BUSI344 CHAPTER 9 & 10 Flashcards

1
Q

Geographic Information Systems (GIS) were developed for spatial analysis needs such as _______, _______, and __________. GIS can completely integrate spatial data and attribute data among different layers. The GIS approach is ideal for multipurpose users.

A

Geographic Information Systems (GIS) were developed for spatial analysis needs such as planning, natural resources, and land records management. GIS can completely integrate spatial data and attribute data among different layers. The GIS approach is ideal for multipurpose users.

Of the three computerized mapping systems, GIS is the most commonly used by the real estate industry.

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
2
Q

Hedonic.

Hedonic systems are the most common AVMs and are largely based on statistical models using some form of linear regression. These models require information on property attributes, such as location, property size, and nature of improvements. The hedonic AVM includes a search engine that compares the subject property attributes (contained in a database) with other comparable properties using a “radius”search pattern or other logical search parameters, over a pre-determined time period. AVMs developed by Landcor and MPAC (Municipal Property Assessment Corporation) are examples of hedonic systems

A

Hedonic.

Hedonic systems are the most common AVMs and are largely based on statistical models using some form of linear regression. These models require information on property attributes, such as location, property size, and nature of improvements. The hedonic AVM includes a search engine that compares the subject property attributes (contained in a database) with other comparable properties using a “radius”search pattern or other logical search parameters, over a pre-determined time period. AVMs developed by Landcor and MPAC (Municipal Property Assessment Corporation) are examples of hedonic systems

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
3
Q

REIPA released a document entitled “Systemic Risks in Residential Property Valuations: Perceptions and Reality”.

In this paper, the REIPA set out to test a number of perceptions about AVMs and conventional appraisals

The research indicated that conventional appraisals result in values greater than the sale price more often than AVMs, particularly in a soft market.

This outcome suggests that AVMs maybe more “immune” to bias and more independent than conventional appraisals. The concern that data lags associated with AVMs will also result in over-valuation in soft markets does not appear to be valid either.

The authors note that one explanation for this outcome is that vendors are slow to reduce prices in soft market conditions. This downward rigidity in home prices means that market prices may decelerate or decline at a slower pace than appears warranted by the level of demand.

A

REIPA released a document entitled “Systemic Risks in Residential Property Valuations: Perceptions and Reality”.

In this paper, the REIPA set out to test a number of perceptions about AVMs and conventional appraisals

The research indicated that conventional appraisals result in values greater than the sale price more often than AVMs, particularly in a soft market.

This outcome suggests that AVMs maybe more “immune” to bias and more independent than conventional appraisals. The concern that data lags associated with AVMs will also result in over-valuation in soft markets does not appear to be valid either.

The authors note that one explanation for this outcome is that vendors are slow to reduce prices in soft market conditions. This downward rigidity in home prices means that market prices may decelerate or decline at a slower pace than appears warranted by the level of demand.

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
4
Q

Maps: The Basis of GIS

**The story of GIS begins in the world of maps. A map is a simplified visual representation of real things from the real world. However, maps can model the world in more than one way - consider the figure below.

Topographic maps show physical surface features, such as roads, rivers, and buildings.**

Contour maps use lines to group together locations that have the same attribute value, for example, height above sea level or isobars showing air pressure.

Choropleth maps use shading, patterns, or colours to highlight areas characterized by some general common feature, for example, political maps or agricultural crop types.

A

Maps: The Basis of GIS

**The story of GIS begins in the world of maps. A map is a simplified visual representation of real things from the real world. However, maps can model the world in more than one way - consider the figure below.

Topographic maps show physical surface features, such as roads, rivers, and buildings.**

Contour maps use lines to group together locations that have the same attribute value, for example, height above sea level or isobars showing air pressure.

Choropleth maps use shading, patterns, or colours to highlight areas characterized by some general common feature, for example, political maps or agricultural crop types.

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
5
Q

AVMs based on __________ are very simple models. These models are generally based on repeat-sales to generate a _________ for a specific geographic area, usually defined by zip or postal code.

A

AVMs based on price indices are very simple models. These models are generally based on repeat-sales to generate a price index for a specific geographic area, usually defined by zip or postal code.

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
6
Q

Geographic information can be accessed, transferred, transformed, overlaid, processed, and displayed using numerous software applications.For example, mountains have attributes like elevation and area,while countries have attributes like poverty, growth rates, and age groups. GIS works with large databases to manage these associations, which as a whole are known as geographically referenced information. Once a GIS has finished the often elaborate process of associating attribute data with geographic features, the results can be visualized in the form of a map.

A

Geographic information can be accessed, transferred, transformed, overlaid, processed, and displayed using numerous software applications.For example, mountains have attributes like elevation and area,while countries have attributes like poverty, growth rates, and age groups. GIS works with large databases to manage these associations, which as a whole are known as geographically referenced information. Once a GIS has finished the often elaborate process of associating attribute data with geographic features, the results can be visualized in the form of a map.

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
7
Q

The evolution of AVMs has followed two distinct paths: public sector property assessment applications and a separate private sector focus on residential lending risk analysis.Assessors were early adopters of electronic data processing technology and began experimenting with AVMs in the early 1960s.

Keep in mind that assessors do not generally use the term AVM, but commonly use the term CAMA or computer-assisted mass appraisal. Specific CAMA systems, whether vendor developed or designed and built in-house, are somewhat analogous to different types of AVMs.For example, the CAMA system that an assessment jurisdiction may use will generally include multiple types of AVMs to provide for the unique requirements of residential, commercial, utility, and other specialized property valuations.

A

The evolution of AVMs has followed two distinct paths: public sector property assessment applications and a separate private sector focus on residential lending risk analysis.Assessors were early adopters of electronic data processing technology and began experimenting with AVMs in the early 1960s.

Keep in mind that assessors do not generally use the term AVM, but commonly use the term CAMA or computer-assisted mass appraisal. Specific CAMA systems, whether vendor developed or designed and built in-house, are somewhat analogous to different types of AVMs.For example, the CAMA system that an assessment jurisdiction may use will generally include multiple types of AVMs to provide for the unique requirements of residential, commercial, utility, and other specialized property valuations.

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
8
Q

Strengths

As we learned earlier, the driving force that led to the rise of AVMs was the competitive pressure to deliver mortgage appraisals faster and cheaper than “live appraisers”.The artificial intelligence of AVMs illustrates that it is possible, with some limitations, to use a computer program to model appraiser judgment to deliver consistent, inexpensive results, particularly with large volumes of data. AVMs are not limited to one valuation method and some will deliver multiple valuations for a specific property, also determining the best approach given the property type, location, and data availability. As well, given ongoing concerns about mortgage fraud, an AVM cannot commit fraud or make mistakes with calculations. AVMs can even be designed to evaluate and rank other AVMs, which in some ways is a metaphor of the future depicted in Isaac Asimov’s I Robot.

In 2006, Bench Mark Consulting International published a Home Equity Lending Study for the Consumer Bankers Association. A key finding in the study was that the time taken for an appraisal was reduced from the traditional 7-10 days for an in-person in-home appraisal to just 30 seconds. Benchmark concluded that this factor was the major contribution to a 30% reduction in loan turnaround time between 2003 and 2005.

AVM vendors pitch the major strength of AVMs as providing information that clients want versus what appraisers and others have decided they need.These desires include reduced administrative expense and more indepth exposure to market trends. George Dell notes that larger lenders see advantages to an improved “supply chain” since they only need to deal with a few AVM vendors, rather than a large number of small appraisal firms. The problems and costs in managing a large number of suppliers are eliminated by dealing with large national AVMs.

A

Strengths

As we learned earlier, the driving force that led to the rise of AVMs was the competitive pressure to deliver mortgage appraisals faster and cheaper than “live appraisers”.The artificial intelligence of AVMs illustrates that it is possible, with some limitations, to use a computer program to model appraiser judgment to deliver consistent, inexpensive results, particularly with large volumes of data. AVMs are not limited to one valuation method and some will deliver multiple valuations for a specific property, also determining the best approach given the property type, location, and data availability. As well, given ongoing concerns about mortgage fraud, an AVM cannot commit fraud or make mistakes with calculations. AVMs can even be designed to evaluate and rank other AVMs, which in some ways is a metaphor of the future depicted in Isaac Asimov’s I Robot.

In 2006, Bench Mark Consulting International published a Home Equity Lending Study for the Consumer Bankers Association. A key finding in the study was that the time taken for an appraisal was reduced from the traditional 7-10 days for an in-person in-home appraisal to just 30 seconds. Benchmark concluded that this factor was the major contribution to a 30% reduction in loan turnaround time between 2003 and 2005.

AVM vendors pitch the major strength of AVMs as providing information that clients want versus what appraisers and others have decided they need.These desires include reduced administrative expense and more indepth exposure to market trends. George Dell notes that larger lenders see advantages to an improved “supply chain” since they only need to deal with a few AVM vendors, rather than a large number of small appraisal firms. The problems and costs in managing a large number of suppliers are eliminated by dealing with large national AVMs.

