Cardiovascular Flashcards
What is primary prevention in the context of CVD?
The management of risk factors prior to the overt demonstration of CVD (assessing the patient’s risk and initiating management to prevent CVD)
What is secondary prevention in the context of CVD?
The management principles that must be applied after CVD has manifested (what needs to be done to minimise escalation of disease)
What is tertiary prevention in the context of CVD?
Management aimed at reducing the incidence of chronic incapacity or recurrence of disease, and the functional consequences of an illness (how to maximise patient wellbeing and prevent disease recurrence)
What does ‘absolute risk’ refer to in CVD risk management?
The numerical probability of a CVD event occuring within 5 years, expressed as a percentage (accounts for the combined effect of multiple risk factors)
True or false? With regards to CVD risk management, evidence shows that moderate reduction in several risk factors is more effective than a major reduction in one factor?
True
What is the target group for calculating absolute CVD risk in Australia?
All adults 45 years and above without known history of CVD, and ATSI peoples 35 and above
List at least 5 modifiable risk factors for CVD
Smoking, BP, lipids, waist circumference and BMI, nutrition, physical activity and alcohol intake
List at least 3 non-modifiable risk factors for CVD
Age, sex, family history of premature CVD, social factors including culture/ethnicity/SES and mental health
List at least 4 conditions that preclude individuals from CVD risk assessment using the Framingham criteria because they are already known to be at clinically determined high risk
Diabetes and >60 years
Diabetes with microalbuminuria (UAR >2.5 for men and >3.5 for women)
Moderate/severe CKD (persistent proteinuria or eGFR <45)
Previous diagnosis of familial hypercholesterolaemia
SBP >180, DBP >110
Total cholesterol >7.5
ATSI over age 74
For patients at High Risk of CVD as per the FRE, what are the targets for BP?
<140/90 in general or for CKD;
<130/80 for diabetics with micro or macro albuminuria (UACR >2.5 in men and >3.5 women)
What are the lipid targets for primary prevention of CVD?
TC <4; Triglycerides <2; HDL >1; LDL <2 (LDL <1.8 in diabetes and CAD)
What is the diet advice to reduce CVD risk?
Dietary Guidelines for all Australians - varied diet;
Limit saturated and transfats
Limit salt to <6g/day
Limit ETOH to <10 SD per week and no more than 4 on any one occasion
What is the physical activity advice to reduce CVD risk?
At least 30 mins moderate intensity exercise on most/all days of the week (or 150 mins/week) + 2-3 sessions (60 mins) resistance training per week
What is the weight advice to reduce CVD risk?
Limit energy intake to maintain healthy weight
Ideally BMI < 25 and waist circumference <94 in men and <80 in women
List the 2 anti-HTN drug combinations that should be avoided in treatment of hypertension
- Potassium sparing diuretics (spironolactone) plus ACE/ARB
- Beta blocker plus verapamil
In diabetic patients, if an ACE/ARB does not sufficiently reduce BP, which 2 antihypertensives should be considered as second line?
CCBs or thiazide
To treat hyperlipidaemia in a patient who is intolerant to statins, which 3 other drug may be considered?
Ezetimibe, bile acid binding resin or nicotinic acid
If triglyceride levels are not sufficiently reduced on maximally tolerated doses of statin, which 3 additional drugs may be added?
Fenofibrate (especially if HDL is below target), nicotinic acid or fish oil
In ATSI peoples without existing CVD, risk factor screening should commence at the age of ____ at the latest
18 (and the calculator from age 30)
List at least 3 indications for ambulatory BP monitoring
- Suspected white coat HTN
- Suspected nocturnal HTN or no night time dipping
- HT despite appropriate tx
- Hx risk of CVD even in clinic BP normal
- Suspected episodic HTN
Describe how to appropriately select the arm used for ambulatory BP measurements.
Measure BP in both arms. If less than 10mmHg SBP difference, use the non dominant arm, if greater than 10mmHg difference, measure in the arm with the higher pressure
Quote the ambulatory BP measurements for a 24 hour period that signify hypertension
24 hour average <130/80
Day time <135/85
Night time <120/75
Normal night time SBP and DBP should be in what range?
At least 10% below daytime average
What is BP load in regards to ambulatory BP monitoring? What is the normal limit?
