Business valuation Flashcards
Organic growth
Organic growth is achieved through internally generated projects
whether funded with retained earnings or new finance (slow)
Advantages of organic growth
Organic growth rather than acquisition:
– spreads costs
– no disruption
Disadvantages of organic growth
– risk
– slower
– barriers
Why might businesses combine
– synergy
– risk reduction
– reduced competition
– vertical protection
When is an acquisition considered successful?
An acquisition may be considered successful if it increases shareholder wealth
i.e. if:
– the additional cash flows exceed the cost of acquisition and/or
– overall risk reduction is achieved
Disadvantages of growth by acquisition
- Synergy is not automatic; it must be pursued
- Restructuring costs following the acquisition may be significant
Factors relevant to acquiring a company
How desperate is the seller to sell – do they have any other potential buyers?
How desperate is the buyer to buy – do they have anything else to spend their
money on?
If the target company is listed, what is the existing share price?
Is the consideration to be paid in cash or shares? (see below)
Is the purchase of a controlling interest? (in which case a premium might be
paid).
As well as practical factors such as:
Are key employees or key clients likely to leave after the acquisition? (thus
reducing the value of the target).
The 2 main numerical approaches to valuing a business
- Asset based
- Income based (future income)
Asset based valuation: First step
The net tangible assets of a company divided by the number of shares (historic)
Asset based valuation: Second step
Tangible assets/no, shares needs to be adjusted as it is based on historic cost rather than market value (revalued). This adjustment to reflect value can be done in one of two ways:
- Net realisable value – This is effectively the cash that could be generated from selling off the assets piecemeal. It is effectively a minimum price for a seller.
-
Replacement cost – This is the cost of setting an equivalent business up from
scratch. It is the maximum price for a buyer
Problems with asset based approaches
The value of intangibles not included on the balance sheet will be missed (for
example the value of staff, client relationships, brand value etc.).
Digital assets
A digital asset is content that is stored electronically and provides value for the
company, such as digital subscriptions to a newspaper’s website content, or
customer data held. Valuing digital assets is difficult since value is only generated if
the assets are well managed.
The specific valuation of digital assets is outside the scope of the Financial
Management exam, but it is important to note that these assets can be very valuable
and are not taken into account in the traditional asset based valuation
Three income based valuation approaches
- Dividends
- Earnings
- Cash flows
Differ only in what is taken as the future income stream (&estimate future income)
What is a dividend based valuaiton approach usually ued ofr?
Minority interest valuaiton
I.e. less than 50% ownership
What is the value under the dividend valuation model? (If dividends not expected to grow)
The value is simply the present value of the future expected dividend payments
discounted at ke.
What is the present value of future division dends under the dividend valuation model? (If dividends not expected to grow - at a constant rate in perpiruity): using D1
PV = D1 x (1/ (Ke - g) )
Simply assumes regular perpituity increasing at fixed rate
(Same formula as for estimating Ke)
What is the value under the dividend valuation model? (If dividends not expected to grow - at a constant rate in perpiruity): using D0
PV = D0(1+g) x (1/ (Ke-g) )
Dividend yield valuation model calc
Price = Dividend/Yield
Problems with dividend based valuation
- Estimating future dividends
- Finding similar listed companies
- If ke is estimated by using the CAPM, or by looking at other quoted companies,
then a private company valuation will need to be adjusted downwards to reflect
the lack of marketability (20-30%)
Valuation: Earnings based approach: What commonly used to value?
Non-controllig interests
as the investor can control
dividend policy and could therefore extract all of the earnings from the company as
dividends if they wanted to