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
9
Q

During the development of AUs, limited private sector development of AVMs proceeded in a parallel fashion but was essentially rooted in the academic world. In the 1980s, Carl Case and Robert Schiller developed the Case-Schiller Index or CSI, the forerunner of the modern residential AVM, for secondary loan markets.

The AVM was based on a repeat sales approach or sales index and was generally intended for property loan portfolio reviews. It was during this timeframe that the exponential growth in server technology, personal computing power, and the Internet began to eliminate the barriers to cost effective analysis of real estate information.

Two very different US firms, TRW (now First American Real Estate Services) and HNC Software (specialists in statistical modeling and neural networks) ramped AVMs up to the next level in the mid-90s with models relying on property and neighbourhood specific attributes. Concurrently, the market signalled general acceptance of AVMs, at least for secondary markets, when the largest USA vendors of mortgage capital, Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae adopted AVMs as a quality control tool for evaluation of pools of mortgage loans. The day of AVM had arrived and there was no turning back.

A

During the development of AUs, limited private sector development of AVMs proceeded in a parallel fashion but was essentially rooted in the academic world. In the 1980s, Carl Case and Robert Schiller developed the Case-Schiller Index or CSI, the forerunner of the modern residential AVM, for secondary loan markets.

The AVM was based on a repeat sales approach or sales index and was generally intended for property loan portfolio reviews. It was during this timeframe that the exponential growth in server technology, personal computing power, and the Internet began to eliminate the barriers to cost effective analysis of real estate information.

Two very different US firms, TRW (now First American Real Estate Services) and HNC Software (specialists in statistical modeling and neural networks) ramped AVMs up to the next level in the mid-90s with models relying on property and neighbourhood specific attributes. Concurrently, the market signalled general acceptance of AVMs, at least for secondary markets, when the largest USA vendors of mortgage capital, Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae adopted AVMs as a quality control tool for evaluation of pools of mortgage loans. The day of AVM had arrived and there was no turning back.

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
10
Q

Automated Mapping/Facilities Management Systems (AM/FM) differ from CAD systems in that they feature sophisticated databases capable of storing and manipulating related attribute information; however, because they were developed primarily for utilities, they best serve networking functions and are limited in their ability to analyze relationships between different layers other than through visual inspection (overlapping of layers).

A

Automated Mapping/Facilities Management Systems (AM/FM) differ from CAD systems in that they feature sophisticated databases capable of storing and manipulating related attribute information; however, because they were developed primarily for utilities, they best serve networking functions and are limited in their ability to analyze relationships between different layers other than through visual inspection (overlapping of layers).

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
11
Q

Thematic Maps

GIS are flexible in displaying map information because, unlike a paper map, not all information must be visible at the same time. In a GIS, you can also change how an object is depicted depending on its attributes. This function is known as thematic mapping. Thematic maps are common in atlases, such as shading a map in different colours to distinguish various ranges of altitudes. Another thematic map could use colours to represent the number of seats held by different political parties. A GIS can build these kinds of maps automatically and interactively, allowing customized maps to better meet the user’s requirements.

Thematic maps allow visualization of trends in data by integrating data from a wide range of different sources.

Thematic maps can be quickly and easily created using GIS. As well, the maps are dynamic, in that they can be automatically updated as data values change with time. As a result, you can use this kind of mapping to monitor changing situations, such as traffic flow or property assessment values. The figure below shows the percentage increases in assessed value for a neighbourhood - the large changes stand out as the brightest colours.

A

Thematic Maps

GIS are flexible in displaying map information because, unlike a paper map, not all information must be visible at the same time. In a GIS, you can also change how an object is depicted depending on its attributes. This function is known as thematic mapping. Thematic maps are common in atlases, such as shading a map in different colours to distinguish various ranges of altitudes. Another thematic map could use colours to represent the number of seats held by different political parties. A GIS can build these kinds of maps automatically and interactively, allowing customized maps to better meet the user’s requirements.

Thematic maps allow visualization of trends in data by integrating data from a wide range of different sources.

Thematic maps can be quickly and easily created using GIS. As well, the maps are dynamic, in that they can be automatically updated as data values change with time. As a result, you can use this kind of mapping to monitor changing situations, such as traffic flow or property assessment values. The figure below shows the percentage increases in assessed value for a neighbourhood - the large changes stand out as the brightest colours.

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
12
Q

The 2008 collapse of the US housing market has been scrutinized by all stakeholders and been subject to US Congressional hearings. Most of the blame for the market collapse has been attributed to high risk or sub-prime syndicated residential mortgage backed securities (RMBS).

Did AVMs play a central role in floating these loans?

Apparently not, according to 2011 testimony given to Congress by Corelogic, a major US property data information storage and analysis entity. Corelogic’s Chief Economist Brendan Keane stated that securitization of debt is a good thing provided that it is accompanied by uniformity of underwriting standards and securitized assets, standardization of securitization processes, and granular, loan-level understanding of the credit risks associated with whole loan portfolios and residential mortgage-backed securitizations (RMBS). In Keane’s opinion, the best way to evaluate RMBS portfolios is through objective automated tools, such as AVMs.

A

The 2008 collapse of the US housing market has been scrutinized by all stakeholders and been subject to US Congressional hearings. Most of the blame for the market collapse has been attributed to high risk or sub-prime syndicated residential mortgage backed securities (RMBS).

Did AVMs play a central role in floating these loans?

Apparently not, according to 2011 testimony given to Congress by Corelogic, a major US property data information storage and analysis entity. Corelogic’s Chief Economist Brendan Keane stated that securitization of debt is a good thing provided that it is accompanied by uniformity of underwriting standards and securitized assets, standardization of securitization processes, and granular, loan-level understanding of the credit risks associated with whole loan portfolios and residential mortgage-backed securitizations (RMBS). In Keane’s opinion, the best way to evaluate RMBS portfolios is through objective automated tools, such as AVMs.

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
13
Q

The GIS forms a constant link between the attributes and the geographical properties of each of the features: you can get either one of these if you know something about the other. This is the basis of the many location-finding mapping services on the Internet: you can generate a map for any location because there is a data layer with a link between the postal code or zip code attribute and the geographical coordinates.

A

The GIS forms a constant link between the attributes and the geographical properties of each of the features: you can get either one of these if you know something about the other. This is the basis of the many location-finding mapping services on the Internet: you can generate a map for any location because there is a data layer with a link between the postal code or zip code attribute and the geographical coordinates.

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
14
Q

Geographic Information Systems (GIS) were developed for spatial analysis needs such as planning, natural resources, and land records management. GIS can completely integrate spatial data and attribute data among different layers. The GIS approach is ideal for multipurpose users.

Of the three computerized mapping systems, GIS is the most commonly used by the real estate industry.

A

Geographic Information Systems (GIS) were developed for spatial analysis needs such as planning, natural resources, and land records management. GIS can completely integrate spatial data and attribute data among different layers. The GIS approach is ideal for multipurpose users.

Of the three computerized mapping systems, GIS is the most commonly used by the real estate industry.

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
15
Q

The 2008 collapse of the US housing market has been scrutinized by all stakeholders and been subject to US Congressional hearings. Most of the blame for the market collapse has been attributed to high risk or sub-prime syndicated residential mortgage backed securities (RMBS).

Did AVMs play a central role in floating these loans?

Apparently not, according to 2011 testimony given to Congress by Corelogic, a major US property data information storage and analysis entity. Corelogic’s Chief Economist Brendan Keane stated that securitization of debt is a good thing provided that it is accompanied by uniformity of underwriting standards and securitized assets, standardization of securitization processes, and granular, loan-level understanding of the credit risks associated with whole loan portfolios and residential mortgage-backed securitizations (RMBS). In Keane’s opinion, the best way to evaluate RMBS portfolios is through objective automated tools, such as AVMs.

A

The 2008 collapse of the US housing market has been scrutinized by all stakeholders and been subject to US Congressional hearings. Most of the blame for the market collapse has been attributed to high risk or sub-prime syndicated residential mortgage backed securities (RMBS).

Did AVMs play a central role in floating these loans?

Apparently not, according to 2011 testimony given to Congress by Corelogic, a major US property data information storage and analysis entity. Corelogic’s Chief Economist Brendan Keane stated that securitization of debt is a good thing provided that it is accompanied by uniformity of underwriting standards and securitized assets, standardization of securitization processes, and granular, loan-level understanding of the credit risks associated with whole loan portfolios and residential mortgage-backed securitizations (RMBS). In Keane’s opinion, the best way to evaluate RMBS portfolios is through objective automated tools, such as AVMs.