Refers to the percentage of time that BP readings exceed HTN values during 24 hours, should be <20% of the time
True or false? The treatment targets based on ABP are lower than the targets for clinic BP readings?
True
Name a situation in which ambulatory BP may be inaccurate
In a patient with arrhythmia - it will not detect this.
People with ‘white coat hypertension’ are at increased risk of developing which 2 disorders?
Hypertension and glucose intolerance.
When should BP medication be started in a patient with low CVD risk?
If BP persistently above 160/100
When should BP medication be started in a patient with moderate CVD risk?
If BP persistently above 140/90
Once decided to treat, patients with uncomplicated hypertension should be treated to a target of what?
<140/90, or lower if tolerated
In selected high-risk patients, where BP is being targeted to <120 systolic, close follow-up is recommended to screen for which related adverse effects?
Hypotension, syncope, electrolyte abnormalities and AKI
In patients with uncomplicated HT, which drugs are suitable first-line options?
ACE, ARB, CCB, thiazides
For which class of anti-HT is the balance between efficacy and safety less favourable?
Beta blockers
What is the BP target for patients with HTN and a history of TIA or stroke?
<140/90
What drugs should be considered as first-line therapy for HTN in patients with CKD in the presence of albuminuria?
ACE or ARB
When should patients with CKD be commenced on an anti-hypertensive? What is the treatment target for these patients?
When BP consistently >140/90, and treated to target of less than this (although aiming towards <120 has shown benefit when tolerated)
For patients with a history of MI, which 2 drug classes are recommended for the treatment of HTN and secondary prevention?
ACE and beta blockers
Which 2 classes of anti-HT drugs are recommended for symptomatic patients with angina?
Beta blockers and CCBs
In patients with chronic heart failure, which specific beta blockers are recommended?
Carvedilol, bisoprolol (beta-1 selective antagonist), metoprolol extended release and nebivolol
When is low dose aspirin recommended in patients with HTN?
In those who have had previous CVD events (unless bleeding risk is increased)
Hypertension is an independent risk factor for which 5 conditions? (name at least 3)
MI, haemorrhagic and ischaemic stroke, CKD, heart failure and premature death
What are the consequences of untreated or uncontrolled hypertension?
Continuous increases in CVD risk, and the onset of vascular and renal damage
What is the definition of ‘hypertensive urgency’? What are the treatment principles?
Severe BP elevations (>180/110) that are not immediately life-threatening but are associated with either symptoms (i.e.. severe headache) or moderate target organ damage. Treatment with oral drugs and follow up within 24-72 hours are recommended
What is the definition of a ‘hypertensive emergency’? What are the treatment principles?
BP very high (often >220/140) and acute target organ damage or dysfunction is present (i.e., heart failure, APO, MI, aortic aneurysm, AKI, major neurological changes, hypertensive encephalopathy, papilloedema, cerebral infarction, haemorrhagic stroke). Hospitalisation, close BP monitoring and parenteral antihypertensive drug therapy are indicated.
What is accelerated hypertension?
Severe hypertension accompanied by the presence of retinal haemorrhages and exudates
What is malignant hypertension?
Severe hypertension with retinal haemorrhages and exudates plus papilloedema
List and describe the categories of hypertension
High normal 130-139/85-89 Grade 1 (mild) 140-159/90-99; Grade 2 (moderate) 160-179/100-109; Grade 3 (severe) 180/110
List at least 3 signs of end organ damage in patients with hypertension
Renal impairment, albuminuria, cardiac hypertrophy or vascular disease
The BP management guidelines recommend that clinical judgement apply to patients with additional risk factors not included within the Framingham risk calculator. Name at least 3 examples of patients where the criteria underestimate the risk.
- Sedentary or obese
- Socially disadvantaged
- Increased triglycerides/fibringogen/apolipoprotein B, elevated CRP,
- Elevated fasting glucose
- FHx of premature CVD (immediate relative before age 55 men and 65 women)
What is the recommended method for taking BP in a patient who’s arm is too large for any cuff?
Use a cuff on the forearm and auscultate the radial artery
What patient conditions are required for accurate BP measurement in clinic?
