BCAR.cdn,CAT&OSFI.EQ Flashcards
Question: what is the purpose of A.M. Best’s financial strength ratings
to provide an opinion on the financial strength of an insurer (and it’s ability to meet ongoing obligations to policyholders)
BCAR formula
BCAR = (AC - NRC) / AC x 100
calculated at 4 different VaR levels: 95%, 99%, 99.5%, 99.6% (99.6% cutoff point 10, 25, 100)
6 level assessment: vw, w, a, s, vs, S
how is AC (Available Capital) calculated in the BCAR formula
balance sheet reported capital (surplus) adj for EDO: lura-sd-fig&offp
adjustments to balance sheet capital to obtain BCAR Available Capital
EDO: lura-sd-fig offp
Equity adjustments:
- loss reserves
- unearned premiums
- reinsurance
- assets
Debt adjustments:
- surplus notes
- debt service requirements
Other adjustments:
- future operating costs
- intangibles
- goodwill
OFFP
- off balance sheet loss
- fixed income equity
- future div
- protected cell surplus
why don’t we use unadjusted reported capital as the value for AC (Available Capital)
incorporating these adjustments provides for a more economic and consistent view of capital available
identify the risk categories in the BCAR model (cap required) (8)
FEI-C-PRCat-B
Asset risk:
(B1) Fixed income securities
(B2) Equity securities
(B3) Interest rate risk
(B4) Credit risk
U/W/ risk:
(B5) reserve risk
(B6) premium risk
(B8) Catastrophe risk
other risks:
(B7) Business risk
what is the purpose of the covariance adjustment in the NRC formula
- reflects the assumed statistical independence of 7 of the 8 risk components: (B1)-(B6) and (B8)
(reduces GRC because it’s unlikely that these 7 components will be near their maximum levels simultaneously)
why is (B7), Business risk, excluded from the covariance adjustment
A.M. Best expects an insurer to maintain capital for business risks without the benefit of diversification
in the BCAR model, what is ‘gross required captial’
gross required capital = direct SUM of required capital for (B1) through (B8)
(represents total required capital if all risks developed simultaneously)
what is the key idea in calculating the required capital for each risk category
multiply the liability from each risk category by a specific capital factor (similar to MCT)
briefly describe how BCAR ‘capital factors’ for reserve risk are derived
- based on industry risk factors
- then adjusted for company’s volatility in case loss development
identify considerations other than BCAR score that impact Best’s balance sheet strength assessment
Q2 - SALAMI
* Q2 → Quality of capital, Quality of reinsurance
–
* Stress testing (how well does the company perform under stress)
* Adequacy of reserves
* Liquidity of capital
* Actions of affiliates (affiliates could drag you down or pull you up)
* Matching of assets & liabilities (this is desirable for paying your bills on time)
* Internal capital models (does the company have a good procedure for assessing its own capital needs)
identify the 6 steps in A.M. Best’s rating process (leading to the final issuer credit rating)
BOB-ECL-R
[1] Balance sheet strength (based mainly on the BCAR scores, but subject also subject to Cured Salami.)
[2] Operating performance
[3] Business profile
[4] Enterprise risk management
[5] Comprehensive adjustment
[6] Lift and/or drag
identify company characteristics that may tend to lower a company’s BCAR score
- aggressive investment portfolio (increases NRC for investment risk categories B1, B2, B3)
- loans to high-risk entities or reinsurance with low-rated reinsurers (increases NRC for credit risk category B4)
- reserve deficiency (increases NRC for reserve risk category B5)
- excessive growth or high U/W leverage (increases NRC for premium risk category B6)
- concentration of property risks in Florida (increases NRC for catastrophe risk category B8)
why does A.M. Best calculate NRC and BCAR at more than 1 level of VaR
- to gain more insight into the company’s balance sheet strength
- to assess its ability to withstand tail events
why does A.M. Best use a sensitivity analysis to supplement its BCAR calculation
- assess capital required to support future business
- assess impact of a pro-forma transaction (acquisition of a subsidiary)
- assess projected year-end capital position
identify an aspect of the BCAR model that may make it more robust than MCT
BCAR model permits qualitative adjustments to final assessment for economic conditions:
- interest rate changes
- stage of U/W cycle
- changes in reinsurance arrangements
describe 3 similarities between the BCAR model and MCT
- purpose (assess financial strength and ability to meet policyholder obligations)
- key idea (apply capital factors to liabilities in various risk categories)
- covariance adjustment (to account for the statistical independence between risk categories)
describe 3 differences between BCAR model and MCT
[1] formula is different and:
→ BCARmax = 100%, no minimum
→ MCTmin = 0%, no maximum
[2] robustness is different:
→ A.M. Best more robust because final assessment includes qualitative economic conditions
(like stage of U/W cycle)
[3] time horizon is different:
→ BCAR capital must support current & future premium risk
→ MCT focuses more on current year’s risk
identify drivers for recent increase in frequency/severity of cats
FREQUENCY: climate change
SEVERITY: increase in population density & complexity of supply chains
identify Best’s expectations for insurers accepting cat risks (2)
insurers must demonstrate ability to:
- MANAGE cat risk
- ABSORB potential losses
what is a standard BCAR score
a measure of an insurer’s financial strength (includes a component for catastrophes)
an insurer is then assigned 1 of 6 ratings based on it’s standard score (strongest, very strong, strong, adequate, weak, very weak)
what is a stressed BCAR score
- a score that reflects the ability of an insurer to continue operating even after a catastrophe
- based on natural catastrophe stress test
→ the standard BCAR score already has a catastrophe component so the stressed score measures the impact of a second catastrophe