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
16
Q

Section 7.17.5 of CUSPAP 2012 provides directionon AVMs similar to USPAP. When an automated valuation model is applicable, an appraiser must:

have a basic understanding of how the AVM operates;

determine if use of the AVM is appropriate for the assignment;

ensure that the AVM does not exclude relevant data necessary for a credible result; and

when developing opinions or conclusions in an appraisal, respond to these Standards.

However, there are practical standards issues for appraisers who use or review private sector AVMs in Canada. At the present time, most AVM vendors view the algorithm that drives their products to be proprietary and are generally reluctant to share this competitive information. In addition, there are significant research and development commitments in both time and money required to create a workable AVM. Consequently, this business model presents a serious barrier to appraisers in meeting their professional standards in using or reviewing private sector AVMs.

A

Section 7.17.5 of CUSPAP 2012 provides directionon AVMs similar to USPAP. When an automated valuation model is applicable, an appraiser must:

have a basic understanding of how the AVM operates;

determine if use of the AVM is appropriate for the assignment;

ensure that the AVM does not exclude relevant data necessary for a credible result; and

when developing opinions or conclusions in an appraisal, respond to these Standards.

However, there are practical standards issues for appraisers who use or review private sector AVMs in Canada. At the present time, most AVM vendors view the algorithm that drives their products to be proprietary and are generally reluctant to share this competitive information. In addition, there are significant research and development commitments in both time and money required to create a workable AVM. Consequently, this business model presents a serious barrier to appraisers in meeting their professional standards in using or reviewing private sector AVMs.

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
17
Q

Multiple Layers

The power of GIS lies in its ability to integrate and create different layers of information for a geographical area. A conventional map-maker must balance information and clarity, displaying sufficient detail to make the map useful, but not so much that it becomes cluttered and confusing.

GIS removes this problem because many different layers of information can be added and shown in different combinations and in a different order. At the click of a mouse, different data layers can be switched on and off so that many different views can be created for the same location.

A

Multiple Layers

The power of GIS lies in its ability to integrate and create different layers of information for a geographical area. A conventional map-maker must balance information and clarity, displaying sufficient detail to make the map useful, but not so much that it becomes cluttered and confusing.

GIS removes this problem because many different layers of information can be added and shown in different combinations and in a different order. At the click of a mouse, different data layers can be switched on and off so that many different views can be created for the same location.

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
18
Q

Most computerized mapping systems can be categorized as: _____, ________ or ________

A

Most computerized mapping systems can be categorized as: computer-assisted drafting systems (CAD), automated mapping/facilities management systems (AM/FM), or geographic information systems (GIS).

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
19
Q

This method does not rely on the detail present in a hedonic model and hence the output is more subject to variability.

A

AVMs based on price indices are very simple models. These models are generally based on repeat-sales to generate a price index for a specific geographic area, usually defined by zip or postal code.This method does not rely on the detail present in a hedonic model and hence the output is more subject to variability

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
20
Q

STUDY NOTE

Computerized Mapping Systems Most computerized mapping systems can be categorized as: computer-assisted drafting systems (CAD), automated mapping/facilities management systems (AM/FM), or geographic information systems (GIS). All three require a base grid with x-y coordinates and permit the mapping of cartographic features such as points, lines, and polygons. Overlapping map layers, each containing a specific kind of information, are used in all three. All offer the ability to change scale, update maps readily, print or plot maps as needed, and display and store text (such as names, labels, dimensions, and other labeling data).

A

STUDY NOTE

Computerized Mapping Systems Most computerized mapping systems can be categorized as: computer-assisted drafting systems (CAD), automated mapping/facilities management systems (AM/FM), or geographic information systems (GIS). All three require a base grid with x-y coordinates and permit the mapping of cartographic features such as points, lines, and polygons. Overlapping map layers, each containing a specific kind of information, are used in all three. All offer the ability to change scale, update maps readily, print or plot maps as needed, and display and store text (such as names, labels, dimensions, and other labeling data).

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
21
Q

The maps shown in GIS are intelligent – the features know their own identity.

The term ________ describes any piece of information about an object that can be stored in addition to its geographic properties. GIS can tell you not just the shape of a feature, but also what it is and any other information that may exist about it.

A

The maps shown in GIS are intelligent – the features know their own identity.

The term attribute describes any piece of information about an object that can be stored in addition to its geographic properties. GIS can tell you not just the shape of a feature, but also what it is and any other information that may exist about it.

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
22
Q

Price Indices. AVMs based on price indices are very simple models. These models are generally based on repeat-sales to generate a price index for a specific geographic area, usually defined by zip or postal code.This method does not rely on the detail present in a hedonic model and hence the output is more subject to variability. The Zillow “zindex” is an example of a price index AVM (explained later in the lesson).

A

Price Indices. AVMs based on price indices are very simple models. These models are generally based on repeat-sales to generate a price index for a specific geographic area, usually defined by zip or postal code.This method does not rely on the detail present in a hedonic model and hence the output is more subject to variability. The Zillow “zindex” is an example of a price index AVM (explained later in the lesson).

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
23
Q

How has the private sector reacted to confusion over the professional standards governing the use and interpretation of AVMs?

In 2004,Fitch Ratings,a prominent international credit rating agency recognized by the US Securities Commission, issued an alert to vendors of US residential mortgage-backed securities (RBMS), known as commercial mortgage-backed securities or CMBS in Canada, noting that Fitch would apply 10-15% discounts on lenders’value estimates based on “non-full appraisals”.The concern expressed by Fitch Rating was that there was a significant delay or lag in measuring market trends associated with the data used by AVMs.In a May 2006 news release, Fitch reversed its earlier position, using AVM research to conclude there is no significant lag. Fitch Senior Director Suzanne Mistretta stated that Fitch will “evaluate each lender’s processes and controls for its AVM and other non-full appraisal usage as a sole valuation tool for new first lien originations to ensure that overvaluation risk is adequately mitigated”. AVM evaluation is covered further in the next sections.

A

How has the private sector reacted to confusion over the professional standards governing the use and interpretation of AVMs?

In 2004,Fitch Ratings,a prominent international credit rating agency recognized by the US Securities Commission, issued an alert to vendors of US residential mortgage-backed securities (RBMS), known as commercial mortgage-backed securities or CMBS in Canada, noting that Fitch would apply 10-15% discounts on lenders’value estimates based on “non-full appraisals”.The concern expressed by Fitch Rating was that there was a significant delay or lag in measuring market trends associated with the data used by AVMs.In a May 2006 news release, Fitch reversed its earlier position, using AVM research to conclude there is no significant lag. Fitch Senior Director Suzanne Mistretta stated that Fitch will “evaluate each lender’s processes and controls for its AVM and other non-full appraisal usage as a sole valuation tool for new first lien originations to ensure that overvaluation risk is adequately mitigated”. AVM evaluation is covered further in the next sections.

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
24
Q

Evaluating AVMs

Generally accepted standards and methods for measuring the performance of AVMs or ranking AVM output in relation to conventional appraisal reports are not available at this time. However, this situation is changing as lending organizations, debt rating agencies and AVM vendors demonstrate leadership in AVM evaluation.

In the previous section we learned that Fitch Ratings has put measures in place to evaluate the reliability of AVMs to predict value in certain market areas.

A

Evaluating AVMs

Generally accepted standards and methods for measuring the performance of AVMs or ranking AVM output in relation to conventional appraisal reports are not available at this time. However, this situation is changing as lending organizations, debt rating agencies and AVM vendors demonstrate leadership in AVM evaluation.

In the previous section we learned that Fitch Ratings has put measures in place to evaluate the reliability of AVMs to predict value in certain market areas.

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
25
Q

An AVM is a computer software program that analyzes data using an automated process. AVMs may use _____, ______, ______, _____ and ______

A

An AVM is a computer software program that analyzes data using an automated process. For example, AVMs may use regression, adaptive estimation, neural networks, expert reasoning, and artificial intelligence programs.

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
26
Q

Data stored in tables is usually very difficult to digest all at once. It is necessary to filter out irrelevant information and focus only on what is most relevant to the issue at hand. For example, imagine you are visiting an unfamiliar city. You might have a map showing the city centre and the restaurant locations. This would be more helpful than a map showing every commercial property in the city, so cluttered with information that you cannot possibly hope to find somewhere to eat. fit an

You can query the features in GIS map layers by selecting and viewing just those that satisfy particular criteria. Your query can be as simple or complicated as you like, as long as the data fields are there to interrogate.

A

Data stored in tables is usually very difficult to digest all at once. It is necessary to filter out irrelevant information and focus only on what is most relevant to the issue at hand. For example, imagine you are visiting an unfamiliar city. You might have a map showing the city centre and the restaurant locations. This would be more helpful than a map showing every commercial property in the city, so cluttered with information that you cannot possibly hope to find somewhere to eat. fit an

You can query the features in GIS map layers by selecting and viewing just those that satisfy particular criteria. Your query can be as simple or complicated as you like, as long as the data fields are there to interrogate.