Quiet environment at room temperature, sitting with legs uncrossed and relaxed for several minutes before, refrain from caffeine and smoking for 2 hours prior to measurement (home measurements, refrain for 30 mins)
On manual BP auscultation, record the systolic level at phase ____ Korotkoff, and diastolic level at phase ____ Korotkov
I, V
List at least 4 signs of arterial disease on examination
Carotid, renal, abdominal or femoral bruits
AAA
Absent femoral pulses
Radio-femoral delay
List the initial laboratory investigations recommended for all patients with hypertension
- Urine dip for blood
- Albuminuria and proteinuria
- Fasting glucose
- Lipids
- MBA20 and CBE for Hb
- ECG
What is the definition of proteinuria?
> 500 mg/day protein excretion rate
In which group of hypertensive patients is ABI recommended?
In those with risk factors for PVD, including diabetes, vascular bruit, older age, smoking (ABI is not recommended as for population screening in low risk patients).
An ABI of ___ is diagnostic for PVD
<0.9
In which patients with AF is rhythm controlled pursued early?
In those at risk of decompensated heart failure
AF is an independent predictor of which outcomes?
Stroke, heart failure, all-cause death
True or false? The risk of developing AF is reduced with moderate physical activity
True
What lifestyle measures have been shown to reduce the number of episodes and symptoms of AF, once diagnosed?
Weight loss and aerobic exercise
The AF guidelines recommend a target BMI of ?
27
List at least 4 risk factors and disease associations in AF
Obesity, HTN, T2DM (and impaired glucose tolerance), smoking, OSA, CAD, valvular heart disease, heart failure, CKD
List at least 3 potentially reversible precipitants for AF
- Hyperthyroidism
- Alcohol excess
- Electrolyte abnormalities
- Sepsis
What are the recommendations for screening for AF in Australia?
Opportunistically screen patients ages 65 and older with radial pulse palpation +/- ECG if irregular
List 3 medications which may be used when pursuing rhythm control in AF
Flecanide, Sotalol and Amiodarone
List at least 2 contraindications to Flecanide in patients with AF
LV dysfunction
CAD
Moderate LV hypertrophy
List at least 2 beta blockers which are often used preferentially for people with AF and clinical heart failure
Bisoprolol, Cavedilol and Nebivolol
List at least 2 classes of drugs which can be used for rate control in AF
Beta blockers, non-dihydropyridine CCBs (verapamil/diltiazem) and digoxin
List at least 5 routine investigations for newly diagnosed atrial fibrillation (asymptomatic)
CBE, UEC, Cal, Mg, phosphate, TSH, TOE, 24 hour holter, ECG, PSG (symptomatic)
List at least 4 situations in which patients with newly diagnosed AF should be referred to ED rather than being managed in the outpatient setting
Hypotention, AF with rapid ventricular rate >110 or if very symptomatic, signs of heart failure, presyncope or syncope, angina at rest (+/- ischaemic changes)
In the appropriate patient group, rhythm control medications in AF have what benefit?
a) relieve symptoms
b) half the risk of recurrence
List the 3 patient groups who are more likely to benefit from antiarrhythmic use in AF
- Physically active
- Have paroxysmal or persistent AF lasting short periods of time
- Do not have underlying significant cardiac structural changes
List the 4 types of AF and define them
- Paroxysmal (episodes <1 week in duration)
- Persistent (>1 week)
- Long-term persistent (>12 months)
- Permanent
What is the treatment approach for patients with permanent atrial fibrillation?
Focus on rate rather than rhythm control
Explain why early rhythm control results in better long-term resolution of AF
AF begets AF. A cycle of paroxysms of AF cause structural changes in atrial myocardium and increase the liklihood of further AF. Rhythm control aims to interrupt the cycle by maintaining sinus rhythm early, and is more successful the earlier it is used
List the situations in which rhythm control would be considered in the treatment of AF
In the fit patient with paroxysmal or short persistent AF without underlying cardiac disease;
In patients with cardiomyopathy secondary to AF with rapid ventricular response;
For people for whom AF may precipitate acute haemodynamic deterioration because of cardiac co-morbidities
For which groups of patients is catheter ablation reserved for the treatment of AF?
Only for symptomatic patients with paroxysmal/persistent AF who are refractory/intolerant to at least 1 rhythm control medication
List the variables in the CHA(2)DS(2)VA scoring system
CCF, Hypertension, Age >75 (2), Diabetes, Stroke or TIA (2), Vascular disease, Age >65 (1)
What are the recommendations for anticoagulation in patients with CHADSVA scores of 0, 1 and 2?
