CF& CA LN Flashcards
Corporate Analysis
Step One: Understand The Big Picture 1
--Type of company? S&P has 10 sectors (Materials, Energy, etc.) --Industry Characteristics Cyclical nature (Defensive or Cyclical) Current trends in growth, competition and profitability --Company’s growth stage New venture, high growth, mature --Business Risks --State of the Economy
Corporate Analysis
Step One: Understand The Big Picture 2
–Perspective (debt or equity)
–What is your gut feeling about the company?
Do you like the company’s products and services?
Do you feel management has the right strategy?
Do you think the company is a long-term winner?
Corporate Analysis
Step One: Understand The Big Picture 3
--Competitive Position: Marketing/Sales Technology Efficiency Management Barriers to Entry
Step 2: Financial AnalysisWhat to look for?
Balance Sheet
Income Statement
Cash Flow Statement
Balance Sheet Focus 1
--Capital Structure and Financial Leverage Objective: Minimize WACC and Maintain financial flexibility Ratios: Debt / Equity Debt / (Debt +Equity) Debt / EBITDA --Liquidity Objective: Balance liquidity risk and profitability Ratios: Current Ratio Short-term Debt / Free Cash Flow Cash on Balance Sheet Cash burn or build rate
Balance Sheet Focus 2
–Asset and Liability Composition
Asset Liability Management (ALM)
Mark-to-Market: What is the true market value of assets, liabilities and equity? Volatility of valuations?
Credit, Currency, and Interest rate risks?
--Off-B/S risks Derivative products Litigation or Pending Lawsuits Unfunded Pension Liabilities Subsidiaries
Example: Ruby Tuesday Inc. 10-k
See lecture note PPT
1st thing to look at is how leverage is the company +
2nd liqicty: CA-CL -
3rd Cash position
4th FCF
Goodwill impirment
If I see lot of Goodwill, I am concert. (usually auditor value if the good will worth as such.)
Income Statement and Profitability
–Profitability Drivers
Revenue
Units sold (Volume)
Pricing Power
Cost
Variable cost of producing product or service (COGS)
Other overhead costs including: administrative, marketing, distribution, depreciation, etc.
--Income statement Sales - COGS =Gross Profit - Administrative expenses Operating Profit (or Operating Income) -Interest -Taxes =Net Income
Note: Operating Profit is sometimes
referred to as EBIT
Income Statement Focus 1
Sales Growth Profit Margins Trends – expanding or contracting Ratios: Gross = (Sales – COGS) / Sales Operating = EBIT / Sales Net = Net Income / Sales
Earnings Growth and key Drivers to Growth
Income Statement Focus 2
–Quality of earnings
Stability and Sustainability
Level from core operations
–Returns
Return on Assets = Net Income/Total Assets
Return on capital = EBIT/Average Capital
Return on equity = Net Income/Common Equity
–EPS
NI available to common shareholders/# of shares
Growth in EPS is key
Profitability Model 1
Return on Assets (ROA)
Case 1: High Profit Margins & Low Asset Turnovers Examples: products & services based on technological innovations
Case 2: Low Profit Margins & High Asset Turnovers Examples: commodity-type products & services
Profitability Model 2
Return on Equity (ROE)
ROE=Asset Turnover * Net Profit Margin * Equity Multiplier ROE =NI/CE =NS /TA * NI/NS * TA/CE Assets ->Sales -> Profit->Earning ROE Drivers Are Assets generating Sales (Turnover)? Are Sales generating Profits (Margins)? Are Profits Levered (Capital Structure)?
Example: Ruby Tuesday Inc. Income Statement
We look at trands and conps:
1) sales goes down
2)bottom goes down more
=> MG is not good
What course it?
It may be one time restructure eg. closure and impairments and good will. it has negative impact.
Bright side: 2010 may have bigger on bottom line since goodwill was impairment and it may be one time only and the economic may gets better…
Statement of Cash Flows 1
–Changes the picture from accrual to cash
Key step in financial analysis
–Shows Cash Flows divided into 3 categories:
Cash flow from operations
Cash flow from investments
Cash flow from financing activities
Statement of Cash Flows 2
Cash flows from operations
Net Income adjusted for non-cash items
+/- changes in working capital (e.g. money spent on inventories)
Cash flows from investing activities
(-) Purchase plant & equipment (Capital Expenditures or Capex)
(+) Sell fixed assets
Buy (cash out) or sell (cash in) short term investments
Cash flows from financing activities
Cash inflow if we borrow money (bonds and loans) or issue stock
Cash outflow if we pay off debt, buyback stocks or pay dividends
Cash position
Shows the change in the company’s beginning and ending cash position based on the cash flows from the 3 categories above