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
27
Q

WEAKNESS

An inherent additional weakness of AVMs is their attempt to model human reasoning. It is extremely difficult for mathematics to model the complexities of human behaviour, especially in appraisal where technical information is transformed by personal experience.Market relationships are not static and an AVM will require periodic adjustment to reflect observed market changes over time.Therefore, the risk associated with reliability of AVM outputs increases when they become the sole determinant of value for real estate decisions.

A

WEAKNESS

An inherent additional weakness of AVMs is their attempt to model human reasoning. It is extremely difficult for mathematics to model the complexities of human behaviour, especially in appraisal where technical information is transformed by personal experience.Market relationships are not static and an AVM will require periodic adjustment to reflect observed market changes over time.Therefore, the risk associated with reliability of AVM outputs increases when they become the sole determinant of value for real estate decisions.

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
28
Q

AVM = Appraisal Valuation Model

Designed, developed, and applied by an appraiser

Valuation tool

AVM = Automated Valuation Model

Completely automated

Outcome for lending risk assessment

No appraiser intervention

A

AVM = Appraisal Valuation Model

Designed, developed, and applied by an appraiser

Valuation tool

AVM = Automated Valuation Model

Completely automated

Outcome for lending risk assessment

No appraiser intervention

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
29
Q

Automated Mapping/Facilities Management Systems (AM/FM) differ from CAD systems in that they feature sophisticated databases capable of storing and manipulating related attribute information; however, because they were developed primarily for utilities, they best serve networking functions and are limited in their ability to analyze relationships between different layers other than through visual inspection (overlapping of layers).

A

Automated Mapping/Facilities Management Systems (AM/FM) differ from CAD systems in that they feature sophisticated databases capable of storing and manipulating related attribute information; however, because they were developed primarily for utilities, they best serve networking functions and are limited in their ability to analyze relationships between different layers other than through visual inspection (overlapping of layers).

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
30
Q

It is typically preferable to use a ___________ referencing system understood by all users, in order to identify specific features clearly and without ambiguity. Using text names can fail if one set of information has a misspelled name or if there are duplicate entries.

A

It is typically preferable to use a numerical referencing system understood by all users, in order to identify specific features clearly and without ambiguity. Using text names can fail if one set of information has a misspelled name or if there are duplicate entries.

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
31
Q

Another benefit of mixing and matching different layers is that by combining mapping for the same area surveyed at different times, you can identify any changes. The example below shows the changes to an area as the coast eroded over time.

A

Another benefit of mixing and matching different layers is that by combining mapping for the same area surveyed at different times, you can identify any changes. The example below shows the changes to an area as the coast eroded over time.

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
32
Q

According to a variety of valuation and lending community experts (to whom we’ll refer to during the lesson), the growth of public and private sector AVMs has been driven by the following factors:

increasing competitive pressures to deliver real estate intelligence faster and cheaper;

structural changes in the banking industry (mentioned by Cassens Zillioux);

huge volumes of electronic real estate data are now readily available–clients are questioning traditional appraisal approaches that ignore most of the data and focus only on small samples;

the neutral bias inherent in most automated valuation systems (i.e., similar probability of delivering a positive or negative value outcomes) versus human bias; and

the belief by some consumers of appraisal services that removing appraisers from the valuation equation reduces human error and potential fraud.

A

According to a variety of valuation and lending community experts (to whom we’ll refer to during the lesson), the growth of public and private sector AVMs has been driven by the following factors:

increasing competitive pressures to deliver real estate intelligence faster and cheaper;

structural changes in the banking industry (mentioned by Cassens Zillioux);

huge volumes of electronic real estate data are now readily available–clients are questioning traditional appraisal approaches that ignore most of the data and focus only on small samples;

the neutral bias inherent in most automated valuation systems (i.e., similar probability of delivering a positive or negative value outcomes) versus human bias; and

the belief by some consumers of appraisal services that removing appraisers from the valuation equation reduces human error and potential fraud.

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
33
Q

Neural Network.

An attempt to use computing resources to mimic or model the way the human brain works. A digital network relies on computations involving zero and one, while a neural network relies on a series of connections that are turned on and off (similar in the brain function). As input is provided to all units in the network, the organization and weights of the inputs determine the outputs.29 Due to the complexity and highly theoretical nature of these networks, they have not been widely adopted as the basis for AVMs.

A

Neural Network.

An attempt to use computing resources to mimic or model the way the human brain works. A digital network relies on computations involving zero and one, while a neural network relies on a series of connections that are turned on and off (similar in the brain function). As input is provided to all units in the network, the organization and weights of the inputs determine the outputs.29 Due to the complexity and highly theoretical nature of these networks, they have not been widely adopted as the basis for AVMs.

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
34
Q

___________ maps use shading, patterns, or colours to highlight areas characterized by some general common feature,for example, political maps or agricultural crop types.

A

Choropleth maps use shading, patterns, or colours to highlight areas characterized by some general common feature,forexample, political maps or agricultural crop types.

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
35
Q

Weaknesses

An automated valuation model is only as good as the data and workmanship programmed into it. The soft underbelly of AVMs, in general, is the quality, consistency and availability of data. Keep in mind that this data will typically come from multiple sources: Multiple Listing Services, government property transfer records, assessments, and, in some cases, appraised values. There is a body of evidence, mainly in the USA, which indicates serious concerns with the quality and consistency of private sector AVM output. The US lending community and debt rating agencies have begun to develop technical standards for evaluation of AVMs(covered in the next section).

A

Weaknesses

An automated valuation model is only as good as the data and workmanship programmed into it. The soft underbelly of AVMs, in general, is the quality, consistency and availability of data. Keep in mind that this data will typically come from multiple sources: Multiple Listing Services, government property transfer records, assessments, and, in some cases, appraised values. There is a body of evidence, mainly in the USA, which indicates serious concerns with the quality and consistency of private sector AVM output. The US lending community and debt rating agencies have begun to develop technical standards for evaluation of AVMs(covered in the next section).

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
36
Q

GIS Components

A working GIS integrates five key components:

Hardware

Software

Data

People

Methods

A

GIS Components

A working GIS integrates five key components:

Hardware

Software

Data

People

Methods

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
37
Q

Thematic maps can be quickly and easily created using GIS. As well, the maps are dynamic, in that they can be automatically updated as data values change with time. As a result, you can use this kind of mapping to monitor changing situations, such as traffic flow or property assessment values. The figure below shows the percentage increases in assessed value for a neighbourhood – the large changes stand out as the brightest colours.

A

Thematic maps can be quickly and easily created using GIS. As well, the maps are dynamic, in that they can be automatically updated as data values change with time. As a result, you can use this kind of mapping to monitor changing situations, such as traffic flow or property assessment values. The figure below shows the percentage increases in assessed value for a neighbourhood – the large changes stand out as the brightest colours.

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
38
Q

_____________ maps show physical surface features,such as roads,rivers,and buildings.

A

Topographic maps show physical surface features,such as roads,rivers,and buildings.​

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
39
Q

GIS can go well beyond conventional maps in storing and transmitting attribute information because you are no longer restricted by map space.

Tabular information can be stored for each object in a database that operates beneath the map layers. This allows a nearly infinite array of attributes to be recorded. All GIS have simple tools for examining features. For example, clicking on an object with your mouse displays a full set of attributes without that information having to be on screen all the time. The object of interest can be identified by the visual map graphic and then the object can tell you its own attributes.

A

GIS can go well beyond conventional maps in storing and transmitting attribute information because you are no longer restricted by map space.

Tabular information can be stored for each object in a database that operates beneath the map layers. This allows a nearly infinite array of attributes to be recorded. All GIS have simple tools for examining features. For example, clicking on an object with your mouse displays a full set of attributes without that information having to be on screen all the time. The object of interest can be identified by the visual map graphic and then the object can tell you its own attributes.

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
40
Q

GIS are flexible in displaying map information because, unlike a paper map, not all information must be visible at the same time. In a GIS, you can also change how an object is depicted depending on its attributes. This function is known as __________. ___________ are common in atlases, such as shading a map in different colours to distinguish various ranges of altitudes. Another thematic map could use colours to represent the number of seats held by different political parties. A GIS can build these kinds of maps automatically and interactively, allowing customized maps to better meet the user’s requirements.

A

GIS are flexible in displaying map information because, unlike a paper map, not all information must be visible at the same time. In a GIS, you can also change how an object is depicted depending on its attributes. This function is known as __________. ___________ are common in atlases, such as shading a map in different colours to distinguish various ranges of altitudes. Another thematic map could use colours to represent the number of seats held by different political parties. A GIS can build these kinds of maps automatically and interactively, allowing customized maps to better meet the user’s requirements.