0 is not recommended
1 for consideration
>2 is recommended
List the variables in the HAS-BLED scoring system
Hypertension, Abnormal renal or liver function, Stroke, Bleeding history, Labile INRs, Eldery (>65) drugs (antiplatelets and nsaids) or alcohol
What is the main treatment aim in AF?
To achieve an appropriate heart rate (50-110) with either rate or rhythm control to minimise symptoms
In which patient groups can the Framingham criteria be used?
All adults 45 and older (35 if ATSI) without existing CVD or not already known to be at increased risk of CVD
What is relative risk?
A ratio of the rate of events occurring in the population exposed to a risk factor compared to the rate among the population not exposed to this risk factor
To reduce CVD risk, what is the recommended dietary advice with regard to saturated fatty acids?
<10% of total energy intake, replace with polyunsaturated fatty acids
To reduce CVD risk, what is the recommended dietary advice with regard to trans saturated fatty acids?
As little as possible (preferably none from processed food, and <1% of total energy intake from natural origin
To reduce CVD risk, what is the recommended dietary advice with regard to salt?
<5g per day
To reduce CVD risk, what is the recommended dietary advice with regard to fibre?
30-45g per day, preferably from whole grain products
To reduce CVD risk, what is the recommended dietary advice with regard to fruit and vegetables?
> 200g per day, or 2-3 servings
To reduce CVD risk, what is the recommended dietary advice with regard to fish?
1-2 times per week, one of which should include a fatty fish
To reduce CVD risk, what is the recommended dietary advice with regard to nuts?
30g per day (unsalted)
To reduce CVD risk, what is the recommended dietary advice with regard to alcohol?
Limit to 10 standard drinks/week, and no more than 4 on any one occasion
What is the most cost-effective strategy for preventing CVD?
Smoking cessation
Describe the smoking behaviour that indicates indicates nicotine dependence
Smoking within 30 minutes of waking;
Smoking more than 10 cigarettes/day;
Prior history of withdrawal symptoms or cravings on quit attempts
What pharmacotherapy is recommended in patients at very high risk of CVD who are unable to achieve their LDL goal despite maximum dose statin + ezetimibe?
PCSK9 inhibitors (monoclonal antibodies)
What constitutes ‘vascular disease’ in the CHADSVA criteria?
Prior MI or PVD or complete aortic atheroma or plaque on imaging
What are the recommendations for exercise in patients with HTN - in both the under and over-65 groups?
Under 65: should accumulate 150-300 minute moderate intensity, or 75-150 minutes of high intensity plus muscle strengthening twice weekly.
Over 65s: should do some form of activity regardless of how well they are and regardless of the type of activity (30 mins on most or all days).
List at least 4 patient groups who may require supervised physical activity
Unstable angina BP >180/110 Uncontrolled heart failure MI within the past 3 months Severe aortic stenosis Resting arrhythmia Diabetes with poor control
Patients should choose foods that have less than how much sodium per 100g?
<400mg
What is the relationship between dietary potassium and BP?
In normal renal function, increasing dietary potassium can reduce systolic BP by 4-8mmHg. Can be achieved by eating wide variety of fuits and veg, plain unsalted nuts and legumes
It is recommended that total dietary fat intake account for ___% of total energy intake
20-35%
How long does it take for to lower the risk of a coronary event to that of the normal population after smoking cessation?
2-6 years
What is the MOA of ACE-inhibitors?
Reduce the synthesis of angiotensin-2 by inhibiting the action of ACE
What is the MOA of ARBs?
Bind directly to the angiotensin-1 receptor, preventing it’s activation by angiotensin-2.
List some of the evidence that demonstrates that ACE and ARBs are not interchangeable, although they are equally efficacious in lowering BP and overall CV events
ACE-Is prevent the onset of nephropathy and reduce morality in early diabetes and are more effective in preventing coronary heart disease in patients with HTN. ARBs are better at preventing kidney failure in people with advanced diabetic nephropathy.
When combination BP medication is initiated, the combination of which drugs is superior?
The combination of ACE + CCB is superior to ACE + diuretics
What is the recommended guideline for starting drug treatment in patients with hypertension?
Start with a low dose of a first-line drug. If not well tolerated, change to another at low dose
What is the recommendation for patients with HT who have not reached target BP within 3 months of starting an anti-HT?
