Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) Flashcards
The Portfolio Effect
~ ‘not putting all your eggs in one basket’
~ a combination of investments causes the rate of return to equal out
Unsystemic risk
~ can be elimiated by diversification
~ casued by industry/company specific factors
Systemic risk
~ cannot be elimiated by diversification
~ caused by general economic factors
CAPM
used to measure the systemic risk of investments and their required returns
Decision: >1, investment more affected by macroeconomic/systemic factors
High betas
agressive shares
Low betas
defensive shares
In a bull market…
should buy high beta shares
market expected to rise
In a bear market…
should buy low beta shares
market expected to fall
CAPM Weaknesses
~ S/H may not diversify
~ depends on a perfect capital market
~ betas change over time and are difficult to calc
CAPM Alternatives
~ alpha value ~ Arbitrage Pricing Model (APM) ~ Fama-French 3-factor model ~ Bond-yield-plus premium approach ~ Fundemental beta
Alpha value
a measure of how wrong CAPM is
Decision: +ve, buy shares in co
-ve, sell shares in co
Arbitrage Pricing Model (APM)
uses factor analysis to determine which independent factors the security is sensitive to
Fundamental beta
where a company’s CF are subjected to higher risk, the required return should be higher
(same as risk adjusted cashflow)