How well did you know this?
1
Not at all
2
3
4
5
Perfectly
41
Q

A _________ means selecting data based on the geometry of objects. For example, most GIS will offer several selection tools, such as drawing a circle in order to select all objects falling inside it. In the example below, the analyst selected a circle spatial query on the map in order to view the addresses noted from within the circle.

GIS can provide information on particular features in the map data and analyze these in relation to each other. This goes beyond the visual analysis of thematic mapping, allowing interrogation of specific properties. As an example, this technique could be used by emergency services to quickly identify all houses within 500 metres of a dangerous chemical spill.

A

A spatial query means selecting data based on the geometry of objects. For example, most GIS will offer several selection tools, such as drawing a circle in order to select all objects falling inside it. In the example below, the analyst selected a circle spatial query on the map in order to view the addresses noted from within the circle.

GIS can provide information on particular features in the map data and analyze these in relation to each other. This goes beyond the visual analysis of thematic mapping, allowing interrogation of specific properties. As an example, this technique could be used by emergency services to quickly identify all houses within 500 metres of a dangerous chemical spill.

42
Q

Most GIS also enable the user to view the data in _________ form without necessarily using map graphics at all. This is equivalent to using typical spreadsheet software. Often, you may know the name of an object but not necessarily where it is. In this case, you can use the table to find the object and then switch to the map to see where it is.

A

Most GIS also enable the user to view the data in tabular form without necessarily using map graphics at all. This is equivalent to using typical spreadsheet software. Often, you may know the name of an object but not necessarily where it is. In this case, you can use the table to find the object and then switch to the map to see where it is.

43
Q

Methods

GIS is neither one technology nor a single application, but many evolving technologies applied to the needs of a variety of institutions, organizations, groups, and individuals. A successful GIS requires a well-designed plan and rules of operation, specific to the context and the user requirements. The defining characteristic of GIS is its spatial aspect, focusing on where questions regarding our built and natural environments.

A

Methods

GIS is neither one technology nor a single application, but many evolving technologies applied to the needs of a variety of institutions, organizations, groups, and individuals. A successful GIS requires a well-designed plan and rules of operation, specific to the context and the user requirements. The defining characteristic of GIS is its spatial aspect, focusing on where questions regarding our built and natural environments.

44
Q

A GIS can be used to generate _________ and then identify all features that lie within a particular distance. A ________ is specified on a map based on a point, line, or area.The buffer object represents the total area within a certain distance of a given feature.

A

A GIS can be used to generate buffer zones and then identify all features that lie within a particular distance. A buffer is specified on a map based on a point, line, or area.The buffer object represents the total area within a certain distance of a given feature.

45
Q

History and Evolution of Geographic Information Systems

In the 1930s and 40s, geographical analysis was conducted by manually overlaying different types of similarly sized maps. Key users included the military/defense departments.

In the early 1960s,geographic analysis was increasingly adopted by urban and regional governments as a part of planning and administration. Since that time, geographic analysis has become commonplace, in part because hardware and software advances have made automated graphics and spatial data processing more accessible and user friendly.

A geographic information system (GIS) is a computer-based tool for mapping and analysis. GIS technology integrates computer database operations such as query and statistical analysis with the unique visualization and geographic analysis benefits offered by maps. These capabilities distinguish GIS from other information systems and make it valuable to a wide range of public and private enterprises for explaining events, predicting outcomes, and planning strategies.

Loosely defined, a GIS is any information system that integrates, stores, edits, analyzes, shares, and displays data that refers to or is linked to a physical (or geographic) location.

A

History and Evolution of Geographic Information Systems

In the 1930s and 40s, geographical analysis was conducted by manually overlaying different types of similarly sized maps. Key users included the military/defense departments.

In the early 1960s,geographic analysis was increasingly adopted by urban and regional governments as a part of planning and administration. Since that time, geographic analysis has become commonplace, in part because hardware and software advances have made automated graphics and spatial data processing more accessible and user friendly.

A geographic information system (GIS) is a computer-based tool for mapping and analysis. GIS technology integrates computer database operations such as query and statistical analysis with the unique visualization and geographic analysis benefits offered by maps. These capabilities distinguish GIS from other information systems and make it valuable to a wide range of public and private enterprises for explaining events, predicting outcomes, and planning strategies.

Loosely defined, a GIS is any information system that integrates, stores, edits, analyzes, shares, and displays data that refers to or is linked to a physical (or geographic) location.

46
Q

Unlocking the Information

All organizations have information locked away in various databases. GIS can help uncover the full value of this information. It is estimated that approximately 80 % of all information held in databases anywhere in the world contains some kind of geographic element. For example, records in a database can be tied to a particular location on the ground, such as an address, building, property, or road junction. There are trends and relationships hidden in this geographic data and GIS can help to reveal them.

Many government and business organizations use GIS as a central part of their activities, and the range of applications is extraordinary. For example:

Utilities - leak management, service planning, network planning;

Central government - census, environmental planning, health service areas;

Local government - property assessment and taxation, refuse collection, street lighting;

Emergency Services - crime locations, route finding;

Military - battlefield simulations;

Retail - travel time for catchment areas, store site location;

Financial - insurance flood risk, property values; and

Target Marketing - demographic profiles.

A

Unlocking the Information

All organizations have information locked away in various databases. GIS can help uncover the full value of this information. It is estimated that approximately 80 % of all information held in databases anywhere in the world contains some kind of geographic element. For example, records in a database can be tied to a particular location on the ground, such as an address, building, property, or road junction. There are trends and relationships hidden in this geographic data and GIS can help to reveal them.

Many government and business organizations use GIS as a central part of their activities, and the range of applications is extraordinary. For example:

Utilities - leak management, service planning, network planning;

Central government - census, environmental planning, health service areas;

Local government - property assessment and taxation, refuse collection, street lighting;

Emergency Services - crime locations, route finding;

Military - battlefield simulations;

Retail - travel time for catchment areas, store site location;

Financial - insurance flood risk, property values; and

Target Marketing - demographic profiles.

47
Q

In a GIS, you can also change how an object is depicted depending on _ _ _ _ _ _ . This function is known as _ _ _ _ _ _

A

In a GIS, you can also change how an object is depicted depending on its attributes. This function is known as thematic mapping.

48
Q

“Systemic Risks in Residential Property Valuations: Perceptions and Reality”.

The results of the study will be surprising to many appraisers and AVM skeptics since researchers found that the concern with over-valuation of property in soft markets extends equally to AVMs and conventional appraisals. In fact, the research indicated that conventional appraisals result in values greater than the sale price more often than AVMs, particularly in a soft market.This outcome suggests that AVMs maybe more “immune” to bias and more independent than conventional appraisals.The concern that data lags associated with AVMs will also result in over-valuation in soft markets does not appear to be valid either.The authors note that one explanation for this outcome is that vendors are slow to reduce prices in soft market conditions. This downward rigidity in home prices means that market prices may decelerate or decline at a slower pace than appears warranted by the level of demand.

A

“Systemic Risks in Residential Property Valuations: Perceptions and Reality”.

The results of the study will be surprising to many appraisers and AVM skeptics since researchers found that the concern with over-valuation of property in soft markets extends equally to AVMs and conventional appraisals. In fact, the research indicated that conventional appraisals result in values greater than the sale price more often than AVMs, particularly in a soft market.This outcome suggests that AVMs maybe more “immune” to bias and more independent than conventional appraisals.The concern that data lags associated with AVMs will also result in over-valuation in soft markets does not appear to be valid either.The authors note that one explanation for this outcome is that vendors are slow to reduce prices in soft market conditions. This downward rigidity in home prices means that market prices may decelerate or decline at a slower pace than appears warranted by the level of demand.

49
Q

An example of a _________ might involve selecting all addresses within a 200 metre ________ of a busy road and then comparing the assessments with data about sale prices.

By comparing the two sets of data,you can determine if there is a statistically negative or positive relationship between the assessed values and sale prices for properties in this area.This might help you determine if road proximity is a significant contribution market value and if these properties have been assessed accurately.

A

An example of a buffer zone analysis might involve selecting all addresses within a 200 metre buffer of a busy road and then comparing the assessments with data about sale prices. By comparing the two sets of data,you can determine if there is a statistically negative or positive relationship between the assessed values and sale prices for properties in this area.This might help you determine if road proximity is a significant contribution market value and if these properties have been assessed accurately.

50
Q

Three-Dimensional Maps

The physical world exists in three dimensions and conventional maps are uncompromisingly flat. Two-dimensional (2-D) representations of a real landscape require imagination and interpretation. One of the exciting benefits of GIS is its capability to produce dynamic and attractive three-dimensional (3-D) maps.

Map makers can use a variety of visual symbols to show height information and create the illusion of an undulating surface. The example to the right highlights this:

Contours

Spot height symbols

Hill shading

Cliff and slope symbols

Viewpoint symbols

A

Three-Dimensional Maps

The physical world exists in three dimensions and conventional maps are uncompromisingly flat. Two-dimensional (2-D) representations of a real landscape require imagination and interpretation. One of the exciting benefits of GIS is its capability to produce dynamic and attractive three-dimensional (3-D) maps.