Add a second drug from a different class at a low dose (maximises efficacy and minimises adverse effects)
Assume you have a patient with HTN who commenced an anti-HT 6 months ago. At 3 months, the BP had not reached the target level and you added a second agent. It has been another 3 months and the BP is still not at target. What is the next recommended step in management?
Increase the dose of one of the medications (excluding thiazide) incrementally to the maximum recommended dose before increasing the dose of the other drug
Assume you have a patient who has been started on 2 antihypertensive medications, both of which have been up-titrated to maximum doses, but the BP is still not at target. What is the next recommended step in management?
Start a third drug class at low dose, assess for non-adherence and secondary causes of HT, treatment resistance due to OSA, excess alcohol, high salt intake etc. If nil found and BP still elevated, seek specialist advice
In what timeframe is the the maximum effect of an antiHT like to be seen?
4-6 weeks after commencing
Which combinations of anti-HT drugs should be avoided due to risk of heart block?
Diltiazem and beta blocker (use with care)
Veramapil plus beta blocker
List at least 2 compelling contraindications for ACEs or ARBs
Pregnancy, angioedema, hyperkalaemia, bilateral renal artery stenosis
List at least 3 contraindications to diuretics
Gout, glucose intolerance, metabolic syndrome, hypercalcaemia, hypokalaemia
List at least 3 contraindications for beta blockers
Asthma, bradycardia, AV block, uncontrolled heart failure
List at least 2 adverse effects of ACEi
Cough, hyperkalaemia (higher risk with renal impairment), renal impairment (risk increased by NSAIDs) and angioedema (can occur years after treatment)
List at least 3 dihydropyridine CCBs, and 2 ‘others’
Dihydropyridines include amlodipine, felodipine, lercanidipine and nifedipine. Others include diltiazem and verapamil
Describe the differences that dihydropyridine and non-dihydropyridine diuretics have on the myocardium
Dihydropyridines have minimal effect on myocardial contractility and cardiac conduction, whereas the non-dihydropyridine family reduce heart rate and depress cardiac contractility
List at least 3 electrolyte disturbances which may result from thiazide diuretic use
Hypokalaemia, hyponatraemia, hyperuricaemia, hyperglycaemia
Explain why beta blockers should be stopped slowly over >2 weeks
To avoid rebound hypertension and myocardial infarction
What is the role of hydralazine in the treatment of HTN?
Peripheral (mostly arteriolar) vasodilator, used for refractory hypertension, usually with a beta blocker and diuretic (the beta blocker can be used to prevent reflex tachycardia and angina
What are the recommendations for antihypertensives in patients who have had a stroke or TIA?
Any of the first line drugs are effective in reducing CVD risk, even in patients with mild hypertension
What is the recommendation for antihypertensives in CKD?
Use, as there is proven mortality benefit even in patients without hypertension
What should be considered if thiazide diuretics are being used in a patient with CKD?
Only effective in those with normal renal function or mild impairment
In the early phase post-MI, which drug class has been shown to reduce re-infarction in the first 2 weeks?
Beta blockers
Which antihypertensive drugs are recommended in patients who have had an MI, and when should they be used?
ACE + beta-blockers in all patients who can tolerate them, regardless of whether the patient is hypertensive
There is strong evidence for which anti-HT classes in patients who have a history of MI and who have symptomatic angina?
Beta blockers or calcium channel blockers
What is the leading risk factor the development of heart failure?
Hypertension
True or false? Patients with white coat hypertension have a comparable risk of stroke to patients with sustained hypertension?
True
What is masked hypertension?
Opposite of white-coat hypertension, in that BP in clinic is normal but out-of-clinic is high
List some of the factors which may be indicative of masked hypertension
Non-hypertensive patients with evidence of end-organ disease, regular heavy drinkers, smokers and patients with diabetes
What is white coat hypertension?
UNTREATED patients who have high BP in clinic but not at home
What is the definition of treatment-resistant hypertension?
SBP >140 in a patient taking 3 or more antihypertensive drugs, including a diuretic, at optimal tolerated doses
In which patient groups are statins recommended as primary prevention? What is the target parameter?
In patients without prior CVD events (primary prevention) stratified as moderate to high risk, treating to an LDL target of <2
In which patient groups are statins recommended as secondary prevention? What are the target parameters?
