.52. .
B is correct.
An investment of $150,000 is expected to generate an after-tax cash flow of $100,000 in one year and another $120,000 in two years. The cost of capital is 10 percent. What is the internal rate of return?
A.28.39 percent.
B.28.59 percent.
C.28.79 percent.
C is correct. The IRR can be found using a financial calculator or with trial and error. Using trial and error, the total PV is equal to zero if the discount rate is 28.79 percent.
•Kim Corporation is considering an investment of 750 million won with expected after-tax cash inflows of 175 million won per year for seven years. The required rate of return is 10 percent. Expressed in years, the project’s payback period and discounted payback period, respectively, are closest to:
A.4.3 years and 5.4 years.
B.4.3 years and 5.9 years.
C.4.8 years and 6.3 years.
B is correct.
•An investment of $20,000 will create a perpetual after-tax cash flow of $2,000. The required rate of return is 8 percent. What is the investment’s profitability index?
A.1.08.
B.1.16.
C.1.25.
C is correct.
Erin Chou is reviewing a profitable investment project that has a conventional cash flow pattern. If the cash flows for the project, initial outlay, and future after-tax cash flows all double, Chou would predict that the IRR would:
A.increase and the NPV would increase.
B.stay the same and the NPV would increase.
C.stay the same and the NPV would stay the same.
B is correct. The IRR would stay the same because both the initial outlay and the after-tax cash flows double, so that the return on each dollar invested remains the same. All of the cash flows and their present values double. The difference between total present value of the future cash flows and the initial outlay (the NPV) also doubles.
An investment has an outlay of 100 and after-tax cash flows of 40 annually for four years. A project enhancement increases the outlay by 15 and the annual after-tax cash flows by 5. As a result, the vertical intercept of the NPV profile of the enhanced project shifts:
A.up and the horizontal intercept shifts left.
B.up and the horizontal intercept shifts right.
C.down and the horizontal intercept shifts left.
A is correct. The vertical intercept changes from 60 to 65 (NPV when cost of capital is 0%), and the horizontal intercept (IRR, when NPV equals zero) changes from 21.86 percent to 20.68 percent.
Wilson Flannery is concerned that this project has multiple IRRs.
Year 0 1 2 3 Cash flows −50 100 0 −50
How many discount rates produce a zero NPV for this project?
A.One, a discount rate of 0 percent.
B.Two, discount rates of 0 percent and 32 percent.
C.Two, discount rates of 0 percent and 62 percent.
C is correct. Discount rates of 0 percent and approximately 61.8 percent both give a zero NPV.
With regard to the net present value (NPV) profiles of two projects, the crossover rate is best described as the discount rate at which:
A.two projects have the same NPV.
B.two projects have the same internal rate of return.
C.a project’s NPV changes from positive to negative.
A is correct. The crossover rate is the discount rate at which the NPV profiles for two projects cross; it is the only point where the NPVs of the projects are the same.
With regard to capital budgeting, an appropriate estimate of the incremental cash flows from a project is least likely to include:
A.externalities.
B.interest costs.
C.opportunity costs.
B is correct. Costs to finance the project are taken into account when the cash flows are discounted at the appropriate cost of capital; including interest costs in the cash flows would result in double-counting the cost of debt.
O custo de um projeto para uma empresa deve ser considerado o WACC? não há ajustamentos?
For an average-risk project, the opportunity cost of capital is the company’s WACC. If the systematic risk of the project is above or below average relative to the company’s current portfolio of projects, an upward or downward adjustment, respectively, is made to the company’s WACC
If we choose to use the company’s WACC in the calculation of the NPV of a project, we are assuming that the project:
◾has the same risk as the average-risk project of the company, and
◾will have a constant target capital structure throughout its useful life.
Para quantificar o custo da dívida temos duas alternativas:
Market value of debt, por aí tiramos a ytm no mercado.
Caso não seja possível … debt rating aproach
Based on a company’s debt rating, we estimate the before-tax cost of debt by using the yield on comparably rated bonds for maturities that closely match that of the company’s existing debt.
Para além do CAPM podemos calcular o Ke recorrendo a um modelo de fatores múltiplos que consiste …
Ke= rf+ B1(Factor risk premium)+B2*(Factor risk premium 2)….
Neste caso o Beta é a sensibilidade da ação ao fator que pode ser um dado macro como a inflação ou o PIB. O factor risk premium é o risk premium subjacente no mercado para esse fator.
Para calcular o ERP podemos ir por vários caminhos, três dos quais são:
There are several ways to estimate the equity risk premium, though there is no general agreement as to the best approach. The three we discuss are the historical equity risk premium approach, the dividend discount model approach, and the survey approach.
DDM:
P0 = D1/(Ke-g) (constant growth)
g- taxa anual de crescimento dos dividendos
Como é que calculamos a sustainable growth rate dos dividendos?
Para calcular devemos primeiro obter o ROE da empresa, depois devemos saber qual é taxa de retenção dos resultados. E temos que g= ROE *retenção
Sendo que g= ROE*(1 - dividend payout ratio)
dividend payout ratio = Dividends/EPS
Quanto é que é o Beta da dívida?
Se precisarmos de estimar um Beta não alavancado através de um concorrente para posteriormente chegarmos ao Beta alavancado como é que procedemos? PURE PLAY METHOD
é 0
Primeiro Bun= Bdebt* D(1-T)/(E+D(1-T) + Beq * E/(D(1-T)+E)
Visto que Bdebt é 0…
Bun= Beq* 1/(1+(1-T)*(D/E))
Tiramos o Bun e posteriormente usamos o T e o (D/E) para tirar o Beq da empresa que pretendemos.
Suppose that the beta of a publicly traded company’s stock is 1.3 and that the market value of equity and debt are, respectively, C$540 million and C$720 million. If the marginal tax rate of this company is 40 percent, what is the asset beta of this company?
0,7222222222
BAAAAMOOOOOOSSSS
Raymond Cordier is the business development manager of Aerotechnique S.A., a private Belgian subcontractor of aerospace parts. Although Aerotechnique is not listed on the Belgian stock exchange, Cordier needs to evaluate the levered beta for the company. He has access to the following information:
◾The average levered and average unlevered betas for the group of comparable companies operating in different European countries are 1.6 and 1.0, respectively.
◾Aerotechnique’s debt-to-equity ratio, based on market values, is 1.4.
◾Aerotechnique’s corporate tax rate is 34 percent
1,924
Miles Avenaugh, an analyst with the Global Company, is estimating a country risk premium to include in his estimate of the cost of equity capital for Global’s investment in Argentina. Avenaugh has researched yields in Argentina and observed that the Argentinean government’s 10-year bond is 9.5 percent. A similar maturity US Treasury bond has a yield of 4.5 percent. The annualized standard deviation of the Argentina Merval stock index, a market value index of stocks listed on the Buenos Aires Stock Exchange, during the most recent year is 40 percent. The annualized standard deviation of the Argentina dollar-denominated 10-year government bond over the recent period was 28 percent.
What is the estimated country risk premium for Argentina based on Avenaugh’s research?
Countryriskpremium=0.05(0.4/0.28)=0.05(1.4286)=0.0714or7.14percent