Map makers can use a variety of visual symbols to show height information and create the illusion of an undulating surface. The example to the right highlights this:

Contours

Spot height symbols

Hill shading

Cliff and slope symbols

Viewpoint symbols

51
Q

A key advantage of being able to layer data in a GIS is to carry out overlay operations. You can place layers on top of each other and then select all objects from one layer that lie within an object from another layer. These can be quite complex, but simply mean combining layers of data to create one new layer(similar to the way a mathematical calculation may first calculate interim answers, then use these answers to create a final answer).

In the example to the right, a farmer needs a certain level of rain fall and type of soil to successfully grow a crop.By combining the rainfall map and the soil type map, it is much easier to find the best location. In this example, the GIS assigns a numeric value to each soil type and to the amount of rainfall. On the resulting map (Step 3), it is easy to see the location of the optimum growing area.

By combining layers of information, the farmer creates a useful new map. Consider a similar example from commercial real estate: a big box retailer might use maps of socioeconomic status, traffic patterns, and competitor locations to pinpoint an optimal new location. Similarly, a restaurant chain might use a similar technique to identify the next location for its fast-food restaurant.

A

A key advantage of being able to layer data in a GIS is to carry out overlay operations. You can place layers on top of each other and then select all objects from one layer that lie within an object from another layer. These can be quite complex, but simply mean combining layers of data to create one new layer(similar to the way a mathematical calculation may first calculate interim answers, then use these answers to create a final answer).

In the example to the right, a farmer needs a certain level of rain fall and type of soil to successfully grow a crop.By combining the rainfall map and the soil type map, it is much easier to find the best location. In this example, the GIS assigns a numeric value to each soil type and to the amount of rainfall. On the resulting map (Step 3), it is easy to see the location of the optimum growing area.

By combining layers of information, the farmer creates a useful new map. Consider a similar example from commercial real estate: a big box retailer might use maps of socioeconomic status, traffic patterns, and competitor locations to pinpoint an optimal new location. Similarly, a restaurant chain might use a similar technique to identify the next location for its fast-food restaurant.

52
Q

There is no clear information on the present level of AVM use in North America. Michael Parris of Standard & Poor’s reported in 2004 that since the arrival of AVMs in 1990s the number of first lien transactions rated by S&P involving AVMs has been relatively low. In contrast, he notes that in the secondary lending market (e.g., pooled or syndicated loans,commercial mortgage-backed securities) about 94% of transactions rated by Standard & Poor’s were supported by AVMs. In the opinion of S&P, the contrast in AVM usage rates between these two lending markets is explained by the historical acceptance of write-off ratios in the secondary lending community, regardless of the valuation method. However, this trend appears to be changing and Jim Kirchmeyer, President of Real-Info Corporation, estimates that AVMs are now commonly used to support most of the 10 to 12 million home equity loans (e.g., line of credit or second mortgage based on existing property owner home equity) approved annually in the USA. Another example of the widespread use of AVMs is offered by Mark Linne, a leading US valuation profession with recognized expertise in the field of AVMs. Linne suggests that at the present time, in the state of California, over 70% of all residential mortgages are subject to AVM reports at some level. Canadian statistics are difficult to obtain, but anecdotal information from Canadian AVM vendors indicates similar trends with less than 20% of mortgages subject to conventional appraisal reports.The spread of AVMs has not been limited to the United States and Canada. In the United Kingdom and various European nations, AVMs have widespread acceptance.

A

There is no clear information on the present level of AVM use in North America. Michael Parris of Standard & Poor’s reported in 2004 that since the arrival of AVMs in 1990s the number of first lien transactions rated by S&P involving AVMs has been relatively low. In contrast, he notes that in the secondary lending market (e.g., pooled or syndicated loans,commercial mortgage-backed securities) about 94% of transactions rated by Standard & Poor’s were supported by AVMs. In the opinion of S&P, the contrast in AVM usage rates between these two lending markets is explained by the historical acceptance of write-off ratios in the secondary lending community, regardless of the valuation method. However, this trend appears to be changing and Jim Kirchmeyer, President of Real-Info Corporation, estimates that AVMs are now commonly used to support most of the 10 to 12 million home equity loans (e.g., line of credit or second mortgage based on existing property owner home equity) approved annually in the USA. Another example of the widespread use of AVMs is offered by Mark Linne, a leading US valuation profession with recognized expertise in the field of AVMs. Linne suggests that at the present time, in the state of California, over 70% of all residential mortgages are subject to AVM reports at some level. Canadian statistics are difficult to obtain, but anecdotal information from Canadian AVM vendors indicates similar trends with less than 20% of mortgages subject to conventional appraisal reports.The spread of AVMs has not been limited to the United States and Canada. In the United Kingdom and various European nations, AVMs have widespread acceptance.

53
Q

A working GIS integrates five key components:

A

A working GIS integrates five key components:

Hardware

Software

Data

People

Methods

54
Q

People

GIS users range from technical specialists who design and maintain the system, to end users who apply it to real-world issues in performing their everyday work. The technical specialists may be computer programmers or geography/mapping specialists. The end users can be non-experts, who learn the software and apply it to their own tasks. Just as you don’t need to be a computer programmer to use a word processing program, you don’t need to be mapping expert to run a GIS — as long as you have well-written user-friendly applications designed for this purpose.

A

People

GIS users range from technical specialists who design and maintain the system, to end users who apply it to real-world issues in performing their everyday work. The technical specialists may be computer programmers or geography/mapping specialists. The end users can be non-experts, who learn the software and apply it to their own tasks. Just as you don’t need to be a computer programmer to use a word processing program, you don’t need to be mapping expert to run a GIS — as long as you have well-written user-friendly applications designed for this purpose.

55
Q

GIS Base Components

The first phase of the GIS implementation is creating the base features that will serve as a foundation for the subsequent phases. The base features of a GIS often include:

A

GIS Base Components

The first phase of the GIS implementation is creating the base features that will serve as a foundation for the subsequent phases. The base features of a GIS often include:

Cleansed parcel data

Creation of integration tools

Installation of a GIS viewing application

56
Q

The parcel layer is the most important layer in any GIS. Because it is the foundation for many other layers, it deserves special attention to ensure it is precise and accurate.

There are three different types of parcel layers in an assessment GIS:

A

The parcel layer is the most important layer in any GIS. Because it is the foundation for many other layers, it deserves special attention to ensure it is precise and accurate.

There are three different types of parcel layers in an assessment GIS:

Survey Layer

Title Layer

Assessment (Tax) Layer

57
Q

The integration of data, people, hardware, software, and methods (applications) create a geographic information system. GIS is all about taking advantage of the visual power of maps by incorporating more and different types of data, as well as a user friendly interface. The goal is to create dynamic and interactive maps.

A

The integration of data, people, hardware, software, and methods (applications) create a geographic information system. GIS is all about taking advantage of the visual power of maps by incorporating more and different types of data, as well as a user friendly interface. The goal is to create dynamic and interactive maps.

58
Q

The success and overall operability of an enterprise solution is predicated by its ability to effectively integrate current and reliable data from the various municipal business systems. Integration tools exchange data between the central data repository and each business system, allowing the information to flow freely between data sources with minimal human intervention. These help keep the information current, while at the same time perserve the integrity of the data’s originating system.

A

The success and overall operability of an enterprise solution is predicated by its ability to effectively integrate current and reliable data from the various municipal business systems. Integration tools exchange data between the central data repository and each business system, allowing the information to flow freely between data sources with minimal human intervention. These help keep the information current, while at the same time perserve the integrity of the data’s originating system.

59
Q

A geographic information system (GIS) is a computer-based tool for mapping and analysis. GIS technology integrates computer database operations such as query and statistical analysis with the unique visualization and geographic analysis benefits offered by maps.

These capabilities distinguish GIS from other information systems and make it valuable to a wide range of public and private enterprises for explaining events, predicting outcomes, and planning strategies.

A

A geographic information system (GIS) is a computer-based tool for mapping and analysis. GIS technology integrates computer database operations such as query and statistical analysis with the unique visualization and geographic analysis benefits offered by maps.

These capabilities distinguish GIS from other information systems and make it valuable to a wide range of public and private enterprises for explaining events, predicting outcomes, and planning strategies.

60
Q

Installation of a GIS Viewing Application

Many GIS applications for accessing, editing, and maintaining spatial data are complex and require a large amount of training. In the enterprise solution approach, the editing and maintenance of GIS data is left to trained specialists, but end users can access information with GIS viewing tools on a read-only basis. Web-based GIS viewing tools provide a quick and easy means to provide access.

A web-based GIS viewer typically consists of two main components: 1) the application engine and 2) the user interface.

