Case Study: SWFIRECLIME

Question 1

Co-production

Answer 1

• Managers and scientists wrote the grant together
• Managers and scientists involved in every step of the project
• Case studies of modeling and tools involved manager and scientist input and testing
• Final stage tested fire-climate adaptation menu on a real USFS project

Question 2

Goals

Answer 2

• Evaluate how fire regimes may shift due to changing climate across Southwest landscapes
• Model potential ecological impact of those changes with treatments
• Establish ways that managers may address these impacts

Question 3

Phases

Answer 3

1. Science synthesis
2. Vulnerability analysis
3. Climate-management modeling
4. Fire-climate adaptation menu

Question 4

Vulnerability analysis

Answer 4

• Exposure (climate scenarios)
• Sensitivity (ecological and fire regime components)
• Adaptive capacity (identifying effective treatment)

Managers can explore vulnerability impacts using vegetation types, climate scenarios, treatments, or a combination

Question 5

Climate-management modeling

Answer 5

• Thinning and burning (resistance and resilience strategies) will not prevent vegetation reorganization under major climate change scenarios
• Transition strategies will be important as landscapes reorganize under future climate conditions