AS Unit 5: Government Macroeconomic Intervention Flashcards
Price stability
Low and stable inflation rate. Would not be 0 because:
-any measure of inflation tends to overstate any rise in prices
-to aim for 0 may result in deflation
-low and stable rises in prices caused by higher spending may encourage firms output
An increasing number of governments are setting inflation targets for central banks. May reduce inflationary expectations. If firms, workers and households have confidence in a central banks ability to meet its target, they may act in a way that doesn’t push up prices
Low unemployment
Having a low proportion of the labour force unemployed has advantages like high output, high tax revenue and low spending on unemployment benefits. Governments try to ensure that any unemployment is sgort term so workers don’t lose skills and habits. They promote labour mobility. The government is also concerned with the quality of unemployment. This is because the effect of low unemployment on the economy and the workers may not be beneficial if the jobs are unskilled, insecure and low paid
Economic growth
Governments don’t want negative or too slow economic growth. If output is falling, unemployment may rise and living standards may decline. Governments also want to avoid high economic growth because an economy could overheat with AD rising faster than AS. Pressure could be put on resources and inflationary pressure may build. Entrepreneurs may be overoptimistic and set up firms that don’t have a long term future. Households may expect incomes to continue to increase at a high rate encouraging them to take out loans they may struggle to repay. For growth rate the government takes into account that size of the labour force, changes in productivity and advances in technology
Fiscal policy and the budget
Is the use of taxation and government spending to manage AD for macroeconomic aims. The annual budget is a statement of fiscal policy. A surplus arises when tax revenue exceeds government spending, a deficit is the opposite and balance is equal
Most governments aim for balance over time but may aim for a deficit in the short term. A deficit may occur as a result of deliberate government action and automatic stabilisers. If there is a decline in economic growth and a rise in unemployment, a government may cut taxes and increase spending. Spending on benefits will rise and tax revenue will fall. A budget deficit occurs due to a fall in activity (cyclical deficit). Governments are concerned with structural deficits which arise when a government is committed to too much spending relative to revenue. Deficit doesn’t disappear when GDP increases. In reality a deficit may contain both elements. A deficit will decline if there is a rise in revenue and/or a fall in spending but a rise in spending and/or a cut in taxes could reduce a deficit since these could increase activity
The national debt
Expressed as a percentage of GDP. Government of public sector debt is the total debt of a central government or public sector. Connected to budget deficits and surpluses. If there is a deficit in 1 year, it will add to national debt but extra revenue from a surplus may pay off part of the debt. Increases during economic downturns since spending rises faster than tax revenue. May be a tendency during booms to spend more (structural deficit). Conflict can increase national debt. There is an opportunity cost of interest payments. Large national debt may make financial institutions, firms, individuals and other governments reluctant to lend, due to debts about their ability to pay interest and repay. Borrowing a large amount may increase interest rates. Not the same as external debt since some is owed to the citizens. National debt to GDP ratio is reduced if there is some repayment or if GDP rises
Indirect taxes
Taxes on the sale of goods and services. Largely paid by customers but are collected by firms. The firms are legally responsible to pay them to the government. They try to pass on as much to consumers as possible. The more inelastic, the more is passed on. Specific indirect taxes have a set amount of tax. Indirect taxes on particular products are exise duties (or sin taxes which are mainly used to discourage people buying those bad for health)
Direct taxes
Taxes on income and wealth
Indirect vs direct taxes
Governments rely more in indirect since they can be changed quickly and easily. They are cheaper to collect than direct and discourage the purchase of goods. Indirect don’t discourage effort, innovation and saving. Higher direct taxes may put people off joining the workforce, working overtime and cut their hours since disposable income is reduced. Direct may be a disincentive to save since income is taxed twice. May stop firms introducing new methods/products if post-tax is low. Some workers may decide to work more hours to maintain disposable income or can lead to tax avoidance and tax evasion. Greater reliance on indirect taxes may less evenly distribute income since regressive. They can also be inflationary since there are extra costs on suppliers. People may expect prices to continue to rise. People may smuggle products to avoid indirect taxes
Progressive, regressive and proportional taxes
Indirect are regressive and direct are usually progressive. Progressive takes a higher percentage as income rises. Regressive taxes a smaller percentage as income rises. Proportional is fixed and doesn’t change as income changes
Marginal and average rates of taxation
The mrt is the proportion of extra income taken in tax. The art is the proportion of total income taken in tax. With a progressive tax, mrt is higher than art. The proportion paid on extra income is greater than the proportion they pay on the total amount earned. With a regressive tax, mrt is lower than art. With a proportional tax mrt equals art
Reasons for taxation
Raise revenue to finance government spending. Influence AD. In theory a government could finance this just by printing more money but would be very inflationary. The government needs to reduce public sector demand to free up resources. Progressive may be used to distribute income more evenly. Narrows the income gap which could be further narrowed by the government using tax revenue from the ruck for benefits for the poor. Discourage some consumption. May be imports
What does government spending include
Spending on transfer payments
Current spending
Capital spending
Spending on transfer payments
Includes unemployment benefits, state pensions and interest payments on national debt
Current spending
Is on goods and services to provide state financed services. Covers opportunity costs
Capital spending
Is on goods used in the public sector
Exhaustive spending
Covers current and capital spending. It uses resources and is counted in AD and GDP
Non-exhaustive spending
Is on transfer payments. Does not involve the government deciding how resources are used. The people who receive the payments make the decision
Reasons for government spending
Spend to influence AD and so the level of economic activity. If private sector spending is too low, a government may inject more spending. Will aim for a deficit. May spend to increase AS so can raise an economy’s productive potential. Spending on transfer payments ensures people have a basic income level so avoid poverty and reduce inequality. Governments also spend on merit and public goods to overcome market failure. As GDP rises the government us under pressure to spend more on these since people have higher expectations. Advances in technology make it possible to do more complex operations that require more expensive aftercare. Governments may spend to win political popularity so rises before an election or by different groups
Expansionary and contractionary fiscal policy
Expansionary to increase AD. Achieved by an increase in government spending and/or cutting taxes. The government may increase an existing deficit to make a larger net injection.
Contractionary to reduce AD growth. Government will reduce spending and/or increase taxes and aim for a surplus.
Changes in spending may be the result of policy changes or economic activity changes. Deliberate change in government spending and taxation is discretionary fiscal policy
Automatic stabilisers
Forms of government spending and taxation that change without deliberate government action to offset fluctuations in GDP. In a recession, spending on unemployment benefits rises. Tax revenue from taxes falls
Impact of contractionary fiscal policy on the macroeconomy
May be used to reduce demand-pull inflation. Income taxes may rise, threshold to start paying taxes falls and tax base is widened. Government cutting their own spending is better in places where only a small proportion of the population pays income tax. Higher taxes and lower spending may reduce AD or its growth. Raising income tax to reduce demand-pull inflation may not go as planned since workers may seek higher wages to maintain disposable income. Costs of production rise. Generates cost-push inflation. Higher income taxes mat also be a disincentive as workers may leave the workforce or emigrate, reducing productive capacity and AS
Impact of expansionary fiscal policy on the macroeconomy
May be used to increase output and rise employment. If there is high cyclical unemployment, the government will try to rise AD. his may be done by cutting direct and indirect taxes to stimulate consumer spending an investment. COuld add to AD by increase own spending. May not be effective if households and firms are worried about the future. They may save most of any extra disposable income as a result of lower taxes and higher spending. Government may inject too much spending causing demand-pull inflation