The engine provides all the data access, data querying,and map rendering capabilities found in the end product. Essentially, the engine performs all of the complex calculations and tasks that allow the user interface to function. There are many types of engines available for organizations of various sizes and purposes. One of the main differences between engines is the format in which they will accept data.

The user interface is designed with the end-user in mind and is specially tailored in each organization. The main goal of the user interface is to provide non-GIS specialists with access to GIS-based data while hiding the complex, behind-the-scenes querying and calculations of the application engine that makes the GIS operate.

A

Installation of a GIS Viewing Application

Many GIS applications for accessing, editing, and maintaining spatial data are complex and require a large amount of training. In the enterprise solution approach, the editing and maintenance of GIS data is left to trained specialists, but end users can access information with GIS viewing tools on a read-only basis. Web-based GIS viewing tools provide a quick and easy means to provide access.

A web-based GIS viewer typically consists of two main components: 1) the application engine and 2) the user interface.

The engine provides all the data access, data querying,and map rendering capabilities found in the end product. Essentially, the engine performs all of the complex calculations and tasks that allow the user interface to function. There are many types of engines available for organizations of various sizes and purposes. One of the main differences between engines is the format in which they will accept data.

The user interface is designed with the end-user in mind and is specially tailored in each organization. The main goal of the user interface is to provide non-GIS specialists with access to GIS-based data while hiding the complex, behind-the-scenes querying and calculations of the application engine that makes the GIS operate.

61
Q

Loosely defined, a GIS is any information system that integrates, stores, edits, analyzes, shares, and displays data that refers to or is linked to a physical (or geographic) location.

A

Loosely defined, a GIS is any information system that integrates, stores, edits, analyzes, shares, and displays data that refers to or is linked to a physical (or geographic) location.

62
Q

The simplest example of __________ is to choose two points on the network and ask the GIS to calculate the shortest path between them, considering both distances and times involved.

This basic concept can be used to help build complex navigation systems or plan extensive distribution services.

Alternatively, it could be used for applications as simple as optimizing property inspection or flower delivery routes.

A

The simplest example of __________ is to choose two points on the network and ask the GIS to calculate the shortest path between them, considering both distances and times involved.

This basic concept can be used to help build complex navigation systems or plan extensive distribution services.

Alternatively, it could be used for applications as simple as optimizing property inspection or flower delivery routes.

63
Q

GIS Components

A working GIS integrates five key components:

Hardware

Software

Data

People

Methods

A

GIS Components

A working GIS integrates five key components:

Hardware

Software

Data

People

Methods

64
Q

Navigation systems can be built for motorists by applying the principles of ___________ to accurate road data. Many cars now have electronic devices that provide driving instructions, either as a simple map display or by audio messages. These in-car-navigation tools are specialized, miniature GIS combined with Global Positioning System (GPS) technology. Because the data has attributes for road names and numbers, intelligent instructions can be provided (for example, “take right turn Exit 34 at next interchange”).

A

Navigation systems can be built for motorists by applying the principles of network analysis to accurate road data. Many cars now have electronic devices that provide driving instructions, either as a simple map display or by audio messages. These in-car-navigation tools are specialized, miniature GIS combined with Global Positioning System (GPS) technology. Because the data has attributes for road names and numbers, intelligent instructions can be provided (for example, “take right turn Exit 34 at next interchange”).​

65
Q

Software

GIS software provides the functions and tools needed to store, analyze, and display geographic information. GIS packages have evolved from a combination of two well-established types of software:

The way in which map geometry is handled is based on graphics and computer-aided design (CAD) technology - a series of geocoded lines, points, and polygons.

The way in which attribute information is handled has been developed from conventional spreadsheet and database technology.

Key software components for GIS include:

• tools for the input and manipulation of geographic information;

• a database management system (DBMS);

• tools that support geographic query, analysis, and visualization; and

• a graphical user interface (GUI) for easy access to tools.

A

Software

GIS software provides the functions and tools needed to store, analyze, and display geographic information. GIS packages have evolved from a combination of two well-established types of software:

The way in which map geometry is handled is based on graphics and computer-aided design (CAD) technology - a series of geocoded lines, points, and polygons.

The way in which attribute information is handled has been developed from conventional spreadsheet and database technology.

Key software components for GIS include:

• tools for the input and manipulation of geographic information;

• a database management system (DBMS);

• tools that support geographic query, analysis, and visualization; and

• a graphical user interface (GUI) for easy access to tools.

66
Q

Another benefit of network analysis is the ability to calculate drive-times, which identifies travel distance and length of time. For example, consider a drive-time map for pizza delivery, showing a central point surrounded by a series of circles estimating how long it takes to get to places within that radius. A paper map method would likely assume an as-the-crow-flies route to each location.

In contrast, a GIS can be much more accurate, using network analysis to generate ___________ (lines that join up points of equal travel time) that take into account the true road network and give a proper measure of how far you can get over a set time. This can even take into account the average speed on each road, so that the area appears stretched along faster roads.

A

Another benefit of network analysis is the ability to calculate drive-times, which identifies travel distance and length of time. For example, consider a drive-time map for pizza delivery, showing a central point surrounded by a series of circles estimating how long it takes to get to places within that radius. A paper map method would likely assume an as-the-crow-flies route to each location.

In contrast, a GIS can be much more accurate, using network analysis to generate isochrones (lines that join up points of equal travel time) that take into account the true road network and give a proper measure of how far you can get over a set time. This can even take into account the average speed on each road, so that the area appears stretched along faster roads.

67
Q

Why are traditional key users of GIS large corporations?

A

Because data can be difficult and expensive to gather, organize, and manage, this can be a major impediment to individual private use of GIS. This explains why the traditional key users of GIS tend to be local government, assessment agencies, or large corporations, since these have the staff and resources to either gather or purchase sufficient data.

68
Q

List 5 advantages of AVMs

A

The artificial intelligence of AVMs illustrates that it is possible, with some limitations, to use a computer program to model appraiser judgment to deliver consistent, inexpensive results, particularly with large volumes of data.

AVMs are not limited to one valuation method and some will deliver multiple valuations for a specific property, also determining the best approach given the property type, location, and data availability.

As well, given ongoing concerns about mortgage fraud, an AVM cannot commit fraud or make mistakes with calculations.

AVMs can even be designed to evaluate and rank other AVMs,

AVMs have reduced the turnaround time traditional 7-10 days for an in-person in-home appraisal to just 30 seconds. Benchmark concluded that this factor was the major contribution to a 30% reduction in loan turnaround time between 2003 and 2005.

AVM vendors pitch the major strength of AVMs as providing information that clients want versus what appraisers and others have decided they need.These desires include reduced administrative expense and more indepth exposure to market trends.

Larger lenders see advantages to an improved “supply chain” since they only need to deal with a few AVM vendors, rather than a large number of small appraisal firms. The problems and costs in managing a large number of suppliers are eliminated by dealing with large national AVMs.

69
Q

List 5 things about hedonic systems

A
  • Hedonic systems are the most common AVMs
  • Are largely based on statistical models using some form of linear regression.
  • These models require information on property attributes, such as location, property size, and nature of improvements.
  • The hedonic AVM includes a search engine that compares the subject property attributes (contained in a database) with other comparable properties using a “radius”search pattern or other logical search parameters, over a pre-determined time period.
  • AVMs developed by Landcor and MPAC (Municipal Property Assessment Corporation) are examples of hedonic systems(both AVMs are explored later in the lesson).
70
Q

TRUE OR FALSE?

Research indicates that conventional appraisals result in values greater than the sale price more often than AVMs, particularly in a soft market.

A

ANSWER: TRUE

71
Q

______ is the most important component of a GIS

A

Data is the most important component of a GIS

72
Q

What is an impediment to individual private use of GIS?

A

Because data can be difficult and expensive to gather, organize, and manage, this can be a major impediment to individual private use of GIS.

This explains why the traditional key users of GIS tend to be local government, assessment agencies, or large corporations, since these have the staff and resources to either gather or purchase sufficient data.

73
Q

The defining characteristic of GIS is _ _ _ _ _

A

The defining characteristic of GIS is its spatial aspect, focusing on where questions regarding our built and natural environments.

74
Q

The powerof GIS lies in its ability to _ _ _ _

A

The power of GIS lies in its ability to integrate and create different layers of information for a geographical area.

75
Q

Another benefit of mixing and matching different layers is that by combining mapping for the same area surveyed at different times, you can identify any changes.

A

Another benefit of mixing and matching different layers is that by combining mapping for the same area surveyed at different times, you can identify any changes.

76
Q

GIS can go well beyond conventional maps in storing and transmitting attribute information because you are no longer restricted by map space.

____________ can be stored for each object in a database that operates beneath the map layers. This allows a nearly infinite array of attributes to be recorded.