Coronary artery disease (target LDL <1.8)
All people who have had a TIA or ischaemic stroke
Heart failure
Diabetes (LDL <1.8)
In which patient group is aspirin recommended for it’s CVD benefits?
In patients with hypertension and previous CVD events (unless bleeding risk is increased) - i.e., for secondary prevention
Adults should have fasting lipids assessed every __ years, starting at age ___
5; 45 (or 35 for ATSI)
What are the recommendations for lipid lowering therapy in patients with low absolute CVD risk?
Provide lifestyle advice and repeat lipids every 5 years
What are the recommendations for lipid lowering therapy in patients with moderate absolute CVD risk?
Provide intensive lifestyle advice, consider pharmacotherapy if not reaching target after 6 months or if family history of premature CVD or if ethnic, repeat lipids every 2 years
What are the recommendations for lipid lowering therapy in patients with high absolute CVD risk?
Lifestyle advice and commence lipid lowering therapy (simultaneously with anti hypertensive unless contraindicated), repeat every 12 months
List the 5 lifestyle modifications that should be suggested for all people regardless of CVD risk
Encourage physical activity (aim for 30 mins/day), stop smoking, target waist measurement <94 for men and <80 for women, salt restrict <5g/day (65mmol/day) and limit alcohol
List some of the characteristics of statin-induced-muscle-symptoms
Bilateral, affecting larger muscles. Aching, soreness, tenderness, stiffness or weakness are common. Commonly occur within 4-6 weeks of starting or changing dose
List some patient symptoms that are less likely to be due to statin-induced muscle symptoms
Unilateral, diffuse and non-specific, neuropathic pain, nocturnal pain, cramping or joint pain make statin-induced symptoms less likely
List some characteristics that make some patients more likely to experience statin-induced-muscle symptoms
Older age, smaller BMI, females, food/drug interactions, previous statin side effects
Rather than increased CK alone, what is a more important prognosticator of whether a patient has had true statin-induced muscle symptoms?
If the CK drops when the statin is ceased
In patients with assumed statin-induced-muscle symptoms, what is the next step in management?
Check CK (if less than 5 times upper limit of normal, cease statin for 2-4 weeks; if greater than 5 times or in the presence of muscle weakness, cease for 6-8 weeks). If symptoms persist, look for another cause. If symptoms resolve, can restart the same statin at a lower dose or try a different statin. Can also try alternate daily dosing or progressing to ezetimibe
Name the 2 long term adverse outcomes that have been linked to statin therapy
Diabetes Haemorrhagic stroke (but the overall benefits of lowering CVD risk outweigh them)
Name at least 4 disorders that untreated lipid disorders can progress to
CVD, diabetes, NAFLD, CKD and pancreatitis
What are the primary uses of cholesterol in the body?
Cell membrane formation, bile acids and steroid hormones
Name at least 4 common causes of raised triglycerides
Sugary foods, inactivity, excess alcohol, smoking, medical conditions (diabetes, kidney and thyroid disorders), medications (thiazides, steroids, oestrogen)
What is the inheritance pattern of familial hypercholesterolaemia?
Heterozygous autosomal dominant
List at least 3 secondary causes of hyperlipidaemia
Hypothyroidism, CKD, poorly controlled diabetes, alcohol abuse and liver disease
Give an example of when a fibrate may be used to lower lipids
Used in severe hypertriglyceridaemia (triglycerides >10) to prevent pancreatitis (or when triglycerides have not reached target with statin therapy alone)
What is the mechanism of action of ezetimibe?
Inhibits cholesterol absorption from the gut
Patients with atherosclerotic CVD include those who have been diagnosed with which conditions? (Name at least 5)
STEMI, nonSTEMI, acute cerebral vascular event, stable angina, peripheral arterial disease
Drug therapy for the secondary prevention of atherosclerotic CVD usually consists of a combination of which 3 drug classes?
Statin, antiplatelet and ACEI (plus fluvax)
True or false? Statin therapy should be given irrespective of lipid levels in patients with established atherosclerotic CVD?
True. It has been shown to reduce cardiovascular mortality in these patients
What are the benefits of using anti-platelet drugs in patients with atherosclerotic CVD?
Prevent thrombosis and reduce the incidence of MI and death