Bahnemann Flashcards

1
Q

Claim Size Distributions

A

Pareto (Linear XS severity as limit increases)

Exponential (Constant XS severity at all limits)

Lognormal (XS Sev increases without bound)

Gamma (XS Sev decreases to asymptote)

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2
Q

Claim Count Distributions

A

Poisson
Negative Binomial

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3
Q

ILF Risk Load

A

Reflects added volatility on top of higher expected value

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4
Q

Straight Deductible

A

All losses above d are reduced by d

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5
Q

Franchise Deductible

A

All losses above d are paid in full

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6
Q

Diminishing Deductible

A

Losses between d and D have linearly decreasing deductible

All losses above D are paid in full

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7
Q

XS Policy - Applying Lower and Upper Limit

A

Lower first, then upper limit

(a,a+l]

width l

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8
Q

Ded Policy - Applying Lower and Upper Limit

A

Upper limit first, then lower

(a,l]

width l-a

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9
Q

Impact on CV as impose additional limits

A

Decreases

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10
Q

CV of XS claims vs Ground-Up

A

XS has larger CV than ground-up

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11
Q

Different Tau’s (Trend)

A

Tau_X - ground-up claim size inflation

~Tau_X - XS claim size inflation

~Tau_N - Claim count inflation due solely to claim size inflation

Tau_Freq - Frequency Trend

~Tau_S - Agg XS loss inflation due to claim size inflation

~Tau_S,Total = Tau_Freq * ~Tau_N * ~Tau_X

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12
Q

Tau Key Relationships

A
  1. If ground-up claim size inflation positive then Agg XS inflation larger
  2. If negative, Agg Xs inflation more negative

This is because of claim count inflation due to claim size inflation

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13
Q

Contagion Parameter

A

Reflects the fact that occurence of a claim often leads to additional claims

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14
Q

What does premium cover

A

Expected Loss
General Expenses (Incl. ULAE)
UW Profit
Risk Charge

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15
Q

Risk Charge

A

Covers contingencies

Process Risk and Parameter Risk

Increased uncertainty at higher limits

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16
Q

2 Criteria for Exposure Unit

A
  1. Meaningful indicator of policy’s expected number of claims
  2. Determine expected number of claims associated with a singe exposure unit
17
Q

2 Methods for ILFs

A
  1. Empirical
  2. Parametric (better for higher limits where data sparse)
18
Q

3 ALAE Methods

A
  1. Included in Loss
  2. % of Loss (Multiplicative)
  3. Avg Amount (Additive)
19
Q

ILF Consistency Test

A

Looking at layers of constant width, premium for succesive layers decreases as attachment point increases

Increases at decreasing rate