BOP / FDI Flashcards
BOP
Balance of Payments:
accounts for countrys international transactions for a calendar year
includes:
- current account
- -> merchandise and services trade
- financial account
- -> resulting financial flows between nations
BOP Accounting
Double entry system: Each positive (+) transaction has a balancing negative (-) transaction:
Positive Transaction current account (You receive money):
- Merchandise Export
- Service Export
- Income received through foreign investments etc
Negative Transactions current account (You spend money in foreign country)
- Merchandise Import
- Service Import
- FDI etc.
US current account deficit
600 billion $
Current account surplus/deficit
surplus: exports exceeds imports
deficit: import exceed exports
Why surplus in long term not sustainable?
- problem of getting too rich
- value of currency will go up
- -> higher exchange rate
- -> limits nations ability to sustain exports bc imports for other countries are very expensive
- -> imports become less expensive
Why deficit in long term not sustainable?
3 options when in deficit:
- finance (take dept)
- utilize savings
- sell overseas assets
- -> nation has to reserve money to pay back dept
- ->lower investments bc of slow economic growth and higher interest rates
- ->value of currency decreases and imports will get more expensive
Trade deficit or surplus is worse?
Trade deficit:
- value of currency goes down
- worse competition in global market
- dept goes up; financial dependent
Why can the US sustain trade deficit
- US $ central currency in the world,–> dollar value stays high
- US government never defaulted on its dept, other countries want to buy the US dept
- other countries want to sponsor the US dept because they do not want to loose such big market
What happened to trade deficit in 2008-2009 (trade deficit cut in half)? see chart in slide
- global economy recession, less imports in the US, less consuming behaviour of US citizen
- it did not go back to where it was because of decreased oil prices; decreased imports in the US
components of current account
- goods (main driver of deficit)
- services
- primary income (foreign earnings-domestic earnings)
- secondary income (gifts aids)
FDI
Foreign direct investment Conditions: - 10% or more ownership -for at least one year -with intention to control
Whats non managerial involvment?
portfolio investment
Forms of FDI
- New Investment Greenfield
- joint ventures
- Mergers&Aquisitions:
- -> quick entry, local market know how, eliminate competitor, buying problems
Horizontal/vertical FDI
Horizontal:
-same industry as the firm operates at home
Vertical:
forward: investment closer to the customer
backward: investment closer to the initial materials
FDI Pros & Cons
-circumvents trade barriers
-keep up with competiton
-be closer to customer
-lobby work
but FDI is expensive and risky compared to just export