A

GIS can go well beyond conventional maps in storing and transmitting attribute information because you are no longer restricted by map space.

Tabular information can be stored for each object in a database that operates beneath the map layers. This allows a nearly infinite array of attributes to be recorded.

77
Q

GIS can understand location elements of map data, manipulate information about shapes and structures, and work with attribute information to store intelligence about objects. It is the fusion of these functions that makes GIS so powerful.

A

GIS can understand location elements of map data, manipulate information about shapes and structures, and work with attribute information to store intelligence about objects. It is the fusion of these functions that makes GIS so powerful.

78
Q

A _________ means selecting data based on the geometry of objects. For example, most GIS will offer several selection tools, such as drawing a circle in order to select all objects falling inside it.

A

A spatial query means selecting data based on the geometry of objects. For example, most GIS will offer several selection tools, such as drawing a circle in order to select all objects falling inside it.

79
Q

A GIS can be used to generate ______ and then identify all features that lie within a particular distance. A ____ is specified on a map based on a point, line, or area. The ____ object represents the total area within a certain distance of a given feature.

A

A GIS can be used to generate buffer zones and then identify all features that lie within a particular distance. A buffer is specified on a map based on a point, line, or area. The buffer object represents the total area within a certain distance of a given feature.

80
Q

An example of a buffer zone analysis might involve selecting all addresses within a 200 metre buffer of a busy road and then comparing the assessments with data about sale prices.

By comparing the two sets of data, you can determine if there is a statistically negative or positive relationship between the assessed values and sale prices for properties in this area.This might help you determine if road proximity is a significant contributor to market value and if these properties have been assessed accurately.

A

An example of a buffer zone analysis might involve selecting all addresses within a 200 metre buffer of a busy road and then comparing the assessments with data about sale prices.

By comparing the two sets of data, you can determine if there is a statistically negative or positive relationship between the assessed values and sale prices for properties in this area.This might help you determine if road proximity is a significant contributor to market value and if these properties have been assessed accurately.

81
Q

A key advantage of being able to layer data in a GIS is to carry out ____________

A

A key advantage of being able to layer data in a GIS is to carry out overlay operations.

82
Q

The simplest example of network analysis is to choose two points on the network and ask the GIS to calculate the shortest path between them, considering both distances and times involved.

This basic concept can be used to help build complex navigation systems or plan extensive distribution services. Alternatively, it could be used for applications assimple as optimizing property inspection or flower delivery routes.

A

The simplest example of network analysis is to choose two points on the network and ask the GIS to calculate the shortest path between them, considering both distances and times involved.

This basic concept can be used to help build complex navigation systems or plan extensive distribution services. Alternatively, it could be used for applications assimple as optimizing property inspection or flower delivery routes.

83
Q

__________ maps use shading, patterns, or colours to highlight areas characterized by some general common feature, for example, political maps or agricultural crop types.

A

Choropleth maps use shading, patterns, or colours to highlight areas characterized by some general common feature, for example, political maps or agricultural crop types.

84
Q

Of the three computerized mapping systems, _________ is the most commonly used by the real estate industry.

A

Of the three computerized mapping systems, GIS is the most commonly used by the real estate industry.

85
Q

_ _ _ _ _ are the most common AVMs and are largely based on statistical models using _ _ _ _ _ _ _. These models require information on property attributes, such as location, property size, and nature of improvements.

A

Hedonic systems are the most common AVMs and are largely based on statistical models using some form of linear regression. These models require information on property attributes, such as location, property size, and nature of improvements.

86
Q

TRUE OR FALSE?

AVMs maybe more “immune” to bias and more independent than conventional appraisals.

A

ANSWER: TRUE

87
Q

__________ maps use lines to group together locations that have the same attribute value, for example, height above sea level or isobars showing air pressure.

A

Contour maps use lines to group together locations that have the same attribute value, for example, height above sea level or isobars showing air pressure.

88
Q

__________ were early adopters of electronic data processing technology and began experimenting with AVMs in the early 1960s.

A

Assessors were early adopters of electronic data processing technology and began experimenting with AVMs in the early 1960s.

89
Q

The evolution of AVMs has followed two distinct paths _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _

A

The evolution of AVMs has followed two distinct paths: public sector property assessment applications and a separate private sector focus on residential lending risk analysis.

90
Q

Automated Mapping/Facilities Management Systems (AM/FM) differ from CAD systems in that _ _ _ _ _ _

A

Automated Mapping/Facilities Management Systems (AM/FM) differ from CAD systems in that they feature sophisticated databases capable of storing and manipulating related attribute information; however, because they were developed primarily for utilities, they best serve networking functions and are limited in their ability to analyze relationships between different layers other than through visual inspection (overlapping of layers).

91
Q

In a GIS, you can also change how an object is depicted depending on _ _ _ _ _ _ . This function is known as _ _ _ _ _ _

A

In a GIS, you can also change how an object is depicted depending on its attributes. This function is known as thematic mapping.

92
Q

List 4 industries and describle how they use GIS?

A

Many government and business organizations use GIS as a central part of their activities, and the range of applications is extraordinary. For example:

Utilities - leak management, service planning, network planning;

Central government - census, environmental planning, health service areas;

Local government - property assessment and taxation, refuse collection, street lighting;

Emergency Services - crime locations, route finding;

Military - battlefield simulations;

Retail - travel time for catchment areas, store site location;

Financial - insurance flood risk, property values; and

Target Marketing - demographic profiles.

93
Q

Computerized Mapping Systems Most computerized mapping systems can be categorized as: _____, _______, or _______.

A

Computerized Mapping Systems Most computerized mapping systems can be categorized as: computer-assisted drafting systems (CAD), automated mapping/facilities management systems (AM/FM), or geographic information systems (GIS).

94
Q

All Computerized Mapping Systems require_ _ _ _ _ _

A

All Computerized Mapping Systems require a base grid with x-y coordinates and permit the mapping of cartographic features such as points, lines, and polygons.

95
Q

Three things about price indices.

A

AVMs based on price indices are very simple models.

These models are generally based on repeat-sales to generate a price index for a specific geographic area, usually defined by zip or postal code.

This method does not rely on the detail present in a hedonic model and hence the output is more subject to variability.

96
Q

Automated Mapping/Facilities Management Systems (AM/FM) differ from CAD systems in that they _ _ _ _ _ _

A

Automated Mapping/Facilities Management Systems (AM/FM) differ from CAD systems in that they feature sophisticated databases capable of storing and manipulating related attribute information

97
Q

Because Automated Mapping/Facilities Management Systems (AM/FM) they were developed primarily for utilities, they best serve ____________and are limited in their ability to ____________

A

Because Automated Mapping/Facilities Management Systems (AM/FM) they were developed primarily for utilities, they best serve networking functions and are limited in their ability to analyze relationships between different layers other than through visual inspection (overlapping of layers).

98
Q

The GIS forms a constant link between the _______ and the ________ properties of each of the features: you can get either one of these if you know something about the other. This is the basis of the many location-finding mapping services on the Internet: you can generate a map for any location because there is a data layer with a link between the postal code or zip code attribute and the geographical coordinates.

A

The GIS forms a constant link between the attributes and the geographical properties of each of the features: you can get either one of these if you know something about the other. This is the basis of the many location-finding mapping services on the Internet: you can generate a map for any location because there is a data layer with a link between the postal code or zip code attribute and the geographical coordinates.

99
Q

An example of a buffer zone analysis might involve _ _ _ _

A

An example of a buffer zone analysis might involve selecting all addresses within a 200 metre buffer of a busy road and then comparing the assessments with data about sale prices.

100
Q

TRUE OR FALSE? Another benefit of network analysis is the ability to calculate drive-times.

A

TRUE OR FALSE? Another benefit of network analysis is the ability to calculate drive-times.

101
Q

Drive-Time Analysis

Another benefit of network analysis is the ability to calculate drive-times, which identifies travel distance and length of time. For example, consider a drive-time map for pizza delivery, showing a central point surrounded by a series of circles estimating how long it takes to get to places within
that radius. A paper map method would likely assume an as-the-crow-flies route to each location.

In contrast, a GIS can be much more accurate, using network analysis to generate isochrones (lines that join up points of equal travel time) that take into account the true road network and give a proper measure of how far you can get over a set time. This can even take into account the average speed on each road, so that the area appears stretched along faster roads.

A

Drive-Time Analysis

Another benefit of network analysis is the ability to calculate drive-times, which identifies travel distance and length of time. For example, consider a drive-time map for pizza delivery, showing a central point surrounded by a series of circles estimating how long it takes to get to places within
that radius. A paper map method would likely assume an as-the-crow-flies route to each location.

In contrast, a GIS can be much more accurate, using network analysis to generate isochrones (lines that join up points of equal travel time) that take into account the true road network and give a proper measure of how far you can get over a set time. This can even take into account the average speed on each road, so that the area appears stretched along faster roads.