BA 3 - Hypothesis Testing Flashcards
Null Hypothesis
H0:
Statement about a topic of interest about the population typically based on historical information or conventional wisdom.
Alternative Hypothesis
HA:
Theory or claim about a topic of interest about the population that we are trying to substantiate.
Steps of a hypothesis test
i. State the null and alternative hypotheses;
ii. Choose the level of significance for the test;
iii. Gather data about a sample or samples;
iv. Construct a range of likely sample means, or calculate the p-value; and
v. Reject the null hypothesis or fail to reject the null hypothesis.
P-value
likelihood of obtaining a sample as extreme as the one we have obtained, if the null hypothesis is true.
Interpreting p-value
Reject null hypothesis:
sample mean falls within the rejection region, or if the p-value is lower than the level of significance.
Fail to reject null hypothesis:
sample mean falls within the range of likely sample means, or if the p-value is greater than the level of significance.
P-value for one- and two-sided tests
P-value for a one-sided hypothesis test is half the value of a two-sided hypothesis test.
Type I and Type II errors
Type I error:
rejecting H0 when it’s true.
Type II error:
failing to reject Ho when it’s not true.
Type I and Type II tradeoffs
Higher confidence level => lower significance level => lower chance of rejecting H0 when it’s true => lower chance of Type I error.
Higher confidence level => higher chance of not rejecting H0 when it’s not true => higher chance of Type II error.
[EXCEL] To get p-value
=T.TEST(array1, array2, tails, type)